2022-03-02 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 152 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.1742

152 of 152 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-3.64%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.3%

in alpha space · 34.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-3.30%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (152 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061505	0.061809	+0.49%	0.060032	-2.39%	0.0034	✓	0.77	307k	2022-03-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04078	0.040924	+0.35%	0.03967	-2.72%	0.0021	✓	0.99	29k	2022-03-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.803	6.8264	+0.34%	6.7949	-0.12%	0.0189	✓	0.70	2.8M	2022-03-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002591	0.000025995	+0.33%	0.00002507	-3.24%	0.0057	✓	1.25	3.9M	2022-03-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.133081	0.133507	+0.32%	0.129579	-2.63%	0.0017	✓	0.94	3.7M	2022-03-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0754	0.07564	+0.32%	0.072	-4.51%	0.0161	✗	0.99	157k	2022-03-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.71	6.7297	+0.29%	6.42	-4.32%	0.0300	✗	0.51	1.2M	2022-03-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.397	0.398137	+0.29%	0.381	-4.03%	0.0038	✓	1.42	1.3M	2022-03-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16542	0.165888	+0.28%	0.16147	-2.39%	0.0127	✓	1.18	22k	2022-03-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8782	1.883	+0.26%	1.868	-0.54%	0.0315	✓	1.18	179k	2022-03-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2311	2.2366	+0.25%	2.2899	+2.64%	0.0474	✓	0.71	26k	2022-03-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8082	0.810131	+0.24%	0.7864	-2.70%	0.0188	✓	1.45	270k	2022-03-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.05	10.0739	+0.24%	9.55	-4.98%	0.0136	✗	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.091	0.091214	+0.23%	0.09337	+2.60%	0.0589	✓	1.06	43k	2022-03-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.197	0.197461	+0.23%	0.1971	+0.05%	0.0439	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-03-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.496	1.4994	+0.22%	1.437	-3.94%	0.0052	✗	1.11	939k	2022-03-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.247549	+0.22%	0.273	+10.53%	0.1265	✓	0.85	66k	2022-03-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		86.11	86.296	+0.22%	83.45	-3.09%	0.0053	✗	0.84	905k	2022-03-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	100.9	101.107	+0.21%	96.75	-4.11%	0.0062	✗	1.13	1.5M	2022-03-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	100.73	100.9363	+0.20%	95.61	-5.08%	0.0120	✗	1.26	131.2M	2022-03-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007594	0.000076091	+0.20%	0.00007449	-1.91%	0.0155	✓	1.10	4.5M	2022-03-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7872	0.788727	+0.19%	0.7596	-3.51%	0.0007	✓	1.10	9.7M	2022-03-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,948.56	2,954.15	+0.19%	2,833.66	-3.90%	0.0067	✗	1.04	581.4M	2022-03-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.4867	6.499	+0.19%	6.3922	-1.46%	0.0284	✓	1.34	257k	2022-03-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.7	137.9573	+0.19%	129.96	-5.62%	0.0148	✗	1.34	6.8M	2022-03-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012216	0.012239	+0.19%	0.011953	-2.15%	0.0111	✓	1.04	14k	2022-03-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570611	0.571673	+0.19%	0.534619	-6.31%	0.0291	✗	1.13	2.8M	2022-03-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2308	0.231219	+0.18%	0.2283	-1.08%	0.0365	✓	1.47	2.5M	2022-03-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.193624	0.193969	+0.18%	0.187901	-2.96%	0.0042	✓	1.07	19.8M	2022-03-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.149	0.149256	+0.17%	0.146	-2.01%	0.0051	✓	0.81	294k	2022-03-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04875	0.048834	+0.17%	0.05073	+4.06%	0.0784	✓	1.20	641k	2022-03-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.16	15.1855	+0.17%	14.3	-5.67%	0.0106	✗	1.48	2.4M	2022-03-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9394	0.940955	+0.17%	0.9021	-3.97%	0.0045	✗	1.12	96.3M	2022-03-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0714	0.071516	+0.16%	0.0725	+1.54%	0.0475	✓	1.01	13k	2022-03-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5665	0.567317	+0.14%	0.5501	-2.89%	0.0001	✓	0.92	607k	2022-03-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.75	0.751072	+0.14%	0.72	-4.00%	0.0153	✓	1.72	1.0M	2022-03-03
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,912.34	43,970.47	+0.13%	42,464.41	-3.30%	0.0013	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,262.00	44,320.55	+0.13%	42,572.60	-3.82%	0.0076	✗	0.97	53k	2022-03-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.13	2.1328	+0.13%	2.04	-4.23%	0.0054	✗	1.16	354k	2022-03-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5144	0.515058	+0.13%	0.4943	-3.91%	0.0050	✓	1.37	484k	2022-03-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	177.46	177.6817	+0.12%	172.04	-3.05%	0.0014	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.6557	+0.12%	4.42	-4.95%	0.0012	✓	1.51	471k	2022-03-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.1064	0.106529	+0.12%	0.1029	-3.29%	0.0020	✗	0.97	40k	2022-03-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07258	0.072666	+0.12%	0.06983	-3.79%	0.0022	✓	1.25	69k	2022-03-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.04679	0.046843	+0.11%	0.046937	+0.31%	0.0378	✓	1.07	8.1M	2022-03-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.76	20.7832	+0.11%	19.77	-4.77%	0.0016	✗	1.44	328k	2022-03-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.703	0.703785	+0.11%	0.714	+1.56%	0.0505	✓	1.08	2.6M	2022-03-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.35	110.4711	+0.11%	111.69	+1.21%	0.0485	✓	1.12	29.5M	2022-03-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.73047	0.731268	+0.11%	0.7113	-2.62%	0.0182	✓	1.37	200k	2022-03-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.038	6.0444	+0.11%	5.584	-7.52%	0.0441	✗	1.05	166k	2022-03-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.31	138.4543	+0.10%	131.9	-4.63%	0.0100	✗	1.15	1.0M	2022-03-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.0742	1.0753	+0.10%	1.0476	-2.48%	0.0185	✓	1.33	187k	2022-03-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.016	4.02	+0.10%	3.962	-1.34%	0.0295	✓	1.31	1.8M	2022-03-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13.69	13.7038	+0.10%	13.32	-2.70%	0.0084	✓	1.10	331k	2022-03-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.355	20.3745	+0.10%	19.526	-4.07%	0.0094	✗	0.99	9.1M	2022-03-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	320.43	320.7356	+0.10%	315.29	-1.60%	0.0154	✓	0.97	7.3M	2022-03-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.917	0.917826	+0.09%	0.852	-7.09%	0.0314	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-03-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.01037	0.010379	+0.09%	0.01001	-3.47%	0.0057	✓	1.25	1.3M	2022-03-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.298	2.2999	+0.08%	2.212	-3.74%	0.0084	✗	0.91	23k	2022-03-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.73	20.7471	+0.08%	20.13	-2.89%	0.0073	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02832	0.028343	+0.08%	0.02753	-2.79%	0.0032	✗	0.77	4.0M	2022-03-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00957	0.009578	+0.08%	0.00902	-5.75%	0.0177	✗	1.26	563k	2022-03-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.93	1.9315	+0.08%	1.85	-4.15%	0.0015	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.114	3.1163	+0.07%	2.941	-5.56%	0.0296	✗	0.84	477k	2022-03-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.7	6.7048	+0.07%	6.363	-5.03%	0.0057	✗	1.39	27k	2022-03-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0322	3.0343	+0.07%	2.95	-2.71%	0.0011	✓	0.87	3.6M	2022-03-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.16	46.1919	+0.07%	44.86	-2.82%	0.0065	✓	1.07	22.8M	2022-03-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01235	0.012358	+0.07%	0.01236	+0.08%	0.0249	✓	0.74	13k	2022-03-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	117.95	118.0252	+0.06%	127.04	+7.71%	0.1068	✓	0.99	6.3M	2022-03-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.308	0.308193	+0.06%	0.295	-4.22%	0.0000	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-03-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.59	1.591	+0.06%	1.523	-4.21%	0.0051	✗	1.15	2.0M	2022-03-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,346.94	22,360.40	+0.06%	21,698.86	-2.90%	0.0027	✓	0.98	5.9M	2022-03-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.78	9.7858	+0.06%	9.34	-4.50%	0.0059	✗	1.21	3.5M	2022-03-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.56	26.5753	+0.06%	25.18	-5.20%	0.0078	✗	1.38	1.5M	2022-03-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.43	2.4313	+0.06%	2.38	-2.06%	0.0122	✓	1.00	268k	2022-03-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0297	3.0312	+0.05%	2.9519	-2.57%	0.0031	✓	0.88	2.4M	2022-03-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.9424	5.9454	+0.05%	5.6206	-5.42%	0.0458	✗	0.31	385k	2022-03-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.64	6.6432	+0.05%	6.34	-4.52%	0.0006	✓	1.41	942k	2022-03-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.61	18.619	+0.05%	18.03	-3.12%	0.0085	✓	1.21	28.4M	2022-03-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.468	0.468205	+0.04%	0.448	-4.27%	0.0008	✗	1.29	4.2M	2022-03-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.52	29.5319	+0.04%	30.25	+2.47%	0.0602	✓	1.08	5.2M	2022-03-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.494	3.4953	+0.04%	3.3937	-2.87%	0.0134	✓	1.28	1.9M	2022-03-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.551	5.5529	+0.03%	5.231	-5.76%	0.0287	✗	0.92	71k	2022-03-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	125.91	125.944	+0.03%	129.17	+2.59%	0.0629	✓	1.12	7.4M	2022-03-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3742	0.374297	+0.03%	0.3647	-2.54%	0.0195	✓	1.36	8.7M	2022-03-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01892	0.018925	+0.02%	0.01877	-0.79%	0.0284	✓	1.09	2.2M	2022-03-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.14	10.1416	+0.02%	10.07	-0.69%	0.0150	✓	0.66	928k	2022-03-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.92	38.9262	+0.02%	38.18	-1.90%	0.0291	✓	1.45	280k	2022-03-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2571	0.257127	+0.01%	0.249	-3.15%	0.0015	✗	0.91	2.0M	2022-03-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.29	15.2915	+0.01%	14.89	-2.62%	0.0129	✓	1.18	50.8M	2022-03-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2945	0.294503	+0.00%	0.2824	-4.11%	0.0022	✓	1.32	317k	2022-03-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.548	1.548	+0.00%	1.479	-4.46%	0.0029	✓	1.45	842k	2022-03-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1595	0.1595	+0.00%	0.1559	-2.26%	0.0116	✓	1.03	420k	2022-03-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4033	0.403279	-0.01%	0.3687	-8.58%	0.0346	✓	1.64	14.7M	2022-03-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.464	1.4639	-0.01%	1.46	-0.27%	0.0327	✗	1.06	3.4M	2022-03-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.7532	2.7528	-0.01%	2.6368	-4.23%	0.0027	✓	1.20	3.3M	2022-03-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8204	0.820246	-0.02%	0.7967	-2.89%	0.0088	✗	1.13	19.9M	2022-03-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.413	4.4121	-0.02%	4.2636	-3.39%	0.0039	✗	1.14	244k	2022-03-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	55.59	55.5777	-0.02%	53.31	-4.10%	0.0019	✗	1.30	6.5M	2022-03-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.37	30.3628	-0.02%	30.05	-1.05%	0.0209	✗	0.93	1.5M	2022-03-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1299	0.129868	-0.02%	0.1221	-6.00%	0.0182	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.202	1.2016	-0.04%	1.174	-2.33%	0.0166	✗	1.19	2.9M	2022-03-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.976	3.9744	-0.04%	3.808	-4.23%	0.0013	✓	1.24	2.2M	2022-03-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	122.45	122.3849	-0.05%	116.89	-4.54%	0.0050	✓	1.22	58k	2022-03-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.41	3.4081	-0.06%	3.3	-3.23%	0.0101	✗	1.26	6.8M	2022-03-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.505	4.5023	-0.06%	4.418	-1.93%	0.0093	✗	0.84	453k	2022-03-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.27	1.2692	-0.07%	1.24	-2.36%	0.0117	✗	1.04	824k	2022-03-03
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	1.0193	-0.07%	1.05	+2.94%	0.0389	✗	0.28	282k	2022-03-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.116	0.115918	-0.07%	0.118	+1.72%	0.0363	✗	0.55	44k	2022-03-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.15	16.1365	-0.08%	16.42	+1.67%	0.0410	✗	0.70	2.3M	2022-03-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.4209	-0.14%	6.33	-1.56%	0.0153	✗	0.88	478k	2022-03-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.098955	-0.15%	0.095	-4.14%	0.0091	✗	1.49	613k	2022-03-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	83.42	83.2898	-0.16%	78.49	-5.91%	0.0115	✓	1.43	120.2M	2022-03-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9988	0.997239	-0.16%	0.9796	-1.92%	0.0219	✗	1.18	2.1M	2022-03-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.25	32.1972	-0.16%	34.01	+5.46%	0.0932	✗	1.15	50.3M	2022-03-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.57	5.5604	-0.17%	5.38	-3.41%	0.0044	✓	0.85	540k	2022-03-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.98	2.9744	-0.19%	2.882	-3.29%	0.0018	✓	0.89	223k	2022-03-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01231	0.012286	-0.20%	0.01199	-2.60%	0.0222	✗	1.39	2.8M	2022-03-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.164	1.1614	-0.23%	1.176	+1.03%	0.0483	✗	1.07	1.4M	2022-03-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.99	2.9829	-0.24%	2.873	-3.91%	0.0061	✓	0.94	792k	2022-03-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5029	0.50155	-0.27%	0.4722	-6.10%	0.0071	✗	2.01	2.2M	2022-03-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.647	2.6398	-0.27%	2.508	-5.25%	0.0025	✓	1.45	13.6M	2022-03-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.31	19.2564	-0.28%	19.97	+3.42%	0.0751	✗	1.15	20.0M	2022-03-03
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000196	0.000001955	-0.28%	0.0000019	-3.06%	0.0060	✓	0.66	13.7M	2022-03-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.25	1.2464	-0.29%	1.21	-3.20%	0.0106	✗	1.20	585k	2022-03-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.389	1.3849	-0.30%	1.4091	+1.44%	0.0626	✗	1.35	2.8M	2022-03-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9592	1.9534	-0.30%	2.1075	+7.57%	0.1108	✗	1.04	77k	2022-03-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0655	0.065305	-0.30%	0.0637	-2.75%	0.0344	✗	1.77	72.8M	2022-03-03
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.3424	-0.32%	2.38	+1.28%	0.0495	✗	1.00	422k	2022-03-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.359	1.3535	-0.41%	1.545	+13.69%	0.1750	✗	1.27	2.0M	2022-03-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01634	0.016272	-0.41%	0.01525	-6.67%	0.0138	✓	1.52	12.7M	2022-03-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0775	0.077174	-0.42%	0.0725	-6.45%	0.0189	✓	1.30	1.0M	2022-03-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.82	1.8118	-0.45%	1.92	+5.49%	0.0985	✗	1.21	411k	2022-03-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0268	0.026678	-0.46%	0.0283	+5.60%	0.1035	✗	1.33	500k	2022-03-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	71.55	71.1941	-0.50%	66.5878	-6.94%	0.0206	✓	1.38	231k	2022-03-03
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.52	2.5072	-0.51%	2.46	-2.38%	0.0145	✗	1.00	445k	2022-03-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.3	7.258	-0.57%	7.315	+0.21%	0.0246	✗	0.50	4.1M	2022-03-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00469	0.004661	-0.62%	0.00456	-2.77%	0.0330	✗	1.64	9.6M	2022-03-03
ALPINE	Alpine F1 Team Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.292	3.2715	-0.62%	3.01	-8.57%	0.0498	✓	1.00	19.7M	2022-03-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.7751	2.7571	-0.65%	2.773	-0.08%	0.0351	✗	0.88	2.7M	2022-03-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03397	0.03374	-0.68%	0.03435	+1.12%	0.0478	✗	0.89	1.1M	2022-03-03
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.29e-7	6.25e-7	-0.69%	6.88e-7	+9.33%	0.1297	✗	1.00	1.1M	2022-03-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	92.43	91.7743	-0.71%	90.56	-2.02%	0.0346	✗	1.43	4.8M	2022-03-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.94	7.8823	-0.73%	7.63	-3.90%	0.0017	✓	0.92	461k	2022-03-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7291	0.723387	-0.78%	0.8058	+10.52%	0.1549	✗	1.40	2.5M	2022-03-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021073	0.020898	-0.83%	0.020258	-3.87%	0.0020	✓	0.87	135k	2022-03-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6226	1.6085	-0.87%	1.6497	+1.67%	0.0679	✗	1.27	293k	2022-03-03
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.237	2.2174	-0.88%	1.976	-11.67%	0.0889	✓	0.79	76k	2022-03-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.59	5.5287	-1.10%	5.51	-1.43%	0.0300	✗	1.00	828k	2022-03-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.421	8.3269	-1.12%	9.598	+13.98%	0.1898	✗	1.42	1.9M	2022-03-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.7242	0.715595	-1.19%	0.865	+19.44%	0.2010	✗	0.34	1.2M	2022-03-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.895	2.8573	-1.30%	3.084	+6.53%	0.1201	✗	1.30	584k	2022-03-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.