2022-02-24 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1274

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.30%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

52.3%

in alpha space · 54.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+2.32%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.18	2.2114	+1.44%	2.39	+9.63%	0.0465	✓	1.36	579k	2022-02-25
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01693	0.017065	+0.80%	0.01819	+7.44%	0.0272	✓	1.59	11.9M	2022-02-25
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.13	1.1357	+0.50%	1.21	+7.08%	0.0344	✓	1.26	934k	2022-02-25
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4313	0.433185	+0.44%	0.4634	+7.44%	0.0337	✓	1.47	572k	2022-02-25
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.19	2.1983	+0.38%	2.23	+1.83%	0.0087	✗	1.00	639k	2022-02-25
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.504	1.5097	+0.38%	1.536	+2.13%	0.0078	✗	1.09	3.5M	2022-02-25
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0646	0.064814	+0.33%	0.0689	+6.66%	0.0372	✓	1.04	176k	2022-02-25
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.458	0.459444	+0.32%	0.4821	+5.26%	0.0176	✓	1.33	2.2M	2022-02-25
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.641969	+0.31%	0.72	+12.50%	0.0711	✓	1.90	1.0M	2022-02-25
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1177	2.1241	+0.30%	2.1201	+0.11%	0.0220	✗	0.88	27k	2022-02-25
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6254	2.6327	+0.28%	2.7311	+4.03%	0.0156	✓	0.92	2.9M	2022-02-25
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061098	0.061259	+0.26%	0.059479	-2.65%	0.0488	✗	0.84	286k	2022-02-25
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7738	1.7784	+0.26%	1.8773	+5.84%	0.0262	✓	1.21	206k	2022-02-25
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	6.1134	+0.22%	6.33	+3.77%	0.0257	✓	0.40	1.3M	2022-02-25
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.69	1.6936	+0.21%	1.96	+15.98%	0.1100	✓	1.57	539k	2022-02-25
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.016	5.0266	+0.21%	5.635	+12.34%	0.0922	✓	0.96	241k	2022-02-25
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.42	4.429	+0.20%	4.61	+4.30%	0.0224	✓	0.77	459k	2022-02-25
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.079	0.07916	+0.20%	0.082	+3.80%	0.0002	✓	1.54	668k	2022-02-25
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1956	0.195994	+0.20%	0.2121	+8.44%	0.0444	✓	1.51	3.3M	2022-02-25
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.717	1.7204	+0.20%	1.834	+6.81%	0.0409	✓	1.00	84k	2022-02-25
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3935	0.394287	+0.20%	0.419	+6.48%	0.0137	✓	2.05	2.1M	2022-02-25
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06073	0.060849	+0.20%	0.0649	+6.87%	0.0365	✓	1.22	77k	2022-02-25
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002389	0.000023936	+0.19%	0.00002483	+3.93%	0.0057	✓	1.35	3.7M	2022-02-25
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	11.99	12.0126	+0.19%	12.83	+7.01%	0.0423	✓	1.03	369k	2022-02-25
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1641	0.164394	+0.18%	0.1741	+6.09%	0.0252	✓	1.40	2.9M	2022-02-25
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.89559	0.897062	+0.16%	0.95596	+6.74%	0.0314	✓	1.40	165k	2022-02-25
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.747	2.7514	+0.16%	2.9	+5.57%	0.0313	✓	0.93	477k	2022-02-25
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03686	0.036917	+0.16%	0.0389	+5.53%	0.0276	✓	1.08	31k	2022-02-25
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.24	4.2462	+0.15%	4.62	+8.96%	0.0499	✓	1.50	456k	2022-02-25
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	63.0112	63.0997	+0.14%	67.1249	+6.53%	0.0278	✓	1.48	243k	2022-02-25
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.44	4.4461	+0.14%	4.51	+1.58%	0.0088	✗	1.01	696k	2022-02-25
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8143	0.815391	+0.13%	0.9019	+10.76%	0.0718	✓	1.27	1.8M	2022-02-25
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.93	118.0797	+0.13%	124.6	+5.66%	0.0260	✓	1.21	930k	2022-02-25
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.208	1.2095	+0.13%	1.315	+8.86%	0.0526	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-02-25
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.747	4.7526	+0.12%	4.933	+3.92%	0.0184	✓	0.82	65k	2022-02-25
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.219	0.219255	+0.12%	0.229	+4.57%	0.0236	✓	0.86	59k	2022-02-25
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.6203	2.6231	+0.11%	2.7299	+4.18%	0.0176	✓	0.97	2.3M	2022-02-25
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.235	6.2416	+0.11%	6.3134	+1.26%	0.0067	✗	0.79	3.0M	2022-02-25
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.56	1.5615	+0.10%	1.66	+6.41%	0.0305	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-25
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.509766	0.510242	+0.09%	0.539539	+5.84%	0.0286	✓	1.18	3.2M	2022-02-25
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4805	0.480896	+0.08%	0.533	+10.93%	0.0820	✓	0.91	643k	2022-02-25
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3452	0.345479	+0.08%	0.3727	+7.97%	0.0424	✓	1.45	1.3M	2022-02-25
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00834	0.008346	+0.08%	0.0088	+5.52%	0.0235	✓	1.28	546k	2022-02-25
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03323	0.033255	+0.08%	0.03546	+6.71%	0.0451	✓	0.83	1.6M	2022-02-25
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0609	0.060944	+0.07%	0.0646	+6.08%	0.0341	✓	1.05	14k	2022-02-25
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.188	2.1896	+0.07%	2.336	+6.76%	0.0364	✓	1.24	772k	2022-02-25
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.481	2.4827	+0.07%	2.571	+3.63%	0.0160	✓	0.82	205k	2022-02-25
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01718	0.017191	+0.06%	0.01813	+5.53%	0.0277	✓	1.11	2.2M	2022-02-25
XMR	Monero	Monero	147	147.0921	+0.06%	153.74	+4.59%	0.0214	✓	0.99	966k	2022-02-25
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.72	13.7286	+0.06%	14.87	+8.38%	0.0443	✓	1.55	2.7M	2022-02-25
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.003	2.0042	+0.06%	2.187	+9.19%	0.0634	✓	1.04	20k	2022-02-25
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.03	5.033	+0.06%	5.3	+5.37%	0.0322	✓	0.85	398k	2022-02-25
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2141	0.214226	+0.06%	0.2233	+4.30%	0.0184	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-25
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.124116	0.124184	+0.06%	0.127781	+2.95%	0.0056	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-25
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08206	0.082105	+0.05%	0.08597	+4.76%	0.0206	✓	1.11	47k	2022-02-25
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00977	0.009775	+0.05%	0.01016	+3.99%	0.0047	✓	1.48	2.3M	2022-02-25
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.640313	+0.05%	0.654	+2.19%	0.0054	✗	1.16	2.2M	2022-02-25
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8411	5.8438	+0.05%	6.1326	+4.99%	0.0152	✓	1.44	172k	2022-02-25
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15132	0.151387	+0.04%	0.15869	+4.87%	0.0157	✓	1.37	29k	2022-02-25
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.6953	0.695602	+0.04%	0.7386	+6.23%	0.0350	✓	1.09	9.7M	2022-02-25
XVG	Verge	native	0.00894	0.008944	+0.04%	0.00953	+6.60%	0.0340	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-02-25
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.83	8.8334	+0.04%	9.25	+4.76%	0.0155	✓	1.33	11.0M	2022-02-25
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.42	5.4219	+0.04%	5.65	+4.24%	0.0221	✓	0.83	430k	2022-02-25
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.74	0.740251	+0.03%	0.7733	+4.50%	0.0086	✓	1.53	317k	2022-02-25
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.344	1.3444	+0.03%	1.453	+8.11%	0.0506	✓	1.18	1.1M	2022-02-25
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01147	0.011474	+0.03%	0.011713	+2.12%	0.0049	✗	1.11	37k	2022-02-25
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.241	2.2416	+0.03%	2.365	+5.53%	0.0189	✓	1.51	13.2M	2022-02-25
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.88	87.901	+0.02%	92.9	+5.71%	0.0297	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-02-25
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	125.3	125.3297	+0.02%	139.7	+11.49%	0.0757	✓	1.43	6.5M	2022-02-25
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.558	3.5588	+0.02%	3.679	+3.40%	0.0028	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-02-25
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0436	0.043609	+0.02%	0.04609	+5.71%	0.0264	✓	1.26	768k	2022-02-25
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000181	0.00000181	+0.02%	0.0000019	+4.97%	0.0329	✓	0.67	14.4M	2022-02-25
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.1202	+0.02%	1.15	+2.68%	0.0036	✗	1.30	725k	2022-02-25
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0389	3.0393	+0.01%	3.2131	+5.73%	0.0250	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-02-25
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.9505	+0.01%	9.2	+2.79%	0.0023	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-25
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.274012	+0.00%	0.297	+8.39%	0.0490	✓	1.38	2.2M	2022-02-25
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.97	8.9702	+0.00%	9.37	+4.46%	0.0282	✓	0.67	853k	2022-02-25
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.423	0.423005	+0.00%	0.447	+5.67%	0.0236	✓	1.38	4.7M	2022-02-25
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.338	1.3379	-0.00%	1.445	+8.00%	0.0498	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-25
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.77	108.7638	-0.01%	112.66	+3.58%	0.0054	✗	1.30	64k	2022-02-25
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.945	3.9446	-0.01%	4.091	+3.70%	0.0175	✗	0.83	414k	2022-02-25
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9697	-0.01%	2.09	+6.09%	0.0312	✗	1.22	343k	2022-02-25
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8533	0.853151	-0.02%	0.8997	+5.44%	0.0266	✗	1.15	97.3M	2022-02-25
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.97	13.9673	-0.02%	14.74	+5.51%	0.0377	✗	0.70	1.9M	2022-02-25
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,597.42	2,596.83	-0.02%	2,769.52	+6.63%	0.0399	✗	1.07	561.7M	2022-02-25
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.793	5.7917	-0.02%	6.282	+8.44%	0.0512	✗	1.31	29k	2022-02-25
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.36	1.3597	-0.02%	1.45	+6.62%	0.0298	✗	1.50	970k	2022-02-25
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.48	19.4744	-0.03%	21.16	+8.62%	0.0468	✗	1.58	334k	2022-02-25
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3302	0.330092	-0.03%	0.3513	+6.39%	0.0233	✗	1.70	16.0M	2022-02-25
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00413	0.004129	-0.03%	0.00434	+5.08%	0.0077	✗	1.84	12.6M	2022-02-25
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2371	0.237012	-0.04%	0.2632	+11.01%	0.0732	✗	1.38	469k	2022-02-25
XEM	NEM	native	0.093	0.092961	-0.04%	0.0985	+5.91%	0.0341	✗	1.04	38k	2022-02-25
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.27	13.2642	-0.04%	14.39	+8.44%	0.0535	✗	1.22	60.6M	2022-02-25
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021665	0.021655	-0.05%	0.022712	+4.83%	0.0240	✗	1.03	114k	2022-02-25
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.182403	0.182315	-0.05%	0.191142	+4.79%	0.0220	✗	1.10	21.4M	2022-02-25
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.89	81.8458	-0.05%	84.8	+3.55%	0.0153	✗	0.88	946k	2022-02-25
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007114	0.0000711	-0.06%	0.00007523	+5.75%	0.0295	✗	1.17	4.4M	2022-02-25
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8131	1.8121	-0.06%	1.8595	+2.56%	0.0103	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-02-25
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.785	4.7822	-0.06%	4.938	+3.20%	0.0099	✗	0.96	1.9M	2022-02-25
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.41	22.3954	-0.07%	25.27	+12.76%	0.0870	✗	1.47	1.8M	2022-02-25
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,347.30	38,321.16	-0.07%	39,238.48	+2.32%	0.0007	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-02-25
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.5069	-0.09%	28.01	+5.58%	0.0298	✗	1.10	5.1M	2022-02-25
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.72	102.6299	-0.09%	106.72	+3.89%	0.0135	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-25
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.41	89.3225	-0.10%	92.84	+3.84%	0.0092	✗	1.28	132.7M	2022-02-25
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.22	34.1862	-0.10%	34.73	+1.49%	0.0186	✓	1.50	309k	2022-02-25
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5371	1.5356	-0.10%	1.6127	+4.92%	0.0260	✗	1.00	72k	2022-02-25
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.14	3.1369	-0.10%	3.3	+5.10%	0.0199	✗	1.34	7.1M	2022-02-25
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	16.6	16.5829	-0.10%	17.68	+6.51%	0.0376	✗	1.15	22.7M	2022-02-25
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	104.24	104.1308	-0.10%	109.33	+4.88%	0.0216	✗	1.18	29.5M	2022-02-25
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0685	0.068428	-0.11%	0.0734	+7.15%	0.0383	✗	1.39	1.1M	2022-02-25
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.173	18.1533	-0.11%	19.466	+7.11%	0.0456	✗	1.05	9.6M	2022-02-25
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1399	0.139748	-0.11%	0.1469	+5.00%	0.0312	✗	0.81	345k	2022-02-25
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0532	0.053142	-0.11%	0.0696	+30.83%	0.2281	✗	1.81	67.8M	2022-02-25
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.42	18.3992	-0.11%	18.94	+2.82%	0.0003	✓	1.28	9.4M	2022-02-25
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.19	2.1874	-0.12%	2.28	+4.11%	0.0183	✗	1.01	275k	2022-02-25
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1304	0.130247	-0.12%	0.1468	+12.58%	0.0959	✗	1.03	446k	2022-02-25
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.126	0.125847	-0.12%	0.138	+9.52%	0.0712	✗	0.91	53k	2022-02-25
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66022	0.659406	-0.12%	0.7023	+6.37%	0.0287	✗	1.50	246k	2022-02-25
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.89	5.8827	-0.12%	6.32	+7.30%	0.0407	✗	1.35	1.3M	2022-02-25
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5825	2.5792	-0.13%	2.7367	+5.97%	0.0295	✗	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-25
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7351	3.7303	-0.13%	3.9392	+5.46%	0.0271	✗	1.19	291k	2022-02-25
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.718	5.7105	-0.13%	5.9173	+3.49%	0.0262	✗	0.41	433k	2022-02-25
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.045853	0.045785	-0.15%	0.048666	+6.13%	0.0329	✗	1.22	8.6M	2022-02-25
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.73	108.5674	-0.15%	112.52	+3.49%	0.0123	✗	1.02	6.6M	2022-02-25
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.941	3.9346	-0.16%	4.017	+1.93%	0.0094	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-25
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01188	0.01186	-0.17%	0.01202	+1.18%	0.0041	✓	0.76	15k	2022-02-25
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3618	0.361163	-0.18%	0.3611	-0.19%	0.0340	✓	1.47	8.4M	2022-02-25
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.18	16.1508	-0.18%	17.28	+6.80%	0.0373	✗	1.32	27.9M	2022-02-25
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.827	0.825498	-0.18%	0.882	+6.65%	0.0348	✗	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-25
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1205	0.120271	-0.19%	0.1292	+7.22%	0.0416	✗	1.30	3.1M	2022-02-25
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.82	48.7234	-0.20%	51.16	+4.79%	0.0180	✗	1.34	7.5M	2022-02-25
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	300.94	300.3442	-0.20%	309.04	+2.69%	0.0056	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-02-25
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.3	41.2112	-0.22%	43.09	+4.33%	0.0183	✗	1.14	26.3M	2022-02-25
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8008	0.79907	-0.22%	0.8833	+10.30%	0.0883	✗	0.52	1.5M	2022-02-25
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.1015	-0.22%	1.145	+3.71%	0.0090	✗	1.29	2.8M	2022-02-25
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02616	0.026101	-0.23%	0.02922	+11.70%	0.0950	✗	0.78	4.4M	2022-02-25
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7779	0.776117	-0.23%	0.8312	+6.85%	0.0407	✗	1.21	22.9M	2022-02-25
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.68	2.6734	-0.25%	2.73	+1.87%	0.0020	✓	1.00	608k	2022-02-25
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.76	30.6667	-0.30%	30.26	-1.63%	0.0373	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-02-25
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,311.50	38,194.44	-0.31%	39,386.50	+2.81%	0.0087	✗	0.96	39k	2022-02-25
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,425.17	19,365.79	-0.31%	20,170.96	+3.84%	0.0179	✗	0.99	5.7M	2022-02-25
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	76.41	76.1758	-0.31%	81.05	+6.07%	0.0275	✗	1.50	106.7M	2022-02-25
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1579	1.154	-0.34%	1.2474	+7.73%	0.0446	✗	1.45	2.6M	2022-02-25
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0281	0.028001	-0.35%	0.0277	-1.42%	0.0448	✓	1.48	513k	2022-02-25
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4257	1.4207	-0.35%	1.6442	+15.33%	0.1139	✗	1.40	238k	2022-02-25
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	24.86	24.7557	-0.42%	27.3	+9.81%	0.0728	✗	1.09	52.8M	2022-02-25
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.001	6.9574	-0.62%	7.09	+1.27%	0.0104	✗	0.37	2.0M	2022-02-25
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	1.0122	-0.76%	1.02	+0.00%	0.0070	✓	0.03	286k	2022-02-25
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.24	64.5037	-1.13%	73.2	+12.20%	0.0953	✗	1.36	4.5M	2022-02-25
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.02e-7	6.94e-7	-1.22%	7.00e-7	-0.31%	0.0138	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-25
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.187	1.1708	-1.36%	1.168	-1.60%	0.0310	✓	1.24	1.0M	2022-02-25

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.