2022-02-14 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1197

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-0.11%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

54.0%

in alpha space · 37.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.78%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064484	0.064714	+0.36%	0.066837	+3.65%	0.0089	✗	0.88	327k	2022-02-15
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5481	0.549415	+0.24%	0.5812	+6.04%	0.0073	✗	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-15
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.1719	0.172305	+0.24%	0.17939	+4.36%	0.0357	✗	1.63	34k	2022-02-15
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0437	0.0438	+0.23%	0.04542	+3.94%	0.0190	✗	1.19	30k	2022-02-15
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.6557	6.6684	+0.19%	6.9311	+4.14%	0.0026	✗	0.88	3.9M	2022-02-15
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02976	0.02981	+0.17%	0.03447	+15.83%	0.0916	✓	1.15	10.0M	2022-02-15
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0819	0.082035	+0.16%	0.0872	+6.47%	0.0038	✓	1.23	195k	2022-02-15
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.22	7.2319	+0.16%	7.4	+2.49%	0.0094	✓	0.29	1.2M	2022-02-15
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.43	96.5837	+0.16%	105.61	+9.52%	0.0301	✓	1.27	179.7M	2022-02-15
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,156.20	42,220.58	+0.15%	44,051.40	+4.50%	0.0031	✗	0.98	51k	2022-02-15
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.62	10.6355	+0.15%	11.48	+8.10%	0.0141	✓	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-15
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.4	15.4209	+0.14%	16.17	+5.00%	0.0015	✗	1.05	483k	2022-02-15
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.145821	0.146014	+0.13%	0.151784	+4.09%	0.0090	✗	1.02	6.7M	2022-02-15
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09436	0.094476	+0.12%	0.09827	+4.14%	0.0144	✗	1.15	51k	2022-02-15
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2046	0.204834	+0.11%	0.2217	+8.36%	0.0127	✓	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-15
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.593972	0.594648	+0.11%	0.642394	+8.15%	0.0232	✓	1.16	3.5M	2022-02-15
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002958	0.000029613	+0.11%	0.00003122	+5.54%	0.0131	✗	1.41	2.3M	2022-02-15
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.29	2.2925	+0.11%	2.48	+8.30%	0.0332	✓	0.97	3.2M	2022-02-15
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	21.2204	+0.10%	23.7	+11.79%	0.0390	✓	1.53	375k	2022-02-15
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4478	0.448216	+0.09%	0.4864	+8.62%	0.0117	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-15
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07495	0.075016	+0.09%	0.08132	+8.50%	0.0459	✓	0.74	84k	2022-02-15
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.9	15.9138	+0.09%	17.35	+9.12%	0.0305	✓	1.20	70.2M	2022-02-15
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.84	103.9219	+0.08%	109.33	+5.29%	0.0014	✗	1.12	2.0M	2022-02-15
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.341	2.3428	+0.08%	2.475	+5.72%	0.0033	✓	1.10	21k	2022-02-15
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.66	5.6642	+0.07%	6.26	+10.60%	0.0503	✓	1.06	590k	2022-02-15
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5803	6.5849	+0.07%	7.5634	+14.94%	0.0710	✓	1.45	130k	2022-02-15
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.58	9.5866	+0.07%	9.87	+3.03%	0.0338	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-15
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0983	0.098367	+0.07%	0.1078	+9.66%	0.0197	✓	1.54	1.1M	2022-02-15
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.94	1.9413	+0.07%	2.16	+11.34%	0.0456	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-15
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,931.01	2,932.94	+0.07%	3,186.24	+8.71%	0.0304	✓	1.12	572.6M	2022-02-15
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0708	0.070845	+0.06%	0.0747	+5.51%	0.0010	✓	1.11	19k	2022-02-15
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.909	0.909556	+0.06%	1.005	+10.56%	0.0360	✓	1.36	2.4M	2022-02-15
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008178	0.000081821	+0.05%	0.00008792	+7.51%	0.0187	✓	1.14	5.1M	2022-02-15
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01033	0.010335	+0.05%	0.01107	+7.16%	0.0206	✓	1.03	483k	2022-02-15
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.04	17.0481	+0.05%	18.44	+8.22%	0.0032	✗	1.75	3.7M	2022-02-15
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.502	0.502231	+0.05%	0.54	+7.57%	0.0054	✓	1.44	4.5M	2022-02-15
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021238	0.021246	+0.04%	0.022313	+5.06%	0.0082	✗	1.22	2.5M	2022-02-15
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.33	3.3312	+0.04%	3.581	+7.54%	0.0320	✓	0.86	502k	2022-02-15
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.759	0.759277	+0.04%	0.826	+8.83%	0.0333	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-15
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05226	0.052273	+0.03%	0.05586	+6.89%	0.0008	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-02-15
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.7004	+0.02%	1.8	+5.88%	0.0022	✗	1.26	1.3M	2022-02-15
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,548.71	42,558.87	+0.02%	44,583.52	+4.78%	0.0002	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-15
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.61	1.6104	+0.02%	1.767	+9.75%	0.0380	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-15
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.44	26.4458	+0.02%	28.67	+8.43%	0.0085	✓	1.55	2.0M	2022-02-15
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.471	+0.02%	5.72	+4.57%	0.0076	✓	0.79	404k	2022-02-15
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.210709	0.210745	+0.02%	0.221086	+4.92%	0.0000	✓	1.03	21.9M	2022-02-15
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8459	0.846012	+0.01%	0.8985	+6.22%	0.0079	✓	1.12	12.4M	2022-02-15
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.74	20.7427	+0.01%	21.78	+5.01%	0.0055	✗	1.16	24.7M	2022-02-15
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7556	1.7558	+0.01%	1.8634	+6.14%	0.0064	✓	1.14	67k	2022-02-15
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1301	1.1302	+0.01%	1.2264	+8.52%	0.0335	✓	1.03	211k	2022-02-15
XVG	Verge	native	0.01132	0.011321	+0.01%	0.01191	+5.21%	0.0147	✗	1.40	1.2M	2022-02-15
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.12	1.12	+0.00%	1.21	+8.04%	0.0130	✓	1.38	694k	2022-02-15
XMR	Monero	Monero	176.38	176.3857	+0.00%	182.65	+3.55%	0.0129	✗	1.02	1.2M	2022-02-15
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	167.33	167.3344	+0.00%	176.23	+5.32%	0.0041	✗	1.20	930k	2022-02-15
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2886	0.288596	-0.00%	0.3139	+8.77%	0.0313	✗	1.13	538k	2022-02-15
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.21	4.2099	-0.00%	4.65	+10.45%	0.0416	✗	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-15
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	161.11	161.0996	-0.01%	172.28	+6.93%	0.0012	✗	1.41	8.1M	2022-02-15
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6	5.9996	-0.01%	6.39	+6.50%	0.0145	✗	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-15
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.793	2.7928	-0.01%	2.887	+3.37%	0.0302	✓	1.36	1.1M	2022-02-15
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2742	0.274167	-0.01%	0.2864	+4.45%	0.0295	✓	1.57	4.2M	2022-02-15
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6376	0.637494	-0.02%	0.6605	+3.59%	0.0365	✓	1.54	718k	2022-02-15
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.84	1.8397	-0.02%	1.98	+7.61%	0.0184	✗	1.18	1.4M	2022-02-15
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	121.35	121.3268	-0.02%	132.67	+9.33%	0.0422	✗	1.01	7.8M	2022-02-15
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	330.66	330.5905	-0.02%	343.69	+3.94%	0.0078	✓	1.00	8.9M	2022-02-15
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	83.68	83.6603	-0.02%	98.6528	+17.89%	0.0964	✗	1.47	315k	2022-02-15
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4399	0.439789	-0.03%	0.4669	+6.14%	0.0236	✓	1.79	26.1M	2022-02-15
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		93.76	93.7351	-0.03%	97.61	+4.11%	0.0017	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-02-15
XEM	NEM	native	0.1094	0.109368	-0.03%	0.1143	+4.48%	0.0052	✓	1.06	39k	2022-02-15
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.285	0.284915	-0.03%	0.296	+3.86%	0.0062	✓	0.95	77k	2022-02-15
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.5401	3.539	-0.03%	3.711	+4.83%	0.0029	✓	1.08	2.5M	2022-02-15
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.05	1.0497	-0.03%	1.1087	+5.59%	0.0021	✗	1.13	115.7M	2022-02-15
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02945	0.029441	-0.03%	0.03092	+4.99%	0.0094	✗	0.85	6.2M	2022-02-15
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.56	2.5592	-0.03%	2.73	+6.64%	0.0167	✗	1.03	406k	2022-02-15
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.91	2.909	-0.03%	3.18	+9.28%	0.0220	✗	1.44	18.3M	2022-02-15
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.75	20.7426	-0.04%	22.33	+7.61%	0.0171	✗	1.21	10.5M	2022-02-15
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.046133	0.046116	-0.04%	0.054953	+19.12%	0.1181	✗	1.22	6.5M	2022-02-15
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9283	0.927902	-0.04%	0.9859	+6.20%	0.0111	✓	1.54	588k	2022-02-15
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.364	0.363828	-0.05%	0.388	+6.59%	0.0017	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-15
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.225	3.2234	-0.05%	3.286	+1.89%	0.0191	✓	0.82	218k	2022-02-15
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	56.82	56.7923	-0.05%	63.31	+11.42%	0.0504	✗	1.25	8.8M	2022-02-15
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.128	7.1244	-0.05%	7.889	+10.68%	0.0882	✗	0.29	38k	2022-02-15
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.607	19.5959	-0.06%	20.577	+4.95%	0.0129	✓	1.32	10.2M	2022-02-15
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.47	6.4663	-0.06%	6.62	+2.32%	0.0156	✓	0.84	463k	2022-02-15
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4039	0.403666	-0.06%	0.4932	+22.11%	0.1384	✗	1.33	8.7M	2022-02-15
ZEN	Horizen	Base	41.27	41.2456	-0.06%	43.12	+4.48%	0.0285	✓	1.56	400k	2022-02-15
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.7	18.6884	-0.06%	20.19	+7.97%	0.0136	✗	1.36	34.9M	2022-02-15
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01219	0.012182	-0.07%	0.0136	+11.57%	0.0376	✗	1.55	1.7M	2022-02-15
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	31.42	31.3988	-0.07%	33.49	+6.59%	0.0155	✗	1.05	5.1M	2022-02-15
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4806	3.4781	-0.07%	3.776	+8.49%	0.0415	✗	0.87	30k	2022-02-15
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	123.15	123.0584	-0.07%	136.04	+10.47%	0.0396	✗	1.30	59k	2022-02-15
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	120.62	120.5278	-0.08%	126.04	+4.49%	0.0122	✓	1.22	7.2M	2022-02-15
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.039	1.0382	-0.08%	1.3318	+28.18%	0.1932	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-15
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5644	0.563936	-0.08%	0.5957	+5.55%	0.0056	✗	1.05	1.0M	2022-02-15
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.81	1.8084	-0.09%	1.92	+6.08%	0.0047	✓	1.38	2.9M	2022-02-15
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80709	0.806336	-0.09%	0.86024	+6.59%	0.0061	✓	1.51	299k	2022-02-15
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.58	4.5755	-0.10%	5.09	+11.14%	0.0491	✗	1.23	2.6M	2022-02-15
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0452	1.0441	-0.10%	1.1327	+8.37%	0.0042	✗	1.65	1.9M	2022-02-15
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	53.94	53.8833	-0.11%	56.85	+5.39%	0.0134	✓	1.43	6.9M	2022-02-15
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.259	1.2577	-0.11%	1.33	+5.64%	0.0018	✓	1.23	3.2M	2022-02-15
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00566	0.005654	-0.11%	0.00613	+8.30%	0.0134	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-15
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9001	0.899141	-0.11%	0.9706	+7.83%	0.0245	✗	1.11	26.7M	2022-02-15
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1748	0.174613	-0.11%	0.1761	+0.74%	0.0250	✓	0.72	388k	2022-02-15
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	124.62	124.4838	-0.11%	131.74	+5.71%	0.0020	✓	1.26	34.8M	2022-02-15
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.17	7.1617	-0.12%	7.99	+11.44%	0.0949	✗	0.31	1.7M	2022-02-15
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.39	5.3836	-0.12%	5.66	+5.01%	0.0007	✓	1.09	682k	2022-02-15
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,089.90	23,061.33	-0.12%	24,489.02	+6.06%	0.0160	✗	0.94	7.6M	2022-02-15
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.85	44.7939	-0.13%	47.17	+5.17%	0.0031	✓	1.17	31.2M	2022-02-15
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1432	2.1405	-0.13%	2.3357	+8.98%	0.0289	✗	1.25	436k	2022-02-15
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.017	6.0092	-0.13%	6.115	+1.63%	0.0230	✓	0.87	72k	2022-02-15
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.49	28.4521	-0.13%	29.09	+2.11%	0.0226	✓	0.96	1.2M	2022-02-15
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.268	0.267613	-0.14%	0.2792	+4.18%	0.0072	✓	1.06	1.6M	2022-02-15
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1626	0.162362	-0.15%	0.1666	+2.46%	0.0227	✓	1.04	470k	2022-02-15
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.631	4.6241	-0.15%	4.772	+3.04%	0.0079	✓	0.84	379k	2022-02-15
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.9473	3.9407	-0.17%	4.1483	+5.09%	0.0095	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-02-15
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.07	4.0631	-0.17%	4.43	+8.85%	0.0216	✗	1.39	8.0M	2022-02-15
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.753	1.75	-0.17%	1.971	+12.44%	0.0572	✗	1.32	1.1M	2022-02-15
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.16	27.1125	-0.17%	29.01	+6.81%	0.0153	✗	1.12	71.8M	2022-02-15
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.402	7.3889	-0.18%	7.558	+2.11%	0.0240	✓	1.00	407k	2022-02-15
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.68	2.6752	-0.18%	2.77	+3.36%	0.0254	✓	1.29	390k	2022-02-15
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6155	4.607	-0.18%	4.9639	+7.55%	0.0174	✗	1.22	349k	2022-02-15
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01366	0.013632	-0.20%	0.01398	+2.34%	0.0108	✓	0.77	13k	2022-02-15
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.9552	3.9468	-0.21%	4.0137	+1.48%	0.0286	✓	0.97	2.3M	2022-02-15
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8438	2.8375	-0.22%	3.335	+17.27%	0.1128	✗	1.04	2.8M	2022-02-15
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.94	0.937887	-0.22%	1.11	+18.09%	0.0767	✗	1.96	1.0M	2022-02-15
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.84	81.64	-0.24%	93.07	+13.72%	0.0643	✗	1.43	98.9M	2022-02-15
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.42	11.39	-0.26%	11.15	-2.36%	0.0547	✓	0.71	706k	2022-02-15
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8399	5.8234	-0.28%	5.9474	+1.84%	0.0054	✗	0.33	430k	2022-02-15
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000213	0.000002123	-0.31%	0.00000222	+4.23%	0.0022	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-15
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9224	1.9163	-0.32%	2.1748	+13.13%	0.0990	✗	0.59	2.8M	2022-02-15
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.92	17.859	-0.34%	17.36	-3.12%	0.0617	✓	0.72	1.1M	2022-02-15
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.76	6.7344	-0.38%	6.91	+2.22%	0.0162	✓	0.90	426k	2022-02-15
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.09	3.0783	-0.38%	3.23	+4.53%	0.0014	✓	1.00	914k	2022-02-15
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016621	0.016558	-0.38%	0.017306	+4.12%	0.0101	✓	1.16	535k	2022-02-15
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.936419	-0.38%	0.99	+5.32%	0.0089	✗	1.00	271k	2022-02-15
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	2.2213	-0.39%	2.37	+6.28%	0.0282	✓	1.99	923k	2022-02-15
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.84	2.8284	-0.41%	2.85	+0.35%	0.0391	✓	1.00	693k	2022-02-15
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0688	0.068516	-0.41%	0.0729	+5.96%	0.0209	✓	1.78	64.3M	2022-02-15
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0338	0.033658	-0.42%	0.0343	+1.48%	0.0508	✓	1.49	490k	2022-02-15
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.114	0.113508	-0.43%	0.121	+6.14%	0.0172	✗	1.00	71k	2022-02-15
STX	Stacks	native	1.47	1.4636	-0.43%	1.58	+7.48%	0.0298	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-15
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1573	0.156602	-0.44%	0.1628	+3.50%	0.0245	✓	1.36	3.2M	2022-02-15
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.545	0.542558	-0.45%	0.6393	+17.30%	0.0747	✗	1.91	1.8M	2022-02-15
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.35	4.3295	-0.47%	4.65	+6.90%	0.0564	✗	0.32	2.0M	2022-02-15
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.2512	1.2451	-0.49%	1.3864	+10.81%	0.0341	✗	1.57	123k	2022-02-15
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0868	0.086348	-0.52%	0.0929	+7.03%	0.0088	✗	1.38	674k	2022-02-15
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.355	2.3357	-0.82%	2.46	+4.46%	0.0052	✓	1.00	84k	2022-02-15
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.028657	0.028387	-0.94%	0.029039	+1.33%	0.0385	✓	1.31	102k	2022-02-15
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04361	0.043157	-1.04%	0.04668	+7.04%	0.0447	✗	0.72	2.6M	2022-02-15
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.226	1.2095	-1.35%	1.3014	+6.15%	0.0323	✗	0.88	1.6M	2022-02-15
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.666	4.5941	-1.54%	5.179	+10.99%	0.0768	✗	0.92	709k	2022-02-15

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.