8=======>

2022-02-14 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2423
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.7%
in alpha space · 80.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2261.0485-14.48%0.7108-42.02%0.3589✓0.881.6M2022-03-16
PROPropyEthereum2.231.9218-13.82%1.46-34.53%0.2073✓1.99923k2022-03-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.6664.0857-12.44%2.572-44.88%0.4315✓0.92709k2022-03-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.5450.48267-11.44%0.3835-29.63%0.1650✓1.911.8M2022-03-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.043610.039017-10.53%0.03622-16.95%0.0498✓0.722.6M2022-03-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,089.9020,844.34-9.73%19,215.35-16.78%0.0493✓0.947.6M2022-03-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.43990.398765-9.35%0.3368-23.44%0.1083✓1.7926.1M2022-03-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06880.062523-9.12%0.0619-10.03%0.0503✓1.7864.3M2022-03-16
SUSHISushiEthereum4.073.7414-8.07%3.12-23.34%0.1345✓1.398.0M2022-03-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03380.031087-8.03%0.02474-26.80%0.1777✓1.49490k2022-03-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0286570.026424-7.79%0.017177-40.06%0.3862✓1.31102k2022-03-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56440.523966-7.16%0.5055-10.44%0.0001✓1.051.0M2022-03-16
API3Api3Ethereum4.354.0483-6.94%4.743+9.03%0.1693✗0.322.0M2022-03-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.1625.336-6.72%28.97+6.66%0.1721✗1.1271.8M2022-03-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.333.1077-6.68%3.975+19.37%0.2755✗0.86502k2022-03-16
STXStacksnative1.471.3746-6.49%1.28-12.93%0.0373✓1.001.0M2022-03-16
DIADIAEthereum0.940.88687-5.65%0.92-2.13%0.0706✗1.00271k2022-03-16
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3552.2236-5.58%1.611-31.59%0.2883✓1.0084k2022-03-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48063.2919-5.42%2.1072-39.46%0.4165✓0.8730k2022-03-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.63760.603275-5.38%0.4194-34.22%0.3113✓1.54718k2022-03-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0212380.020099-5.37%0.01695-20.19%0.1288✓1.222.5M2022-03-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.940.889758-5.34%0.62-34.04%0.2945✓1.961.0M2022-03-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08680.082201-5.30%0.0703-19.01%0.1096✓1.38674k2022-03-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.807090.764462-5.28%0.82098+1.72%0.1228✗1.51299k2022-03-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83995.5351-5.22%6.0499+3.60%0.1003✗0.33430k2022-03-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0616-5.21%1.186+5.89%0.1575✗1.38694k2022-03-16
MANADecentralandEthereum2.84382.6956-5.21%2.4922-12.36%0.0431✓1.042.8M2022-03-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.811.7183-5.07%1.322-26.96%0.2153✓1.382.9M2022-03-16
MOVRMoonriverBase83.6879.5904-4.89%51.8123-38.08%0.3795✓1.47315k2022-03-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2253.0712-4.77%3.572+10.76%0.1789✗0.82218k2022-03-16
CELLCellframeEthereum1.25121.1917-4.75%1.413+12.93%0.2237✗1.57123k2022-03-16
COMPCompoundEthereum123.15117.3214-4.73%110-10.68%0.0203✓1.3059k2022-03-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1140.108742-4.61%0.105-7.89%0.0011✓1.0071k2022-03-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.4210.9027-4.53%11.83+3.59%0.1059✗0.71706k2022-03-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.176.8477-4.49%5.8-19.11%0.1555✓0.311.7M2022-03-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.92241.8366-4.46%3.0607+59.21%0.5307✗0.592.8M2022-03-16
UMAUMAEthereum65.7363-4.40%7.808+30.13%0.3436✗1.041.9M2022-03-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.17190.164451-4.33%0.1473-14.31%0.0549✓1.6334k2022-03-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.941.8563-4.31%1.81-6.70%0.0192✓1.312.2M2022-03-16
STORJStorjEthereum1.13011.0818-4.27%1.053-6.82%0.0080✓1.03211k2022-03-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013660.013077-4.27%0.01185-13.25%0.0724✓0.7713k2022-03-16
ORCAOrcaSolana3.092.9596-4.22%2.1-32.04%0.3092✓1.00914k2022-03-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.220.3184-4.16%19.73-6.93%0.0226✓1.53375k2022-03-16
RADRadworksEthereum5.395.1736-4.02%4.47-17.07%0.1092✓1.09682k2022-03-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.7419.9097-4.00%16.49-20.49%0.1490✓1.1624.7M2022-03-16
AVTAventusEthereum2.842.7274-3.97%2.28-19.72%0.1452✓1.00693k2022-03-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15730.151252-3.84%0.128-18.63%0.1209✓1.363.2M2022-03-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.7519.9522-3.84%17.42-16.05%0.0945✓1.2110.5M2022-03-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0461330.044368-3.83%0.040705-11.77%0.0446✓1.226.5M2022-03-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.2615-3.81%6.66+21.76%0.2625✗0.79404k2022-03-16
BTTCBTTC0.000002130.00000205-3.77%0.00000185-13.15%0.0685✓1.0014.3M2022-03-16
XTZTezosTezos3.94733.7986-3.77%3.1013-21.43%0.1586✓1.302.4M2022-03-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0175.7929-3.72%5.005-16.82%0.1168✓0.8772k2022-03-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0166210.016006-3.70%0.011683-29.71%0.2753✓1.16535k2022-03-16
XYMSymbolnative0.17480.168428-3.65%0.1357-22.37%0.1918✓0.72388k2022-03-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7932.6923-3.61%6.401+129.18%0.9121✗1.361.1M2022-03-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.8254.7717-3.60%50.45-11.21%0.0399✓1.258.8M2022-03-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95523.8133-3.59%4.0815+3.19%0.1010✗0.972.3M2022-03-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2680.258669-3.48%0.2435-9.14%0.0244✓1.061.6M2022-03-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4027.1544-3.34%4.733-36.06%0.3793✓1.00407k2022-03-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012190.011787-3.30%0.01117-8.37%0.0011✓1.551.7M2022-03-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.9217.3299-3.29%13.13-26.73%0.2532✓0.721.1M2022-03-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7590.734392-3.24%0.635-16.34%0.1084✓1.091.6M2022-03-16
AAVEAaveEthereum161.11155.9294-3.22%141.71-12.04%0.0477✓1.418.1M2022-03-16
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1286.8992-3.21%5.736-19.53%0.1747✓0.2938k2022-03-16
XVGVergenative0.011320.010957-3.21%0.009-20.49%0.1492✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8479.2172-3.20%74.12-9.43%0.0180✓1.4398.9M2022-03-16
DODODODOEthereum0.5020.486388-3.11%0.399-20.52%0.1493✓1.444.5M2022-03-16
ZENHorizenBase41.2739.9897-3.10%38.67-6.30%0.0195✓1.56400k2022-03-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16260.157587-3.08%0.1519-6.58%0.0016✓1.04470k2022-03-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.40390.391469-3.08%0.455+12.65%0.1954✗1.338.7M2022-03-16
UOSUltraEthereum1.0391.0072-3.06%1.174+12.99%0.1938✗1.202.3M2022-03-16
KCSKuCoinnative19.60719.0073-3.06%18.299-6.67%0.0069✓1.3210.2M2022-03-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000029580.000028681-3.04%0.00002273-23.16%0.1846✓1.412.3M2022-03-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.28860.27984-3.04%0.2713-5.99%0.0073✓1.13538k2022-03-16
KSMKusamaHydration167.33162.2997-3.01%130.7-21.89%0.1759✓1.20930k2022-03-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.584.4429-2.99%4.216-7.95%0.0106✓1.232.6M2022-03-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9090.881879-2.98%0.819-9.90%0.0276✓1.362.4M2022-03-16
SCSiacoinnative0.010330.010025-2.96%0.00895-13.36%0.0784✓1.03483k2022-03-16
HIVEHivenative1.04521.0144-2.95%0.8746-16.32%0.0921✓1.651.9M2022-03-16
XEMNEMnative0.10940.106188-2.94%0.099-9.51%0.0342✓1.0639k2022-03-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.09830.095423-2.93%0.0882-10.27%0.0265✓1.541.1M2022-03-16
BANDBandEthereum4.214.0895-2.86%3.642-13.49%0.0738✓1.241.9M2022-03-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.5696-2.82%6.49-3.99%0.0183✓0.90426k2022-03-16
IMXImmutableEthereum2.292.2255-2.82%1.646-28.12%0.2686✓0.973.2M2022-03-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.90010.874961-2.79%0.7371-18.11%0.1337✓1.1126.7M2022-03-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.912.8287-2.79%2.091-28.14%0.2534✓1.4418.3M2022-03-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074950.072877-2.77%0.07308-2.49%0.0281✗0.7484k2022-03-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.84590.822588-2.76%0.7237-14.45%0.0901✓1.1212.4M2022-03-16
ZECZcashZcash120.62117.3297-2.73%154.1+27.76%0.3140✗1.227.2M2022-03-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.562.4903-2.72%2.32-9.38%0.0360✓1.03406k2022-03-16
MINAMina Protocolnative2.682.6077-2.70%1.86-30.60%0.2941✓1.29390k2022-03-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7531.7057-2.70%1.428-18.54%0.1328✓1.321.1M2022-03-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.61554.4924-2.67%4.1763-9.52%0.0314✓1.22349k2022-03-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash330.66321.8691-2.66%299.84-9.32%0.0370✓1.008.9M2022-03-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.75561.7095-2.63%2.0762+18.26%0.2329✗1.1467k2022-03-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54810.533804-2.61%0.7347+34.04%0.3656✗1.362.4M2022-03-16
LUNATerraTerra 253.9452.5341-2.61%89.17+65.31%0.5778✗1.436.9M2022-03-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3640.354642-2.57%0.447+22.80%0.2770✗1.342.3M2022-03-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV93.7691.3556-2.56%78.23-16.56%0.1244✓0.901.2M2022-03-16
CBKCobakEthereum2.3412.2814-2.54%2.135-8.80%0.0288✓1.1021k2022-03-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.611.5691-2.54%1.529-5.03%0.0140✓1.171.9M2022-03-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.71.6568-2.54%1.51-11.18%0.0499✓1.261.3M2022-03-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.665.5174-2.52%4.14-26.86%0.2511✓1.06590k2022-03-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.44780.436788-2.46%0.3185-28.87%0.2649✓1.502.0M2022-03-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.27420.267473-2.45%0.2051-25.20%0.2123✓1.574.2M2022-03-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5939720.57943-2.45%0.511443-13.89%0.0856✓1.163.5M2022-03-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005660.005523-2.43%0.00348-38.52%0.3933✓2.0218.8M2022-03-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.4425.8036-2.41%24.32-8.02%0.0067✓1.552.0M2022-03-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.841.7964-2.37%1.08-41.30%0.4688✓1.181.4M2022-03-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2591.2294-2.35%1.181-6.20%0.0018✓1.233.2M2022-03-16
XECeCashnative0.000081780.000079884-2.32%0.00008028-1.83%0.0436✗1.145.1M2022-03-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.92830.906787-2.32%0.7151-22.97%0.1853✓1.54588k2022-03-16
XMRMoneroMonero176.38172.35-2.28%189.66+7.53%0.1305✗1.021.2M2022-03-16
XVSVenusEthereum9.589.3657-2.24%8.55-10.75%0.0453✓1.352.9M2022-03-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.20460.200027-2.24%0.2037-0.44%0.0665✗1.423.7M2022-03-16
QNTQuantEthereum121.35118.6442-2.23%117.28-3.35%0.0228✗1.017.8M2022-03-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.718.2836-2.23%19.04+1.82%0.0868✗1.3634.9M2022-03-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.62121.8629-2.21%111.35-10.65%0.0476✓1.2634.8M2022-03-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6314.5293-2.20%4.679+1.04%0.0611✗0.84379k2022-03-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.4230.7704-2.07%27.36-12.92%0.0818✓1.055.1M2022-03-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.0416.7019-1.98%14.44-15.26%0.0862✓1.753.7M2022-03-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07080.069426-1.94%0.0732+3.39%0.0907✗1.1119k2022-03-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.54013.4733-1.89%4.461+26.01%0.2869✗1.082.5M2022-03-16
SOLSolanaSolana96.4394.6304-1.87%87.82-8.93%0.0316✓1.27179.7M2022-03-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.415.1282-1.76%13.23-14.09%0.0985✓1.05483k2022-03-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1458210.143276-1.75%0.116967-19.79%0.1681✓1.026.7M2022-03-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.227.0994-1.67%6.02-16.62%0.1550✓0.291.2M2022-03-16
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6210.4458-1.64%9.09-14.41%0.0938✓1.3312.5M2022-03-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4928.0274-1.62%28.13-1.26%0.0362✗0.961.2M2022-03-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.280497-1.58%0.228-20.00%0.1749✓0.9577k2022-03-16
ADACardanoCardano1.051.0335-1.57%0.8393-20.07%0.1699✓1.13115.7M2022-03-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.476.3683-1.57%8.59+32.77%0.3277✗0.84463k2022-03-16
FTTFTXEthereum44.8544.149-1.56%42.72-4.75%0.0069✓1.1731.2M2022-03-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.094360.092927-1.52%0.09466+0.32%0.0576✗1.1551k2022-03-16
QTUMQtumQtum6.58036.4821-1.49%6.0075-8.71%0.0270✓1.45130k2022-03-16
XLMStellarStellar0.2107090.207587-1.48%0.18936-10.13%0.0571✓1.0321.9M2022-03-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.029450.029051-1.36%0.02522-14.36%0.1126✓0.856.2M2022-03-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08190.080859-1.27%0.0705-13.92%0.0955✓1.23195k2022-03-16
GTGateEthereum6.65576.5749-1.21%6.5078-2.22%0.0197✗0.883.9M2022-03-16
NANOnanopayBase2.14322.1201-1.08%2.3037+7.49%0.1255✗1.25436k2022-03-16
DASHDashDash103.84102.8718-0.93%98.4-5.24%0.0065✓1.122.0M2022-03-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.029760.029497-0.88%0.02106-29.23%0.2979✓1.1510.0M2022-03-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.052260.051806-0.87%0.04945-5.38%0.0011✓1.401.2M2022-03-16
TRXTRONTron0.0644840.06395-0.83%0.061066-5.30%0.0162✓0.88327k2022-03-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04370.043392-0.70%0.04049-7.35%0.0290✓1.1930k2022-03-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,931.012,911.21-0.68%2,774.89-5.33%0.0099✓1.12572.6M2022-03-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.915.8178-0.52%14.68-7.67%0.0340✓1.2070.2M2022-03-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,156.2042,083.84-0.17%41,103.10-2.50%0.0096✗0.9851k2022-03-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,548.7142,809.70+0.61%41,127.97-3.34%0.0061✗1.00642.7M2022-03-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.