8=======>

2022-02-09 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2423
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.60%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
82.4%
in alpha space · 90.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.3511.1316-16.24%0.7156-47.03%0.3213✓1.001.9M2022-03-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.9085.0063-15.26%2.42-59.04%0.5900✓1.001.0M2022-03-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.82020.702867-14.31%0.3924-52.16%0.3315✓1.841.8M2022-03-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046990.041599-11.47%0.04078-13.22%0.1171✓1.004.9M2022-03-11
PROPropyEthereum2.462.1845-11.20%1.51-38.62%0.2323✓1.001.4M2022-03-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.037470.03348-10.65%0.01489-60.26%0.6350✓1.28114k2022-03-11
SUSHISushiEthereum4.764.2618-10.47%2.89-39.29%0.2014✓1.378.0M2022-03-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03370.030772-8.69%0.02301-31.72%0.0852✓1.50490k2022-03-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,293.9824,012.64-8.68%18,538.11-29.50%0.1294✓0.9411.3M2022-03-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.56650.519835-8.24%0.3152-44.36%0.2545✓1.7940.2M2022-03-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.282.0993-7.93%1.157-49.25%0.4072✓1.383.1M2022-03-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7963.5232-7.19%2.869-24.42%0.0858✓0.87536k2022-03-11
FIDABonfidaSolana3.2693.0653-6.23%1.662-49.16%0.4752✓1.0067k2022-03-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0259-5.88%0.59-45.87%0.2878✓1.941.1M2022-03-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0860.080964-5.86%0.0576-33.02%0.1111✓1.6727.8M2022-03-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.058190.054893-5.67%0.040059-31.16%0.1515✓1.198.8M2022-03-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.043.8121-5.64%4.776+18.22%0.2702✗0.331.5M2022-03-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.76090.718502-5.57%0.4152-45.43%0.3386✓1.53938k2022-03-11
MANADecentralandEthereum3.34153.1566-5.54%2.3033-31.07%0.1825✓0.972.8M2022-03-11
STXStacksnative1.721.6251-5.52%1.36-20.93%0.0412✓1.001.2M2022-03-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.431.3592-4.95%0.959-32.94%0.1644✓1.35523k2022-03-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.122.0019-4.75%16.01-30.69%0.1605✓1.1526.1M2022-03-11
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0193-4.73%0.93-13.08%0.0452✓1.00286k2022-03-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.941170.896651-4.73%0.65584-30.32%0.1104✓1.48311k2022-03-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08670.0827-4.61%0.0661-23.76%0.0352✓1.38548k2022-03-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.9429.5203-4.59%27.47-11.22%0.0800✗1.1196.8M2022-03-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60170.574516-4.52%0.5009-16.75%0.0093✓1.071.2M2022-03-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.80526.4985-4.51%5.8362-14.24%0.0672✓0.29407k2022-03-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015090.014429-4.38%0.01151-23.72%0.0220✓1.491.7M2022-03-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.845.588-4.31%4.165-28.68%0.1268✓1.222.6M2022-03-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.318.9116-4.28%5.57-40.17%0.4223✓0.351.6M2022-03-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0242330.023215-4.20%0.01714-29.27%0.1372✓1.212.5M2022-03-11
RADRadworksEthereum6.085.8313-4.09%4.44-26.97%0.1308✓1.04773k2022-03-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38521.3291-4.05%1.4867+7.33%0.3238✗1.55107k2022-03-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2637.9296-4.03%4.594-44.40%0.4074✓1.01460k2022-03-11
COMPCompoundEthereum144.23138.5027-3.97%102.07-29.23%0.1310✓1.2765k2022-03-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.35191.2992-3.89%0.96652-28.51%0.1550✓1.03279k2022-03-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.31850.306196-3.86%0.2585-18.84%0.0173✓1.11518k2022-03-11
GITCOINGITCOIN9.3298.9726-3.82%5.556-40.44%0.4345✓0.3338k2022-03-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.29071.2421-3.77%1.1514-10.79%0.0859✗1.182.3M2022-03-11
XTZTezosTezos4.44294.2824-3.61%2.9889-32.73%0.1800✓1.312.3M2022-03-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.824.871-3.60%17.81-30.97%0.1195✓1.57398k2022-03-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9110.538-3.41%10.59-2.93%0.1015✗0.71660k2022-03-11
UMAUMAEthereum6.666.4335-3.40%7.075+6.23%0.2289✗0.981.9M2022-03-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana65.7972-3.38%5.49-8.50%0.0527✗0.78377k2022-03-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3473.2339-3.38%2.741-18.11%0.0546✓0.81206k2022-03-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.282.2037-3.34%1.64-28.07%0.1174✓1.302.2M2022-03-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.123723-3.34%0.111-13.28%0.0284✓1.0072k2022-03-11
MOVRMoonriverBase107.0699103.5224-3.31%48.7591-54.46%0.5585✓1.42320k2022-03-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032980.00003189-3.31%0.00002206-33.11%0.1768✓1.401.4M2022-03-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.96791.9047-3.21%2.5749+30.85%0.3859✗0.622.8M2022-03-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.1887.285-3.21%71.25-20.99%0.0185✓1.3587.1M2022-03-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.86943.7457-3.20%2.0529-46.95%0.4808✓0.8828k2022-03-11
SCSiacoinnative0.012050.011669-3.17%0.00879-27.05%0.1454✓1.01572k2022-03-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana18.1617.5886-3.15%13.84-23.79%0.1434✓0.70919k2022-03-11
QNTQuantEthereum150.18145.5116-3.11%113.22-24.61%0.1136✓1.007.6M2022-03-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29630.287102-3.10%0.2186-26.22%0.1242✓1.081.7M2022-03-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0832.9876-3.09%5.761+86.86%0.8416✗1.351.1M2022-03-11
BTTCBTTC0.000002320.000002249-3.05%0.00000178-23.28%0.0970✓1.0015.1M2022-03-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.8976.6889-3.02%4.778-30.72%0.2128✓0.9081k2022-03-11
ZENHorizenBase47.8346.4164-2.96%37.86-20.84%0.0069✓1.54461k2022-03-11
HIVEHivenative1.17281.1381-2.96%0.8661-26.15%0.0736✓1.461.9M2022-03-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.3223.6041-2.94%17.37-28.58%0.1436✓1.1910.4M2022-03-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013240.012854-2.91%0.01186-10.42%0.0282✓0.7912k2022-03-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum67.6265.6698-2.88%45.9-32.12%0.1915✓1.228.4M2022-03-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum33.9233.0022-2.71%22.89-32.52%0.1596✓1.512.0M2022-03-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7067280.687643-2.70%0.48841-30.89%0.1848✓1.153.5M2022-03-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.8853.7801-2.70%3.4608-10.92%0.0437✗0.962.2M2022-03-11
CBKCobakEthereum2.6092.5402-2.64%2.114-18.97%0.0393✓1.0522k2022-03-11
XVGVergenative0.012530.012201-2.63%0.00939-25.06%0.0755✓1.361.3M2022-03-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.162.1039-2.60%1.307-39.49%0.3002✓1.281.2M2022-03-11
KCSKuCoinnative20.70520.1673-2.60%18.17-12.24%0.0793✗1.3410.4M2022-03-11
XEMNEMnative0.12120.118118-2.54%0.0935-22.85%0.0904✓1.0535k2022-03-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.163542-2.54%0.1489-11.26%0.0492✗1.04412k2022-03-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62330.607717-2.50%0.6706+7.59%0.2780✗1.312.6M2022-03-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0861.059-2.49%0.807-25.69%0.0842✓1.372.3M2022-03-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.12370.120633-2.48%0.0787-36.38%0.2144✓1.551.5M2022-03-11
AAVEAaveEthereum188.2183.5704-2.46%116.61-38.04%0.2628✓1.399.5M2022-03-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8270.807221-2.39%0.636-23.10%0.0890✓1.091.6M2022-03-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.53.4173-2.36%1.97-43.71%0.3606✓1.3920.5M2022-03-11
XYMSymbolnative0.18680.182404-2.35%0.1335-28.53%0.2146✓0.71423k2022-03-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48770.47663-2.27%0.3189-34.61%0.2217✓1.329.2M2022-03-11
XECeCashnative0.000097210.000095007-2.27%0.0000731-24.80%0.1057✓1.145.6M2022-03-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.36335.2437-2.23%4.0628-24.25%0.0877✓1.22442k2022-03-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.54060.528734-2.19%0.2924-45.91%0.3895✓1.482.2M2022-03-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.230580.225578-2.17%0.15536-32.62%0.1554✓1.5936k2022-03-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin140.21137.1831-2.16%104.55-25.43%0.0932✓1.3032.4M2022-03-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8321.7925-2.16%1.464-20.09%0.0452✓1.151.6M2022-03-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.066.9077-2.16%3.82-45.89%0.4415✓1.10733k2022-03-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007440.007281-2.13%0.00353-52.55%0.4501✓2.0019.8M2022-03-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.02160.999845-2.13%0.7111-30.39%0.1979✓1.0413.5M2022-03-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03711.0151-2.12%0.7014-32.37%0.2194✓1.1029.2M2022-03-11
KSMKusamaHydration192.22188.1444-2.12%124.19-35.39%0.2504✓1.201.0M2022-03-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4060.39746-2.10%0.262-35.47%0.2310✓1.361.8M2022-03-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.24120.236139-2.10%0.1931-19.94%0.0105✓1.393.7M2022-03-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash346.21338.9632-2.09%287.73-16.89%0.0244✓1.027.9M2022-03-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.99821.9569-2.07%2.1155+5.87%0.2287✗1.1079k2022-03-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.8909-2.02%1.321-31.55%0.1873✓1.251.5M2022-03-11
BANDBandEthereum4.174.0859-2.02%3.44-17.51%0.0011✓1.261.9M2022-03-11
LUNATerraTerra 257.5656.4045-2.01%88.28+53.37%0.6404✗1.418.8M2022-03-11
ZECZcashZcash126.05123.5292-2.00%153.51+21.79%0.3898✗1.266.6M2022-03-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.8433.1638-2.00%26.5-21.69%0.0790✓1.064.0M2022-03-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.431.4015-1.99%1.113-22.17%0.0611✓1.243.2M2022-03-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.187.038-1.98%6.28-12.53%0.0066✓0.88416k2022-03-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.085730.084042-1.97%0.07118-16.97%0.0625✓0.7689k2022-03-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.832.7765-1.89%2.16-23.67%0.1119✓1.02489k2022-03-11
MINAMina Protocolnative2.942.8851-1.87%1.75-40.48%0.3252✓1.28401k2022-03-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.599.6126-1.86%78.04-23.11%0.1204✓0.901.4M2022-03-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.212.1698-1.82%1.06-52.04%0.5551✓1.181.7M2022-03-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.32180.316292-1.71%0.1962-39.03%0.2654✓1.554.0M2022-03-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.9721.6223-1.58%17.7-19.44%0.0154✓1.3537.4M2022-03-11
DODODODOEthereum0.5910.581825-1.55%0.385-34.86%0.2164✓1.444.6M2022-03-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.14290.140695-1.54%0.1144-19.94%0.0185✓1.383.2M2022-03-11
XVSVenusEthereum10.069.905-1.54%8.54-15.11%0.0290✗1.292.5M2022-03-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.89683.8368-1.54%3.707-4.87%0.1165✗1.102.5M2022-03-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.487.368-1.50%5.85-21.79%0.1865✓0.321.0M2022-03-11
LRCLoopringEthereum1.09761.0819-1.43%0.6978-36.42%0.2273✓1.54672k2022-03-11
SOLSolanaSolana114.04112.4309-1.41%80.7-29.24%0.1623✓1.24179.7M2022-03-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.5116.2776-1.41%12.74-22.83%0.1016✓1.05590k2022-03-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07940.078286-1.40%0.06831-13.97%0.0124✓1.0921k2022-03-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8014.7367-1.34%4.326-9.89%0.0234✗0.83346k2022-03-11
IMXImmutableEthereum2.812.7734-1.30%1.705-39.32%0.3599✓0.922.6M2022-03-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.2720.9996-1.27%13.72-35.50%0.1896✓1.723.8M2022-03-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4828.126-1.24%27.91-2.00%0.1246✗0.97566k2022-03-11
FTTFTXEthereum47.9747.3816-1.23%40.81-14.93%0.0106✓1.1732.3M2022-03-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0170070.016802-1.21%0.011862-30.25%0.1872✓1.181.6M2022-03-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.107850.106562-1.19%0.09115-15.48%0.0111✓1.0649k2022-03-11
XMRMoneroMonero185.83183.7544-1.12%170.68-8.15%0.0687✗1.041.5M2022-03-11
ADACardanoCardano1.19471.1821-1.05%0.7884-34.01%0.2531✓1.11109.8M2022-03-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.147.0656-1.04%7.84+9.80%0.2147✗0.81463k2022-03-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2388540.236617-0.94%0.183591-23.14%0.1137✓1.0224.9M2022-03-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1590480.157669-0.87%0.11539-27.45%0.1716✓1.037.1M2022-03-11
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3312.2237-0.86%8.51-30.98%0.1815✓1.3212.5M2022-03-11
QTUMQtumQtum7.20427.1507-0.74%5.8755-18.44%0.0015✓1.45156k2022-03-11
GTGateEthereum7.04236.9968-0.65%6.328-10.14%0.0216✗0.894.1M2022-03-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09430.09373-0.60%0.0696-26.19%0.1290✓1.23219k2022-03-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.03120.031013-0.60%0.02468-20.90%0.1065✓0.896.6M2022-03-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.286373-0.56%0.226-21.53%0.1060✓0.9570k2022-03-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0410.040787-0.52%0.0143-65.12%0.8949✓1.129.1M2022-03-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059410.059149-0.44%0.0472-20.55%0.0298✓1.431.2M2022-03-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,246.223,233.41-0.39%2,556.42-21.25%0.0830✓1.11544.5M2022-03-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.718.6443-0.30%13.05-30.21%0.1938✓1.1975.4M2022-03-11
DASHDashDash114.95114.7612-0.16%94.95-17.40%0.0343✓1.132.2M2022-03-11
TRXTRONTron0.0699430.069912-0.04%0.060203-13.93%0.0266✓0.90362k2022-03-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04680.046811+0.02%0.03906-16.54%0.0282✗1.1230k2022-03-11
NANOnanopayBase2.42.4162+0.67%1.6874-29.69%0.1966✗1.19845k2022-03-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,492.6044,945.15+1.02%38,852.80-12.68%0.0133✗0.9741k2022-03-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,416.3544,966.56+1.24%38,732.04-12.80%0.0123✓1.00642.7M2022-03-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.