8=======>

2022-02-08 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0186
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
25.7%
in alpha space · 18.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+0.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.85560.82861-3.15%0.8202-4.14%0.0240✓1.851.8M2022-02-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum7.57987.3767-2.68%6.8052-10.22%0.0829✓0.31389k2022-02-09
PROPropyEthereum2.232.1988-1.40%2.46+10.31%0.1048✗1.001.7M2022-02-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.35041.3319-1.37%1.351+0.04%0.0068✓1.002.1M2022-02-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.051.0367-1.27%1.09+3.81%0.0357✗1.931.0M2022-02-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.085446-1.22%0.0867+0.23%0.0042✓1.38548k2022-02-09
SUSHISushiEthereum4.654.5983-1.11%4.76+2.37%0.0244✗1.368.3M2022-02-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.8315.7703-1.04%5.908+1.32%0.0161✗1.001.0M2022-02-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,530.1325,267.46-1.03%26,293.98+2.99%0.0328✗0.9411.8M2022-02-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046280.045841-0.95%0.04699+1.53%0.0173✗1.005.0M2022-02-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.262.2388-0.94%2.28+0.88%0.0079✓1.373.3M2022-02-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030970.000030699-0.87%0.00003298+6.49%0.0613✗1.391.4M2022-02-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6413.6093-0.87%3.796+4.26%0.0439✗0.87536k2022-02-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015360.015227-0.87%0.01509-1.76%0.0202✓1.491.7M2022-02-09
CELLCellframeEthereum1.3191.3078-0.85%1.3852+5.02%0.0460✗1.54106k2022-02-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03440.034119-0.82%0.0337-2.03%0.0236✓1.50490k2022-02-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.079339-0.70%0.086+7.63%0.0682✗1.6627.8M2022-02-09
API3Api3Ethereum3.853.8242-0.67%4.04+4.94%0.0525✗0.321.5M2022-02-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54420.540586-0.66%0.5665+4.10%0.0334✗1.8040.2M2022-02-09
MANADecentralandEthereum3.46883.4461-0.65%3.3415-3.67%0.0381✓0.982.8M2022-02-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.75150.746885-0.61%0.7609+1.25%0.0071✗1.53969k2022-02-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.2317.1303-0.58%18.16+5.40%0.0532✗0.70919k2022-02-09
MOVRMoonriverBase101.7616101.1779-0.57%107.0699+5.22%0.0460✗1.42320k2022-02-09
RADRadworksEthereum6.136.0951-0.57%6.08-0.82%0.0103✓1.04867k2022-02-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.191.1834-0.56%1.43+20.17%0.1794✗1.33523k2022-02-09
COMPCompoundEthereum147.97147.17-0.54%144.23-2.53%0.0297✓1.2865k2022-02-09
STXStacksnative1.691.681-0.53%1.72+1.78%0.0155✗1.001.2M2022-02-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.658.6058-0.51%9.31+7.63%0.0761✗0.341.6M2022-02-09
XTZTezosTezos4.39274.3704-0.51%4.4429+1.14%0.0066✗1.312.3M2022-02-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.9925.861-0.50%25.8-0.73%0.0141✓1.57405k2022-02-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.67113.653-0.49%3.8694+5.40%0.0510✗0.8827k2022-02-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.0222.9146-0.46%23.1+0.35%0.0005✓1.1526.9M2022-02-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.049120.048899-0.45%0.05819+18.46%0.1652✗1.178.8M2022-02-09
HIVEHivenative1.17891.1736-0.45%1.1728-0.52%0.0116✓1.461.9M2022-02-09
DIADIAEthereum1.061.0554-0.44%1.07+0.94%0.0063✗1.00287k2022-02-09
XEMNEMnative0.11630.115794-0.43%0.1212+4.21%0.0378✗1.0435k2022-02-09
FIDABonfidaSolana2.1662.1566-0.43%3.269+50.92%0.4085✗1.0066k2022-02-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum66.7966.5015-0.43%67.62+1.24%0.0076✗1.228.1M2022-02-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223050.022209-0.43%0.024233+8.64%0.0782✗1.212.5M2022-02-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.312559-0.43%0.3185+1.47%0.0105✗1.11538k2022-02-09
UOSUltraEthereum1.26931.2645-0.38%1.2907+1.68%0.0117✗1.182.3M2022-02-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.4230.306-0.37%30.94+1.71%0.0124✗1.1198.1M2022-02-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.224560.223729-0.37%0.23058+2.68%0.0183✗1.5936k2022-02-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.5097-0.37%5.84+5.61%0.0491✗1.222.7M2022-02-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51943.5065-0.37%3.885+10.39%0.0954✗0.952.0M2022-02-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91811.9112-0.36%1.9679+2.60%0.0246✗0.612.9M2022-02-09
CBKCobakEthereum2.5612.5519-0.35%2.609+1.87%0.0143✗1.0522k2022-02-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.635.6115-0.33%6+6.57%0.0611✗0.78377k2022-02-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6818040.679582-0.33%0.706728+3.66%0.0306✗1.153.5M2022-02-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.0826.9931-0.32%28.48+5.17%0.0464✗0.96543k2022-02-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.2155.1982-0.32%5.3633+2.84%0.0221✗1.22442k2022-02-09
QNTQuantEthereum147.49147.0264-0.31%150.18+1.82%0.0137✗1.007.8M2022-02-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2830.282126-0.31%0.288+1.77%0.0135✗0.9576k2022-02-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.624.524-0.31%24.32-1.14%0.0173✓1.1910.5M2022-02-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8472.8383-0.31%3.083+8.29%0.0727✗1.341.1M2022-02-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16380.163303-0.30%0.1678+2.44%0.0194✗1.04362k2022-02-09
ZENHorizenBase47.6247.4772-0.30%47.83+0.44%0.0041✓1.54504k2022-02-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59930.597544-0.29%0.6017+0.40%0.0011✓1.071.3M2022-02-09
UMAUMAEthereum6.516.4911-0.29%6.66+2.30%0.0183✗0.981.9M2022-02-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3710.369923-0.29%0.406+9.43%0.0830✗1.351.8M2022-02-09
AAVEAaveEthereum184.15183.6169-0.29%188.2+2.20%0.0142✗1.399.8M2022-02-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.4586.2041-0.28%90.18+4.31%0.0350✗1.3587.1M2022-02-09
IMXImmutableEthereum2.782.7722-0.28%2.81+1.08%0.0066✗0.922.6M2022-02-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62640.624643-0.28%0.6233-0.49%0.0120✓1.322.7M2022-02-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7911.786-0.28%1.832+2.29%0.0169✗1.151.6M2022-02-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.923820.921268-0.28%0.94117+1.88%0.0103✗1.48311k2022-02-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.6926.6742-0.27%6.897+3.06%0.0261✗0.9081k2022-02-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,914.5042,802.27-0.26%44,492.60+3.68%0.0315✗0.9641k2022-02-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.4710.4432-0.26%10.91+4.20%0.0385✗0.70660k2022-02-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1230.122688-0.25%0.128+4.07%0.0349✗1.0081k2022-02-09
BTTCBTTC0.000002250.000002244-0.25%0.00000232+3.11%0.0257✗1.0015.3M2022-02-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2613.2529-0.25%3.347+2.64%0.0225✗0.81206k2022-02-09
ZECZcashZcash133.12132.7928-0.25%126.05-5.31%0.0616✓1.276.6M2022-02-09
MINAMina Protocolnative32.9929-0.24%2.94-2.00%0.0274✓1.28407k2022-02-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.86821.8639-0.23%1.9982+6.95%0.0614✗1.0978k2022-02-09
XVGVergenative0.011840.011813-0.23%0.01253+5.83%0.0488✗1.361.3M2022-02-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash335.57334.7982-0.23%346.21+3.17%0.0259✗1.027.9M2022-02-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.192.185-0.23%2.28+4.11%0.0329✗1.302.2M2022-02-09
GITCOINGITCOIN8.6538.6334-0.23%9.329+7.81%0.0751✗0.3238k2022-02-09
LRCLoopringEthereum1.07911.0767-0.22%1.0976+1.71%0.0077✗1.54680k2022-02-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013150.013122-0.22%0.01324+0.68%0.0030✗0.7912k2022-02-09
SCSiacoinnative0.011760.011735-0.21%0.01205+2.47%0.0190✗1.00588k2022-02-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.28150.280914-0.21%0.2963+5.26%0.0453✗1.081.7M2022-02-09
XMRMoneroMonero179178.6329-0.21%185.83+3.82%0.0317✗1.041.6M2022-02-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.9359-0.20%7.14+2.73%0.0230✗0.81463k2022-02-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.0631.9969-0.20%33.84+5.55%0.0481✗1.064.0M2022-02-09
XECeCashnative0.000094440.000094256-0.19%0.00009721+2.93%0.0223✗1.145.5M2022-02-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.4134-0.19%3.5+2.34%0.0147✗1.3920.8M2022-02-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.47410.473209-0.19%0.4877+2.87%0.0203✗1.319.3M2022-02-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.12430.124068-0.19%0.1237-0.48%0.0146✓1.561.5M2022-02-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6327.6179-0.19%8.263+8.27%0.0738✗1.00460k2022-02-09
XLMStellarStellar0.2423940.241954-0.18%0.238854-1.46%0.0206✓1.0324.9M2022-02-09
STORJStorjEthereum1.3441.3416-0.18%1.3519+0.59%0.0000✓1.03292k2022-02-09
KCSKuCoinnative20.23720.2039-0.16%20.705+2.31%0.0145✗1.3410.5M2022-02-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.22580.225431-0.16%0.2412+6.82%0.0572✗1.393.7M2022-02-09
DODODODOEthereum0.5570.556099-0.16%0.591+6.10%0.0502✗1.434.6M2022-02-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8090.807693-0.16%0.827+2.22%0.0155✗1.091.7M2022-02-09
QTUMQtumQtum7.07857.0673-0.16%7.2042+1.78%0.0084✗1.44179k2022-02-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum30.8230.7714-0.16%33.92+10.06%0.0863✗1.492.0M2022-02-09
XVSVenusEthereum9.729.7047-0.16%10.06+3.50%0.0263✗1.292.5M2022-02-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.52880.527971-0.16%0.5406+2.23%0.0125✗1.492.2M2022-02-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.44101.2839-0.15%101.5+0.06%0.0046✓0.901.5M2022-02-09
KSMKusamaHydration192.41192.114-0.15%192.22-0.10%0.0085✓1.211.0M2022-02-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.6821.6468-0.15%21.97+1.34%0.0047✗1.3539.2M2022-02-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.98720.985703-0.15%1.0216+3.48%0.0280✗1.0413.5M2022-02-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.782.776-0.14%2.83+1.80%0.0117✗1.02504k2022-02-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0342710.034223-0.14%0.03747+9.33%0.0813✗1.25114k2022-02-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.297.28-0.14%7.48+2.61%0.0247✗0.321.1M2022-02-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1516.1279-0.14%16.51+2.23%0.0156✗1.05604k2022-02-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07860.078493-0.14%0.0794+1.02%0.0034✗1.0921k2022-02-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007240.00723-0.14%0.00744+2.76%0.0137✗2.0020.0M2022-02-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.30650.306089-0.13%0.3218+4.99%0.0385✗1.544.1M2022-02-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.120.0739-0.13%21.27+5.82%0.0450✗1.723.8M2022-02-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.086060.08595-0.13%0.08573-0.38%0.0082✓0.7689k2022-02-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.252.2472-0.13%2.21-1.78%0.0255✓1.181.7M2022-02-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin133.82133.6528-0.12%140.21+4.78%0.0382✗1.3032.4M2022-02-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.861.8577-0.12%1.93+3.76%0.0288✗1.251.6M2022-02-09
LUNATerraTerra 257.2257.1497-0.12%57.56+0.59%0.0034✓1.418.8M2022-02-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.816.8017-0.12%7.06+3.67%0.0291✗1.10789k2022-02-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0168890.016868-0.12%0.017007+0.70%0.0006✓1.182.0M2022-02-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5784.5728-0.11%4.801+4.87%0.0425✗0.83346k2022-02-09
BANDBandEthereum3.963.9556-0.11%4.17+5.30%0.0434✗1.261.9M2022-02-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.836.8224-0.11%7.18+5.12%0.0445✗0.88416k2022-02-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13350.13336-0.10%0.1429+7.04%0.0588✗1.373.2M2022-02-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102190.102086-0.10%0.10785+5.54%0.0470✗1.0549k2022-02-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.03140.031371-0.09%0.0312-0.64%0.0121✓0.897.0M2022-02-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.040010.039976-0.08%0.041+2.47%0.0170✗1.119.1M2022-02-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.059080.05903-0.08%0.05941+0.56%0.0043✓1.431.3M2022-02-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4221.4208-0.08%1.43+0.56%0.0028✓1.243.4M2022-02-09
FTTFTXEthereum46.3946.3514-0.08%47.97+3.41%0.0256✗1.1733.0M2022-02-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.02391.0231-0.08%1.0371+1.29%0.0054✗1.1029.4M2022-02-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0451.0442-0.08%1.086+3.92%0.0291✗1.372.3M2022-02-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.112.1084-0.07%2.16+2.37%0.0146✗1.281.3M2022-02-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.51593.5135-0.07%3.8968+10.83%0.0954✗1.092.5M2022-02-09
UNIUniswapEthereum11.9511.9429-0.06%12.33+3.18%0.0221✗1.3212.9M2022-02-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09190.091864-0.04%0.0943+2.61%0.0170✗1.23244k2022-02-09
SOLSolanaSolana113.58113.5437-0.03%114.04+0.41%0.0049✓1.24182.7M2022-02-09
XYMSymbolnative0.18580.185765-0.02%0.1868+0.54%0.0002✗0.71423k2022-02-09
ADACardanoCardano1.17641.1763-0.01%1.1947+1.56%0.0072✗1.11113.2M2022-02-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.418.4-0.00%18.7+1.63%0.0073✗1.1976.9M2022-02-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.15830.158325+0.02%0.159048+0.47%0.0031✗1.037.1M2022-02-09
GTGateEthereum6.81116.8123+0.02%7.0423+3.39%0.0265✓0.894.1M2022-02-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045330.045339+0.02%0.0468+3.24%0.0234✓1.1130k2022-02-09
DASHDashDash112.75112.7899+0.04%114.95+1.95%0.0105✓1.132.3M2022-02-09
ETHEthereumEthereum3,119.573,120.70+0.04%3,246.22+4.06%0.0312✓1.11557.7M2022-02-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,085.5944,109.42+0.05%44,416.35+0.75%0.0005✗1.00682.8M2022-02-09
NANOnanopayBase2.35892.3602+0.06%2.4+1.74%0.0079✓1.18845k2022-02-09
TRXTRONTron0.0680590.068125+0.10%0.069943+2.77%0.0196✓0.90362k2022-02-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.