8=======>

2022-02-05 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3327
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.11%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.4%
in alpha space · 87.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022540.000022824+1.26%0.00002279+1.11%0.1078✓1.271.3M2022-03-07
TRXTRONTron0.0647620.065546+1.21%0.058556-9.58%0.0355✗0.90379k2022-03-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59950.603249+0.63%0.6711+11.94%0.2157✓1.272.7M2022-03-07
GTGateEthereum7.02347.0651+0.59%6.77-3.61%0.0293✓0.844.1M2022-03-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,460.8041,655.26+0.47%37,523.40-9.50%0.0208✗0.9740k2022-03-07
XVSVenusEthereum8.678.6931+0.27%8.37-3.46%0.0687✓1.242.3M2022-03-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2395-0.01%6.17-14.78%0.1332✓0.311.1M2022-03-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044650.044577-0.16%0.03834-14.13%0.0580✓1.0828k2022-03-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.7717.7372-0.18%12.7-28.53%0.2333✓1.1777.2M2022-03-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.20880.208367-0.21%0.1942-6.99%0.0408✗1.293.6M2022-03-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,014.503,007.91-0.22%2,491.58-17.35%0.0945✓1.09557.7M2022-03-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1470260.146579-0.30%0.116934-20.47%0.1387✓1.017.1M2022-03-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6526750.650324-0.36%0.472233-27.65%0.2221✓1.143.5M2022-03-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,404.8541,247.09-0.38%37,994.00-8.24%0.0038✗1.00648.0M2022-03-07
XMRMoneroMonero168.71168.0377-0.40%157.95-6.38%0.0251✗1.011.7M2022-03-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.63.5848-0.42%2.878-20.06%0.1521✓0.79678k2022-03-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.49320.49111-0.42%0.3195-35.22%0.3124✓1.372.0M2022-03-07
SOLSolanaSolana113.8113.3058-0.43%81.66-28.24%0.2251✓1.19187.6M2022-03-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.04050.040316-0.45%0.01158-71.41%1.1590✓1.039.0M2022-03-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.205310.204234-0.52%0.14835-27.74%0.1902✓1.5132k2022-03-07
QTUMQtumQtum6.92816.891-0.54%5.712-17.55%0.0657✓1.42174k2022-03-07
DASHDashDash103.6102.968-0.61%85.9-17.08%0.0835✓1.142.8M2022-03-07
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2711.1906-0.70%8.31-26.26%0.1877✓1.2812.5M2022-03-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08690.086267-0.73%0.0657-24.40%0.1712✓1.18244k2022-03-07
NANOnanopayBase2.19332.1771-0.74%1.6162-26.31%0.1988✓1.15845k2022-03-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7611.7471-0.79%1.435-18.51%0.1015✓1.111.6M2022-03-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.172.1523-0.82%1.7-21.66%0.1254✓1.292.2M2022-03-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0403820.040036-0.86%0.041733+3.35%0.1491✗1.258.4M2022-03-07
AAVEAaveEthereum166.2164.6769-0.92%116.88-29.68%0.2259✓1.3610.9M2022-03-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07630.075585-0.94%0.0671-12.06%0.0277✓1.0621k2022-03-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.315.1565-0.94%12.47-18.50%0.1123✓0.96663k2022-03-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2132220.211161-0.97%0.169685-20.42%0.1334✓0.9924.9M2022-03-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3528.0692-0.99%28.16-0.67%0.0863✗0.97513k2022-03-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.101070.100056-1.00%0.08764-13.29%0.0469✓1.0047k2022-03-07
XECeCashnative0.00008390.000083046-1.02%0.0000689-17.88%0.0918✓1.105.5M2022-03-07
UMAUMAEthereum6.46.3339-1.03%7.8+21.88%0.2934✗0.991.9M2022-03-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2650.262189-1.06%0.231-12.83%0.0482✓0.9163k2022-03-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.0419.8267-1.06%13.71-31.59%0.2201✓1.733.8M2022-03-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.2622.02-1.08%16.42-26.24%0.1964✓1.1326.9M2022-03-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7282.6983-1.09%3.353+22.91%0.3314✗1.33911k2022-03-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.19.9897-1.09%10.23+1.29%0.0841✗0.70660k2022-03-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.79414.7406-1.12%5.3807+12.24%0.1483✗0.25376k2022-03-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0164330.01625-1.12%0.011201-31.84%0.2733✓1.152.6M2022-03-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.058880.058198-1.16%0.04852-17.60%0.0697✓1.301.5M2022-03-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.31020.306585-1.17%0.1993-35.75%0.2978✓1.554.1M2022-03-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.770.760834-1.19%0.6-22.08%0.0771✓1.87996k2022-03-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.52020.513961-1.20%0.3173-39.00%0.3307✓1.7642.5M2022-03-07
IMXImmutableEthereum2.892.8552-1.20%1.585-45.16%0.5071✓0.952.2M2022-03-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.514.4556-1.21%4.234-6.12%0.0171✗0.79351k2022-03-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.5146.4349-1.22%4.783-26.57%0.2133✓0.97341k2022-03-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV96.7395.5532-1.22%76.42-21.00%0.1452✓0.911.6M2022-03-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22663.1871-1.22%2.8817-10.69%0.0202✓0.942.0M2022-03-07
XVGVergenative0.011220.011082-1.23%0.00883-21.30%0.1185✓1.261.4M2022-03-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.526.44-1.23%5.93-9.05%0.0117✓0.82478k2022-03-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9760.963933-1.24%0.762-21.93%0.1196✓1.342.3M2022-03-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.0850.083946-1.24%0.06777-20.27%0.1493✓0.7584k2022-03-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.34043.2989-1.24%2.8397-14.99%0.0606✓1.042.6M2022-03-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.4012-1.26%5.01-8.41%0.0135✓0.72377k2022-03-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26270.259376-1.27%0.2184-16.86%0.0775✓1.101.7M2022-03-07
BANDBandEthereum3.93.8502-1.28%3.496-10.36%0.0120✓1.262.1M2022-03-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.676.5837-1.29%3.97-40.48%0.4214✓0.98818k2022-03-07
ZECZcashZcash116.08114.577-1.29%109.5-5.67%0.0615✗1.246.6M2022-03-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011130.010986-1.30%0.01182+6.20%0.1843✗1.291.7M2022-03-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.4229.0358-1.31%26.15-11.11%0.0162✓1.033.8M2022-03-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.3712-1.37%7.76+20.12%0.2618✗0.75463k2022-03-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7780.7673-1.38%0.649-16.58%0.0784✓1.041.6M2022-03-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,186.7724,840.06-1.38%18,376.27-27.04%0.2232✓0.9112.4M2022-03-07
ADACardanoCardano1.12551.11-1.38%0.7932-29.52%0.2412✓1.10110.9M2022-03-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.8129.3966-1.39%22.43-24.76%0.1324✓1.612.1M2022-03-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.791.7649-1.40%1.274-28.83%0.2213✓1.221.8M2022-03-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2313.1857-1.40%2.706-16.25%0.0971✓0.77212k2022-03-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.80141.776-1.41%1.8793+4.32%0.1487✗1.0776k2022-03-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0595.973-1.42%4.618-23.78%0.1863✓0.8391k2022-03-07
KCSKuCoinnative19.68619.4037-1.43%17.761-9.78%0.0319✗1.4010.5M2022-03-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.11810.116403-1.44%0.0802-32.09%0.2462✓1.471.6M2022-03-07
FTTFTXEthereum46.1645.4874-1.46%39.76-13.86%0.0356✓1.1534.0M2022-03-07
XEMNEMnative0.11290.11117-1.53%0.0935-17.18%0.0890✓0.9837k2022-03-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.31480.309972-1.53%0.2527-19.73%0.1115✓1.08554k2022-03-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.94910.934365-1.55%0.694-26.88%0.2087✓1.0314.2M2022-03-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15510.152685-1.56%0.1422-8.32%0.0181✗1.04337k2022-03-07
LUNATerraTerra 255.3954.5257-1.56%77.85+40.55%0.4779✗1.428.8M2022-03-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96820.953007-1.57%0.7051-27.17%0.1602✓1.64725k2022-03-07
RADRadworksEthereum5.485.3935-1.58%4.4-19.71%0.1185✓0.99875k2022-03-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin121.8119.8627-1.59%98.35-19.25%0.0862✓1.3031.3M2022-03-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.61860.608756-1.59%0.4925-20.38%0.1181✓1.091.5M2022-03-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.662.6175-1.60%2.11-20.68%0.1304✓0.99579k2022-03-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.8715.6152-1.61%17.31+9.07%0.1570✗0.63908k2022-03-07
SCSiacoinnative0.011540.011351-1.64%0.00866-24.96%0.1834✓1.01572k2022-03-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash320.74315.4642-1.64%273.86-14.62%0.0541✓1.027.6M2022-03-07
XYMSymbolnative0.18550.182413-1.66%0.1333-28.14%0.2544✓0.69423k2022-03-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.312.2714-1.67%1.13-51.08%0.5954✓1.202.3M2022-03-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9721.6009-1.68%17.82-18.89%0.0944✓1.1410.4M2022-03-07
DODODODOEthereum0.5330.523995-1.69%0.381-28.52%0.2008✓1.374.6M2022-03-07
QNTQuantEthereum132.93130.6615-1.71%110.5-16.87%0.0897✓0.917.6M2022-03-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.5622.5173-1.75%2.085-18.62%0.1023✓1.0022k2022-03-07
KSMKusamaHydration185.88182.6309-1.75%120.6-35.12%0.3183✓1.121.0M2022-03-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12930.12704-1.75%0.1105-14.54%0.0292✓1.283.3M2022-03-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.3520.976-1.75%16.4-23.19%0.1318✓1.3343.5M2022-03-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006740.00662-1.78%0.00392-41.84%0.3499✓2.0320.1M2022-03-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.4522.0433-1.81%18.4-18.04%0.0474✓1.55411k2022-03-07
HIVEHivenative1.1661.1445-1.84%0.8412-27.86%0.1868✓1.411.9M2022-03-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.7630.1888-1.86%28.29-8.03%0.0309✗1.12109.3M2022-03-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.32211.2975-1.86%0.89059-32.64%0.2914✓0.99333k2022-03-07
MOVRMoonriverBase85.820584.2173-1.87%52.8584-38.41%0.3501✓1.35320k2022-03-07
XTZTezosTezos3.94233.868-1.89%2.9274-25.74%0.1683✓1.282.4M2022-03-07
COMPCompoundEthereum136.68134.1008-1.89%98.5-27.93%0.2027✓1.2354k2022-03-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.031040.030448-1.91%0.02497-19.56%0.1280✓0.827.6M2022-03-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3540.347164-1.93%0.268-24.29%0.1485✓1.281.7M2022-03-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum56.855.6779-1.98%46.15-18.75%0.0923✓1.117.8M2022-03-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.186-1.98%0.976-19.34%0.0849✓1.28490k2022-03-07
PROPropyEthereum2.222.1757-2.00%1.59-28.38%0.2276✓1.002.3M2022-03-07
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.4984-2.01%5.302+48.52%0.4406✗0.291.5M2022-03-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.48813.4179-2.01%1.9115-45.20%0.5089✓0.8426k2022-03-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.12035.0123-2.11%3.6598-28.52%0.2088✓1.23406k2022-03-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.0542.0107-2.11%2.469+20.20%0.2617✗0.663.5M2022-03-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.022060.021592-2.12%0.01691-23.35%0.1539✓1.052.7M2022-03-07
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.8378-2.15%1.84-36.55%0.3325✓1.17441k2022-03-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95490.934015-2.19%1.3125+37.45%0.4639✗1.4499k2022-03-07
ZENHorizenBase45.6144.6087-2.20%33.73-26.05%0.1466✓1.55568k2022-03-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.423.3448-2.20%1.98-42.11%0.4056✓1.3821.3M2022-03-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.0975.3178-2.30%71.75-6.93%0.0642✗1.3187.1M2022-03-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.44810.437591-2.35%0.3298-26.40%0.1736✓1.279.4M2022-03-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.13811.1114-2.35%1.1872+4.32%0.1677✗1.182.3M2022-03-07
GITCOINGITCOIN8.1667.9723-2.37%5.615-31.24%0.3224✓0.3340k2022-03-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5191.4828-2.38%1.085-28.57%0.2066✓1.233.4M2022-03-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.00210.977975-2.41%0.7277-27.38%0.2003✓1.1129.4M2022-03-07
MANADecentralandEthereum3.01452.9376-2.55%2.3622-21.64%0.1414✓0.892.8M2022-03-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.77270.752982-2.55%0.4144-46.37%0.4745✓1.431.1M2022-03-07
STXStacksnative1.581.5394-2.57%1.04-34.18%0.3062✓1.001.3M2022-03-07
DIADIAEthereum1.010.983443-2.63%0.93-7.92%0.0301✗1.00333k2022-03-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1280.124434-2.79%0.1-21.87%0.1326✓1.00102k2022-03-07
BTTCBTTC0.000002260.000002196-2.83%0.00000177-21.68%0.1297✓1.0015.3M2022-03-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9211.8635-2.99%1.307-31.96%0.2518✓1.201.2M2022-03-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.157.9053-3.00%5.62-31.04%0.3116✓0.341.6M2022-03-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.44210.428636-3.05%0.4075-7.83%0.0896✗1.631.8M2022-03-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.925290.895841-3.18%0.63315-31.57%0.2078✓1.62350k2022-03-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013530.013096-3.21%0.012-11.31%0.0109✓0.8913k2022-03-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.765.5676-3.34%3.62-37.15%0.3274✓1.203.0M2022-03-07
SUSHISushiEthereum4.684.518-3.46%2.88-38.46%0.3353✓1.348.4M2022-03-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0690.066435-3.72%0.0672-2.61%0.1171✗1.23540k2022-03-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03680.035156-4.47%0.0248-32.61%0.2155✓1.55490k2022-03-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.212.1112-4.47%1.243-43.76%0.4114✓1.383.5M2022-03-07
FIDABonfidaSolana2.242.1395-4.48%1.725-22.99%0.1294✓1.0067k2022-03-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0395270.037195-5.90%0.017437-55.89%0.6475✓1.28120k2022-03-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.050510.046905-7.14%0.03434-32.01%0.2258✓1.005.3M2022-03-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10890.100796-7.44%0.0544-50.05%0.4556✓1.8726.7M2022-03-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.28631.1455-10.95%0.73-43.25%0.3646✓1.002.7M2022-03-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7695.0864-11.83%2.56-55.62%0.6006✓1.001.2M2022-03-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.