2022-02-04 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0160

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-1.00%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

71.4%

in alpha space · 65.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.50%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06445	0.064824	+0.58%	0.064762	+0.48%	0.0036	✓	0.90	396k	2022-02-05
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000222	0.000022322	+0.55%	0.00002254	+1.53%	0.0162	✓	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-05
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5902	0.59271	+0.43%	0.5995	+1.58%	0.0177	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-05
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04407	0.044252	+0.41%	0.04465	+1.32%	0.0144	✓	1.07	29k	2022-02-05
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.72	8.7556	+0.41%	8.67	-0.57%	0.0036	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-05
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9113	0.914979	+0.40%	0.9682	+6.24%	0.0650	✓	1.67	783k	2022-02-05
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0386	7.0654	+0.38%	7.0234	-0.22%	0.0016	✓	0.87	4.1M	2022-02-05
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0871	0.087429	+0.38%	0.0869	-0.23%	0.0003	✓	1.15	256k	2022-02-05
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147947	0.148502	+0.38%	0.147026	-0.62%	0.0049	✗	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-05
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2023	0.203025	+0.36%	0.2088	+3.21%	0.0345	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-05
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04226	0.042406	+0.34%	0.0405	-4.16%	0.0406	✗	1.07	9.0M	2022-02-05
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4872	0.488811	+0.33%	0.4932	+1.23%	0.0158	✓	1.36	2.0M	2022-02-05
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.07	103.4039	+0.32%	103.6	+0.51%	0.0076	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-02-05
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.207	2.214	+0.32%	2.1933	-0.62%	0.0036	✗	1.14	888k	2022-02-05
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.51	17.5634	+0.31%	17.77	+1.48%	0.0176	✓	1.16	79.4M	2022-02-05
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040924	+0.30%	0.040382	-1.02%	0.0071	✗	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-05
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.27	22.3375	+0.30%	22.26	-0.04%	0.0023	✓	1.14	28.0M	2022-02-05
XMR	Monero	Monero	165.31	165.8063	+0.30%	168.71	+2.06%	0.0225	✓	1.01	1.8M	2022-02-05
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0704	0.070606	+0.29%	0.0763	+8.38%	0.0829	✓	1.05	19k	2022-02-05
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.18	11.2126	+0.29%	11.27	+0.81%	0.0115	✓	1.27	12.5M	2022-02-05
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	15.1731	+0.29%	15.3	+1.12%	0.0132	✓	0.97	731k	2022-02-05
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.84	3.8506	+0.28%	3.9	+1.56%	0.0191	✓	1.25	2.2M	2022-02-05
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.38	7.3999	+0.27%	7.24	-1.90%	0.0203	✗	0.30	1.1M	2022-02-05
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.69	112.9882	+0.26%	113.8	+0.99%	0.0131	✓	1.17	191.4M	2022-02-05
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,998.19	3,006.06	+0.26%	3,014.50	+0.54%	0.0083	✓	1.09	573.1M	2022-02-05
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.87	167.3008	+0.26%	166.2	-0.40%	0.0002	✓	1.35	11.5M	2022-02-05
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.27	0.270696	+0.26%	0.265	-1.85%	0.0167	✗	0.90	67k	2022-02-05
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.209216	0.209754	+0.26%	0.213222	+1.91%	0.0214	✓	0.99	25.3M	2022-02-05
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.77	1.7745	+0.26%	1.79	+1.13%	0.0148	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-05
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0106	0.010627	+0.25%	0.01113	+5.00%	0.0528	✓	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-05
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.373	3.3815	+0.25%	3.3404	-0.97%	0.0070	✗	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-05
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.39	5.4034	+0.25%	5.47	+1.48%	0.0159	✓	0.72	398k	2022-02-05
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09859	0.098835	+0.25%	0.10107	+2.52%	0.0273	✓	0.97	47k	2022-02-05
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.47	6.486	+0.25%	6.67	+3.09%	0.0330	✓	0.99	818k	2022-02-05
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,905.44	24,966.83	+0.25%	25,186.77	+1.13%	0.0134	✓	0.92	12.5M	2022-02-05
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.734	2.7406	+0.24%	2.728	-0.22%	0.0021	✓	1.33	986k	2022-02-05
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016562	0.016602	+0.24%	0.016433	-0.78%	0.0044	✗	1.15	2.7M	2022-02-05
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.1	2.105	+0.24%	2.17	+3.33%	0.0369	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-05
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.65	20.6987	+0.24%	20.04	-2.95%	0.0236	✗	1.73	3.9M	2022-02-05
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5994	0.600798	+0.23%	0.6186	+3.20%	0.0347	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-05
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008267	0.000082861	+0.23%	0.0000839	+1.49%	0.0180	✓	1.09	5.5M	2022-02-05
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.19	6.2043	+0.23%	6.4	+3.39%	0.0364	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-02-05
XVG	Verge	native	0.01084	0.010865	+0.23%	0.01122	+3.51%	0.0386	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-05
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,614.64	41,708.94	+0.23%	41,404.85	-0.50%	0.0023	✓	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-05
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.4745	+0.22%	6.52	+0.93%	0.0112	✓	0.83	483k	2022-02-05
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5318	0.532985	+0.22%	0.5202	-2.18%	0.0152	✗	1.80	44.4M	2022-02-05
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.06	54.1789	+0.22%	55.39	+2.46%	0.0293	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-05
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.56	3.5678	+0.22%	3.6	+1.12%	0.0131	✓	0.82	708k	2022-02-05
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.373	4.3824	+0.22%	4.51	+3.13%	0.0327	✓	0.79	351k	2022-02-05
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.61	95.8157	+0.22%	96.73	+1.17%	0.0141	✓	0.90	1.7M	2022-02-05
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.65	2.6556	+0.21%	2.66	+0.38%	0.0067	✓	0.99	604k	2022-02-05
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2513	0.251824	+0.21%	0.2627	+4.54%	0.0478	✓	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-05
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.89	9.9106	+0.21%	10.1	+2.12%	0.0225	✓	0.70	660k	2022-02-05
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1398	1.1422	+0.21%	1.1255	-1.25%	0.0092	✗	1.10	113.2M	2022-02-05
XEM	NEM	native	0.1096	0.109827	+0.21%	0.1129	+3.01%	0.0324	✓	0.95	40k	2022-02-05
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.2947	+0.21%	2.31	+0.87%	0.0127	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-05
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.772	0.773565	+0.20%	0.778	+0.78%	0.0109	✓	1.03	1.6M	2022-02-05
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05692	0.057031	+0.19%	0.05888	+3.44%	0.0386	✓	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-05
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.186	3.192	+0.19%	3.2266	+1.27%	0.0155	✓	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-05
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.978	0.979839	+0.19%	0.976	-0.20%	0.0029	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-05
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	306.37	306.9405	+0.19%	320.74	+4.69%	0.0491	✓	1.01	7.6M	2022-02-05
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.234	3.24	+0.19%	3.231	-0.09%	0.0011	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-05
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2494	1.2517	+0.19%	1.3221	+5.82%	0.0597	✓	0.97	333k	2022-02-05
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3098	0.310373	+0.19%	0.3102	+0.13%	0.0072	✓	1.53	4.1M	2022-02-05
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.33	51.4224	+0.18%	56.8	+10.66%	0.1051	✓	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-05
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.99	22.029	+0.18%	22.45	+2.09%	0.0267	✓	1.53	418k	2022-02-05
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.123	6.1338	+0.18%	6.059	-1.05%	0.0081	✗	0.82	103k	2022-02-05
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.447	19.4804	+0.17%	19.686	+1.23%	0.0176	✓	1.41	10.5M	2022-02-05
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03121	0.031263	+0.17%	0.03104	-0.54%	0.0029	✗	0.84	7.7M	2022-02-05
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.71	2.7145	+0.17%	2.9	+7.01%	0.0720	✓	1.17	494k	2022-02-05
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.21	107.3876	+0.17%	116.08	+8.27%	0.0841	✓	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-05
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1886	0.188911	+0.16%	0.1855	-1.64%	0.0148	✗	0.68	423k	2022-02-05
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.8761	6.8869	+0.16%	6.9281	+0.76%	0.0130	✓	1.40	174k	2022-02-05
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	180.53	180.8126	+0.16%	185.88	+2.96%	0.0335	✓	1.16	1.1M	2022-02-05
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7925	1.7953	+0.16%	1.8014	+0.50%	0.0088	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-05
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9567	0.958132	+0.15%	0.9491	-0.79%	0.0043	✗	1.02	14.7M	2022-02-05
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.4392	+0.14%	6.46	+0.47%	0.0070	✓	0.75	481k	2022-02-05
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.67	29.7101	+0.14%	29.81	+0.47%	0.0115	✓	1.62	2.1M	2022-02-05
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,457.70	40,512.38	+0.14%	41,460.80	+2.48%	0.0281	✓	0.97	51k	2022-02-05
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.03	46.0914	+0.13%	46.16	+0.28%	0.0073	✓	1.15	34.8M	2022-02-05
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.44	5.4472	+0.13%	5.48	+0.74%	0.0110	✓	0.99	952k	2022-02-05
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.97	14.9897	+0.13%	15.87	+6.01%	0.0604	✓	0.66	908k	2022-02-05
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.42	121.575	+0.13%	121.8	+0.31%	0.0084	✓	1.29	33.0M	2022-02-05
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.51	20.5353	+0.12%	21.35	+4.10%	0.0456	✓	1.32	44.7M	2022-02-05
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01119	0.011204	+0.12%	0.01154	+3.13%	0.0347	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-05
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.63	21.6557	+0.12%	21.97	+1.57%	0.0201	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-05
ZEN	Horizen	Base	43.19	43.2406	+0.12%	45.61	+5.60%	0.0611	✓	1.54	568k	2022-02-05
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1262	0.126344	+0.11%	0.1293	+2.46%	0.0297	✓	1.29	3.3M	2022-02-05
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.43	3.4338	+0.11%	3.42	-0.29%	0.0030	✓	1.40	21.7M	2022-02-05
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4406	0.441062	+0.10%	0.4481	+1.70%	0.0223	✓	1.28	9.7M	2022-02-05
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.647332	0.647977	+0.10%	0.652675	+0.83%	0.0129	✓	1.12	3.5M	2022-02-05
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00663	0.006637	+0.10%	0.00674	+1.66%	0.0257	✓	2.03	20.3M	2022-02-05
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.7	29.7289	+0.10%	29.42	-0.94%	0.0053	✗	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-05
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.352339	+0.10%	0.354	+0.57%	0.0112	✓	1.28	1.8M	2022-02-05
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.5734	+0.10%	3.57	+0.00%	0.0005	✓	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-05
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1207	0.120815	+0.09%	0.1181	-2.15%	0.0155	✗	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-05
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.454	6.4598	+0.09%	6.514	+0.93%	0.0133	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-05
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9987	0.999533	+0.08%	1.0021	+0.34%	0.0081	✓	1.10	29.7M	2022-02-05
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.495	2.4969	+0.08%	2.562	+2.69%	0.0309	✓	1.01	21k	2022-02-05
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.9837	4.9875	+0.08%	5.1203	+2.74%	0.0324	✓	1.22	364k	2022-02-05
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.964	0.964662	+0.07%	0.9549	-0.94%	0.0029	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-05
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.13	31.1511	+0.07%	30.76	-1.19%	0.0071	✗	1.10	110.8M	2022-02-05
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	132.7	132.7892	+0.07%	136.68	+3.00%	0.0351	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-05
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3064	0.306602	+0.07%	0.3148	+2.74%	0.0318	✓	1.06	566k	2022-02-05
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.996	8.0008	+0.06%	8.166	+2.13%	0.0222	✓	0.34	40k	2022-02-05
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08239	0.082436	+0.06%	0.085	+3.17%	0.0344	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-05
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	88.7362	88.775	+0.04%	85.8205	-3.29%	0.0270	✗	1.35	351k	2022-02-05
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6793	0.679588	+0.04%	0.7727	+13.75%	0.1356	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-05
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.8	0.800332	+0.04%	0.77	-3.75%	0.0292	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-05
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8185	2.8197	+0.04%	3.0145	+6.95%	0.0713	✓	0.88	2.8M	2022-02-05
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.89908	0.899299	+0.02%	0.92529	+2.92%	0.0366	✓	1.60	351k	2022-02-05
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.823	1.8233	+0.02%	1.921	+5.38%	0.0581	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-05
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01363	0.013631	+0.01%	0.01353	-0.73%	0.0030	✗	0.88	13k	2022-02-05
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20472	0.204695	-0.01%	0.20531	+0.29%	0.0105	✗	1.49	32k	2022-02-05
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.1	2.0996	-0.02%	2.22	+5.71%	0.0608	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-05
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.172	1.1717	-0.03%	1.1381	-2.89%	0.0230	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-05
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.01	8.007	-0.04%	8.15	+1.75%	0.0195	✗	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-05
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0141	4.0124	-0.04%	3.9423	-1.79%	0.0112	✓	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-05
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0881	2.0871	-0.05%	2.054	-1.63%	0.0127	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-05
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.543	0.542703	-0.05%	0.533	-1.84%	0.0110	✓	1.40	4.6M	2022-02-05
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	134.25	134.17	-0.06%	132.93	-0.98%	0.0047	✓	0.91	8.1M	2022-02-05
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.91	77.8557	-0.07%	77.09	-1.05%	0.0031	✓	1.33	89.7M	2022-02-05
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.721	1.7191	-0.11%	1.761	+2.32%	0.0296	✗	1.10	1.6M	2022-02-05
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.5233	-0.12%	5.76	+4.16%	0.0480	✗	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-05
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.47	4.4644	-0.12%	4.68	+4.70%	0.0539	✗	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-05
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0224	0.022364	-0.16%	0.02206	-1.52%	0.0085	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-05
STX	Stacks	native	1.55	1.5475	-0.16%	1.58	+1.94%	0.0259	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-05
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.458	1.4556	-0.17%	1.519	+4.18%	0.0489	✗	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-05
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.123714	-0.23%	0.128	+3.23%	0.0391	✗	1.00	110k	2022-02-05
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000223	0.000002225	-0.23%	0.00000226	+1.35%	0.0208	✗	1.00	15.7M	2022-02-05
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.993	-0.23%	2.89	-3.67%	0.0302	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-05
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0663	0.066143	-0.24%	0.069	+4.07%	0.0484	✗	1.22	540k	2022-02-05
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	1.0075	-0.24%	1.01	+0.00%	0.0075	✗	1.00	369k	2022-02-05
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039645	0.039539	-0.27%	0.039527	-0.30%	0.0062	✗	1.28	123k	2022-02-05
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1601	0.159666	-0.27%	0.1551	-3.12%	0.0238	✓	1.04	337k	2022-02-05
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1073	1.104	-0.30%	1.166	+5.30%	0.0617	✗	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-05
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.14	2.1334	-0.31%	2.21	+3.27%	0.0422	✗	1.38	3.7M	2022-02-05
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4217	3.4045	-0.50%	3.4881	+1.94%	0.0285	✗	0.84	26k	2022-02-05
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.2328	-0.58%	1.21	-2.42%	0.0123	✓	1.27	490k	2022-02-05
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.1583	5.1134	-0.87%	4.7941	-7.06%	0.0632	✓	0.25	376k	2022-02-05
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.41	0.406184	-0.93%	0.4421	+7.83%	0.0927	✗	1.57	1.8M	2022-02-05
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05094	0.050377	-1.11%	0.05051	-0.84%	0.0077	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-05
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040345	-1.12%	0.0368	-9.80%	0.0841	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-05
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.4	29.0603	-1.16%	28.35	-3.57%	0.0199	✓	0.95	484k	2022-02-05
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0798	0.078836	-1.21%	0.1089	+36.47%	0.3326	✗	1.88	26.7M	2022-02-05
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2609	1.2424	-1.47%	1.2863	+2.01%	0.0398	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-05
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.748	5.642	-1.84%	5.769	+0.37%	0.0273	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-05

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.