2022-02-01 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2804

145 of 145 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+13.77%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.4%

in alpha space · 69.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+9.68%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,716.88	39,033.51	+0.82%	42,464.41	+9.68%	0.0081	✓	1.00	717.4M	2022-03-03
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,691.90	38,840.41	+0.38%	42,572.60	+10.03%	0.0021	✓	1.02	51k	2022-03-03
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059831	0.059883	+0.09%	0.060032	+0.34%	0.0836	✗	0.93	411k	2022-03-03
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1518	2.1468	-0.23%	1.868	-13.19%	0.2537	✓	1.24	888k	2022-03-03
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002176	0.0000217	-0.27%	0.00002507	+15.21%	0.0137	✗	1.41	1.6M	2022-03-03
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05811	0.057877	-0.40%	0.05073	-12.70%	0.2637	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-03-03
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0446	0.044418	-0.41%	0.01525	-65.81%	1.1716	✓	1.11	9.1M	2022-03-03
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04034	0.040147	-0.48%	0.03967	-1.66%	0.1153	✓	1.12	29k	2022-03-03
XMR	Monero	Monero	146.32	145.6145	-0.48%	172.04	+17.58%	0.0726	✗	1.02	1.8M	2022-03-03
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015173	0.015094	-0.52%	0.011953	-21.22%	0.3419	✓	1.18	2.7M	2022-03-03
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,789.66	2,773.77	-0.57%	2,833.66	+1.58%	0.0811	✓	1.11	560.6M	2022-03-03
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.2044	-0.57%	7.63	+22.28%	0.1333	✗	0.80	504k	2022-03-03
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1797	6.1426	-0.60%	6.3922	+3.44%	0.0953	✓	1.46	174k	2022-03-03
DASH	Dash	Dash	97.23	96.6035	-0.64%	96.75	-0.49%	0.1077	✓	1.18	2.9M	2022-03-03
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.47	25.3051	-0.65%	30.05	+17.98%	0.0996	✗	0.78	462k	2022-03-03
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1868	3.1637	-0.72%	2.9519	-7.37%	0.1736	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-03-03
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.66	6.6109	-0.74%	6.42	-3.60%	0.0505	✓	0.23	1.1M	2022-03-03
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17	16.8714	-0.76%	14.89	-12.41%	0.2373	✓	1.22	88.8M	2022-03-03
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.228	4.19	-0.90%	4.418	+4.49%	0.0219	✓	0.81	351k	2022-03-03
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.66	14.5219	-0.94%	13.32	-9.14%	0.1777	✓	0.99	795k	2022-03-03
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0822	0.081415	-0.95%	0.072	-12.41%	0.2372	✓	1.24	299k	2022-03-03
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.9364	6.8663	-1.01%	6.7949	-2.04%	0.0981	✓	0.95	4.3M	2022-03-03
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03008	0.029737	-1.14%	0.02753	-8.48%	0.1606	✓	0.90	8.7M	2022-03-03
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.255	0.251927	-1.21%	0.273	+7.06%	0.0081	✓	0.96	67k	2022-03-03
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.11	10.9694	-1.27%	9.55	-14.04%	0.2639	✓	1.36	12.9M	2022-03-03
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9652	0.952316	-1.33%	0.7864	-18.52%	0.3603	✓	1.83	852k	2022-03-03
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.8	26.4387	-1.35%	30.25	+12.87%	0.0336	✗	1.09	3.3M	2022-03-03
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08902	0.087816	-1.35%	0.09337	+4.89%	0.0396	✓	1.09	46k	2022-03-03
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202028	0.199297	-1.35%	0.187901	-6.99%	0.1549	✓	1.04	26.2M	2022-03-03
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8834	0.871356	-1.36%	1.6497	+86.74%	0.4979	✗	1.52	103k	2022-03-03
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.525	1.5041	-1.37%	1.523	-0.13%	0.0991	✓	1.21	1.6M	2022-03-03
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	98.97	97.5341	-1.45%	129.17	+30.51%	0.1556	✗	1.36	6.6M	2022-03-03
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1161	0.114361	-1.50%	0.1221	+5.17%	0.0574	✓	1.33	3.8M	2022-03-03
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1885	0.185635	-1.52%	0.1971	+4.56%	0.0641	✓	1.34	3.7M	2022-03-03
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.2	44.5091	-1.53%	44.86	-0.75%	0.1064	✓	1.24	39.5M	2022-03-03
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6048	1.5791	-1.60%	2.1075	+31.33%	0.1854	✗	1.12	82k	2022-03-03
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.13	7.9993	-1.61%	9.34	+14.88%	0.0323	✗	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-03
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142489	0.140161	-1.63%	0.129579	-9.06%	0.1769	✓	1.07	7.1M	2022-03-03
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.28	6.1774	-1.63%	6.33	+0.80%	0.0559	✓	0.87	529k	2022-03-03
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	19.38	19.0581	-1.66%	14.3	-26.21%	0.4574	✓	1.84	3.9M	2022-03-03
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0658	0.064692	-1.68%	0.0725	+10.18%	0.0116	✓	1.11	21k	2022-03-03
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.53	2.4872	-1.69%	2.38	-5.93%	0.1380	✓	1.02	697k	2022-03-03
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0965	1.0779	-1.69%	0.9021	-17.73%	0.2842	✓	1.15	113.2M	2022-03-03
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.958	5.8537	-1.75%	5.231	-12.20%	0.1912	✓	0.85	118k	2022-03-03
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007722	0.000075842	-1.78%	0.00007449	-3.54%	0.1222	✓	1.13	5.7M	2022-03-03
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	115.11	112.9552	-1.87%	111.69	-2.97%	0.1364	✓	1.35	33.8M	2022-03-03
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	164.05	160.9182	-1.91%	129.96	-20.78%	0.3430	✓	1.40	12.5M	2022-03-03
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.7	1.6674	-1.92%	1.437	-15.47%	0.2687	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.979	5.8642	-1.92%	5.584	-6.61%	0.1454	✓	1.04	341k	2022-03-03
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.46	14.182	-1.92%	16.42	+13.55%	0.0818	✗	0.70	841k	2022-03-03
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.321629	-1.94%	0.295	-10.06%	0.2127	✓	1.37	1.8M	2022-03-03
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		91.69	89.9014	-1.95%	83.45	-8.99%	0.1620	✓	0.95	1.6M	2022-03-03
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.58	19.1973	-1.95%	18.03	-7.92%	0.1920	✓	1.40	48.3M	2022-03-03
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1425	0.139706	-1.96%	0.1559	+9.40%	0.0185	✓	0.99	337k	2022-03-03
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.316	1.2896	-2.01%	1.174	-10.79%	0.2103	✓	1.26	3.5M	2022-03-03
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.0959	3.0335	-2.02%	2.95	-4.71%	0.1247	✓	1.05	2.0M	2022-03-03
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.247	2.2017	-2.02%	2.212	-1.56%	0.0959	✓	1.09	22k	2022-03-03
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.1	2.0576	-2.02%	1.24	-40.95%	0.6498	✓	1.55	2.3M	2022-03-03
SOL	Solana	Solana	110.1	107.8544	-2.04%	95.61	-13.16%	0.2311	✓	1.20	181.0M	2022-03-03
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07836	0.076758	-2.04%	0.06983	-10.89%	0.1621	✓	0.73	80k	2022-03-03
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8391	0.821839	-2.06%	0.7596	-9.47%	0.1829	✓	1.13	16.8M	2022-03-03
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	104.95	102.7499	-2.10%	127.04	+21.05%	0.1142	✗	1.06	7.5M	2022-03-03
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.8991	4.7937	-2.15%	4.2636	-12.97%	0.2328	✓	1.25	406k	2022-03-03
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.837	1.7973	-2.16%	1.479	-19.49%	0.3095	✓	1.24	1.4M	2022-03-03
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00957	0.009363	-2.17%	0.01199	+25.29%	0.1274	✗	1.30	2.1M	2022-03-03
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.65	2.5925	-2.17%	2.04	-23.02%	0.3522	✓	1.22	577k	2022-03-03
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	287.95	281.6894	-2.17%	315.29	+9.49%	0.0160	✓	1.05	6.8M	2022-03-03
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00684	0.00669	-2.19%	0.00456	-33.33%	0.5984	✓	2.33	23.2M	2022-03-03
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4737	0.46325	-2.21%	0.381	-19.57%	0.3248	✓	1.40	2.2M	2022-03-03
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2456	0.240164	-2.21%	0.249	+1.38%	0.0722	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-03-03
XEM	NEM	native	0.104	0.101692	-2.22%	0.1029	-1.06%	0.0824	✓	1.02	43k	2022-03-03
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.582133	0.569185	-2.22%	0.534619	-8.16%	0.1756	✓	1.22	3.3M	2022-03-03
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.565	0.552108	-2.28%	0.8058	+42.62%	0.2545	✗	1.34	2.7M	2022-03-03
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.88	2.813	-2.33%	1.46	-49.31%	0.8007	✓	1.57	2.2M	2022-03-03
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.27	6.1228	-2.35%	4.42	-29.51%	0.4132	✓	0.95	835k	2022-03-03
ZEN	Horizen	Base	39.21	38.279	-2.37%	38.18	-2.63%	0.1524	✓	1.62	626k	2022-03-03
XVG	Verge	native	0.01018	0.009933	-2.42%	0.01001	-1.67%	0.1158	✓	1.34	1.6M	2022-03-03
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9549	0.931748	-2.42%	0.9796	+2.59%	0.0915	✓	1.53	1.9M	2022-03-03
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	52.21	50.9265	-2.46%	90.56	+73.45%	0.4195	✗	1.69	8.8M	2022-03-03
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.488	0.475982	-2.46%	0.448	-8.20%	0.2025	✓	1.54	4.7M	2022-03-03
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3087	0.30099	-2.50%	0.2283	-26.04%	0.4258	✓	1.62	4.2M	2022-03-03
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.49	3.4028	-2.50%	3.962	+13.52%	0.0348	✗	1.27	2.5M	2022-03-03
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.68246	-2.51%	0.72	+2.86%	0.1198	✓	1.88	1.1M	2022-03-03
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.932	0.908604	-2.51%	0.852	-8.58%	0.1918	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-03-03
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	73.37	71.5189	-2.52%	78.49	+6.98%	0.0315	✓	1.35	87.3M	2022-03-03
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.756	0.736847	-2.53%	0.714	-5.56%	0.1305	✓	1.07	1.8M	2022-03-03
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	26.67	25.9905	-2.55%	25.18	-5.59%	0.1848	✓	1.66	2.6M	2022-03-03
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.496	18.0139	-2.61%	19.526	+5.57%	0.0603	✓	1.52	10.6M	2022-03-03
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20659	0.201172	-2.62%	0.16147	-21.84%	0.3698	✓	1.62	25k	2022-03-03
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01011	0.00984	-2.67%	0.00902	-10.78%	0.1833	✓	1.04	565k	2022-03-03
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.37	5.2222	-2.75%	5.38	+0.19%	0.0384	✓	0.74	429k	2022-03-03
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	170.69	165.9899	-2.75%	131.9	-22.73%	0.3395	✓	1.19	1.3M	2022-03-03
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.967	0.939926	-2.80%	0.7967	-17.61%	0.2742	✓	1.18	34.5M	2022-03-03
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4393	0.426944	-2.81%	0.3647	-16.98%	0.2792	✓	1.32	10.0M	2022-03-03
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1189	0.115545	-2.82%	0.095	-20.10%	0.3341	✓	1.50	1.7M	2022-03-03
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.03834	0.037244	-2.86%	0.046937	+22.42%	0.1160	✗	1.25	9.4M	2022-03-03
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	4.2589	4.135	-2.91%	5.6206	+31.97%	0.3071	✗	-0.00	375k	2022-03-03
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1475	1.1128	-3.03%	1.4091	+22.80%	0.1225	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-03-03
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.6	5.4293	-3.05%	5.51	-1.61%	0.0824	✓	1.05	1.0M	2022-03-03
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.062	0.060108	-3.05%	0.0725	+16.94%	0.0660	✗	1.31	556k	2022-03-03
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		8.052	7.8019	-3.11%	6.363	-20.98%	0.2263	✓	0.24	41k	2022-03-03
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.98	5.7941	-3.11%	9.598	+60.50%	0.4043	✗	1.09	2.1M	2022-03-03
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01283	0.012428	-3.13%	0.01236	-3.66%	0.0877	✓	0.89	13k	2022-03-03
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1512	1.1136	-3.26%	1.0476	-9.00%	0.1553	✓	1.02	346k	2022-03-03
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1825	0.176539	-3.27%	0.146	-20.00%	0.2525	✓	0.68	472k	2022-03-03
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	53.47	51.708	-3.30%	53.31	-0.30%	0.0770	✓	1.16	8.0M	2022-03-03
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.125	3.0219	-3.30%	2.882	-7.78%	0.1227	✓	0.81	299k	2022-03-03
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.72	9.3966	-3.33%	10.07	+3.60%	0.0006	✓	0.76	744k	2022-03-03
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.94	20.2287	-3.40%	19.77	-5.59%	0.1697	✓	1.59	465k	2022-03-03
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.7479	3.6201	-3.41%	3.3937	-9.45%	0.1945	✓	1.41	2.5M	2022-03-03
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.92	20.2015	-3.43%	20.13	-3.78%	0.1157	✓	1.21	12.4M	2022-03-03
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020954	0.020215	-3.53%	0.01877	-10.42%	0.1684	✓	1.02	3.0M	2022-03-03
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.46	3.3328	-3.67%	2.508	-27.51%	0.4191	✓	1.46	24.0M	2022-03-03
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	128.16	123.3224	-3.77%	116.89	-8.79%	0.1752	✓	1.32	59k	2022-03-03
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.15	19.3868	-3.79%	19.97	-0.89%	0.0884	✓	1.28	34.3M	2022-03-03
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.98	1.8979	-4.15%	1.85	-6.57%	0.1462	✓	1.31	2.5M	2022-03-03
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	28.86	27.6269	-4.27%	34.01	+17.84%	0.1012	✗	1.15	120.6M	2022-03-03
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.683	2.5613	-4.54%	2.873	+7.08%	0.0263	✓	1.53	986k	2022-03-03
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2826	0.269372	-4.68%	0.2824	-0.07%	0.0591	✓	1.15	557k	2022-03-03
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	76.2874	72.7153	-4.68%	66.5878	-12.71%	0.2058	✓	1.27	383k	2022-03-03
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8742	1.7853	-4.74%	2.773	+47.96%	0.3733	✗	0.73	3.1M	2022-03-03
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.84367	0.802783	-4.85%	0.7113	-15.69%	0.2810	✓	1.73	458k	2022-03-03
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.06	7.6687	-4.85%	6.34	-21.34%	0.2166	✓	0.29	1.8M	2022-03-03
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.37	5.0881	-5.25%	3.808	-29.09%	0.4095	✓	1.30	3.0M	2022-03-03
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2091	3.0385	-5.31%	2.2899	-28.64%	0.3665	✓	0.91	23k	2022-03-03
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6803	2.5319	-5.54%	2.6368	-1.62%	0.0488	✓	0.97	3.1M	2022-03-03
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.03	1.9149	-5.67%	1.545	-23.89%	0.3561	✓	1.53	4.2M	2022-03-03
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4327	0.405983	-6.17%	0.4722	+9.13%	0.0034	✓	1.60	2.0M	2022-03-03
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.337	3.1142	-6.68%	2.941	-11.87%	0.1363	✓	0.86	819k	2022-03-03
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7231	0.672851	-6.95%	0.4943	-31.64%	0.4525	✓	1.56	1.2M	2022-03-03
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5296	0.492662	-6.97%	0.3687	-30.38%	0.4636	✓	1.88	48.9M	2022-03-03
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.042617	0.039327	-7.72%	0.020258	-52.46%	0.8001	✓	1.48	163k	2022-03-03
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0358	0.032958	-7.94%	0.0283	-20.95%	0.2883	✓	1.47	540k	2022-03-03
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,472.18	23,387.65	-8.18%	21,698.86	-14.81%	0.1623	✓	0.95	15.1M	2022-03-03
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.17	1.0736	-8.24%	1.176	+0.51%	0.0543	✓	1.57	490k	2022-03-03
STX	Stacks	native	1.5	1.371	-8.60%	1.21	-19.33%	0.2173	✓	1.00	1.8M	2022-03-03
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.35	3.9539	-9.10%	3.3	-24.14%	0.3102	✓	1.40	8.9M	2022-03-03
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.2411	-9.21%	7.315	+104.90%	0.7955	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-03-03
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04829	0.043553	-9.81%	0.03435	-28.87%	0.3298	✓	1.00	5.4M	2022-03-03
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.133	0.119922	-9.83%	0.118	-11.28%	0.1086	✓	1.00	133k	2022-03-03
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.365	4.8364	-9.85%	3.084	-42.52%	0.5423	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-03
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5575	0.497727	-10.72%	0.5501	-1.33%	0.0082	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-03-03
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0861	0.075745	-12.03%	0.0637	-26.02%	0.4125	✓	2.59	25.7M	2022-03-03
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.23	1.958	-12.20%	1.92	-13.90%	0.1120	✓	1.00	3.1M	2022-03-03
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2044	1.0527	-12.59%	0.865	-28.18%	0.2888	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-03-03

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.