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2022-01-21 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0061
141 of 141 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
72.3%
in alpha space · 78.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.51860.526849+1.59%0.4454-14.11%0.1203✗1.222.4M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04170.042211+1.23%0.0376-9.83%0.0768✗1.0024.3M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.86780.878268+1.21%0.7316-15.69%0.1064✗1.961.1M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase9595.4996+0.53%83.9941-11.59%0.0793✗1.26489k2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8267.858+0.41%6.944-11.27%0.1113✗0.3238k2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.09390.094226+0.35%0.0799-14.91%0.1126✗1.352.0M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.8817.9352+0.31%16.11-9.90%0.0368✗1.814.1M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00920.009228+0.30%0.00793-13.80%0.0576✗2.4123.2M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.22773.2366+0.28%2.9642-8.16%0.0546✗0.862,2572022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03630.036383+0.23%0.0326-10.19%0.0531✗1.461.1M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0611090.061247+0.23%0.05675-7.13%0.0393✗0.95486k2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000022260.000022296+0.16%0.00002053-7.77%0.0282✗1.401.7M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.970.971496+0.15%0.9-7.22%0.0131✗1.63569k2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.18481.1858+0.09%1.0381-12.38%0.0946✗0.99402k2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0416410.041668+0.06%0.036765-11.71%0.0753✗1.289.3M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.055520.055555+0.06%0.05051-9.02%0.0434✗1.3312.0M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67470.675096+0.06%0.5834-13.53%0.0868✗1.521.4M2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25230.252431+0.05%0.2331-7.61%0.0308✗1.261.9M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana112.32112.3636+0.04%94.78-15.62%0.1250✗1.16142.2M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.9721+0.03%6.96-12.67%0.1217✗0.363.1M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2321.235+0.02%18.76-11.63%0.0644✗1.53944k2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.1980.198042+0.02%0.1764-10.91%0.0618✗1.394.3M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.4417.4435+0.02%15.86-9.06%0.0475✗1.2275.4M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum22.0004+0.02%1.77-11.50%0.0699✗1.353.1M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.1972.1973+0.01%1.979-9.92%0.0631✗1.0724k2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.645.6405+0.01%4.8-14.89%0.1352✗0.67494k2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039770.039769-0.00%0.03631-8.70%0.0476✓1.1125k2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2436.2428-0.00%5.6708-9.17%0.0608✓0.914.3M2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9840.983943-0.01%0.87-11.59%0.0694✓1.382.3M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.313.3096-0.01%2.89-12.69%0.0778✓1.4832.4M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.496.489-0.02%5.61-13.56%0.1112✓0.881.0M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06340.063388-0.02%0.0594-6.31%0.0215✓1.1221k2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.4447-0.02%1.366-5.47%0.0097✓1.191.8M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56190.561779-0.02%0.5076-9.66%0.0509✓1.303.2M2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2895-0.02%2.1-8.30%0.0311✓1.422.7M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.012,568.27-0.03%2,411.90-6.12%0.0194✓1.12502.4M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.718-0.03%6.06-9.82%0.0960✓0.181.2M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum9.949.9368-0.03%7.59-23.64%0.2241✓1.173.0M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1420570.142-0.04%0.133158-6.26%0.0226✓1.076.7M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum139.37139.311-0.04%120.3-13.68%0.0995✓1.2188k2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.8624.8471-0.05%23.84-4.10%0.0253✗1.712.7M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.316.3067-0.05%5.63-10.78%0.0851✓0.73652k2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6895.6287-0.05%89.24-6.73%0.0326✓0.941.8M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.5610.560693-0.05%0.496-11.59%0.0625✓1.558.0M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.083240.083184-0.07%0.07873-5.42%0.0091✓1.1838k2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum2.712.708-0.07%2.46-9.23%0.0340✓1.602.2M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum3.963.957-0.08%3.49-11.87%0.0801✓1.172.4M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220820.022065-0.08%0.020108-8.94%0.0501✓1.103.7M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum36,607.8036,579.16-0.08%34,807.70-4.92%0.0107✓1.0018k2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.167040.166907-0.08%0.15638-6.38%0.0057✓1.536,8492022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7640.763386-0.08%0.711-6.94%0.0286✓1.092.0M2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.558460.558007-0.08%0.518861-7.09%0.0260✓1.202.3M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2710.270774-0.08%0.244-9.96%0.0688✓0.9160k2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum23.3123.2905-0.08%21.51-7.72%0.0512✓0.73342k2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.351692-0.09%0.319-9.37%0.0433✓1.391.8M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000079680.000079607-0.09%0.00006839-14.17%0.1116✓1.046.5M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum12.6312.6179-0.10%11.16-11.64%0.0719✓1.3112.7M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.685.6745-0.10%5.06-10.92%0.0758✓1.001.0M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7952.7922-0.10%2.567-8.16%0.0245✓1.531.1M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.730.729254-0.10%0.64-12.33%0.0575✓1.881.3M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011110.011099-0.10%0.00998-10.17%0.0576✓1.252.2M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash102.35102.239-0.11%94.59-7.58%0.0262✓1.338.4M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.0970.096895-0.11%0.0944-2.68%0.0156✗1.0741k2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08340.083308-0.11%0.0732-12.23%0.0829✓1.20269k2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.053880.053818-0.11%0.04896-9.13%0.0364✓1.502.1M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071970.071886-0.12%0.06237-13.34%0.1111✓0.7956k2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14740.147224-0.12%0.1394-5.43%0.0180✓0.94362k2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.5515.5313-0.12%13.19-15.18%0.1215✓1.08841k2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.841.8378-0.12%1.62-11.96%0.0853✓1.052.7M2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.9525.9177-0.12%24.23-6.63%0.0250✓1.093.3M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin36,456.9436,411.19-0.13%35,066.43-3.81%0.0013✗1.00648.0M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash105.73105.5931-0.13%97.07-8.19%0.0371✓1.212.8M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum6.66.5914-0.13%6.11-7.42%0.0353✓1.043.9M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum171.09170.8644-0.13%147.18-13.98%0.1014✓1.2317.6M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161710.01615-0.13%0.014961-7.48%0.0296✓1.202.7M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche66.0765.9822-0.13%59.8-9.49%0.0483✓1.2987.3M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash315.04314.6197-0.13%291.88-7.35%0.0345✓1.047.0M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.917340.916101-0.14%0.80696-12.03%0.0802✓1.202.4M2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum114.44114.2795-0.14%98.78-13.68%0.1075✓0.986.9M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero172.82172.5744-0.14%152.34-11.85%0.0867✓0.982.7M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos3.34173.3369-0.14%2.9521-11.66%0.0704✓1.343.1M2022-01-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.56611.5638-0.15%1.4442-7.78%0.0407✓1.004.2M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.010440.010424-0.15%0.0094-9.96%0.0620✓1.07641k2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48110.480385-0.15%0.4385-8.85%0.0366✓1.402.6M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.010020.010005-0.15%0.00935-6.69%0.0158✓1.341.8M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.239231-0.15%0.2179-9.06%0.0505✓1.10440k2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.566.5494-0.16%5.66-13.72%0.1147✓0.80616k2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.43660.435868-0.17%0.4163-4.65%0.0049✗1.3110.8M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2028620.202518-0.17%0.19237-5.17%0.0098✓1.0724.9M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.03030.030248-0.17%0.02985-1.49%0.0253✗0.998.3M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2091.2069-0.17%1.161-3.97%0.0109✗1.284.0M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.124.1128-0.18%3.665-11.04%0.0862✓0.75445k2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.8570.855486-0.18%0.78-8.98%0.0502✓1.0922.7M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.9511-0.18%4.42-10.89%0.0623✓1.3217.0M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase2.32652.3223-0.18%2.0461-12.05%0.0789✓1.23699k2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.53510.534102-0.19%0.5658+5.74%0.1069✗1.271.7M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.12111.1189-0.19%1.0713-4.44%0.0005✓1.13104.1M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.22192.2174-0.20%2.0434-8.04%0.0375✓1.144.3M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.6719.6298-0.20%18.26-7.17%0.0188✓1.3858.5M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.66721.6637-0.21%1.65-1.03%0.0357✗1.1395k2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative16.80816.7731-0.21%15.129-9.99%0.0413✓1.5910.7M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3923.3847-0.21%3.059-9.82%0.0683✓0.851.1M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum38.5238.4374-0.21%33.44-13.19%0.0940✓1.1625.7M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.462.4547-0.22%2.33-5.28%0.0125✓1.02869k2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.51114.2578-0.22%108.41-5.33%0.0008✓1.3330.5M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration213.87213.3785-0.23%190.08-11.12%0.0697✓1.181.3M2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.810110.808215-0.23%0.71467-11.78%0.0560✓1.72848k2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.12256.1081-0.24%5.5565-9.24%0.0391✓1.43263k2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.29210.291413-0.24%0.2645-9.45%0.0348✓1.604.6M2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5553.5466-0.24%3.0068-15.42%0.1187✓1.193.9M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative0.9060.903825-0.24%0.7987-11.84%0.0670✓1.463.9M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.113.1025-0.24%2.7227-12.45%0.0919✓0.992.2M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43211.4285-0.25%1.5039+5.01%0.0845✗0.851.4M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013940.013904-0.26%0.01275-8.54%0.0531✓0.8621k2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.03031.0276-0.26%0.9512-7.68%0.0306✓1.2032.1M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.53453.5251-0.27%3.6015+1.90%0.0222✗0.02371k2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 264.9464.7637-0.27%62.89-3.16%0.0417✗1.837.7M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1683.1593-0.27%2.804-11.49%0.0898✓0.76526k2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061724-0.28%0.0543-12.28%0.0720✓1.44684k2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.9821.9169-0.29%19.01-13.51%0.0967✓1.1714.5M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.174.1579-0.29%3.78-9.35%0.0484✓1.213.2M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.1924.1174-0.30%20.54-15.09%0.1101✓1.3034.9M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.49.3708-0.31%8.68-7.66%0.0482✓0.73800k2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.71864.7039-0.31%4.2394-10.16%0.0580✓1.18443k2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.9575.9378-0.32%5.8-2.64%0.0072✗0.79163k2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.452.442-0.33%2.08-15.10%0.1053✓1.427.4M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum25,741.6425,657.24-0.33%22,897.64-11.05%0.0816✓0.8320.9M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.89130.88835-0.33%0.7106-20.27%0.1754✓1.23108k2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7381.732-0.34%1.506-13.35%0.0918✓1.241.9M2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase38.9438.8056-0.35%35.28-9.40%0.0350✓1.55620k2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4213.3719-0.36%12.62-5.96%0.0311✓0.69813k2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.12016-0.37%0.1135-5.89%0.0048✓1.344.3M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.92.8889-0.38%2.34-19.31%0.1670✓1.12737k2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum58.3958.1559-0.40%50.17-14.08%0.1022✓1.176.3M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0614240.061178-0.40%0.054184-11.79%0.0825✓1.00644k2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos34.6434.4969-0.41%29.27-15.50%0.1265✓0.97104.1M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.16390.163108-0.48%0.1498-8.60%0.0585✓0.68536k2022-01-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase8.6478.6017-0.52%7.392-14.51%0.1127✓1.001.7M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63650.632938-0.56%0.5482-13.87%0.0737✓1.8046.2M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3518.2831-0.81%6.424-23.08%0.2151✓1.01301k2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.5933-1.22%4.82+3.66%0.0649✗0.43471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.