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2022-01-19 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1393
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.5%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,674.2741,980.72+0.74%39,983.56-4.06%0.0073✗1.00636.6M2022-02-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.018950.019022+0.38%0.015984-15.65%0.1232✗1.232.7M2022-02-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,724.0041,750.15+0.06%40,196.70-3.66%0.0030✓0.9916k2022-02-18
XMRMoneroMonero201.62201.4733-0.07%160.94-20.18%0.1837✓0.992.9M2022-02-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.072180.072101-0.11%0.04965-31.21%0.3139✓1.432.3M2022-02-18
TRXTRONTron0.0691920.069037-0.22%0.063085-8.83%0.0509✓0.95489k2022-02-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.677.6413-0.37%5.97-22.16%0.2206✓0.63660k2022-02-18
NANOnanopayBase3.05553.0416-0.45%2.0548-32.75%0.3453✓1.13665k2022-02-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,085.273,066.63-0.60%2,780.08-9.89%0.0536✓1.08485.8M2022-02-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046920.046586-0.71%0.04101-12.60%0.0821✓1.1023k2022-02-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027260.000027044-0.79%0.00002815+3.26%0.0962✗1.351.7M2022-02-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.40327.3387-0.87%7.2333-2.29%0.0454✗1.44263k2022-02-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.071620.070975-0.90%0.02552-64.37%0.9726✓1.2112.4M2022-02-18
MOVRMoonriverBase120.5322119.3802-0.96%83.1979-30.97%0.3143✓1.13489k2022-02-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain43.9614-0.96%3.076-23.10%0.2008✓1.264.0M2022-02-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.8126.5265-1.06%29.08+8.47%0.1213✗0.71353k2022-02-18
DODODODOEthereum0.7010.693214-1.11%0.494-29.53%0.2770✓1.498.0M2022-02-18
DASHDashDash126.8125.3447-1.15%105.32-16.94%0.1246✓1.192.8M2022-02-18
LRCLoopringEthereum1.18351.1697-1.16%0.877-25.90%0.2088✓1.911.3M2022-02-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7934.7328-1.26%4.716-1.61%0.0243✗0.67457k2022-02-18
UNIUniswapEthereum15.1214.921-1.32%10.16-32.80%0.3298✓1.3212.4M2022-02-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07610.075088-1.33%0.0682-10.38%0.0508✓1.1021k2022-02-18
ZECZcashZcash125.87124.1676-1.35%109.21-13.24%0.0747✓1.309.5M2022-02-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.037180.036665-1.38%0.02928-21.25%0.1871✓0.918.4M2022-02-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.5621.2515-1.43%15.2-29.50%0.2853✓1.2072.8M2022-02-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.100440.09886-1.57%0.09046-9.94%0.0415✓1.1431k2022-02-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7091.6819-1.59%1.518-11.18%0.0545✓1.161.9M2022-02-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.04921.0323-1.61%0.8015-23.61%0.2121✓0.9923.2M2022-02-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1421.783-1.61%15.77-28.77%0.2456✓1.873.9M2022-02-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.092.0562-1.62%1.59-23.92%0.2127✓1.072.7M2022-02-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.343319-1.63%0.261-25.21%0.2416✓0.7951k2022-02-18
AAVEAaveEthereum210.15206.6732-1.65%145.64-30.70%0.3000✓1.2117.6M2022-02-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2455670.241487-1.66%0.200634-18.30%0.1424✓1.0423.9M2022-02-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.65463.5928-1.69%5.708+56.19%0.4603✗-0.06371k2022-02-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1510.148412-1.71%0.1365-9.60%0.0314✓1.264.2M2022-02-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0623.6361-1.76%17.83-25.89%0.2258✓1.3658.5M2022-02-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1617050.158785-1.81%0.138612-14.28%0.0904✓1.106.4M2022-02-18
ADACardanoCardano1.33661.3123-1.82%0.9958-25.50%0.2294✓1.1399.0M2022-02-18
XTZTezosTezos3.88493.8137-1.83%3.6234-6.73%0.0059✓1.383.2M2022-02-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2941.2702-1.84%1.104-14.68%0.0834✓1.373.8M2022-02-18
QNTQuantEthereum135.59132.9141-1.97%113.58-16.23%0.1184✓0.946.7M2022-02-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum26.1325.6129-1.98%20.51-21.51%0.1578✓1.551.0M2022-02-18
SOLSolanaSolana135.33132.6419-1.99%89.9-33.57%0.3418✓1.14147.7M2022-02-18
XVSVenusEthereum12.5212.2695-2.00%10.35-17.33%0.1228✓1.142.7M2022-02-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.24630.241321-2.02%0.1967-20.14%0.1490✓1.344.0M2022-02-18
XECeCashnative0.000092270.000090397-2.03%0.0000786-14.82%0.0977✓1.026.5M2022-02-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.577.4161-2.03%6.37-15.85%0.1203✓0.77638k2022-02-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.2730.6339-2.03%28.96-7.39%0.0116✓1.083.2M2022-02-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.912.8506-2.04%2.38-18.21%0.1393✓0.99855k2022-02-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.11910.116638-2.07%0.0978-17.88%0.1226✓1.292.1M2022-02-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4690.459295-2.07%0.322-31.34%0.3008✓1.311.8M2022-02-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10120.099094-2.08%0.0797-21.25%0.1711✓1.13240k2022-02-18
GTGateEthereum7.16.9436-2.20%6.6403-6.47%0.0091✓0.864.3M2022-02-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013940.013632-2.21%0.01204-13.63%0.0699✓1.312.1M2022-02-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin136.2133.1781-2.22%114.85-15.68%0.0920✓1.3531.1M2022-02-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin27.5926.9643-2.27%21.02-23.81%0.2039✓1.0914.5M2022-02-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0266240.026018-2.28%0.019599-26.39%0.2407✓1.034.4M2022-02-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.45106.958-2.28%87.44-20.11%0.1621✓0.951.8M2022-02-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.930.908817-2.28%0.89-4.30%0.0585✗1.921.4M2022-02-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17120.167266-2.30%0.1446-15.54%0.1078✓0.91380k2022-02-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2192.1663-2.38%1.674-24.56%0.2110✓1.131.9M2022-02-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.6480.6708-2.38%83.75+1.34%0.0869✗1.1992.3M2022-02-18
XVGVergenative0.012670.012365-2.40%0.01063-16.10%0.0996✓1.251.9M2022-02-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29820.291028-2.41%0.2543-14.72%0.0816✓1.292.0M2022-02-18
XEMNEMnative0.11260.109874-2.42%0.1011-10.21%0.0394✓1.0641k2022-02-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.171.1417-2.42%0.99-15.38%0.0733✓1.67556k2022-02-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.7804-2.44%4.37-10.82%0.0402✓1.203.2M2022-02-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.6745.5285-2.45%43.09-7.67%0.0092✓1.1124.3M2022-02-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.0318.5585-2.48%14.44-24.12%0.2070✓1.06841k2022-02-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.8514.478-2.51%15.2+2.36%0.0768✗0.68862k2022-02-18
UMAUMAEthereum8.268.0426-2.63%5.92-28.33%0.2667✓0.964.1M2022-02-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.960.934488-2.66%0.771-19.69%0.1518✓0.982.1M2022-02-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.438.2054-2.66%5.29-37.25%0.4089✓0.73995k2022-02-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6849680.666718-2.66%0.594984-13.14%0.0661✓1.152.3M2022-02-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.194.0775-2.69%2.81-32.94%0.3138✓1.4132.4M2022-02-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.52440.510306-2.69%0.4126-21.32%0.1583✓1.3111.3M2022-02-18
COMPCompoundEthereum172.8168.1271-2.70%121.52-29.68%0.2761✓1.1795k2022-02-18
IMXImmutableEthereum3.563.463-2.73%2.05-42.42%0.4640✓1.452.2M2022-02-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash369.1358.9907-2.74%310.22-15.95%0.1039✓1.026.6M2022-02-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.44865.2975-2.77%4.35-20.16%0.1463✓1.23446k2022-02-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.366.1832-2.78%5.25-17.45%0.1363✓0.66524k2022-02-18
BANDBandEthereum4.914.7716-2.82%4.7-4.28%0.0308✗1.112.2M2022-02-18
KSMKusamaHydration243.71236.7068-2.87%150.07-38.42%0.4063✓1.191.3M2022-02-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0511150.049639-2.89%0.0487-4.72%0.0307✗1.208.4M2022-02-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17860.173298-2.97%0.1609-9.91%0.0460✓0.68573k2022-02-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07740.075095-2.98%0.0812+4.91%0.1361✗1.40949k2022-02-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.05091.9892-3.01%1.6654-18.80%0.1315✓1.1189k2022-02-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6273.5171-3.03%3.02-16.74%0.1230✓0.71523k2022-02-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.333.2291-3.03%1.58-52.55%0.6614✓1.298.5M2022-02-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.08530.082702-3.05%0.07167-15.98%0.1128✓0.7355k2022-02-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,142.2931,156.61-3.07%21,934.46-31.76%0.3227✓0.6821.5M2022-02-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.393.2855-3.08%2.43-28.32%0.2566✓1.09808k2022-02-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.6232.542-3.09%2.222-15.29%0.0970✓0.9125k2022-02-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04860.047075-3.14%0.0302-37.86%0.3873✓1.371.3M2022-02-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.26591.226-3.15%0.895-29.30%0.2657✓1.1830.5M2022-02-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.16931.1316-3.22%1.196+2.28%0.0993✗1.062.4M2022-02-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2221.1824-3.24%0.86-29.62%0.2617✓1.372.4M2022-02-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14213.0384-3.30%3.1093-1.04%0.0719✗1.182.1M2022-02-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.0096.7732-3.36%6.389-8.85%0.0048✓1.29271k2022-02-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum71.8269.3903-3.38%55.59-22.60%0.1770✓1.086.4M2022-02-18
ZENHorizenBase49.9348.1993-3.47%37.11-25.68%0.1995✓1.49636k2022-02-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.2727.0186-3.48%5.881-19.13%0.1480✓0.70170k2022-02-18
KCSKuCoinnative19.95119.249-3.52%19.552-2.00%0.0823✗1.6110.6M2022-02-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.472.3814-3.59%1.82-26.32%0.2140✓1.323.2M2022-02-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68380.65762-3.83%0.5229-23.53%0.1763✓1.283.3M2022-02-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.229.8195-3.92%10.17-0.49%0.0661✗0.75808k2022-02-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.3660.351536-3.95%0.247-32.51%0.2908✓1.504.1M2022-02-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.75920.72851-4.04%0.5205-31.44%0.2929✓1.052.5M2022-02-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.015850.015209-4.04%0.01279-19.31%0.1423✓0.7522k2022-02-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.358.0037-4.15%7.67-8.14%0.0430✓-0.011.3M2022-02-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.4621.4012-4.16%1.0419-28.73%0.2594✓0.89423k2022-02-18
SCSiacoinnative0.01270.012161-4.24%0.00961-24.33%0.1940✓1.00641k2022-02-18
HIVEHivenative1.13861.0898-4.29%0.9999-12.18%0.0278✓1.413.7M2022-02-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum26.5325.3774-4.34%19.61-26.08%0.1989✓1.4234.3M2022-02-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.92710.885927-4.44%0.5682-38.71%0.3861✓1.401.5M2022-02-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.4330.9799-4.47%25.01-22.88%0.1450✓1.672.7M2022-02-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.011720.011188-4.54%0.00516-55.97%0.6730✓2.4423.2M2022-02-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05750.054884-4.55%0.0602+4.70%0.1339✗1.0024.3M2022-02-18
RADRadworksEthereum7.016.6901-4.56%5.3-24.39%0.1962✓0.891.1M2022-02-18
MANADecentralandEthereum2.73462.608-4.63%2.97+8.61%0.1729✗1.044.5M2022-02-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9563.7694-4.72%3.181-19.59%0.1368✓0.801.1M2022-02-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57840.550192-4.88%0.4211-27.20%0.2099✓1.392.7M2022-02-18
GITCOINGITCOIN10.2749.7663-4.94%6.903-32.81%0.3429✓0.1040k2022-02-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.199130.189114-5.03%0.17101-14.12%0.0357✓1.576,5192022-02-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.956760.90861-5.03%0.75452-21.14%0.1118✓1.79866k2022-02-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5371.4558-5.28%2.1176+37.77%0.4095✗0.841.2M2022-02-18
LUNATerraTerra 281.2776.8457-5.44%50.61-37.73%0.3405✓1.867.7M2022-02-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.12.9238-5.68%1.61-48.06%0.5450✓1.252.7M2022-02-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.04570.985023-5.80%1.6049+53.48%0.5323✗1.07108k2022-02-18
SUSHISushiEthereum6.055.6512-6.59%3.91-35.37%0.3147✓1.3017.7M2022-02-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.99393.7221-6.80%2.9795-25.40%0.1915✓0.752,2572022-02-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.219.49-7.05%6.93-32.13%0.3076✓0.162.8M2022-02-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.29830.277202-7.07%0.2677-10.26%0.0080✓1.03397k2022-02-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.84660.784367-7.35%0.4198-50.41%0.5514✓1.7846.2M2022-02-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.2823.0392-7.40%2.581-21.36%0.0920✓1.721.2M2022-02-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos37.0734.259-7.58%26.85-27.57%0.2035✓0.9798.5M2022-02-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.075110.068789-8.42%0.026937-64.14%0.8961✓1.00719k2022-02-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.57010.519398-8.89%0.5612-1.56%0.1351✗1.391.5M2022-02-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.353.9345-9.55%6.01+38.16%0.4641✗0.98471k2022-02-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.