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2022-01-18 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0624
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.9%
in alpha space · 79.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.5517-1.90%4.35-6.25%0.0295✓0.95471k2022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08034.0241-1.38%3.9939-2.12%0.0048✓0.752,2572022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.40433-1.19%0.366-10.56%0.0750✓1.494.1M2022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.3426-1.05%3.282-2.84%0.0103✓1.731.2M2022-01-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.907851-0.82%0.8466-7.52%0.0406✓1.7748.9M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.196235-0.79%0.19913+0.68%0.0407✗1.576,4462022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4111.3258-0.74%10.21-10.52%0.1013✓0.152.8M2022-01-19
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03521.0282-0.68%1.0457+1.01%0.0348✗1.08108k2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.310698-0.67%0.2983-4.64%0.0237✓1.03397k2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.598901-0.63%0.5701-5.41%0.0263✓1.391.5M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.2302-0.61%3.1-4.62%0.0206✓1.242.8M2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2738.037-0.61%37.07-3.14%0.0097✓0.9798.5M2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38211.317-0.57%10.274-9.73%0.0953✓0.0844k2022-01-19
LUNATerraTerra 280.4980.0684-0.52%81.27+0.97%0.0460✗1.887.6M2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.912-0.52%5.4486-8.32%0.0615✓1.22457k2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.606168-0.51%0.5784-5.07%0.0240✓1.382.7M2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.4657-0.49%1.537+4.34%0.0615✗0.851.1M2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.2081-0.47%3.1421-2.52%0.0013✓1.182.3M2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.01672-0.42%0.01585-5.60%0.0412✓0.7423k2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.4359-0.41%3.39-1.74%0.0045✗1.09811k2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.8479-0.39%2.7346-4.35%0.0236✓1.034.6M2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.679131-0.36%0.6838+0.32%0.0281✗1.283.5M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0933.975-0.34%32.43-4.87%0.0190✓1.662.7M2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6432.5303-0.34%31.27-4.20%0.0218✓1.073.0M2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase52.3252.1479-0.33%49.93-4.57%0.0188✓1.49642k2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.013257-0.33%0.0127-4.51%0.0264✓1.00654k2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.956181-0.33%0.9271-3.36%0.0077✓1.401.5M2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.5289-0.31%3.33-5.93%0.0368✓1.288.5M2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.08162.0752-0.30%2.0509-1.47%0.0067✗1.1189k2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative20.37120.3093-0.30%19.951-2.06%0.0088✗1.6110.7M2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.6829-0.30%2.623-2.53%0.0076✓0.9125k2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.2324-0.30%1.1693-5.40%0.0350✓1.062.6M2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00431.0013-0.29%0.95676-4.73%0.0160✓1.78896k2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.374915-0.29%0.349-7.18%0.0588✓0.7847k2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3410.3103-0.29%10.22-1.16%0.0036✗0.75872k2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.718011-0.28%0.684968-4.87%0.0281✓1.152.4M2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.080572-0.28%0.0774-4.21%0.0171✓1.40990k2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1174.1054-0.28%3.956-3.91%0.0239✓0.791.1M2022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4132,507.75-0.27%32,142.29-1.39%0.0000✓0.6822.2M2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8673.6614-0.27%71.82-2.76%0.0074✓1.086.4M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47380.489-0.26%369.1-3.24%0.0136✓1.027.0M2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.079402-0.25%0.0761-4.40%0.0244✓1.0921k2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.4144-0.24%6.36-1.09%0.0024✓0.66564k2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.4554-0.24%1.3366-8.38%0.0667✓1.1198.5M2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.21491.212-0.24%1.1386-6.28%0.0393✓1.403.7M2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.497851-0.23%0.469-6.01%0.0381✓1.311.8M2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.7074-0.22%14.85+0.75%0.0209✗0.68916k2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.3387-0.22%7.272-1.13%0.0024✗0.70170k2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.5469-0.22%1.462-5.69%0.0418✓0.88423k2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum44.9744.8737-0.21%46.67+3.78%0.0577✗1.1223.6M2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.4242-0.21%7.01-5.78%0.0429✓0.881.1M2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.11420.113963-0.21%0.1126-1.40%0.0055✗1.0643k2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.258476-0.20%0.2463-4.90%0.0262✓1.334.0M2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.7126-0.20%3.56-4.30%0.0180✓1.452.2M2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35177.9948-0.20%172.8-3.11%0.0103✓1.17100k2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.97807-0.20%0.93-5.10%0.0188✓1.911.5M2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.5451-0.19%2.47-3.14%0.0081✓1.323.2M2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5619.5225-0.19%19.03-2.71%0.0080✓1.06841k2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.7199-0.19%3.627-2.68%0.0136✓0.71526k2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.027114-0.18%0.026624-1.99%0.0012✓1.035.2M2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.9272-0.18%4.793-2.90%0.0165✓0.67469k2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.013220.013197-0.17%0.01267-4.16%0.0202✓1.242.0M2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.055.0414-0.17%4.91-2.77%0.0081✓1.112.1M2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.253572-0.17%0.245567-3.32%0.0150✓1.0324.4M2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration253.4252.9903-0.16%243.71-3.82%0.0177✓1.191.4M2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.035.0219-0.16%4.9-2.58%0.0048✓1.203.2M2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.9275-0.16%8.26+4.03%0.0571✗0.973.9M2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum7.04647.0355-0.16%7.1+0.76%0.0234✗0.864.1M2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.312416-0.15%0.2982-4.70%0.0254✓1.282.0M2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8427.7972-0.15%26.13-6.14%0.0362✓1.551.0M2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53141.3126-0.15%136.2-3.77%0.0145✓1.3531.1M2022-01-19
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45232.0931-0.15%210.15-9.59%0.0796✓1.1917.6M2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.6653-0.15%3.6546-0.44%0.0040✓-0.06361k2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.530115-0.15%0.5244-1.22%0.0109✗1.3111.7M2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.0883-0.15%0.0853-3.54%0.0225✓0.7350k2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2781-0.15%1.17-8.59%0.0609✓1.66556k2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1525.1149-0.14%24.06-4.33%0.0205✓1.3560.5M2022-01-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.07592-0.14%0.07511-1.20%0.0058✗1.001.1M2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.186148-0.14%0.1786-4.18%0.0302✓0.68577k2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.7784-0.13%8.35-5.01%0.0503✓-0.021.3M2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.052007-0.13%0.051115-1.85%0.0026✗1.209.0M2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.023.016-0.13%2.91-3.64%0.0194✓0.99891k2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.174676-0.13%0.1712-2.12%0.0050✓0.91397k2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2627.2258-0.13%26.81-1.65%0.0036✓0.71353k2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0081.0068-0.12%0.96-4.76%0.0315✓0.972.2M2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.3163-0.12%1.2659-3.95%0.0195✓1.1830.5M2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.038824-0.12%0.03718-4.35%0.0282✓0.918.4M2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41108.282-0.12%109.45+0.96%0.0265✗0.961.9M2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0285.9213-0.11%82.64-3.93%0.0193✓1.19100.4M2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3829.3465-0.11%26.53-9.70%0.0775✓1.4134.3M2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.8218-0.11%7.4032-5.46%0.0312✓1.44263k2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.104882-0.11%0.1012-3.62%0.0171✓1.12244k2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.8016-0.11%7.57-3.07%0.0175✓0.77652k2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.11624.1119-0.10%3.8849-5.62%0.0341✓1.373.3M2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2717-0.10%1.222-4.01%0.0172✓1.372.4M2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.105305-0.10%0.10044-4.71%0.0285✓1.1430k2022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.5555-0.10%4.19-8.11%0.0604✓1.4032.4M2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum13.0413.0272-0.10%12.52-3.99%0.0208✓1.142.7M2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos76.9934-0.09%7.009+0.13%0.0237✗1.30271k2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4042,457.86-0.09%41,724.00-1.82%0.0011✓0.9914k2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7925-0.08%1.709-4.74%0.0286✓1.162.0M2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.7846-0.07%7.67-1.54%0.0043✓0.63680k2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.01424-0.07%0.01394-2.18%0.0004✓1.312.1M2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.153996-0.07%0.151-2.01%0.0013✗1.264.2M2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.1008-0.06%1.0492-4.75%0.0317✓0.9823.2M2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.1886-0.06%2.09-4.57%0.0284✓1.072.7M2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4828.4654-0.05%27.59-3.12%0.0132✓1.0915.1M2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.0000281-0.03%0.00002726-3.02%0.0080✓1.351.8M2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11974.1183-0.03%4-2.91%0.0083✓1.264.1M2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana141.35141.3035-0.03%135.33-4.26%0.0244✓1.14152.8M2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero204.44204.3826-0.03%201.62-1.38%0.0027✗0.993.1M2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum146.04145.9991-0.03%135.59-7.16%0.0586✓0.936.7M2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000095650.000095628-0.02%0.00009227-3.53%0.0190✓1.016.5M2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.075123-0.02%0.07218-3.94%0.0164✓1.432.3M2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.064775-0.02%0.07162+10.54%0.1208✗1.2312.4M2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.16512-0.02%0.161705-2.09%0.0027✓1.106.0M2022-01-19
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9815.9775-0.02%15.12-5.38%0.0335✓1.3112.4M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9822.9777-0.01%21.56-6.18%0.0439✓1.2072.8M2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.129295-0.00%0.1191-7.89%0.0609✓1.282.1M2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.348-0.00%1.294-4.01%0.0182✓1.373.8M2022-01-19
DASHDashDash130.54130.5412+0.00%126.8-2.87%0.0093✗1.192.8M2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.9251+0.01%3.0555+4.47%0.0625✓1.14665k2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.739092+0.01%0.701-5.14%0.0283✗1.498.0M2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.048149+0.02%0.04692-2.53%0.0077✗1.1023k2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.2775+0.02%2.219-2.55%0.0073✗1.132.0M2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.049921+0.04%0.0486-2.61%0.0042✗1.371.3M2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash131.97132.0267+0.04%125.87-4.62%0.0264✗1.2910.6M2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum6.216.2129+0.05%6.05-2.58%0.0051✗1.3017.7M2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.7843+0.05%8.43-3.99%0.0292✗0.72995k2022-01-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7442,390.66+0.05%41,674.27-1.64%0.0005✗1.00636.6M2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,162.72+0.06%3,085.27-2.39%0.0070✗1.07496.9M2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.019483+0.07%0.01895-2.67%0.0074✗1.232.7M2022-01-19
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.068495+0.11%0.069192+1.13%0.0259✓0.95494k2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012758+0.14%0.01172-8.01%0.0448✗2.4223.7M2022-01-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.866437+0.19%0.7592-12.21%0.1151✗1.032.6M2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.4464+0.20%22.14-5.38%0.0265✗1.863.9M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385126.6495+0.21%120.5322-4.63%0.0309✗1.13489k2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1645+0.28%1.1835+1.92%0.0479✓1.921.3M2022-01-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.063321+0.35%0.0575-8.87%0.0799✗1.0024.6M2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.