2022-01-13 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0423

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.88%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

56.8%

in alpha space · 58.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.20%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.066158	0.066452	+0.44%	0.067658	+2.27%	0.0068	✓	0.94	552k	2022-01-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.1801	0.180816	+0.40%	0.22239	+23.48%	0.1887	✓	1.54	5,360	2022-01-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,708.50	42,831.98	+0.29%	43,294.10	+1.37%	0.0009	✓	0.98	14k	2022-01-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6645	0.666246	+0.26%	0.7107	+6.95%	0.0497	✓	1.25	4.0M	2022-01-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.18	4.191	+0.26%	4.269	+2.13%	0.0091	✓	0.78	1.1M	2022-01-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	29.3	29.3765	+0.26%	29.7	+1.37%	0.0066	✗	1.48	1.0M	2022-01-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.99	56.1345	+0.26%	53.8	-3.91%	0.0593	✗	1.42	686k	2022-01-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.264	0.26467	+0.25%	0.2668	+1.06%	0.0076	✗	1.31	4.2M	2022-01-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0793	0.079499	+0.25%	0.079	-0.38%	0.0182	✗	1.00	28.0M	2022-01-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	19.79	19.8389	+0.25%	20.29	+2.53%	0.0137	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-01-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.7966	+0.24%	2.92	+4.66%	0.0285	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-01-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.37	1.3732	+0.23%	1.38	+0.73%	0.0146	✗	1.64	582k	2022-01-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	13.85	13.8818	+0.23%	14	+1.08%	0.0050	✗	1.13	3.2M	2022-01-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002968	0.000029743	+0.21%	0.00003084	+3.91%	0.0203	✓	1.34	1.7M	2022-01-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.5609	7.5767	+0.21%	7.8442	+3.75%	0.0184	✓	1.37	268k	2022-01-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0695	0.069632	+0.19%	0.0707	+1.73%	0.0008	✓	1.21	16.9M	2022-01-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1089	0.109093	+0.18%	0.113	+3.76%	0.0219	✓	1.11	303k	2022-01-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1388	0.139021	+0.16%	0.1392	+0.29%	0.0140	✗	1.28	2.4M	2022-01-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09247	0.092615	+0.16%	0.09336	+0.96%	0.0006	✓	0.73	52k	2022-01-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3204	0.3209	+0.16%	0.3291	+2.72%	0.0131	✓	1.02	397k	2022-01-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.019	1.0206	+0.16%	0.9779	-4.03%	0.0552	✗	1.05	3.1M	2022-01-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7733	6.7836	+0.15%	6.8128	+0.58%	0.0053	✗	0.81	3.8M	2022-01-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.58	9.5943	+0.15%	9.84	+2.71%	0.0255	✓	-0.02	1.6M	2022-01-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.804	2.8081	+0.15%	2.857	+1.89%	0.0066	✓	0.89	26k	2022-01-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.737451	0.738527	+0.15%	0.748205	+1.46%	0.0000	✓	1.10	2.8M	2022-01-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	15.46	15.4822	+0.14%	15.87	+2.65%	0.0096	✓	1.27	12.4M	2022-01-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.823	1.8256	+0.14%	1.853	+1.65%	0.0014	✓	1.14	2.2M	2022-01-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.301	1.3027	+0.13%	1.308	+0.54%	0.0119	✗	1.35	2.8M	2022-01-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	25.69	25.7236	+0.13%	26.28	+2.30%	0.0005	✓	1.84	4.3M	2022-01-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.77	0.771005	+0.13%	0.802	+4.16%	0.0222	✓	1.45	8.0M	2022-01-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.73	2.7334	+0.12%	2.77	+1.47%	0.0022	✗	1.31	3.2M	2022-01-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.357415	+0.12%	0.366	+2.52%	0.0149	✓	0.75	43k	2022-01-14
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4953	1.497	+0.11%	1.4707	-1.65%	0.0403	✗	1.90	1.4M	2022-01-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,241.88	3,245.55	+0.11%	3,310.45	+2.12%	0.0074	✓	1.05	560.6M	2022-01-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.72	27.7513	+0.11%	28.42	+2.53%	0.0158	✓	0.68	360k	2022-01-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10876	0.108881	+0.11%	0.10933	+0.52%	0.0092	✗	1.12	25k	2022-01-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,581.65	42,628.54	+0.11%	43,090.72	+1.20%	0.0011	✓	1.00	730.7M	2022-01-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	161	161.175	+0.11%	157.2002	-2.36%	0.0368	✗	1.00	540k	2022-01-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.3	8.309	+0.11%	8.39	+1.08%	0.0019	✗	0.97	4.4M	2022-01-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01482	0.014835	+0.10%	0.015	+1.21%	0.0042	✗	1.29	2.2M	2022-01-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	209.41	209.6189	+0.10%	224.05	+6.99%	0.0532	✓	1.13	17.6M	2022-01-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01377	0.013783	+0.09%	0.01389	+0.87%	0.0069	✗	1.23	2.1M	2022-01-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009497	0.00009506	+0.09%	0.00009702	+2.16%	0.0085	✓	1.00	6.6M	2022-01-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01926	0.019278	+0.09%	0.02049	+6.39%	0.0463	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-01-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1086	1.1096	+0.09%	1.1223	+1.24%	0.0002	✓	0.97	23.2M	2022-01-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.07897	0.079044	+0.09%	0.08072	+2.22%	0.0041	✓	1.42	2.6M	2022-01-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.0877	2.0896	+0.09%	2.0924	+0.23%	0.0110	✗	1.04	94k	2022-01-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8032	3.8067	+0.09%	3.7699	-0.88%	0.0090	✗	-0.06	364k	2022-01-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.5749	1.5762	+0.08%	1.6069	+2.03%	0.0088	✓	0.88	558k	2022-01-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01348	0.013491	+0.08%	0.01386	+2.82%	0.0154	✓	0.98	686k	2022-01-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.49	3.4927	+0.08%	3.55	+1.72%	0.0002	✓	1.38	2.2M	2022-01-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	28.51	28.5316	+0.08%	29.72	+4.24%	0.0281	✓	1.07	16.0M	2022-01-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.37	141.4628	+0.07%	141.12	-0.18%	0.0164	✗	1.18	2.8M	2022-01-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.08	5.0833	+0.06%	5.22	+2.76%	0.0127	✓	1.16	3.3M	2022-01-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	146.24	146.3333	+0.06%	146.17	-0.05%	0.0135	✗	1.04	185.4M	2022-01-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.783	3.7854	+0.06%	3.845	+1.64%	0.0073	✓	0.70	526k	2022-01-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1567	0.156791	+0.06%	0.1754	+11.93%	0.0978	✓	1.21	4.2M	2022-01-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028546	0.028562	+0.05%	0.028431	-0.40%	0.0168	✗	1.03	5.9M	2022-01-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	31.39	31.407	+0.05%	32.54	+3.66%	0.0190	✓	1.39	33.4M	2022-01-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.1161	4.1183	+0.05%	4.285	+4.10%	0.0237	✓	1.34	4.4M	2022-01-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,460.45	31,476.10	+0.05%	32,239.49	+2.48%	0.0160	✓	0.67	26.4M	2022-01-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	143.25	143.3159	+0.05%	142.55	-0.49%	0.0200	✗	1.23	10.9M	2022-01-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01444	0.014447	+0.05%	0.01434	-0.69%	0.0358	✗	2.39	26.8M	2022-01-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.027	1.0275	+0.05%	1.055	+2.73%	0.0152	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-01-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.71	6.713	+0.04%	6.68	-0.45%	0.0128	✗	0.66	643k	2022-01-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	35.73	35.7455	+0.04%	36.25	+1.46%	0.0057	✗	1.66	2.7M	2022-01-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.081503	0.081537	+0.04%	0.083638	+2.62%	0.0136	✓	1.00	2.6M	2022-01-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	30.28	30.2921	+0.04%	31.98	+5.61%	0.0422	✓	1.01	2.9M	2022-01-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.64	3.6414	+0.04%	3.92	+7.69%	0.0647	✓	0.76	471k	2022-01-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0792	0.079228	+0.04%	0.0813	+2.65%	0.0131	✓	1.07	19k	2022-01-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.14	3.1411	+0.04%	3.19	+1.59%	0.0040	✓	0.96	923k	2022-01-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1158	0.115834	+0.03%	0.1192	+2.94%	0.0166	✓	1.01	57k	2022-01-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	377.35	377.461	+0.03%	385.65	+2.20%	0.0096	✓	0.99	8.1M	2022-01-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	73.12	73.1392	+0.03%	73.7	+0.79%	0.0051	✗	1.07	6.3M	2022-01-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.611	7.6127	+0.02%	7.673	+0.81%	0.0071	✗	1.27	291k	2022-01-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0137	1.0139	+0.02%	1.0305	+1.66%	0.0004	✗	1.40	1.5M	2022-01-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.512	0.51206	+0.01%	0.521	+1.76%	0.0021	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-01-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3822	1.3823	+0.01%	1.4198	+2.72%	0.0166	✓	0.86	922k	2022-01-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8936	2.8938	+0.01%	2.955	+2.12%	0.0088	✓	1.02	5.3M	2022-01-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.585	19.5865	+0.01%	20.08	+2.53%	0.0060	✓	1.59	11.7M	2022-01-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.28	3.2802	+0.01%	3.46	+5.49%	0.0409	✓	1.05	808k	2022-01-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.54	9.5404	+0.00%	9.5	-0.42%	0.0126	✗	0.70	1.1M	2022-01-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.04	8.0397	-0.00%	7.92	-1.49%	0.0255	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-01-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.311	0.310977	-0.01%	0.3321	+6.78%	0.0506	✗	1.27	2.2M	2022-01-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.93	40.9266	-0.01%	44.73	+9.28%	0.0764	✗	1.05	21.5M	2022-01-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0577	0.057692	-0.01%	0.059654	+3.39%	0.0196	✗	1.17	7.5M	2022-01-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1924	0.192369	-0.02%	0.1929	+0.26%	0.0054	✓	0.68	441k	2022-01-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0337	1.0335	-0.02%	1.0526	+1.83%	0.0025	✓	1.75	986k	2022-01-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		109.36	109.3392	-0.02%	113.04	+3.37%	0.0222	✗	0.94	2.2M	2022-01-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	24.88	24.875	-0.02%	25.74	+3.46%	0.0208	✗	1.13	74.3M	2022-01-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.707	-0.02%	14.96	+1.70%	0.0091	✗	0.67	1.1M	2022-01-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3308	0.330732	-0.02%	0.335	+1.27%	0.0044	✓	1.45	3.8M	2022-01-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.03	7.0286	-0.02%	7.03	+0.00%	0.0150	✓	1.28	17.7M	2022-01-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.92	7.9181	-0.02%	7.91	-0.13%	0.0084	✓	0.62	694k	2022-01-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04068	0.04067	-0.03%	0.04111	+1.06%	0.0002	✓	0.89	8.4M	2022-01-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2328	1.2324	-0.03%	1.2931	+4.89%	0.0348	✗	1.11	95.6M	2022-01-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5711	0.570908	-0.03%	0.5792	+1.42%	0.0001	✓	1.21	12.5M	2022-01-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	25.82	25.8107	-0.04%	27.76	+7.51%	0.0573	✗	1.31	66.7M	2022-01-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.03	5.0281	-0.04%	5.35	+6.36%	0.0458	✗	1.37	31.8M	2022-01-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	223.84	223.7453	-0.04%	229.78	+2.65%	0.0156	✗	0.92	3.0M	2022-01-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.0395	3.0381	-0.04%	3.1511	+3.67%	0.0232	✗	1.12	699k	2022-01-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.269407	0.269286	-0.04%	0.265375	-1.50%	0.0269	✓	1.04	24.2M	2022-01-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.171588	0.171508	-0.05%	0.183317	+6.84%	0.0538	✗	1.08	5.4M	2022-01-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0827	0.082657	-0.05%	0.0865	+4.59%	0.0288	✗	1.40	1.2M	2022-01-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.35	2.3487	-0.05%	2.38	+1.28%	0.0011	✗	1.02	3.1M	2022-01-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	165.57	165.4712	-0.06%	165.39	-0.11%	0.0114	✓	0.91	7.0M	2022-01-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0547	0.054666	-0.06%	0.0557	+1.83%	0.0025	✗	1.37	1.5M	2022-01-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	136.82	136.7311	-0.06%	144.84	+5.86%	0.0417	✗	1.34	32.2M	2022-01-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.84	5.8361	-0.07%	5.7	-2.40%	0.0364	✓	1.08	2.4M	2022-01-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.34	10.3332	-0.07%	10.52	+1.74%	0.0090	✗	0.75	994k	2022-01-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.179	0.178872	-0.07%	0.1798	+0.45%	0.0054	✓	0.89	439k	2022-01-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.9153	3.9125	-0.07%	4.1356	+5.63%	0.0473	✗	0.69	2,257	2022-01-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.788	4.7838	-0.09%	4.867	+1.65%	0.0094	✗	0.66	474k	2022-01-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.2902	1.289	-0.10%	1.31	+1.53%	0.0002	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-01-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	190	189.814	-0.10%	189.59	-0.22%	0.0147	✓	1.14	153k	2022-01-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.02	8.012	-0.10%	8.04	+0.25%	0.0053	✓	0.74	767k	2022-01-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	89.76	89.6688	-0.10%	90.41	+0.72%	0.0051	✓	1.12	109.3M	2022-01-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	266.15	265.8749	-0.10%	281.84	+5.90%	0.0447	✗	1.15	1.4M	2022-01-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.04	11.0284	-0.11%	10.98	-0.54%	0.0069	✓	0.21	2.8M	2022-01-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.249	3.2455	-0.11%	3.3204	+2.20%	0.0087	✗	1.19	2.6M	2022-01-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3616	1.36	-0.12%	1.3822	+1.51%	0.0028	✗	1.13	30.5M	2022-01-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.371	2.3682	-0.12%	2.415	+1.86%	0.0065	✗	1.10	2.0M	2022-01-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	7.758	7.7477	-0.13%	7.757	-0.01%	0.0073	✓	0.72	199k	2022-01-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3443	4.3385	-0.13%	4.3463	+0.05%	0.0132	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-01-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2959	1.2939	-0.16%	1.2988	+0.22%	0.0087	✓	1.05	3.2M	2022-01-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.85	77.7275	-0.16%	81.47	+4.65%	0.0351	✗	1.00	7.4M	2022-01-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.08	1.0782	-0.16%	1.09	+0.93%	0.0119	✓	1.91	1.7M	2022-01-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.451	1.4486	-0.17%	1.509	+4.00%	0.0249	✗	1.35	4.7M	2022-01-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01623	0.016201	-0.18%	0.01666	+2.65%	0.0202	✗	0.65	25k	2022-01-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	37.62	37.5474	-0.19%	40.44	+7.50%	0.0631	✗	0.93	86.7M	2022-01-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.72	3.7127	-0.20%	3.62	-2.69%	0.0403	✓	1.26	9.0M	2022-01-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.091	11.0682	-0.21%	10.866	-2.03%	0.0201	✓	0.14	50k	2022-01-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05421	0.054081	-0.24%	0.05342	-1.46%	0.0248	✓	1.05	19k	2022-01-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6418	0.639733	-0.32%	0.6272	-2.27%	0.0364	✓	1.40	736k	2022-01-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.9355	5.9164	-0.32%	6.0352	+1.68%	0.0061	✗	1.16	457k	2022-01-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1	0.995887	-0.41%	1.0647	+6.47%	0.0553	✗	0.97	110k	2022-01-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7059	0.702354	-0.50%	0.7145	+1.22%	0.0008	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-01-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.355	3.3347	-0.61%	3.372	+0.51%	0.0095	✓	1.74	1.2M	2022-01-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8402	0.832632	-0.90%	0.9605	+14.32%	0.1225	✗	1.72	38.7M	2022-01-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.