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2021-12-31 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0159
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.2%
in alpha space · 29.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.176661+0.83%0.1885+7.59%0.0273✓1.162.8M2022-01-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0633.3033+0.74%35.27+6.68%0.0100✓1.461.3M2022-01-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015897+0.67%0.01654+4.75%0.0016✓1.272.3M2022-01-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.9225+0.62%6.1094+3.79%0.0059✓1.14649k2022-01-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.18.148+0.59%8.39+3.58%0.0104✗1.22391k2022-01-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.09765+0.57%0.1001+3.09%0.0201✗1.391.8M2022-01-01
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528182.5699+0.39%189.4715+4.19%0.0044✓1.01622k2022-01-01
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.7688+0.38%8.9613+2.58%0.0225✗1.36280k2022-01-01
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.84585+0.34%0.875+3.80%0.0128✗1.448.5M2022-01-01
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075727+0.33%0.076625+1.52%0.0185✗0.94607k2022-01-01
UMAUMAEthereum9.119.1274+0.19%9.33+2.41%0.0145✗1.124.1M2022-01-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.709027+0.17%0.7302+3.16%0.0110✗1.256.1M2022-01-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.283759+0.16%0.2952+4.20%0.0022✗1.295.5M2022-01-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.5141+0.14%5.069+12.44%0.0935✓0.691.0M2022-01-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.4423+0.09%25.61+4.87%0.0012✓1.4024.2M2022-01-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.17037+0.09%0.173118+1.70%0.0196✗1.105.5M2022-01-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.6213+0.08%1.7+4.94%0.0073✗1.691.1M2022-01-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.0647+0.07%7.24+2.55%0.0040✓0.631.1M2022-01-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000033441+0.06%0.00003416+2.21%0.0197✗1.262.0M2022-01-01
GTGateEthereum6.55556.5593+0.06%6.7635+3.17%0.0054✓0.784.0M2022-01-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021832+0.05%0.022463+2.94%0.0113✗1.232.4M2022-01-01
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9816.988+0.05%17.47+2.89%0.0132✗1.2715.5M2022-01-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,231.12+0.04%47,733.43+3.29%0.0004✓1.00750.8M2022-01-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.5179+0.04%20.75+6.36%0.0203✓1.2669.7M2022-01-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.612183+0.03%0.633+3.43%0.0070✗1.252.5M2022-01-01
DASHDashDash133.78133.8113+0.02%138.03+3.18%0.0091✗1.242.1M2022-01-01
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000108212+0.02%0.00011077+2.38%0.0086✗0.998.0M2022-01-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.4806+0.01%5.98+9.12%0.0505✓1.134.3M2022-01-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0184.0184+0.01%4.221+5.05%0.0281✓0.65502k2022-01-01
BANDBandEthereum5.015.0105+0.01%5.18+3.39%0.0046✗1.172.4M2022-01-01
XVSVenusEthereum15.1415.1414+0.01%16.08+6.21%0.0236✓1.134.3M2022-01-01
SOLSolanaSolana169.88169.8932+0.01%179.21+5.49%0.0224✓0.96236.5M2022-01-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.082298-0.00%0.0839+1.94%0.0146✓1.0520k2022-01-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.112706-0.00%0.11476+1.82%0.0175✓1.1029k2022-01-01
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,675.58-0.01%3,765.72+2.45%0.0089✓1.02716.9M2022-01-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.2373-0.01%35.88+4.79%0.0137✗1.0223.7M2022-01-01
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.4008-0.02%3.58+5.25%0.0176✗1.04798k2022-01-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.7604-0.02%3.7989+1.00%0.0140✗-0.12409k2022-01-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.425892-0.03%0.43+0.94%0.0140✓0.7346k2022-01-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3893-0.03%2.53+5.86%0.0245✗1.014.1M2022-01-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.9289-0.04%3.1+5.80%0.0149✗1.293.2M2022-01-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.6194-0.04%1.6281+0.50%0.0229✓0.874.6M2022-01-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.6047-0.04%4.7558+3.24%0.0097✓1.305.0M2022-01-01
XVGVergenative0.017030.017023-0.04%0.01775+4.23%0.0033✗1.192.4M2022-01-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2046,040.39-0.04%47,429.60+2.97%0.0018✓0.979,2042022-01-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0571-0.04%2.133+3.64%0.0000✓1.123.1M2022-01-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.7961-0.04%8.94+1.59%0.0032✓0.60999k2022-01-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.431.3851-0.05%32.46+3.38%0.0130✗0.64503k2022-01-01
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58199.4798-0.05%210.69+5.57%0.0185✗1.12210k2022-01-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0235.0203-0.05%5.211+3.74%0.0185✗0.58773k2022-01-01
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.2282-0.06%40.2+5.10%0.0179✗1.0020.7M2022-01-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02120.9481-0.06%123.03+1.66%0.0135✓0.943.7M2022-01-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.6515-0.07%28.61+7.27%0.0303✗1.2575.1M2022-01-01
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.3073-0.07%1.3797+5.47%0.0198✗1.05106.2M2022-01-01
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.3373-0.07%4.7494+9.42%0.0485✗1.304.9M2022-01-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.08507-0.07%0.08625+1.32%0.0258✓1.2221.7M2022-01-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.198243-0.08%0.2061+3.88%0.0104✗0.88622k2022-01-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0634.0323-0.08%34.87+2.38%0.0082✓1.004.7M2022-01-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.087599-0.08%0.093+6.08%0.0129✗1.453.9M2022-01-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.053263-0.09%0.05488+2.95%0.0042✓1.0515k2022-01-01
XMRMoneroMonero228.93228.7188-0.09%250.04+9.22%0.0599✗0.903.0M2022-01-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.365144-0.10%0.3775+3.28%0.0082✓1.284.2M2022-01-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.2069-0.10%3.35+4.36%0.0121✗0.971.1M2022-01-01
KSMKusamaHydration276.22275.9453-0.10%289.04+4.64%0.0112✗1.081.4M2022-01-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.801783-0.10%0.875736+9.11%0.0539✗1.062.8M2022-01-01
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.266184-0.11%0.276802+3.87%0.0063✗1.0127.7M2022-01-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0715.0531-0.11%15.4+2.19%0.0009✓0.681.4M2022-01-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.033785-0.12%0.033863+0.11%0.0316✓1.058.5M2022-01-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4124.3805-0.12%24.52+0.45%0.0173✓0.711.5M2022-01-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2575-0.12%1.276+1.35%0.0155✓0.932.7M2022-01-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.3998-0.12%8.65+2.85%0.0057✗0.731.1M2022-01-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.202054-0.12%0.2128+5.19%0.0130✗1.205.4M2022-01-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.1425-0.12%3.2078+1.95%0.0186✓1.213.3M2022-01-01
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8784-0.12%2.914+1.11%0.0159✓0.8753k2022-01-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15429.5967-0.13%445.07+3.47%0.0033✗0.999.8M2022-01-01
XEMNEMnative0.12270.122542-0.13%0.126+2.69%0.0066✓1.06153k2022-01-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2779-0.13%1.3805+7.89%0.0427✗1.06987k2022-01-01
ZECZcashZcash146.46146.2582-0.14%150.36+2.66%0.0140✓1.2811.8M2022-01-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.5399-0.14%1.651+7.07%0.0285✗1.273.6M2022-01-01
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.3937-0.14%2.3965-0.02%0.0331✓1.06128k2022-01-01
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92253.5561-0.14%266.48+4.95%0.0145✗1.0911.5M2022-01-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.354186-0.14%0.3879+9.36%0.0454✗1.404.3M2022-01-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.1283-0.15%1.17+3.54%0.0039✗1.002.2M2022-01-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.128108-0.15%0.1339+4.36%0.0095✗1.07324k2022-01-01
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09082.0876-0.15%2.08-0.52%0.0652✓1.901.5M2022-01-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.2263-0.15%1.2912+5.13%0.0063✗1.402.1M2022-01-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.413265-0.15%0.4264+3.02%0.0142✓1.40722k2022-01-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0944-0.15%10.37+2.57%0.0027✗0.751.3M2022-01-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.327388-0.16%0.3671+11.95%0.0839✗0.94293k2022-01-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15145.9214-0.16%150.83+3.20%0.0102✓1.3446.1M2022-01-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.641071-0.16%0.6647+3.52%0.0025✓1.1911.8M2022-01-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6939.6225-0.17%41.07+3.48%0.0182✓1.672.9M2022-01-01
QNTQuantEthereum179.22178.9074-0.17%179.87+0.36%0.0253✓0.959.4M2022-01-01
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.7396-0.18%1.835+5.29%0.0275✗0.80889k2022-01-01
ZENHorizenBase60.5760.4565-0.19%63.94+5.56%0.0102✗1.411.0M2022-01-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4109.1917-0.19%114.26+4.44%0.0114✗1.05127.7M2022-01-01
KCSKuCoinnative21.37621.3338-0.20%22.386+4.72%0.0044✓1.6216.6M2022-01-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.1007-0.20%0.10295+2.03%0.0010✓0.6564k2022-01-01
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.6306-0.21%1.748+6.98%0.0264✗1.337.6M2022-01-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.8541-0.21%9.193+3.61%0.0170✗0.63338k2022-01-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.063392-0.22%0.064208+1.07%0.0316✓1.377.9M2022-01-01
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.5323-0.22%3.73+5.37%0.0208✗1.04723k2022-01-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.7541-0.22%11.76-0.17%0.0057✗-0.163.4M2022-01-01
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.015147-0.22%0.01554+2.37%0.0052✓0.95868k2022-01-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.684885-0.22%0.715+4.17%0.0002✓1.323.1M2022-01-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2192.9981-0.23%94.1+0.95%0.0200✓0.987.0M2022-01-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.196419-0.23%0.20032+1.75%0.0310✓1.568,4562022-01-01
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.193988-0.26%0.2245+15.42%0.1286✗0.54410k2022-01-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.906377-0.27%0.9793+7.76%0.0450✗1.00146k2022-01-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.4863-0.28%3.609+3.23%0.0173✓1.602.5M2022-01-01
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.896-0.29%4.83-1.63%0.0460✓1.003.0M2022-01-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.048141-0.29%0.04964+2.82%0.0018✓0.898.6M2022-01-01
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.2577-0.30%3.3501+2.52%0.0028✓0.956.9M2022-01-01
HIVEHivenative1.48961.485-0.31%1.5238+2.30%0.0187✓1.375.8M2022-01-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2832,935.06-0.31%36,545.69+10.62%0.0852✗0.5813.3M2022-01-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.2001-0.32%1.2582+4.51%0.0090✓1.741.4M2022-01-01
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.5615-0.32%1.5787+0.77%0.0204✓0.974.3M2022-01-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.3614-0.32%1.411+3.31%0.0062✗0.9123.6M2022-01-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.019018-0.33%0.0202+5.87%0.0423✗0.5542k2022-01-01
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.206-0.33%4.36+3.32%0.0035✗1.001.1M2022-01-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9238.7904-0.33%40.17+3.21%0.0240✓1.826.6M2022-01-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.325.3021-0.34%6.21+16.73%0.1162✗1.2928.7M2022-01-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.712.6537-0.36%13.58+6.93%0.0707✗-0.004.2M2022-01-01
SUSHISushiEthereum9.429.3851-0.37%9.14-2.97%0.0694✓1.3317.1M2022-01-01
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.8074-0.39%11+1.38%0.0101✓0.861.2M2022-01-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.7239-0.39%4.5517-4.02%0.0587✓0.6622k2022-01-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.075987-0.41%0.0797+4.46%0.0027✓1.391.7M2022-01-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.344.3221-0.41%4.37+0.69%0.0214✓1.003.4M2022-01-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.5631-0.42%2.681+4.16%0.0123✗1.012.1M2022-01-01
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.676-0.46%13.69+7.51%0.0790✗-0.06111k2022-01-01
LUNATerraTerra 285.5685.1604-0.47%91.66+7.13%0.0411✗1.006.3M2022-01-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.6503-0.52%1.7433+5.09%0.0199✗1.0831.7M2022-01-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4332.2374-0.59%36.33+12.03%0.0908✗0.8842.6M2022-01-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2212.1444-0.62%13.2+8.02%0.0652✗0.561.3M2022-01-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.023208-1.07%0.02333-0.55%0.0272✓1.0033.0M2022-01-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.925168-1.11%1.0026+7.16%0.0261✗1.6730.1M2022-01-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.554.4908-1.30%4.49-1.32%0.0438✓1.3412.3M2022-01-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.