2021-12-27 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2476

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.23%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

59.1%

in alpha space · 57.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-6.26%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.081167	0.081541	+0.46%	0.077218	-4.87%	0.0065	✓	0.94	648k	2021-12-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	51,195.60	51,347.22	+0.30%	47,383.60	-7.45%	0.0172	✗	0.98	8,566	2021-12-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4608	3.4685	+0.22%	3.6	+4.02%	0.0313	✓	-0.09	395k	2021-12-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.187814	0.188221	+0.22%	0.173745	-7.49%	0.0094	✗	1.09	5.5M	2021-12-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	16.84	16.8764	+0.22%	15.54	-7.72%	0.0098	✗	1.13	4.8M	2021-12-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	8.01	8.0261	+0.20%	7.57	-5.49%	0.0180	✗	0.63	1.0M	2021-12-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,038.64	4,046.69	+0.20%	3,793.67	-6.07%	0.0011	✓	1.02	760.7M	2021-12-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05816	0.058275	+0.20%	0.05427	-6.69%	0.0032	✗	1.05	16k	2021-12-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	13.03	13.0539	+0.18%	12.05	-7.52%	0.0970	✗	-0.26	4.5M	2021-12-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		127.41	127.6368	+0.18%	121.77	-4.43%	0.0153	✓	0.97	3.7M	2021-12-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.024165	0.024208	+0.18%	0.021978	-9.05%	0.0178	✗	1.22	2.3M	2021-12-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,717.77	50,805.26	+0.17%	47,543.09	-6.26%	0.0017	✓	1.00	744.5M	2021-12-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.2921	5.3012	+0.17%	5.0292	-4.97%	0.0349	✓	1.36	5.2M	2021-12-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0897	0.089843	+0.16%	0.0838	-6.58%	0.0019	✗	1.05	18k	2021-12-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.59	34.6449	+0.16%	33.51	-3.12%	0.0077	✓	0.63	572k	2021-12-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.337	2.3405	+0.15%	2.108	-9.80%	0.0341	✗	1.09	3.3M	2021-12-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	26.71	26.7503	+0.15%	25.42	-4.83%	0.0054	✗	0.71	1.6M	2021-12-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12484	0.125021	+0.14%	0.11446	-8.31%	0.0187	✗	1.08	29k	2021-12-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	195.74	196.0156	+0.14%	177.27	-9.44%	0.0413	✗	0.92	255.1M	2021-12-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011859	0.000118737	+0.12%	0.00010951	-7.66%	0.0177	✗	0.98	10.2M	2021-12-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	220.72	220.9866	+0.12%	208.62	-5.48%	0.0013	✓	0.91	2.8M	2021-12-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	28.24	28.2727	+0.12%	24.71	-12.50%	0.0461	✗	1.37	22.9M	2021-12-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.87	5.8768	+0.12%	5.34	-9.03%	0.0216	✗	1.15	2.6M	2021-12-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	39.2	39.2449	+0.11%	36.25	-7.53%	0.0143	✗	1.01	22.1M	2021-12-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8395	6.8472	+0.11%	6.459	-5.56%	0.0103	✗	0.74	4.3M	2021-12-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.02	23.0458	+0.11%	20.36	-11.56%	0.0447	✗	1.23	69.7M	2021-12-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.8	2.8031	+0.11%	2.54	-9.29%	0.0358	✗	0.97	4.4M	2021-12-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.9988	10.0094	+0.11%	9.0923	-9.07%	0.0080	✗	1.36	299k	2021-12-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.267	3.2704	+0.10%	2.98	-8.78%	0.0391	✗	0.83	95k	2021-12-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.686	1.6876	+0.10%	1.537	-8.84%	0.0098	✗	1.29	4.1M	2021-12-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	465.3	465.7116	+0.09%	438.74	-5.71%	0.0051	✓	1.00	12.3M	2021-12-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	19.11	19.1266	+0.09%	18.4	-3.72%	0.0445	✓	1.29	14.6M	2021-12-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.415	1.4162	+0.08%	1.3011	-8.05%	0.0168	✗	1.05	1.2M	2021-12-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.33	9.3374	+0.08%	9.08	-2.68%	0.0197	✓	0.74	1.1M	2021-12-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2194	0.219542	+0.06%	0.1998	-8.93%	0.0395	✗	0.85	701k	2021-12-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.45	9.4558	+0.06%	9.7	+2.65%	0.0677	✓	0.65	1.0M	2021-12-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.39	3.392	+0.06%	3.03	-10.62%	0.0309	✗	1.27	3.0M	2021-12-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.9652	3.9674	+0.06%	3.7465	-5.51%	0.0100	✓	1.04	798k	2021-12-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	37.61	37.629	+0.05%	34.96	-7.05%	0.0091	✗	1.00	5.1M	2021-12-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.6	3.6018	+0.05%	3.34	-7.22%	0.0133	✗	0.96	1.2M	2021-12-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09816	0.098205	+0.05%	0.08977	-8.55%	0.0048	✓	1.46	4.8M	2021-12-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	5.1016	5.1038	+0.04%	4.4909	-11.97%	0.0453	✗	1.28	5.3M	2021-12-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.325	1.3255	+0.03%	1.28	-3.40%	0.0261	✓	0.94	3.1M	2021-12-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	237.34	237.42	+0.03%	209	-11.94%	0.0586	✗	1.07	239k	2021-12-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.799	9.8023	+0.03%	9.798	-0.01%	0.0423	✓	0.66	455k	2021-12-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01876	0.018766	+0.03%	0.01651	-11.99%	0.0493	✗	1.22	2.8M	2021-12-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.1391	0.139145	+0.03%	0.1284	-7.69%	0.0123	✗	1.05	175k	2021-12-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.9574	4.9585	+0.02%	4.8047	-3.08%	0.0119	✓	0.67	27k	2021-12-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.6	42.608	+0.02%	40.01	-6.08%	0.0019	✓	1.00	20.7M	2021-12-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.81	16.8126	+0.02%	16.17	-3.81%	0.0048	✓	0.68	1.4M	2021-12-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.300288	0.300334	+0.02%	0.274101	-8.72%	0.0272	✗	0.99	33.6M	2021-12-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1453	0.145316	+0.01%	0.1358	-6.54%	0.0008	✓	1.06	376k	2021-12-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	2.0541	2.0541	-0.00%	1.8135	-11.71%	0.0785	✓	0.71	1.2M	2021-12-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.16	11.1598	-0.00%	10.76	-3.58%	0.0135	✗	0.77	1.4M	2021-12-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	151.04	151.0327	-0.00%	134.75	-10.79%	0.0349	✓	1.23	2.0M	2021-12-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.97	30.9678	-0.01%	27.84	-10.11%	0.0272	✓	1.23	77.1M	2021-12-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.78	155.7587	-0.01%	145.67	-6.49%	0.0211	✗	1.36	54.4M	2021-12-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.976	22.9727	-0.01%	21.506	-6.40%	0.0408	✗	1.65	18.6M	2021-12-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.5164	1.516	-0.02%	1.3998	-7.69%	0.0131	✓	1.03	120.2M	2021-12-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.4985	-0.03%	5.695	+3.55%	0.0758	✗	0.63	798k	2021-12-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.884	1.8833	-0.04%	1.664	-11.68%	0.0400	✓	1.30	7.9M	2021-12-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.21	0.209914	-0.04%	0.1923	-8.43%	0.0140	✓	1.14	3.8M	2021-12-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08443	0.084395	-0.04%	0.07538	-10.72%	0.0367	✓	1.18	21.1M	2021-12-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.6103	3.6087	-0.04%	3.3661	-6.76%	0.0114	✗	1.25	3.1M	2021-12-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	206.05	205.9526	-0.05%	188.78	-8.38%	0.0278	✓	0.92	11.9M	2021-12-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	322.27	322.0466	-0.07%	294.8	-8.52%	0.0192	✓	1.07	1.5M	2021-12-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.876137	0.875523	-0.07%	0.798687	-8.84%	0.0254	✓	1.03	3.0M	2021-12-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	39.59	39.5622	-0.07%	35.02	-11.54%	0.0293	✓	1.43	1.3M	2021-12-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.5471	2.5452	-0.08%	2.4846	-2.45%	0.0463	✗	1.09	147k	2021-12-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.2578	2.2557	-0.09%	2.0752	-8.09%	0.0403	✗	1.91	1.6M	2021-12-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	113.96	113.8511	-0.10%	107.05	-6.06%	0.0070	✗	1.06	127.7M	2021-12-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.874	6.8671	-0.10%	6.2683	-8.81%	0.0189	✓	1.12	764k	2021-12-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	1.017	1.016	-0.10%	0.911	-10.42%	0.0167	✓	1.43	9.2M	2021-12-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11486	0.114722	-0.12%	0.10316	-10.19%	0.0687	✓	0.58	113k	2021-12-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.7264	1.7242	-0.13%	1.6826	-2.54%	0.0398	✗	0.99	5.4M	2021-12-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.7375	0.736488	-0.14%	0.6659	-9.71%	0.0254	✓	1.17	12.5M	2021-12-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.063833	0.06374	-0.15%	0.05923	-7.21%	0.0176	✗	1.41	8.2M	2021-12-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	107.04	106.8839	-0.15%	99.74	-6.82%	0.0070	✓	0.96	7.6M	2021-12-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05341	0.053331	-0.15%	0.05063	-5.21%	0.0058	✗	0.89	10.6M	2021-12-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.32	1.318	-0.15%	1.18	-10.61%	0.0460	✓	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	6.44	6.4298	-0.16%	5.85	-9.16%	0.0232	✓	1.10	5.1M	2021-12-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.68	29.6327	-0.16%	26.57	-10.48%	0.0536	✓	0.86	40.2M	2021-12-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3823	1.38	-0.16%	1.2203	-11.71%	0.0123	✓	1.71	1.5M	2021-12-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	10.034	10.0175	-0.16%	10.128	+0.94%	0.0942	✗	1.29	411k	2021-12-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3793	1.3769	-0.17%	1.4291	+3.61%	0.1026	✗	1.01	23.6M	2021-12-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,759.20	31,703.88	-0.17%	28,691.22	-9.66%	0.0651	✓	0.54	8.7M	2021-12-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	169.76	169.4625	-0.18%	149.45	-11.96%	0.0462	✓	1.23	11.8M	2021-12-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.28	5.2707	-0.18%	4.72	-10.61%	0.0282	✓	1.27	26.8M	2021-12-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2391	0.238674	-0.18%	0.2158	-9.74%	0.0694	✓	0.48	392k	2021-12-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.4183	0.417334	-0.23%	0.3842	-8.15%	0.0000	✓	1.28	4.9M	2021-12-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4014	0.400449	-0.24%	0.3781	-5.80%	0.0356	✗	1.44	4.7M	2021-12-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.06	5.0479	-0.24%	4.5	-11.07%	0.0503	✓	1.00	4.9M	2021-12-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0741	0.073921	-0.24%	0.0659	-11.07%	0.0307	✓	1.30	2.1M	2021-12-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.72	70.547	-0.24%	63.32	-10.46%	0.0172	✓	1.41	1.2M	2021-12-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.7429	3.7328	-0.27%	3.3399	-10.77%	0.0543	✓	0.88	8.0M	2021-12-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.09	11.0588	-0.28%	11.66	+5.14%	0.1140	✗	0.94	1.3M	2021-12-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.361	4.3481	-0.30%	4.564	+4.65%	0.0946	✗	0.71	487k	2021-12-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	44.44	44.3041	-0.31%	39.7	-10.67%	0.0089	✗	1.83	8.0M	2021-12-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.6631	1.658	-0.31%	1.4667	-11.81%	0.0561	✓	1.03	31.7M	2021-12-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01713	0.017075	-0.32%	0.01563	-8.76%	0.0287	✓	0.92	1.2M	2021-12-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.466	0.464481	-0.33%	0.423	-9.23%	0.0482	✓	0.70	45k	2021-12-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.13	5.1121	-0.35%	4.56	-11.11%	0.0497	✓	1.00	1.2M	2021-12-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1	1.0961	-0.35%	1.027	-6.64%	0.0005	✓	1.00	165k	2021-12-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	14.16	14.1093	-0.36%	14.64	+3.39%	0.0377	✗	0.01	4.8M	2021-12-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	43.58	43.4226	-0.36%	38.45	-11.77%	0.0119	✓	1.70	3.1M	2021-12-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003905	0.000038906	-0.37%	0.00003492	-10.58%	0.0434	✓	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.744	4.7263	-0.37%	5.349	+12.75%	0.1764	✗	0.81	719k	2021-12-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	277.6	276.548	-0.38%	252.64	-8.99%	0.0240	✓	1.03	11.4M	2021-12-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.3056	1.3004	-0.40%	1.2569	-3.73%	0.0628	✗	1.50	2.3M	2021-12-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2396	0.238618	-0.41%	0.2199	-8.22%	0.0052	✓	1.18	6.1M	2021-12-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		14.106	14.0474	-0.42%	14.59	+3.43%	0.0349	✗	-0.05	129k	2021-12-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	5.5	5.476	-0.44%	4.87	-11.45%	0.0526	✓	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	91.01	90.5983	-0.45%	85.17	-6.42%	0.0029	✓	1.00	6.1M	2021-12-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4709	0.46876	-0.45%	0.4301	-8.66%	0.0061	✗	1.43	1.0M	2021-12-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02154	0.021442	-0.45%	0.01993	-7.47%	0.0401	✓	0.51	46k	2021-12-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01908	0.018993	-0.46%	0.0176	-7.76%	0.0006	✓	1.19	2.8M	2021-12-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.74	12.681	-0.46%	11.57	-9.18%	0.0581	✓	0.52	1.5M	2021-12-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	211.5789	210.5035	-0.51%	190.178	-10.11%	0.0383	✓	0.98	674k	2021-12-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.037325	0.037131	-0.52%	0.033967	-9.00%	0.0230	✓	1.02	10.0M	2021-12-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	2.01	1.9995	-0.52%	1.77	-11.94%	0.0135	✓	1.68	1.5M	2021-12-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1161	0.11549	-0.53%	0.1045	-9.99%	0.0110	✓	1.38	2.5M	2021-12-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.22849	0.227245	-0.54%	0.2085	-8.75%	0.0166	✗	1.59	18k	2021-12-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7943	0.789868	-0.56%	0.7165	-9.79%	0.0184	✓	1.22	6.8M	2021-12-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	9.15	9.0983	-0.56%	9.06	-0.98%	0.0841	✗	1.37	15.8M	2021-12-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	3.08	3.0619	-0.59%	2.754	-10.58%	0.0442	✓	0.96	2.2M	2021-12-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3372	0.334769	-0.72%	0.3033	-10.05%	0.0173	✓	1.26	5.8M	2021-12-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	2.0783	2.062	-0.78%	1.71	-17.72%	0.1402	✓	0.73	6.3M	2021-12-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.312	4.2728	-0.91%	3.891	-9.76%	0.0290	✓	1.00	3.3M	2021-12-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.86	3.8233	-0.95%	3.52	-8.81%	0.0184	✓	0.99	787k	2021-12-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3756	0.371998	-0.96%	0.342	-8.95%	0.0253	✓	0.91	328k	2021-12-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	10.75	10.6424	-1.00%	9.59	-10.79%	0.0337	✓	1.09	4.1M	2021-12-28
HIVE	Hive	native	1.852	1.8332	-1.02%	1.6115	-12.99%	0.0446	✓	1.30	7.3M	2021-12-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.723	0.714595	-1.16%	0.64	-11.48%	0.0318	✓	1.21	2.9M	2021-12-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.8111	0.800166	-1.35%	0.7106	-12.39%	0.0362	✓	1.28	3.6M	2021-12-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0262	0.025846	-1.35%	0.02187	-16.53%	0.1024	✓	1.00	35.6M	2021-12-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8843	0.870658	-1.54%	0.7896	-10.71%	0.0139	✓	1.73	23.5M	2021-12-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	5.18	5.0789	-1.95%	4.38	-15.44%	0.0834	✓	1.00	12.4M	2021-12-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.