2021-12-24 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0495

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.21%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

52.2%

in alpha space · 52.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.83%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.080892	0.081256	+0.45%	0.081715	+1.02%	0.0135	✓	0.95	659k	2021-12-25
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	50,714.60	50,889.37	+0.34%	51,009.40	+0.58%	0.0105	✓	0.98	9,279	2021-12-25
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.83	15.8823	+0.33%	16.46	+3.98%	0.0451	✓	1.12	5.0M	2021-12-25
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3128	6.3326	+0.31%	6.389	+1.21%	0.0150	✓	0.74	4.6M	2021-12-25
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.157	4.1697	+0.31%	4.28	+2.96%	0.0329	✓	0.81	714k	2021-12-25
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.34	12.3764	+0.29%	12.57	+1.86%	0.0133	✓	-0.26	4.9M	2021-12-25
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.368	0.368984	+0.27%	0.536	+45.65%	0.3796	✓	0.74	45k	2021-12-25
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.014	5.0273	+0.27%	5.2814	+5.33%	0.0606	✓	1.36	5.2M	2021-12-25
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	25.34	25.4071	+0.26%	25.62	+1.10%	0.0142	✓	0.71	2.7M	2021-12-25
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	4,049.65	4,060.29	+0.26%	4,097.43	+1.18%	0.0176	✓	1.02	768.5M	2021-12-25
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.186316	0.186797	+0.26%	0.190748	+2.38%	0.0301	✓	1.10	6.1M	2021-12-25
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.08	3.0878	+0.25%	3.13	+1.62%	0.0242	✓	1.27	3.2M	2021-12-25
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	36.47	36.5613	+0.25%	37.02	+1.51%	0.0209	✓	1.01	23.1M	2021-12-25
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.266	2.2712	+0.23%	2.31	+1.94%	0.0261	✓	1.10	3.4M	2021-12-25
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.76	7.7776	+0.23%	8.05	+3.74%	0.0397	✓	0.63	1.0M	2021-12-25
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5814	3.5895	+0.23%	3.5524	-0.81%	0.0111	✗	-0.09	384k	2021-12-25
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.02326	0.023312	+0.22%	0.023808	+2.36%	0.0312	✓	1.22	2.2M	2021-12-25
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.1219	0.122168	+0.22%	0.12333	+1.17%	0.0185	✓	1.08	30k	2021-12-25
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.5	17.5384	+0.22%	17.47	-0.17%	0.0068	✓	1.28	14.6M	2021-12-25
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05798	0.058106	+0.22%	0.05902	+1.79%	0.0244	✓	1.06	17k	2021-12-25
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	34.01	34.0831	+0.21%	34.44	+1.26%	0.0157	✓	0.64	649k	2021-12-25
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	50,851.38	50,960.55	+0.21%	50,428.31	-0.83%	0.0021	✗	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-25
SOL	Solana	Solana	190.65	191.0471	+0.21%	193.06	+1.26%	0.0181	✓	0.92	257.1M	2021-12-25
XMR	Monero	Monero	204.44	204.8566	+0.20%	211.35	+3.38%	0.0388	✓	0.91	2.7M	2021-12-25
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4901	4.4991	+0.20%	4.5838	+2.09%	0.0293	✓	1.27	5.4M	2021-12-25
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	21.47	21.5115	+0.19%	22.12	+3.03%	0.0381	✓	1.22	69.7M	2021-12-25
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.593	1.5961	+0.19%	1.639	+2.89%	0.0374	✓	1.30	5.2M	2021-12-25
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.63	5.6407	+0.19%	5.75	+2.13%	0.0288	✓	1.15	3.0M	2021-12-25
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0888	0.088968	+0.19%	0.0895	+0.79%	0.0147	✓	1.05	21k	2021-12-25
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	34.92	34.9854	+0.19%	39.41	+12.86%	0.1312	✓	1.44	1.3M	2021-12-25
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.139	3.1449	+0.19%	3.331	+6.12%	0.0645	✓	0.84	100k	2021-12-25
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.275	5.2846	+0.18%	5.47	+3.70%	0.0397	✓	0.63	846k	2021-12-25
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3856	1.388	+0.17%	1.4098	+1.75%	0.0244	✓	1.06	1.4M	2021-12-25
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	452.27	453.0383	+0.17%	455.36	+0.68%	0.0135	✓	1.00	13.7M	2021-12-25
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		129.58	129.7993	+0.17%	128.21	-1.06%	0.0042	✗	0.97	3.2M	2021-12-25
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.6421	3.6482	+0.17%	3.78	+3.79%	0.0442	✓	1.04	819k	2021-12-25
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.75	2.7546	+0.17%	2.73	-0.73%	0.0009	✓	0.97	4.7M	2021-12-25
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09257	0.092719	+0.16%	0.10179	+9.96%	0.1057	✓	1.48	4.8M	2021-12-25
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.7921	9.807	+0.15%	10.0526	+2.66%	0.0362	✓	1.37	349k	2021-12-25
XEC	eCash	native	0.0001173	0.000117478	+0.15%	0.00011988	+2.20%	0.0284	✓	0.98	11.7M	2021-12-25
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	9.05	9.0632	+0.15%	9.95	+9.94%	0.0989	✓	0.66	1.0M	2021-12-25
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	9.07	9.0825	+0.14%	9.34	+2.98%	0.0341	✓	0.74	836k	2021-12-25
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.278628	0.279004	+0.14%	0.290047	+4.10%	0.0471	✓	1.00	36.2M	2021-12-25
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.681	8.6925	+0.13%	9.001	+3.69%	0.0456	✓	1.28	511k	2021-12-25
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11016	0.110301	+0.13%	0.11267	+2.28%	0.0261	✓	0.58	143k	2021-12-25
XEM	NEM	native	0.1359	0.136073	+0.13%	0.137	+0.81%	0.0156	✓	1.05	202k	2021-12-25
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.53	3.5345	+0.13%	3.55	+0.57%	0.0124	✓	0.96	1.3M	2021-12-25
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2162	0.216472	+0.13%	0.2174	+0.56%	0.0114	✓	0.85	776k	2021-12-25
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.909	0.910102	+0.12%	0.941	+3.52%	0.0453	✓	1.42	9.3M	2021-12-25
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1379	0.138066	+0.12%	0.1406	+1.96%	0.0270	✓	1.06	445k	2021-12-25
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	28.17	28.2026	+0.12%	28.86	+2.45%	0.0332	✓	1.22	77.3M	2021-12-25
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	188.1748	188.3909	+0.11%	185.5458	-1.40%	0.0071	✗	0.97	720k	2021-12-25
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.72	5.7264	+0.11%	5.88	+2.80%	0.0356	✓	1.10	5.0M	2021-12-25
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3935	1.3951	+0.11%	1.4542	+4.36%	0.0502	✓	1.03	124.4M	2021-12-25
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2445	0.244765	+0.11%	0.2424	-0.86%	0.0056	✗	0.49	410k	2021-12-25
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.287	1.2882	+0.09%	1.302	+1.17%	0.0185	✓	0.94	4.1M	2021-12-25
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.1183	1.1194	+0.09%	1.1181	-0.02%	0.0113	✓	1.49	2.5M	2021-12-25
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	27.63	27.6538	+0.09%	27.29	-1.23%	0.0018	✗	1.37	24.1M	2021-12-25
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	37.42	37.4503	+0.08%	38.1	+1.82%	0.0256	✓	1.00	6.1M	2021-12-25
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9469	1.9485	+0.08%	2.0162	+3.56%	0.0401	✓	0.71	1.3M	2021-12-25
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	288.88	289.0801	+0.07%	293.74	+1.68%	0.0248	✓	1.06	1.5M	2021-12-25
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04944	0.049466	+0.05%	0.04956	+0.24%	0.0093	✓	0.89	12.1M	2021-12-25
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.004	4.006	+0.05%	4.05	+1.15%	0.0169	✓	0.71	473k	2021-12-25
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.81	22.8192	+0.04%	22.92	+0.48%	0.0183	✓	1.66	21.0M	2021-12-25
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	199.57	199.6446	+0.04%	195.44	-2.07%	0.0136	✗	0.92	12.0M	2021-12-25
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.74	16.7454	+0.03%	17.01	+1.61%	0.0214	✓	0.68	1.4M	2021-12-25
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.7	1.7005	+0.03%	1.94	+14.12%	0.1457	✓	1.67	1.5M	2021-12-25
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	230.2	230.2505	+0.02%	228.44	-0.76%	0.0010	✓	1.06	239k	2021-12-25
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.023	10.0251	+0.02%	9.952	-0.71%	0.0018	✗	0.67	455k	2021-12-25
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.5759	2.5763	+0.02%	2.5192	-2.20%	0.0133	✗	1.09	152k	2021-12-25
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3138	1.3138	-0.00%	1.3389	+1.91%	0.0333	✗	1.72	1.6M	2021-12-25
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01876	0.018759	-0.01%	0.01881	+0.27%	0.0129	✗	1.22	3.2M	2021-12-25
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.4093	3.409	-0.01%	3.5842	+5.13%	0.0606	✗	1.25	3.4M	2021-12-25
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.219	5.2185	-0.01%	5.1706	-0.93%	0.0035	✓	0.68	29k	2021-12-25
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.08	11.0772	-0.03%	11.18	+0.90%	0.0157	✗	0.77	1.5M	2021-12-25
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2028	0.202738	-0.03%	0.2058	+1.48%	0.0245	✗	1.14	4.3M	2021-12-25
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2849	1.2844	-0.04%	1.315	+2.34%	0.0319	✗	1.01	22.8M	2021-12-25
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.23	1.2294	-0.05%	1.27	+3.25%	0.0408	✗	1.00	2.4M	2021-12-25
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.87	26.8545	-0.06%	29.79	+10.87%	0.1109	✗	0.86	40.2M	2021-12-25
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	161.35	161.2557	-0.06%	158	-2.08%	0.0090	✓	1.37	58.6M	2021-12-25
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	114.93	114.8439	-0.07%	114.86	-0.06%	0.0090	✗	1.06	142.8M	2021-12-25
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.63	4.626	-0.09%	4.72	+1.94%	0.0285	✗	1.00	2.5M	2021-12-25
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.697	0.696377	-0.09%	0.7199	+3.29%	0.0430	✗	1.17	14.0M	2021-12-25
DASH	Dash	Dash	149.49	149.3421	-0.10%	150	+0.34%	0.0147	✗	1.23	2.2M	2021-12-25
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.999	1.997	-0.10%	1.952	-2.35%	0.0119	✓	1.30	7.9M	2021-12-25
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.850611	0.849666	-0.11%	0.862461	+1.39%	0.0235	✗	1.03	3.7M	2021-12-25
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	42.68	42.632	-0.11%	42.74	+0.14%	0.0109	✗	1.00	21.8M	2021-12-25
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	104.62	104.4978	-0.12%	109.28	+4.45%	0.0528	✗	0.97	8.8M	2021-12-25
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.08284	0.082739	-0.12%	0.08801	+6.24%	0.0717	✗	1.19	21.7M	2021-12-25
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.6807	6.6721	-0.13%	6.86	+2.68%	0.0371	✗	1.12	876k	2021-12-25
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.85	10.8334	-0.15%	11.08	+2.12%	0.0305	✗	0.95	1.6M	2021-12-25
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	165.18	164.924	-0.15%	169.64	+2.70%	0.0385	✗	1.24	13.6M	2021-12-25
ZEN	Horizen	Base	70.53	70.3983	-0.19%	70.77	+0.34%	0.0170	✗	1.41	1.4M	2021-12-25
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.19	5.1801	-0.19%	5.84	+12.52%	0.1307	✗	1.29	28.7M	2021-12-25
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.576	1.5727	-0.21%	1.5748	-0.08%	0.0099	✗	1.03	34.9M	2021-12-25
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2171	0.216647	-0.21%	0.2345	+8.01%	0.0891	✗	1.19	6.5M	2021-12-25
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003614	0.000036064	-0.21%	0.00003772	+4.37%	0.0532	✗	1.00	2.2M	2021-12-25
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01651	0.016474	-0.22%	0.01675	+1.45%	0.0244	✗	0.93	1.4M	2021-12-25
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01972	0.019677	-0.22%	0.01996	+1.22%	0.0186	✗	0.51	60k	2021-12-25
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.83	4.8193	-0.22%	4.91	+1.66%	0.0270	✗	1.00	1.5M	2021-12-25
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.062217	0.062079	-0.22%	0.06464	+3.89%	0.0522	✗	1.41	9.5M	2021-12-25
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.51	5.4975	-0.23%	5.29	-3.99%	0.0301	✓	1.00	6.5M	2021-12-25
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.21483	0.214267	-0.26%	0.21629	+0.68%	0.0227	✗	1.59	24k	2021-12-25
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.11	12.0761	-0.28%	13.23	+9.25%	0.0957	✗	0.53	2.7M	2021-12-25
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.72	45.586	-0.29%	46.41	+1.51%	0.0333	✗	1.85	8.8M	2021-12-25
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.8967	1.8907	-0.32%	2	+5.45%	0.0622	✗	0.72	8.1M	2021-12-25
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.94	7.9138	-0.33%	7.65	-3.65%	0.0226	✓	1.36	14.9M	2021-12-25
XVG	Verge	native	0.01798	0.017918	-0.34%	0.01838	+2.22%	0.0353	✗	1.18	2.8M	2021-12-25
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3826	0.381204	-0.36%	0.3974	+3.87%	0.0522	✗	1.27	6.2M	2021-12-25
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4629	0.461094	-0.39%	0.4703	+1.60%	0.0317	✗	1.43	1.2M	2021-12-25
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.793	2.782	-0.40%	3.134	+12.21%	0.1272	✗	0.96	2.2M	2021-12-25
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.5	3.4859	-0.40%	3.7481	+7.09%	0.0799	✗	0.89	9.0M	2021-12-25
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1086	0.10816	-0.41%	0.1109	+2.12%	0.0365	✗	1.38	3.0M	2021-12-25
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	32,577.63	32,440.42	-0.42%	31,196.71	-4.24%	0.0346	✓	0.54	7.0M	2021-12-25
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.793	3.777	-0.42%	4.292	+13.16%	0.1362	✗	1.00	3.5M	2021-12-25
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.189	1.1838	-0.44%	1.1799	-0.77%	0.0051	✗	1.00	190k	2021-12-25
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.2129	2.2026	-0.46%	2.2841	+3.22%	0.0524	✗	1.92	2.1M	2021-12-25
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3016	0.300195	-0.47%	0.3183	+5.54%	0.0691	✗	1.26	6.2M	2021-12-25
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.4062	0.404274	-0.47%	0.4176	+2.81%	0.0445	✗	1.44	4.4M	2021-12-25
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	44.15	43.9406	-0.47%	44.57	+0.95%	0.0285	✗	1.71	4.7M	2021-12-25
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.751	1.7423	-0.50%	1.7241	-1.54%	0.0022	✓	1.00	6.7M	2021-12-25
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	270.33	268.7024	-0.60%	263.91	-2.37%	0.0094	✓	1.02	11.4M	2021-12-25
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7966	0.791173	-0.68%	0.7916	-0.63%	0.0108	✗	1.23	7.7M	2021-12-25
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0781	0.077559	-0.69%	0.0826	+5.76%	0.0739	✗	1.31	2.5M	2021-12-25
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.56	9.4937	-0.69%	9.78	+2.30%	0.0387	✗	1.08	4.1M	2021-12-25
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.77	3.7436	-0.70%	5.01	+32.89%	0.2997	✗	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-25
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.54	3.5151	-0.70%	3.59	+1.41%	0.0293	✗	0.99	807k	2021-12-25
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3611	0.358113	-0.83%	0.3659	+1.33%	0.0291	✗	0.91	388k	2021-12-25
HIVE	Hive	native	1.593	1.5784	-0.92%	1.6509	+3.63%	0.0557	✗	1.30	10.4M	2021-12-25
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.673	0.666727	-0.93%	0.721	+7.13%	0.0884	✗	1.22	3.0M	2021-12-25
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.038247	0.037889	-0.94%	0.037845	-1.05%	0.0074	✓	1.03	12.1M	2021-12-25
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02191	0.021676	-1.07%	0.02284	+4.24%	0.0607	✗	1.00	39.8M	2021-12-25
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.7622	0.753644	-1.12%	0.7354	-3.52%	0.0100	✓	1.73	14.6M	2021-12-25
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	15.7	15.5179	-1.16%	16.15	+2.87%	0.0401	✗	0.03	4.8M	2021-12-25
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.7596	0.749918	-1.27%	0.7869	+3.59%	0.0588	✗	1.28	5.1M	2021-12-25
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		15.611	15.4119	-1.28%	16.057	+2.86%	0.0407	✗	-0.03	133k	2021-12-25

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.