2021-12-22 · +1d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0784

136 of 136 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+2.02%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

53.7%

in alpha space · 50.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+4.60%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.079046	0.079347	+0.38%	0.08261	+4.51%	0.0022	✓	0.95	787k	2021-12-23
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	48,803.20	48,950.66	+0.30%	50,984.80	+4.47%	0.0032	✗	0.98	12k	2021-12-23
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.173188	0.173648	+0.27%	0.184934	+6.78%	0.0142	✓	1.08	5.5M	2021-12-23
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.024	4.0344	+0.26%	4.331	+7.63%	0.0358	✓	0.78	714k	2021-12-23
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.34	23.3894	+0.21%	27.01	+15.72%	0.0852	✓	1.31	21.2M	2021-12-23
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,981.12	3,989.18	+0.20%	4,113.08	+3.31%	0.0159	✗	1.03	768.5M	2021-12-23
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.56	15.5908	+0.20%	16.16	+3.86%	0.0148	✗	1.13	5.7M	2021-12-23
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	181.9072	182.2655	+0.20%	189.2792	+4.05%	0.0060	✗	0.97	748k	2021-12-23
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.357	0.357688	+0.19%	0.372	+4.20%	0.0065	✓	0.73	49k	2021-12-23
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.21	16.2405	+0.19%	18.18	+12.15%	0.0572	✓	1.24	14.1M	2021-12-23
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.18	12.2025	+0.18%	12.52	+2.79%	0.0389	✓	-0.29	5.4M	2021-12-23
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.92	19.9554	+0.18%	22.19	+11.40%	0.0527	✓	1.19	67.0M	2021-12-23
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.63	35.6927	+0.18%	37.35	+4.83%	0.0003	✓	1.00	22.5M	2021-12-23
XMR	Monero	Monero	190.53	190.8619	+0.17%	210.04	+10.24%	0.0566	✓	0.87	2.8M	2021-12-23
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.47	2.4743	+0.17%	2.83	+14.57%	0.0938	✓	0.90	4.7M	2021-12-23
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5995	3.6057	+0.17%	3.6067	+0.20%	0.0044	✓	-0.09	372k	2021-12-23
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	5.0655	5.0742	+0.17%	5.2309	+3.27%	0.0310	✗	1.37	5.0M	2021-12-23
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022989	0.023028	+0.17%	0.024113	+4.89%	0.0090	✗	1.23	2.0M	2021-12-23
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.125	6.1352	+0.17%	6.259	+2.19%	0.0137	✗	0.75	4.7M	2021-12-23
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	48,608.62	48,686.41	+0.16%	50,842.20	+4.60%	0.0016	✓	1.00	750.8M	2021-12-23
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11507	0.115254	+0.16%	0.12079	+4.97%	0.0015	✓	1.08	30k	2021-12-23
SOL	Solana	Solana	178.45	178.7334	+0.16%	190.07	+6.51%	0.0209	✓	0.90	265.5M	2021-12-23
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		123.67	123.8637	+0.16%	129.81	+4.96%	0.0036	✓	0.96	2.8M	2021-12-23
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.51	24.5449	+0.14%	25.85	+5.47%	0.0209	✓	0.69	2.7M	2021-12-23
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05685	0.056928	+0.14%	0.05928	+4.27%	0.0072	✗	1.06	20k	2021-12-23
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0865	0.086617	+0.13%	0.0898	+3.82%	0.0114	✗	1.06	22k	2021-12-23
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011055	0.000110696	+0.13%	0.00011442	+3.50%	0.0110	✗	0.98	12.0M	2021-12-23
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4753	3.4797	+0.13%	3.7505	+7.92%	0.0291	✓	1.02	819k	2021-12-23
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.36	5.3668	+0.13%	5.73	+6.90%	0.0144	✓	1.14	2.8M	2021-12-23
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	33.08	33.1208	+0.12%	34.18	+3.33%	0.0031	✓	0.63	711k	2021-12-23
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.227	2.2297	+0.12%	2.334	+4.80%	0.0036	✗	1.10	3.4M	2021-12-23
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.4299	9.4413	+0.12%	10.0476	+6.55%	0.0006	✓	1.37	349k	2021-12-23
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.151	5.1569	+0.11%	5.4	+4.83%	0.0184	✓	0.61	936k	2021-12-23
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.862	3.8664	+0.11%	4.157	+7.64%	0.0420	✓	0.68	487k	2021-12-23
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.76	33.7968	+0.11%	37.11	+9.92%	0.0295	✓	1.43	1.6M	2021-12-23
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.5418	4.5467	+0.11%	4.7731	+5.09%	0.0089	✗	1.28	5.1M	2021-12-23
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.973	2.976	+0.10%	3.111	+4.64%	0.0069	✓	0.83	103k	2021-12-23
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.83	8.8384	+0.10%	9.17	+3.85%	0.0039	✓	0.73	934k	2021-12-23
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.07	3.0729	+0.09%	3.28	+6.84%	0.0083	✓	1.27	3.2M	2021-12-23
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	438.3	438.6824	+0.09%	455.7	+3.97%	0.0072	✗	1.01	14.2M	2021-12-23
METRONOME	METRONOME		5.0079	5.0121	+0.08%	5.1126	+2.09%	0.0110	✗	0.69	31k	2021-12-23
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.79	8.7972	+0.08%	9.28	+5.57%	0.0245	✓	0.64	1.1M	2021-12-23
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.2372	3.2395	+0.07%	3.5141	+8.55%	0.0272	✓	1.21	4.0M	2021-12-23
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.569	1.57	+0.06%	1.645	+4.84%	0.0119	✗	1.30	5.4M	2021-12-23
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.6	1.6008	+0.05%	1.75	+9.37%	0.0146	✓	1.66	1.6M	2021-12-23
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	182.5	182.589	+0.05%	195.7	+7.23%	0.0293	✓	0.89	12.1M	2021-12-23
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0889	1.0894	+0.05%	1.1094	+1.88%	0.0500	✗	1.52	3.0M	2021-12-23
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2078	0.207897	+0.05%	0.214	+2.98%	0.0093	✗	0.85	776k	2021-12-23
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3279	1.3284	+0.04%	1.4743	+11.02%	0.0595	✓	0.99	128.9M	2021-12-23
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.267724	0.267832	+0.04%	0.287776	+7.49%	0.0279	✓	0.98	39.0M	2021-12-23
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.898	0.898362	+0.04%	0.955	+6.35%	0.0029	✗	1.43	9.7M	2021-12-23
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.24	27.2509	+0.04%	29.17	+7.09%	0.0138	✓	1.21	75.5M	2021-12-23
XEM	NEM	native	0.1305	0.130551	+0.04%	0.1393	+6.74%	0.0182	✓	1.04	202k	2021-12-23
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.5317	+0.03%	6.07	+9.76%	0.0450	✓	1.07	5.3M	2021-12-23
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0179	0.017905	+0.03%	0.01858	+3.80%	0.0181	✗	1.23	3.6M	2021-12-23
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	10.14	10.1429	+0.03%	10.269	+1.27%	0.0182	✗	0.68	455k	2021-12-23
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	273.22	273.2941	+0.03%	291.44	+6.67%	0.0172	✓	1.05	1.5M	2021-12-23
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	206.65	206.699	+0.02%	230.55	+11.57%	0.0635	✓	1.02	236k	2021-12-23
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	6.36	6.3612	+0.02%	7.3	+14.78%	0.0796	✓	1.29	13.8M	2021-12-23
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2895	3.29	+0.02%	3.6798	+11.87%	0.0734	✓	0.86	9.3M	2021-12-23
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2424	0.242422	+0.01%	0.2518	+3.88%	0.0167	✓	0.47	428k	2021-12-23
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3293	0.329319	+0.01%	0.3861	+17.25%	0.0974	✓	1.37	4.4M	2021-12-23
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.93	7.9303	+0.00%	8.15	+2.77%	0.0010	✗	0.63	1.1M	2021-12-23
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.258	8.2582	+0.00%	8.852	+7.19%	0.0124	✓	1.27	635k	2021-12-23
DASH	Dash	Dash	135.16	135.1616	+0.00%	146.65	+8.50%	0.0273	✓	1.21	2.2M	2021-12-23
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	35.67	35.6673	-0.01%	37.56	+5.30%	0.0070	✗	1.00	6.2M	2021-12-23
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.39	3.3897	-0.01%	3.57	+5.31%	0.0089	✗	0.96	1.3M	2021-12-23
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1865	1.1864	-0.01%	1.3425	+13.15%	0.0473	✗	1.70	1.6M	2021-12-23
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.7654	1.7652	-0.01%	2.2356	+26.63%	0.2098	✗	0.59	8.5M	2021-12-23
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0942	0.094187	-0.01%	0.09675	+2.71%	0.0410	✓	1.51	6.4M	2021-12-23
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	206.48	206.4501	-0.01%	247.2	+19.72%	0.1387	✗	0.92	11.4M	2021-12-23
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.801	1.8003	-0.04%	1.983	+10.11%	0.0394	✗	1.28	6.8M	2021-12-23
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10602	0.105973	-0.04%	0.11374	+7.28%	0.0458	✗	0.56	143k	2021-12-23
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.271	1.2703	-0.05%	1.301	+2.36%	0.0191	✓	0.96	4.4M	2021-12-23
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.79	15.779	-0.07%	16.85	+6.71%	0.0363	✗	0.65	1.5M	2021-12-23
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3628	1.3618	-0.07%	1.4381	+5.53%	0.0071	✗	1.05	1.5M	2021-12-23
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.59	3.5873	-0.07%	3.94	+9.75%	0.0488	✗	1.00	11.9M	2021-12-23
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.21	1.209	-0.09%	1.27	+4.96%	0.0043	✗	1.00	2.3M	2021-12-23
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20351	0.203325	-0.09%	0.21713	+6.69%	0.0062	✓	1.60	34k	2021-12-23
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.9655	1.9637	-0.09%	2.0846	+6.06%	0.0281	✗	0.71	1.3M	2021-12-23
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0712	0.071133	-0.09%	0.0701	-1.54%	0.0760	✓	1.37	2.7M	2021-12-23
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2856	0.285262	-0.12%	0.3131	+9.63%	0.0374	✗	1.24	6.6M	2021-12-23
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.53	4.5245	-0.12%	4.77	+5.30%	0.0079	✗	1.00	2.8M	2021-12-23
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4511	0.450536	-0.13%	0.4768	+5.70%	0.0071	✓	1.42	1.6M	2021-12-23
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.060937	0.060855	-0.13%	0.06319	+3.70%	0.0271	✓	1.44	11.0M	2021-12-23
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.824208	0.823084	-0.14%	0.886127	+7.51%	0.0283	✗	1.01	4.7M	2021-12-23
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.37	10.3556	-0.14%	10.97	+5.79%	0.0242	✗	0.74	1.6M	2021-12-23
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	116.66	116.4895	-0.15%	121.37	+4.04%	0.0078	✓	1.09	158.3M	2021-12-23
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.435	21.4024	-0.15%	23.316	+8.78%	0.0110	✗	1.66	22.7M	2021-12-23
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1365	0.136284	-0.16%	0.1394	+2.12%	0.0260	✓	1.08	508k	2021-12-23
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4567	2.4527	-0.16%	2.5126	+2.28%	0.0257	✓	1.11	147k	2021-12-23
XVG	Verge	native	0.01724	0.017211	-0.17%	0.01843	+6.90%	0.0157	✗	1.17	2.9M	2021-12-23
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05029	0.050206	-0.17%	0.05048	+0.38%	0.0359	✓	0.92	16.3M	2021-12-23
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.5402	6.5289	-0.17%	6.9038	+5.56%	0.0057	✗	1.12	833k	2021-12-23
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	155.44	155.1682	-0.17%	163.74	+5.34%	0.0080	✓	1.37	60.2M	2021-12-23
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.759	3.7523	-0.18%	3.838	+2.10%	0.0224	✓	1.00	3.6M	2021-12-23
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.33	41.2562	-0.18%	43.08	+4.23%	0.0020	✓	1.01	23.4M	2021-12-23
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1026	0.102407	-0.19%	0.1116	+8.77%	0.0248	✗	1.36	3.3M	2021-12-23
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2077	0.207256	-0.21%	0.2297	+10.59%	0.0510	✗	1.15	7.6M	2021-12-23
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7367	0.734821	-0.26%	0.8173	+10.94%	0.0529	✗	1.19	7.7M	2021-12-23
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6944	0.69262	-0.26%	0.7336	+5.65%	0.0049	✗	1.17	14.9M	2021-12-23
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3774	0.376394	-0.27%	0.389	+3.07%	0.0252	✓	1.29	6.6M	2021-12-23
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01601	0.015967	-0.27%	0.01705	+6.50%	0.0245	✗	0.91	1.5M	2021-12-23
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	5.45	5.4352	-0.27%	5.92	+8.62%	0.0405	✗	1.00	6.8M	2021-12-23
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.6078	1.6032	-0.28%	1.6908	+5.16%	0.0080	✗	1.01	7.8M	2021-12-23
ZEN	Horizen	Base	68	67.8047	-0.29%	72.45	+6.54%	0.0027	✓	1.41	1.7M	2021-12-23
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3641	1.36	-0.30%	1.4697	+7.74%	0.0326	✗	1.00	35.5M	2021-12-23
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.000035	0.000034894	-0.30%	0.00003868	+10.51%	0.0581	✗	1.00	1.9M	2021-12-23
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.2119	0.211224	-0.32%	0.2212	+4.39%	0.0054	✓	1.15	4.2M	2021-12-23
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	165.84	165.2985	-0.33%	167.41	+0.95%	0.0446	✓	1.28	13.6M	2021-12-23
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	27.39	27.2902	-0.36%	28.38	+3.61%	0.0004	✓	0.86	41.0M	2021-12-23
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.02	9.9831	-0.37%	10.52	+4.99%	0.0099	✗	0.95	1.9M	2021-12-23
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.0194	0.019324	-0.39%	0.02116	+9.07%	0.0695	✗	0.47	61k	2021-12-23
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	101.56	101.1636	-0.39%	107.4	+5.75%	0.0165	✗	0.96	9.8M	2021-12-23
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.31	3.2969	-0.40%	3.71	+12.08%	0.0758	✗	0.94	807k	2021-12-23
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.631451	-0.40%	0.689	+8.68%	0.0333	✗	1.20	3.2M	2021-12-23
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3409	0.339477	-0.42%	0.3628	+6.42%	0.0266	✗	0.89	401k	2021-12-23
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.04	5.0181	-0.43%	5.18	+2.78%	0.0132	✓	1.00	1.8M	2021-12-23
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5055	1.4986	-0.46%	1.6503	+9.62%	0.0385	✗	1.29	11.9M	2021-12-23
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.08	11.0293	-0.46%	11.75	+6.05%	0.0406	✗	0.51	3.4M	2021-12-23
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	45.03	44.8239	-0.46%	49.54	+10.02%	0.0168	✗	1.85	10.6M	2021-12-23
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.05	5.0262	-0.47%	5.19	+2.77%	0.0273	✓	1.32	28.7M	2021-12-23
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		10.58	10.5292	-0.48%	11.764	+11.19%	0.1166	✗	-0.13	129k	2021-12-23
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.49	41.2907	-0.48%	44.43	+7.09%	0.0042	✓	1.72	5.2M	2021-12-23
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0877	0.087275	-0.48%	0.08995	+2.57%	0.0247	✓	1.22	22.6M	2021-12-23
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.46	9.4138	-0.49%	9.83	+3.91%	0.0057	✓	1.09	4.1M	2021-12-23
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.2709	1.2646	-0.49%	1.2952	+1.91%	0.0224	✓	1.03	23.6M	2021-12-23
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,630.71	31,472.80	-0.50%	31,557.56	-0.23%	0.0221	✓	0.55	6.8M	2021-12-23
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	10.62	10.5621	-0.55%	11.89	+11.96%	0.1216	✗	-0.07	4.2M	2021-12-23
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.579	2.5641	-0.58%	2.972	+15.24%	0.1070	✗	0.90	2.8M	2021-12-23
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6893	0.68443	-0.71%	0.7834	+13.65%	0.0798	✗	1.23	6.5M	2021-12-23
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.036887	0.036615	-0.74%	0.039008	+5.75%	0.0173	✗	1.02	13.9M	2021-12-23
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.1998	2.1824	-0.79%	2.316	+5.28%	0.0294	✓	1.98	2.3M	2021-12-23
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.31	1.2965	-1.03%	1.37	+4.58%	0.0102	✓	1.00	196k	2021-12-23
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6721	0.663205	-1.32%	0.6665	-0.83%	0.0762	✓	1.81	12.6M	2021-12-23
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02388	0.02347	-1.72%	0.02368	-0.84%	0.0360	✓	1.00	34.3M	2021-12-23

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.