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2021-12-20 · +30d

lstm_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2267
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.1%
in alpha space · 78.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,926.0747,241.66+0.67%41,674.27-11.19%0.0067✓1.00750.8M2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0222820.022378+0.43%0.01895-14.95%0.0201✗1.231.9M2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,868.2047,044.54+0.38%41,724.00-10.98%0.0025✓0.9915k2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero188.84189.1517+0.17%201.62+6.77%0.1800✓0.982.9M2022-01-19
TRXTRONTron0.077610.077654+0.06%0.069192-10.85%0.0011✓0.98798k2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.4612+0.01%7.67-9.34%0.0186✗0.671.1M2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase3.28883.2788-0.30%3.0555-7.09%0.0530✗1.04798k2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0335.0144-0.37%4.793-4.77%0.0310✗0.641.0M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.7818.6895-0.48%21.56+14.80%0.2956✗1.2969.7M2022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.9014.874-0.55%3.9939-18.51%0.1073✓0.7731k2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,946.163,916.64-0.75%3,085.27-21.82%0.1101✓1.08768.5M2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8884.8509-0.76%4-18.17%0.0295✓1.385.2M2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.9931.7255-0.83%26.81-16.19%0.0900✓0.66754k2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054060.053591-0.87%0.04692-13.21%0.0012✓1.1322k2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum5.83545.7832-0.89%7.1+21.67%0.3021✗0.825.1M2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089010.088069-1.06%0.07218-18.91%0.0266✓1.456.7M2022-01-19
DASHDashDash127.33125.928-1.10%126.8-0.42%0.1553✗1.252.2M2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2391.2245-1.17%1.537+24.05%0.3559✗1.081.6M2022-01-19
AAVEAaveEthereum181.01178.8476-1.19%210.15+16.10%0.2770✗0.9811.0M2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.5759-1.31%7.57-12.89%0.0307✓0.79838k2022-01-19
UNIUniswapEthereum14.5214.3256-1.34%15.12+4.13%0.2061✗1.2814.2M2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.8382.7999-1.34%2.623-7.58%0.0357✗0.85104k2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6711.6484-1.35%1.294-22.56%0.0893✓1.297.6M2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.042.0119-1.38%1.709-16.23%0.0309✓1.113.4M2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08360.082402-1.43%0.0761-8.97%0.0524✗1.1124k2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108770.107203-1.44%0.10044-7.66%0.0673✗1.1231k2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.7523.4025-1.46%19.03-19.87%0.0809✓1.062.9M2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.258390.254507-1.50%0.245567-4.96%0.0817✗0.9940.4M2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1811-1.51%2.91-9.91%0.0286✗0.991.3M2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3531-1.54%2.09-12.55%0.0049✓0.964.9M2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum40.5739.9409-1.55%46.67+15.04%0.2825✗1.0725.2M2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.12490.122927-1.58%0.1126-9.85%0.0430✗1.10202k2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1671790.16446-1.63%0.161705-3.27%0.1155✗1.125.3M2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.71119.7173-1.64%109.45-10.07%0.0286✗1.002.5M2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.23811.2178-1.64%1.3366+7.96%0.2156✗1.03131.8M2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum8.97188.8231-1.66%7.4032-17.48%0.0007✓1.47356k2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57423.5149-1.66%3.6546+2.25%0.0275✗-0.10372k2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.046640.045837-1.72%0.03718-20.28%0.0962✓0.9515.8M2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5433.9394-1.74%31.27-9.47%0.0436✗1.066.5M2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.10644.0332-1.78%3.8849-5.39%0.1189✗1.324.7M2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.315.0247-1.80%14.85-2.94%0.0708✗0.691.6M2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07991.0603-1.81%1.0492-2.84%0.1029✗0.9623.6M2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.342625-1.83%0.349+0.00%0.1066✗0.7454k2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20370.199912-1.86%0.1712-15.95%0.0509✓0.88756k2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0823.6247-1.89%24.06-0.08%0.1662✗1.2575.1M2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum14.8414.5551-1.92%12.52-15.63%0.0140✓1.156.6M2022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.114.0307-1.93%4.19+1.95%0.1955✗1.3228.7M2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7113.6383-1.96%3.627-2.26%0.0775✗0.68544k2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.8634.1595-2.01%27.59-20.85%0.0913✓1.0321.2M2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.065580.06425-2.03%0.07162+9.21%0.2262✗0.9922.6M2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana174.06170.5028-2.04%135.33-22.25%0.1102✓1.02281.0M2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum5.485.3622-2.15%6.05+10.40%0.2757✗1.3112.7M2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.5321.0625-2.17%37.07+72.18%0.6636✗0.8342.5M2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum174.01170.1706-2.21%135.59-22.08%0.1216✓0.8912.3M2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum188.43184.2472-2.22%172.8-8.29%0.0617✗1.06236k2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9393.8452-2.38%3.956+0.43%0.1261✗0.82780k2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.947.7491-2.40%6.36-19.90%0.1180✓0.671.1M2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin152.71149.0236-2.41%136.2-10.81%0.0801✗1.4360.7M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.28419.8882-2.42%369.1-14.22%0.0044✓1.0514.2M2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.114.9858-2.43%4.9-4.11%0.1104✗1.085.5M2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4117.2291-2.46%7.009-5.42%0.1290✗1.35635k2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4091.3742-2.47%1.222-13.27%0.0393✗1.325.6M2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2419.9862-2.49%7.272-28.99%0.2384✓0.66388k2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000106380.000103678-2.54%0.00009227-13.26%0.0021✓1.0013.4M2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration263.85256.9805-2.60%243.71-7.63%0.0781✗1.101.5M2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.24050.234081-2.67%0.1786-25.74%0.2159✓0.46434k2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7521.1534-2.74%26.53+21.98%0.3841✗1.3320.8M2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.16673.079-2.77%3.1421-0.78%0.1664✗1.234.7M2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.064.9182-2.80%4.91-2.96%0.1384✗1.182.8M2022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.30170.293092-2.85%0.366+21.31%0.3966✗1.474.9M2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1951.16-2.93%0.96-19.67%0.0714✓0.994.6M2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13030.126438-2.96%0.1012-22.33%0.0933✓1.09603k2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.25632.186-3.12%2.0509-9.10%0.0767✗1.18169k2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.8110.785274-3.17%0.701-13.56%0.0607✗1.4710.9M2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.86295.6747-3.21%5.4486-7.07%0.1000✗1.18833k2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62220.602161-3.22%0.5244-15.72%0.0075✓1.2314.9M2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.099140.095941-3.23%0.0853-13.96%0.0550✓0.53143k2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.659.3316-3.30%10.22+5.91%0.1782✗0.741.9M2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.163.0536-3.37%3.39+7.28%0.2210✗0.98821k2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017280.016692-3.40%0.01394-19.33%0.0312✓1.263.6M2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.3829.2863-3.60%26.13-13.99%0.0651✗1.511.6M2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.29781.2507-3.63%1.2659-2.46%0.1365✗1.0535.8M2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.6693-3.64%2.47-10.83%0.0746✗1.283.0M2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1411.6805-3.79%8.35-31.22%0.3749✓-0.335.9M2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06520.062693-3.85%0.0486-25.46%0.0934✓1.362.9M2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7550840.725865-3.87%0.684968-9.29%0.0696✗1.074.8M2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.6389.0447-3.87%71.82-22.47%0.1021✓0.9510.6M2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.511.451-3.91%1.17-22.52%0.0148✓1.692.0M2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19910.190647-4.25%0.151-24.16%0.0894✓1.218.9M2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9558.5699-4.30%10.274+14.73%0.1554✗-0.22119k2022-01-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.52211.4548-4.42%0.7592-50.12%0.5945✓0.478.8M2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative21.10320.0731-4.88%19.951-5.46%0.1984✗1.7223.4M2022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.018.561-4.98%10.21+13.32%0.1570✗-0.163.7M2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum9.539.0486-5.05%7.01-26.44%0.1415✓0.962.0M2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase61.4958.2911-5.20%49.93-18.80%0.0272✓1.532.2M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase176.9138167.5788-5.28%120.5322-31.87%0.1940✓1.141.1M2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash157.02148.5783-5.38%125.87-19.84%0.0016✓1.3813.6M2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.014930.014098-5.58%0.0127-14.94%0.0040✓0.911.9M2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35320.333144-5.68%0.2982-15.57%0.0441✓1.306.8M2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.23.0164-5.74%3.33+4.06%0.2176✗1.0011.9M2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3122.1782-5.79%2.219-4.02%0.1272✗0.923.3M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.194660.183154-5.91%0.19913+2.30%0.2782✗1.6434k2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579810.054549-5.92%0.051115-11.84%0.1127✗1.5013.8M2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019250.018091-6.02%0.01585-17.66%0.0669✓0.5567k2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.016640.015624-6.11%0.01267-23.86%0.0692✓1.183.1M2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66920.626885-6.32%0.6838+2.18%0.2294✗1.207.8M2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1119-6.56%0.93-21.85%0.0600✓1.002.3M2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.26740.24964-6.64%0.2463-7.89%0.1369✗1.277.0M2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.62641.5183-6.64%1.462-10.11%0.0388✓0.651.4M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.765.3499-7.12%3.1-46.18%0.4270✓1.009.3M2022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,818.4334,179.57-7.17%32,142.29-12.70%0.0093✓0.606.2M2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42130.390124-7.40%0.5701+35.32%0.5445✗1.391.8M2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0950.08791-7.46%0.0774-18.53%0.0341✓1.363.4M2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum4.283.9595-7.49%3.56-16.82%0.0123✓1.002.8M2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum8.758.0649-7.83%8.26-5.60%0.1547✗1.103.9M2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.04830.964344-8.01%0.9271-11.56%0.1408✗1.523.4M2022-01-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.3898-8.36%4.35-9.19%0.1096✗1.001.8M2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.459.5598-8.52%8.43-19.33%0.0670✓0.504.2M2022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.4758-8.55%3.282-13.65%0.0613✓1.003.7M2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.31750.289181-8.92%0.2983-6.05%0.1350✗0.88693k2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000028428-8.94%0.00002726-12.68%0.0767✓1.001.9M2022-01-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53720.486447-9.45%0.8466+57.59%0.7719✗1.8310.2M2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum2.01891.8269-9.51%1.1835-41.38%0.2016✓1.962.3M2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.62860.568211-9.61%0.5784-7.99%0.1631✗1.227.7M2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.10760.996774-10.00%0.95676-13.61%0.1693✗1.771.5M2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6070.546104-10.03%0.469-22.73%0.0049✓1.243.4M2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.3736.3127-10.05%22.14-45.16%0.2654✓1.9313.8M2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.41.2583-10.12%1.1386-18.67%0.0572✓1.3212.4M2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.55101.9045-10.26%82.64-27.22%0.0744✓1.14164.3M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0930.5433-10.40%32.43-4.87%0.2675✗1.756.0M2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.2190.194672-11.11%0.1191-45.62%0.3529✓1.173.9M2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0358470.031659-11.68%0.026624-25.73%0.0538✓1.0115.0M2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum3.19012.8105-11.90%2.7346-14.28%0.0762✓0.8710.9M2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.38951.215-12.56%1.1693-15.85%0.0796✓0.997.8M2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018090.015764-12.86%0.01172-35.21%0.1777✓1.0030.7M2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.