VTHO

VeThor · native · lstm_s1

token id: #321
symbol: VTHO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-09-13
predictions: 3,372

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

70.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0561

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0082

actual -0.0088

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.000680015	0.000666914	-1.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-21	oos	0.000678765	0.000664164	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.000643555	0.00063106	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-19	oos	0.00062431	0.0006118	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-18	oos	0.00063368	0.000620143	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.00065124	0.000635192	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-16	oos	0.00063382	0.000616983	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.00063741	0.000618366	-2.99%	0.000680015	+6.68%	0.0843	✗	0.42
2026-10-14	oos	0.00064007	0.00062077	-3.02%	0.000678765	+6.05%	0.0767	✗	0.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.000689545	0.000668323	-3.08%	0.000643555	-6.67%	0.0370	✓	0.39
2026-10-12	oos	0.00069641	0.000673995	-3.22%	0.00062431	-10.35%	0.0770	✓	0.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.000739555	0.000715229	-3.29%	0.00063368	-14.32%	0.1139	✓	0.36
2026-10-10	oos	0.00070241	0.000679211	-3.30%	0.00065124	-7.28%	0.0356	✓	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.00065773	0.000636816	-3.18%	0.00063382	-3.64%	0.0003	✓	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.000671515	0.00064953	-3.27%	0.00063741	-5.08%	0.0207	✓	0.35
2026-10-07	oos	0.000688965	0.000665993	-3.33%	0.00064007	-7.10%	0.0327	✓	0.34
2026-10-06	oos	0.00073003	0.000704033	-3.56%	0.000689545	-5.55%	0.0125	✓	0.29
2026-10-05	oos	0.000666415	0.000646143	-3.04%	0.00069641	+4.50%	0.0896	✗	0.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.00065977	0.000639601	-3.06%	0.000739555	+12.09%	0.1560	✗	0.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.00065726	0.000636309	-3.19%	0.00070241	+6.87%	0.1061	✗	0.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.0006719	0.000648558	-3.47%	0.00065773	-2.11%	0.0217	✓	0.33
2026-10-01	oos	0.00067236	0.000647375	-3.72%	0.000671515	-0.13%	0.0490	✗	0.33
2026-09-30	oos	0.000684145	0.000656774	-4.00%	0.000688965	+0.70%	0.0490	✗	0.34
2026-09-29	oos	0.00069047	0.00066145	-4.20%	0.00073003	+5.73%	0.0910	✗	0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.000709025	0.000677833	-4.40%	0.000666415	-6.01%	0.0264	✓	0.35
2026-09-27	oos	0.00075311	0.000719701	-4.44%	0.00065977	-12.39%	0.0952	✓	0.35
2026-09-26	oos	0.000795955	0.000760769	-4.42%	0.00065726	-17.42%	0.1476	✓	0.34
2026-09-25	oos	0.000798705	0.000763678	-4.39%	0.0006719	-15.88%	0.1297	✓	0.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.00075238	0.000718626	-4.49%	0.00067236	-10.64%	0.0685	✓	0.35
2026-09-23	oos	0.00071115	0.000679975	-4.38%	0.000684145	-3.80%	0.0096	✓	0.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.00070052	0.000670429	-4.30%	0.00069047	-1.43%	0.0411	✓	0.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.000695975	0.000665439	-4.39%	0.000709025	+1.88%	0.0783	✗	0.40
2026-09-20	oos	0.00066688	0.000637663	-4.38%	0.00075311	+12.93%	0.1501	✗	0.41
2026-09-19	oos	0.000711465	0.000678151	-4.68%	0.000795955	+11.88%	0.1447	✗	0.40
2026-09-18	oos	0.00071238	0.000676882	-4.98%	0.000798705	+12.12%	0.1493	✗	0.41
2026-09-17	oos	0.00067768	0.000645498	-4.75%	0.00075238	+11.02%	0.1151	✗	0.38
2026-09-16	oos	0.000689695	0.00065354	-5.24%	0.00071115	+3.11%	0.0457	✓	0.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.00074268	0.000702206	-5.45%	0.00070052	-5.68%	0.0576	✓	0.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.00063838	0.000604351	-5.33%	0.000695975	+9.02%	0.0801	✗	0.60
2026-09-13	oos	0.00078042	0.000733057	-6.07%	0.00066688	-14.55%	0.1337	✓	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.000666995	0.000629886	-5.56%	0.000711465	+6.67%	0.0844	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.00058528	0.000554401	-5.28%	0.00071238	+21.72%	0.2160	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.000582645	0.000552134	-5.24%	0.00067768	+16.31%	0.2067	✗	0.75
2026-09-09	oos	0.000433455	0.000434081	+0.14%	0.000689695	+59.12%	0.4905	✓	0.99
2026-09-08	oos	0.00045428	0.000451578	-0.59%	0.00074268	+63.49%	0.5344	✗	0.99
2026-09-07	oos	0.00041766	0.000425757	+1.94%	0.00063838	+52.85%	0.4170	✓	1.03
2026-09-06	oos	0.00042541	0.00043613	+2.52%	0.00078042	+83.45%	0.6278	✓	1.02
2026-09-05	oos	0.00041448	0.000426805	+2.97%	0.000666995	+60.92%	0.4797	✓	1.02
2026-09-04	oos	0.00040222	0.000417444	+3.79%	0.00058528	+45.51%	0.3690	✓	0.99
2026-09-03	oos	0.00040285	0.000420733	+4.44%	0.000582645	+44.63%	0.3857	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.000382395	0.000397754	+4.02%	0.000433455	+13.35%	0.0727	✓	1.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.00038735	0.000403781	+4.24%	0.00045428	+17.28%	0.1036	✓	1.06
2026-08-31	oos	0.000402	0.000419791	+4.43%	0.00041766	+3.90%	0.0117	✓	0.98
2026-08-30	oos	0.000395	0.000411364	+4.14%	0.00042541	+7.70%	0.0007	✓	1.01
2026-08-29	oos	0.0004105	0.000425879	+3.75%	0.00041448	+0.97%	0.0476	✗	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.0003975	0.000411074	+3.41%	0.00040222	+1.19%	0.0455	✗	1.02
2026-08-27	oos	0.000415	0.000427813	+3.09%	0.00040285	-2.93%	0.0727	✗	1.03
2026-08-26	oos	0.000403	0.000414192	+2.78%	0.000382395	-5.11%	0.0574	✗	1.02
2026-08-25	oos	0.0003725	0.000381918	+2.53%	0.00038735	+3.99%	0.0288	✓	1.02
2026-08-24	oos	0.0003775	0.000385204	+2.04%	0.000402	+6.49%	0.0481	✓	1.01
2026-08-23	oos	0.000373	0.000378487	+1.47%	0.000395	+5.90%	0.0435	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.000368	0.000371642	+0.99%	0.0004105	+11.55%	0.0841	✓	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.000377	0.000380471	+0.92%	0.0003975	+5.44%	0.0500	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.000353	0.000352737	-0.07%	0.000415	+17.56%	0.0668	✗	1.01
2026-08-19	oos	0.00033	0.000328321	-0.51%	0.000403	+22.12%	0.0752	✗	0.99
2026-08-18	oos	0.0003095	0.000307305	-0.71%	0.0003725	+20.36%	0.0002	✓	0.99
2026-08-17	oos	0.0003135	0.00031107	-0.78%	0.0003775	+20.41%	0.0081	✓	0.99
2026-08-16	oos	0.0003135	0.00031082	-0.85%	0.000373	+18.98%	0.0338	✓	1.02
2026-08-15	oos	0.0003195	0.000316534	-0.93%	0.000368	+15.18%	0.0534	✓	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	0.000316	0.000313028	-0.94%	0.000377	+19.30%	0.0358	✓	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	0.000323	0.000319775	-1.00%	0.000353	+9.29%	0.0443	✓	1.02
2026-08-12	oos	0.0003205	0.000317444	-0.95%	0.00033	+2.96%	0.0535	✓	1.04
2026-08-11	oos	0.0003265	0.000323079	-1.05%	0.0003095	-5.21%	0.0611	✓	1.02
2026-08-10	oos	0.000336	0.000332035	-1.18%	0.0003135	-6.70%	0.0664	✓	1.01
2026-08-09	oos	0.0003425	0.000338427	-1.19%	0.0003135	-8.47%	0.0442	✓	1.03
2026-08-08	oos	0.000342	0.000337917	-1.19%	0.0003195	-6.58%	0.0258	✓	1.02
2026-08-07	oos	0.0003325	0.000328689	-1.15%	0.000316	-4.96%	0.0083	✓	1.04
2026-08-06	oos	0.0003325	0.000328446	-1.22%	0.000323	-2.86%	0.0031	✓	1.04
2026-08-05	oos	0.0003305	0.00032649	-1.21%	0.0003205	-3.03%	0.0008	✓	1.04
2026-08-04	oos	0.000329	0.000324717	-1.30%	0.0003265	-0.76%	0.0139	✗	1.03
2026-08-03	oos	0.00033	0.000325249	-1.44%	0.000336	+1.82%	0.0252	✗	1.04
2026-08-02	oos	0.000333	0.000327994	-1.50%	0.0003425	+2.85%	0.0211	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.0003305	0.000325194	-1.61%	0.000342	+3.48%	0.0152	✓	1.05
2026-07-31	oos	0.0003335	0.000327631	-1.76%	0.0003325	-0.30%	0.0191	✓	1.05
2026-07-30	oos	0.000333	0.000327012	-1.80%	0.0003325	-0.15%	0.0243	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.0003275	0.000320555	-2.12%	0.0003305	+0.92%	0.0189	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.00034	0.000333107	-2.03%	0.000329	-3.24%	0.0158	✓	1.06
2026-07-27	oos	0.0003425	0.000335863	-1.94%	0.00033	-3.65%	0.0138	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.000363	0.000358955	-1.11%	0.000333	-8.26%	0.0455	✓	1.03
2026-07-25	oos	0.0003595	0.0003547	-1.34%	0.0003305	-8.07%	0.0458	✓	1.03
2026-07-24	oos	0.0003575	0.000352891	-1.29%	0.0003335	-6.71%	0.0362	✓	1.03
2026-07-23	oos	0.0003615	0.000357939	-0.98%	0.000333	-7.88%	0.0670	✓	1.03
2026-07-22	oos	0.0003655	0.000362908	-0.71%	0.0003275	-10.40%	0.0680	✓	1.03
2026-07-21	oos	0.0003705	0.000368139	-0.64%	0.00034	-8.23%	0.0374	✓	1.03
2026-07-20	oos	0.000367	0.00036418	-0.77%	0.0003425	-6.68%	0.0375	✓	1.01
2026-07-19	oos	0.0003685	0.000365459	-0.83%	0.000363	-1.49%	0.0170	✓	1.01
2026-07-18	oos	0.0003755	0.000372278	-0.86%	0.0003595	-4.26%	0.0270	✓	1.02
2026-07-17	oos	0.0003655	0.000362783	-0.74%	0.0003575	-2.19%	0.0177	✓	1.01
2026-07-16	oos	0.0003675	0.000364688	-0.77%	0.0003615	-1.63%	0.0291	✓	1.02
2026-07-15	oos	0.0003755	0.000373086	-0.64%	0.0003655	-2.66%	0.0419	✓	1.02
2026-07-14	oos	0.000372	0.000369959	-0.55%	0.0003705	-0.40%	0.0224	✓	1.03
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003645	0.000361998	-0.69%	0.000367	+0.69%	0.0354	✓	1.06
2026-07-12	oos	0.000365	0.000362909	-0.57%	0.0003685	+0.96%	0.0006	✓	1.08
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003705	0.000368464	-0.55%	0.0003755	+1.35%	0.0021	✓	1.05
2026-07-10	oos	0.0003675	0.000365696	-0.49%	0.0003655	-0.54%	0.0033	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.000364	0.000361992	-0.55%	0.0003675	+0.96%	0.0053	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0003625	0.000360418	-0.57%	0.0003755	+3.59%	0.0002	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.0003655	0.000363831	-0.46%	0.000372	+1.78%	0.0051	✓	1.05
2026-07-06	oos	0.00038	0.00037828	-0.45%	0.0003645	-4.08%	0.0084	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.0003735	0.000371666	-0.49%	0.000365	-2.28%	0.0206	✓	1.03
2026-07-04	oos	0.0003785	0.000376329	-0.57%	0.0003705	-2.11%	0.0268	✓	1.04
2026-07-03	oos	0.000376	0.000373747	-0.60%	0.0003675	-2.26%	0.0427	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.0003655	0.000363135	-0.65%	0.000364	-0.41%	0.0250	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.000361	0.000358357	-0.73%	0.0003625	+0.42%	0.0264	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.00035	0.000347213	-0.80%	0.0003655	+4.43%	0.0273	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.0003615	0.000358981	-0.70%	0.00038	+5.12%	0.0047	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.0003595	0.0003569	-0.72%	0.0003735	+3.89%	0.0210	✓	0.99
2026-06-27	oos	0.0003595	0.000357044	-0.68%	0.0003785	+5.29%	0.0074	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.000363	0.000360725	-0.63%	0.000376	+3.58%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.000356	0.000354097	-0.53%	0.0003655	+2.67%	0.0025	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.0003665	0.000364572	-0.53%	0.000361	-1.50%	0.0066	✗	0.97
2026-06-23	oos	0.0003755	0.000373526	-0.53%	0.00035	-6.79%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.0003905	0.000388231	-0.58%	0.0003615	-7.43%	0.0116	✓	0.98
2026-06-21	oos	0.0003855	0.000383414	-0.54%	0.0003595	-6.74%	0.0046	✓	0.97
2026-06-20	oos	0.000395	0.000392819	-0.55%	0.0003595	-8.99%	0.0228	✓	0.95
2026-06-19	oos	0.000388	0.000385994	-0.52%	0.000363	-6.44%	0.0080	✓	0.95
2026-06-18	oos	0.0003905	0.000388604	-0.49%	0.000356	-8.83%	0.0385	✓	0.95
2026-06-17	oos	0.000406	0.000403761	-0.55%	0.0003665	-9.73%	0.0445	✓	0.95
2026-06-16	oos	0.0004075	0.000405197	-0.57%	0.0003755	-7.85%	0.0316	✓	0.96
2026-06-15	oos	0.0004125	0.000410061	-0.59%	0.0003905	-5.33%	0.0145	✓	0.96
2026-06-14	oos	0.000405	0.00040278	-0.55%	0.0003855	-4.81%	0.0074	✓	0.95
2026-06-13	oos	0.0004005	0.000398762	-0.43%	0.000395	-1.37%	0.0064	✓	0.97
2026-06-12	oos	0.0003925	0.000391903	-0.15%	0.000388	-1.15%	0.0090	✓	0.97
2026-06-11	oos	0.000398	0.000397497	-0.13%	0.0003905	-1.88%	0.0073	✓	0.96
2026-06-10	oos	0.0003835	0.000387384	+1.01%	0.000406	+5.87%	0.0014	✓	0.96
2026-06-09	oos	0.0003925	0.000396507	+1.02%	0.0004075	+3.82%	0.0316	✗	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.000399	0.000401872	+0.72%	0.0004125	+3.38%	0.0216	✗	0.96
2026-06-07	oos	0.0004	0.000403844	+0.96%	0.000405	+1.25%	0.0329	✗	0.96
2026-06-06	oos	0.000396	0.000405832	+2.48%	0.0004005	+1.14%	0.0689	✗	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0004	0.000410635	+2.66%	0.0003925	-1.88%	0.0843	✗	0.97
2026-06-04	oos	0.000438	0.000439304	+0.30%	0.000398	-9.13%	0.0953	✗	0.92
2026-06-03	oos	0.00046	0.000459505	-0.11%	0.0003835	-16.63%	0.1442	✓	0.89
2026-06-02	oos	0.000453	0.000450959	-0.45%	0.0003925	-13.36%	0.0657	✓	0.94
2026-06-01	oos	0.000496	0.000489997	-1.21%	0.000399	-19.56%	0.1021	✓	0.84
2026-05-31	oos	0.0005175	0.00050872	-1.70%	0.0004	-22.71%	0.1159	✓	0.83
2026-05-30	oos	0.000565	0.000554444	-1.87%	0.000396	-29.91%	0.1883	✓	0.77
2026-05-29	oos	0.000478	0.000472684	-1.11%	0.0004	-16.32%	0.0296	✓	0.75
2026-05-28	oos	0.0004765	0.000471554	-1.04%	0.000438	-8.08%	0.0318	✗	0.75
2026-05-27	oos	0.000489	0.000484002	-1.02%	0.00046	-5.93%	0.0566	✗	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.000497	0.000492	-1.01%	0.000453	-8.85%	0.0110	✗	0.73
2026-05-25	oos	0.0005055	0.000500609	-0.97%	0.000496	-1.88%	0.0499	✗	0.74
2026-05-24	oos	0.000507	0.00050207	-0.97%	0.0005175	+2.07%	0.0642	✗	0.75
2026-05-23	oos	0.0005215	0.000516205	-1.02%	0.000565	+8.34%	0.1179	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.000509	0.000504339	-0.92%	0.000478	-6.09%	0.0339	✓	0.71
2026-05-21	oos	0.0005305	0.000525706	-0.90%	0.0004765	-10.18%	0.0612	✓	0.69
2026-05-20	oos	0.0005185	0.000513942	-0.88%	0.000489	-5.69%	0.0208	✓	0.70
2026-05-19	oos	0.0005145	0.00051	-0.87%	0.000497	-3.40%	0.0173	✓	0.69
2026-05-18	oos	0.000521	0.000516448	-0.87%	0.0005055	-2.98%	0.0242	✓	0.69
2026-05-17	oos	0.000522	0.000517631	-0.84%	0.000507	-2.87%	0.0168	✓	0.70
2026-05-16	oos	0.0005355	0.000530939	-0.85%	0.0005215	-2.61%	0.0049	✓	0.69
2026-05-15	oos	0.0005475	0.000542467	-0.92%	0.000509	-7.03%	0.0310	✓	0.70
2026-05-14	oos	0.000581	0.00057549	-0.95%	0.0005305	-8.69%	0.0511	✓	0.68
2026-05-13	oos	0.0005865	0.000582379	-0.70%	0.0005185	-11.59%	0.1001	✓	0.69
2026-05-12	oos	0.0006	0.000596255	-0.62%	0.0005145	-14.25%	0.1163	✓	0.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.000627	0.000623488	-0.56%	0.000521	-16.91%	0.1411	✓	0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.000621	0.000617953	-0.49%	0.000522	-15.94%	0.1296	✓	0.65
2026-05-09	oos	0.000598	0.000594405	-0.60%	0.0005355	-10.45%	0.0838	✓	0.64
2026-05-08	oos	0.000603	0.000598706	-0.71%	0.0005475	-9.20%	0.0805	✓	0.63
2026-05-07	oos	0.000597	0.000592331	-0.78%	0.000581	-2.68%	0.0277	✓	0.63
2026-05-06	oos	0.0006015	0.000597421	-0.68%	0.0005865	-2.49%	0.0009	✓	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.0005865	0.000582883	-0.62%	0.0006	+2.30%	0.0335	✗	0.87
2026-05-04	oos	0.000566	0.000562434	-0.63%	0.000627	+10.78%	0.0888	✗	0.86
2026-05-03	oos	0.000567	0.000562884	-0.73%	0.000621	+9.52%	0.0600	✗	0.85
2026-05-02	oos	0.000569	0.000564965	-0.71%	0.000598	+5.10%	0.0358	✗	0.85
2026-05-01	oos	0.000563	0.000559276	-0.66%	0.000603	+7.10%	0.0544	✗	0.85
2026-04-30	oos	0.0005615	0.000557567	-0.70%	0.000597	+6.32%	0.0274	✗	0.86
2026-04-29	oos	0.000569	0.000564956	-0.71%	0.0006015	+5.71%	0.0000	✓	0.87
2026-04-28	oos	0.000576	0.000572077	-0.68%	0.0005865	+1.82%	0.0262	✓	0.87
2026-04-27	oos	0.0005795	0.000575954	-0.61%	0.000566	-2.33%	0.0451	✓	0.87
2026-04-26	oos	0.0005865	0.000583442	-0.52%	0.000567	-3.32%	0.0273	✓	0.87
2026-04-25	oos	0.0005835	0.000580354	-0.54%	0.000569	-2.49%	0.0313	✓	0.88
2026-04-24	oos	0.0005835	0.000580603	-0.50%	0.000563	-3.51%	0.0395	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.0005775	0.000575311	-0.38%	0.0005615	-2.77%	0.0017	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.0005745	0.000572382	-0.37%	0.000569	-0.96%	0.0223	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.0005755	0.000572385	-0.54%	0.000576	+0.09%	0.0067	✗	0.89
2026-04-20	oos	0.0005795	0.000576206	-0.57%	0.0005795	+0.00%	0.0118	✓	0.89
2026-04-19	oos	0.000563	0.000559269	-0.66%	0.0005865	+4.17%	0.0098	✓	0.90
2026-04-18	oos	0.000583	0.000579738	-0.56%	0.0005835	+0.09%	0.0160	✓	0.90
2026-04-17	oos	0.000605	0.000602005	-0.49%	0.0005835	-3.55%	0.0355	✓	0.90
2026-04-16	oos	0.000593	0.000589389	-0.61%	0.0005775	-2.61%	0.0570	✓	0.90
2026-04-15	oos	0.0005735	0.000570221	-0.57%	0.0005745	+0.17%	0.0321	✓	0.90
2026-04-14	oos	0.000562	0.000558843	-0.56%	0.0005755	+2.40%	0.0035	✓	0.90
2026-04-13	oos	0.000572	0.000568765	-0.57%	0.0005795	+1.31%	0.0018	✓	0.90
2026-04-12	oos	0.0005525	0.000548548	-0.72%	0.000563	+1.90%	0.0126	✓	0.91
2026-04-11	oos	0.000564	0.000560428	-0.63%	0.000583	+3.37%	0.0070	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.0005665	0.000562763	-0.66%	0.000605	+6.80%	0.0226	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.000561	0.000556868	-0.74%	0.000593	+5.70%	0.0211	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.0005535	0.000549313	-0.76%	0.0005735	+3.61%	0.0037	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.0005615	0.000557334	-0.74%	0.000562	+0.09%	0.0199	✓	0.91
2026-04-06	oos	0.000542	0.000537311	-0.87%	0.000572	+5.54%	0.0090	✓	0.92
2026-04-05	oos	0.0005425	0.000537562	-0.91%	0.0005525	+1.84%	0.0044	✓	0.92
2026-04-04	oos	0.0005435	0.000537883	-1.03%	0.000564	+3.77%	0.0292	✓	0.93
2026-04-03	oos	0.000546	0.00053984	-1.13%	0.0005665	+3.75%	0.0323	✓	0.93
2026-04-02	oos	0.000544	0.000537326	-1.23%	0.000561	+3.12%	0.0227	✓	0.93
2026-04-01	oos	0.0005415	0.00053645	-0.93%	0.0005535	+2.22%	0.0087	✓	0.94
2026-03-31	oos	0.000535	0.000530074	-0.92%	0.0005615	+4.95%	0.0078	✓	0.95
2026-03-30	oos	0.000527	0.000522241	-0.90%	0.000542	+2.85%	0.0075	✓	0.95
2026-03-29	oos	0.0005265	0.000521944	-0.87%	0.0005425	+3.04%	0.0042	✓	0.95
2026-03-28	oos	0.000537	0.000532495	-0.84%	0.0005435	+1.21%	0.0066	✓	0.95
2026-03-27	oos	0.0005385	0.000534257	-0.79%	0.000546	+1.39%	0.0131	✗	0.95
2026-03-26	oos	0.0005515	0.000547239	-0.77%	0.000544	-1.36%	0.0204	✗	0.95
2026-03-25	oos	0.0005845	0.000580082	-0.76%	0.0005415	-7.36%	0.0256	✓	0.94
2026-03-24	oos	0.000599	0.000594514	-0.75%	0.000535	-10.68%	0.0738	✓	0.95
2026-03-23	oos	0.000595	0.000590872	-0.69%	0.000527	-11.43%	0.0573	✓	0.95
2026-03-22	oos	0.0005815	0.000577444	-0.70%	0.0005265	-9.46%	0.0651	✓	0.97
2026-03-21	oos	0.0005925	0.00058868	-0.64%	0.000537	-9.37%	0.0549	✓	0.97
2026-03-20	oos	0.000604	0.000600622	-0.56%	0.0005385	-10.84%	0.0500	✓	0.98
2026-03-19	oos	0.0005865	0.000583638	-0.49%	0.0005515	-5.97%	0.0405	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.000604	0.000601539	-0.41%	0.0005845	-3.23%	0.0295	✓	0.99
2026-03-17	oos	0.00063	0.000628528	-0.23%	0.000599	-4.92%	0.0016	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.000622	0.000621261	-0.12%	0.000595	-4.34%	0.0118	✗	1.00
2026-03-15	oos	0.0005975	0.000595975	-0.26%	0.0005815	-2.68%	0.0452	✗	0.98
2026-03-14	oos	0.0005835	0.000581388	-0.36%	0.0005925	+1.54%	0.0518	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.0005885	0.000585842	-0.45%	0.000604	+2.63%	0.0368	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.000591	0.000587553	-0.58%	0.0005865	-0.76%	0.0069	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.0005915	0.000586993	-0.76%	0.000604	+2.11%	0.0141	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.0005835	0.000580673	-0.48%	0.00063	+7.97%	0.0272	✗	0.98
2026-03-09	oos	0.000575	0.000571823	-0.55%	0.000622	+8.17%	0.0048	✓	0.99
2026-03-08	oos	0.000563	0.000559792	-0.57%	0.0005975	+6.13%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-03-07	oos	0.000572	0.000569102	-0.51%	0.0005835	+2.01%	0.0327	✓	1.01
2026-03-06	oos	0.000579	0.000576125	-0.50%	0.0005885	+1.64%	0.0196	✓	1.00
2026-03-05	oos	0.000587	0.000584847	-0.37%	0.000591	+0.68%	0.0156	✗	1.02
2026-03-04	oos	0.000602	0.000600433	-0.26%	0.0005915	-1.74%	0.0201	✗	1.01
2026-03-03	oos	0.000588	0.000585153	-0.48%	0.0005835	-0.77%	0.0274	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.000594	0.000591191	-0.47%	0.000575	-3.20%	0.0217	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.000597	0.000593455	-0.59%	0.000563	-5.70%	0.0560	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.000602	0.00059858	-0.57%	0.000572	-4.98%	0.0501	✓	1.08
2026-02-27	oos	0.000598	0.00059434	-0.61%	0.000579	-3.18%	0.0625	✓	1.08
2026-02-26	oos	0.000594	0.000590417	-0.60%	0.000587	-1.18%	0.0595	✓	1.09
2026-02-25	oos	0.000609	0.000604539	-0.73%	0.000602	-1.15%	0.0771	✓	1.09
2026-02-24	oos	0.0005795	0.00057499	-0.78%	0.000588	+1.47%	0.0491	✓	1.11
2026-02-23	oos	0.000611	0.000605545	-0.89%	0.000594	-2.78%	0.0876	✓	1.08
2026-02-22	oos	0.000615	0.000609353	-0.92%	0.000597	-2.93%	0.0102	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.0005905	0.000587018	-0.59%	0.000602	+1.95%	0.0416	✗	1.12
2026-02-20	oos	0.000599	0.000595367	-0.61%	0.000598	-0.17%	0.0397	✗	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.0005915	0.000588166	-0.56%	0.000594	+0.42%	0.0013	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.000598	0.000594834	-0.53%	0.000609	+1.84%	0.0026	✓	1.12
2026-02-17	oos	0.0006095	0.00060613	-0.55%	0.0005795	-4.92%	0.0115	✗	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.000623	0.000619107	-0.62%	0.000611	-1.93%	0.0561	✗	1.09
2026-02-15	oos	0.0006145	0.000610911	-0.58%	0.000615	+0.08%	0.0255	✗	1.09
2026-02-14	oos	0.000638	0.000632963	-0.79%	0.0005905	-7.45%	0.0403	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.0006215	0.00061715	-0.70%	0.000599	-3.62%	0.0166	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.000604	0.000602793	-0.20%	0.0005915	-2.07%	0.0315	✓	1.10
2026-02-11	oos	0.000556	0.000562313	+1.14%	0.000598	+7.55%	0.0715	✓	1.10
2026-02-10	oos	0.0005605	0.000566893	+1.14%	0.0006095	+8.74%	0.0942	✓	1.11
2026-02-09	oos	0.0005805	0.000584945	+0.77%	0.000623	+7.32%	0.0828	✓	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.0005805	0.00058707	+1.13%	0.0006145	+5.86%	0.0692	✓	1.10
2026-02-07	oos	0.000605	0.000612012	+1.16%	0.000638	+5.45%	0.0329	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.000611	0.000616639	+0.92%	0.0006215	+1.72%	0.0351	✓	1.11
2026-02-05	oos	0.000542	0.000568064	+4.81%	0.000604	+11.44%	0.0020	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.0006525	0.000651477	-0.16%	0.000556	-14.79%	0.0612	✓	1.14
2026-02-03	oos	0.000667	0.000662799	-0.63%	0.0005605	-15.97%	0.0603	✓	1.13
2026-02-02	oos	0.0006695	0.000664264	-0.78%	0.0005805	-13.29%	0.0021	✓	1.19
2026-02-01	oos	0.000647	0.000647165	+0.03%	0.0005805	-10.28%	0.0058	✗	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.000653	0.00065208	-0.14%	0.000605	-7.35%	0.0765	✗	1.19
2026-01-30	oos	0.0007045	0.000697576	-0.98%	0.000611	-13.27%	0.0776	✗	1.19
2026-01-29	oos	0.0007105	0.000703776	-0.95%	0.000542	-23.72%	0.0934	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0007555	0.000748933	-0.87%	0.0006525	-13.63%	0.0997	✗	1.19
2026-01-27	oos	0.000766	0.000759276	-0.88%	0.000667	-12.92%	0.0669	✗	1.20
2026-01-26	oos	0.0007715	0.000764627	-0.89%	0.0006695	-13.22%	0.0047	✓	1.20
2026-01-25	oos	0.0007515	0.00074518	-0.84%	0.000647	-13.91%	0.0003	✓	1.20
2026-01-24	oos	0.000783	0.000776291	-0.86%	0.000653	-16.60%	0.0243	✓	1.19
2026-01-23	oos	0.000777	0.000770511	-0.84%	0.0007045	-9.33%	0.0146	✓	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.000761	0.000755116	-0.77%	0.0007105	-6.64%	0.0079	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0007765	0.000770363	-0.79%	0.0007555	-2.70%	0.0168	✓	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.00076	0.000754661	-0.70%	0.000766	+0.79%	0.0040	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.0008115	0.000804942	-0.81%	0.0007715	-4.93%	0.0149	✗	1.20
2026-01-18	oos	0.000831	0.000824037	-0.84%	0.0007515	-9.57%	0.0016	✓	1.19
2026-01-17	oos	0.0008725	0.000865053	-0.85%	0.000783	-10.26%	0.0230	✓	1.17
2026-01-16	oos	0.000869	0.00086169	-0.84%	0.000777	-10.59%	0.0259	✓	1.19
2026-01-15	oos	0.000851	0.000843958	-0.83%	0.000761	-10.58%	0.0247	✓	1.19
2026-01-14	oos	0.0008665	0.00085959	-0.80%	0.0007765	-10.39%	0.0044	✓	1.19
2026-01-13	oos	0.0008615	0.000854183	-0.85%	0.00076	-11.78%	0.0244	✓	1.20
2026-01-12	oos	0.000816	0.000808526	-0.92%	0.0008115	-0.55%	0.0143	✓	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0008315	0.000823544	-0.96%	0.000831	-0.06%	0.0273	✓	1.21
2026-01-10	oos	0.0008425	0.000834182	-0.99%	0.0008725	+3.56%	0.0176	✓	1.22
2026-01-09	oos	0.0008495	0.000841339	-0.96%	0.000869	+2.30%	0.0362	✓	1.28
2026-01-08	oos	0.000858	0.000850142	-0.92%	0.000851	-0.82%	0.0630	✓	1.31
2026-01-07	oos	0.000829	0.000822369	-0.80%	0.0008665	+4.52%	0.0368	✓	1.48
2026-01-06	oos	0.000867	0.000861208	-0.67%	0.0008615	-0.63%	0.0256	✓	1.48
2026-01-05	oos	0.000862	0.000856459	-0.64%	0.000816	-5.34%	0.0058	✓	1.47
2026-01-04	oos	0.000837	0.000830758	-0.75%	0.0008315	-0.66%	0.0110	✗	1.48
2026-01-03	oos	0.000803	0.000796641	-0.79%	0.0008425	+4.92%	0.0596	✗	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.000814	0.000806639	-0.90%	0.0008495	+4.36%	0.0427	✗	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.000795	0.000788388	-0.83%	0.000858	+7.92%	0.0472	✗	1.47
2025-12-31	oos	0.0007505	0.000745551	-0.66%	0.000829	+10.46%	0.0450	✗	1.44
2025-12-30	oos	0.000773	0.00076721	-0.75%	0.000867	+12.16%	0.0379	✗	1.44
2025-12-29	oos	0.000767	0.000761493	-0.72%	0.000862	+12.39%	0.0162	✗	1.44
2025-12-28	oos	0.000788	0.000782678	-0.68%	0.000837	+6.22%	0.0090	✗	1.44
2025-12-27	oos	0.000785	0.000779675	-0.68%	0.000803	+2.29%	0.0150	✓	1.42
2025-12-26	oos	0.00078	0.000774104	-0.76%	0.000814	+4.36%	0.0078	✗	1.41
2025-12-25	oos	0.0008	0.000793111	-0.86%	0.000795	-0.63%	0.0228	✓	1.42
2025-12-24	oos	0.000826	0.000817025	-1.09%	0.0007505	-9.14%	0.0831	✓	1.42
2025-12-23	oos	0.000861	0.000850445	-1.23%	0.000773	-10.22%	0.1112	✓	1.43
2025-12-22	oos	0.000933	0.000919686	-1.43%	0.000767	-17.79%	0.1583	✓	1.41
2025-12-21	oos	0.00094	0.000926932	-1.39%	0.000788	-16.17%	0.1502	✓	1.41
2025-12-20	oos	0.0008195	0.000813213	-0.77%	0.000785	-4.21%	0.0271	✓	1.41
2025-12-19	oos	0.000822	0.000815683	-0.77%	0.00078	-5.11%	0.0320	✓	1.41
2025-12-18	oos	0.000768	0.000762516	-0.71%	0.0008	+4.17%	0.0206	✗	1.38
2025-12-17	oos	0.000802	0.00079635	-0.70%	0.000826	+2.99%	0.0143	✗	1.38
2025-12-16	oos	0.000842	0.000836769	-0.62%	0.000861	+2.26%	0.0352	✗	1.38
2025-12-15	oos	0.000864	0.000858681	-0.62%	0.000933	+7.99%	0.0488	✗	1.40
2025-12-14	oos	0.000922	0.000916604	-0.59%	0.00094	+1.95%	0.0179	✗	1.38
2025-12-13	oos	0.000947	0.000941945	-0.53%	0.0008195	-13.46%	0.1093	✓	1.39
2025-12-12	oos	0.000941	0.000936289	-0.50%	0.000822	-12.65%	0.0962	✓	1.39
2025-12-11	oos	0.00094	0.000935986	-0.43%	0.000768	-18.30%	0.0857	✓	1.41
2025-12-10	oos	0.000957	0.0009526	-0.46%	0.000802	-16.20%	0.0797	✓	1.41
2025-12-09	oos	0.000999	0.000993969	-0.50%	0.000842	-15.72%	0.0904	✓	1.41
2025-12-08	oos	0.000949	0.000944262	-0.50%	0.000864	-8.96%	0.0225	✓	1.39
2025-12-07	oos	0.0009315	0.000927004	-0.48%	0.000922	-1.02%	0.0291	✗	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.000945	0.000939989	-0.53%	0.000947	+0.21%	0.0079	✓	1.39
2025-12-05	oos	0.0009455	0.000940622	-0.52%	0.000941	-0.48%	0.0141	✓	1.39
2025-12-04	oos	0.0009705	0.000965636	-0.50%	0.00094	-3.14%	0.0337	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.000997	0.000992037	-0.50%	0.000957	-4.01%	0.0144	✓	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.000997	0.000991403	-0.56%	0.000999	+0.20%	0.0138	✓	1.43
2025-12-01	oos	0.000938	0.000932596	-0.58%	0.000949	+1.17%	0.0543	✓	1.45
2025-11-30	oos	0.0009965	0.000990294	-0.62%	0.0009315	-6.52%	0.0617	✓	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.001011	0.001005	-0.64%	0.000945	-6.53%	0.0359	✓	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.001032	0.001025	-0.67%	0.0009455	-8.34%	0.0553	✓	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.00104	0.001033	-0.72%	0.0009705	-6.73%	0.0747	✓	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.001007	0.001	-0.74%	0.000997	-1.04%	0.0495	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.001012	0.001005	-0.77%	0.000997	-1.53%	0.0739	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.001017	0.001009	-0.79%	0.000938	-7.77%	0.0391	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.000955	0.000949676	-0.56%	0.0009965	+4.35%	0.0112	✓	1.47
2025-11-22	oos	0.000959	0.000955959	-0.32%	0.001011	+5.42%	0.0503	✓	1.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.000963	0.000960798	-0.23%	0.001032	+7.11%	0.0294	✓	1.51
2025-11-20	oos	0.001002	0.000997577	-0.49%	0.00104	+3.79%	0.0388	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.001028	0.001021	-0.69%	0.001007	-2.04%	0.0038	✓	1.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.001043	0.001036	-0.72%	0.001012	-2.97%	0.0768	✗	1.61
2025-11-17	oos	0.001015	0.001009	-0.61%	0.001017	+0.15%	0.0764	✗	1.62
2025-11-16	oos	0.001058	0.001051	-0.72%	0.000955	-9.78%	0.0359	✗	1.61
2025-11-15	oos	0.001091	0.001083	-0.77%	0.000959	-12.10%	0.0733	✗	1.61
2025-11-14	oos	0.00108	0.001072	-0.78%	0.000963	-10.83%	0.0627	✗	1.61
2025-11-13	oos	0.001128	0.001118	-0.93%	0.001002	-11.13%	0.1280	✗	1.68
2025-11-12	oos	0.00116	0.00115	-0.86%	0.001028	-11.34%	0.0659	✗	1.68
2025-11-11	oos	0.001171	0.001161	-0.86%	0.001043	-10.89%	0.0671	✗	1.68
2025-11-10	oos	0.001192	0.001182	-0.80%	0.001015	-14.81%	0.0836	✗	1.68
2025-11-09	oos	0.001195	0.001185	-0.85%	0.001058	-11.42%	0.0675	✗	1.70
2025-11-08	oos	0.001185	0.001174	-0.91%	0.001091	-7.93%	0.0443	✗	1.73
2025-11-07	oos	0.001216	0.001203	-1.04%	0.00108	-11.18%	0.0424	✗	1.69
2025-11-06	oos	0.00105	0.001041	-0.90%	0.001128	+7.43%	0.1078	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.001031	0.001022	-0.92%	0.00116	+12.51%	0.1632	✗	1.66
2025-11-04	oos	0.0009715	0.000966384	-0.53%	0.001171	+20.54%	0.1671	✗	1.66
2025-11-03	oos	0.000993	0.000984094	-0.90%	0.001192	+20.04%	0.2012	✗	1.75
2025-11-02	oos	0.001089	0.00108	-0.87%	0.001195	+9.68%	0.1952	✗	1.73
2025-11-01	oos	0.001109	0.0011	-0.82%	0.001185	+6.85%	0.2018	✗	1.74
2025-10-31	oos	0.001103	0.001094	-0.80%	0.001216	+10.24%	0.2084	✗	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.001123	0.001115	-0.77%	0.00105	-6.54%	0.0579	✗	1.76
2025-10-29	oos	0.001184	0.001175	-0.75%	0.001031	-12.92%	0.0308	✓	1.74
2025-10-28	oos	0.001206	0.001197	-0.76%	0.0009715	-19.44%	0.0203	✓	1.76
2025-10-27	oos	0.001233	0.001223	-0.78%	0.000993	-19.46%	0.0882	✓	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.001275	0.001265	-0.85%	0.001089	-14.58%	0.0863	✓	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.001209	0.001199	-0.87%	0.001109	-8.27%	0.0519	✓	1.77
2025-10-24	oos	0.001216	0.001206	-0.87%	0.001103	-9.33%	0.0654	✓	1.77
2025-10-23	oos	0.001211	0.0012	-0.88%	0.001123	-7.23%	0.0368	✓	1.77
2025-10-22	oos	0.001181	0.001172	-0.76%	0.001184	+0.25%	0.0297	✓	1.77
2025-10-21	oos	0.00123	0.00122	-0.82%	0.001206	-1.95%	0.0843	✓	1.77
2025-10-20	oos	0.001249	0.001238	-0.91%	0.001233	-1.28%	0.0602	✓	1.80
2025-10-19	oos	0.001254	0.001243	-0.85%	0.001275	+1.71%	0.0680	✓	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.001188	0.001183	-0.42%	0.001209	+1.77%	0.0500	✓	1.76
2025-10-17	oos	0.001172	0.001171	-0.08%	0.001216	+3.80%	0.0358	✓	1.75
2025-10-16	oos	0.001205	0.001202	-0.26%	0.001211	+0.50%	0.0233	✓	1.76
2025-10-15	oos	0.001244	0.001236	-0.61%	0.001181	-5.06%	0.0061	✓	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.001297	0.001285	-0.94%	0.00123	-5.17%	0.0312	✗	1.76
2025-10-13	oos	0.001346	0.001331	-1.10%	0.001249	-7.21%	0.0096	✓	1.76
2025-10-12	oos	0.001277	0.001264	-1.00%	0.001254	-1.76%	0.0910	✗	1.73
2025-10-11	oos	0.001161	0.001167	+0.55%	0.001188	+2.33%	0.0721	✓	1.67
2025-10-10	oos	0.001273	0.001265	-0.59%	0.001172	-7.93%	0.0205	✗	1.63
2025-10-09	oos	0.001552	0.001541	-0.73%	0.001205	-22.36%	0.0836	✓	1.38
2025-10-08	oos	0.0016	0.00159	-0.65%	0.001244	-22.27%	0.0999	✓	1.36
2025-10-07	oos	0.001596	0.001585	-0.68%	0.001297	-18.73%	0.1038	✓	1.36
2025-10-06	oos	0.001682	0.001672	-0.57%	0.001346	-19.95%	0.1093	✓	1.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.001629	0.001619	-0.63%	0.001277	-21.64%	0.1411	✓	1.36
2025-10-04	oos	0.001643	0.001631	-0.69%	0.001161	-29.32%	0.2031	✓	1.36
2025-10-03	oos	0.001683	0.001671	-0.73%	0.001273	-24.36%	0.1634	✓	1.37
2025-10-02	oos	0.001687	0.001673	-0.83%	0.001552	-8.03%	0.0878	✓	1.38
2025-10-01	oos	0.001652	0.001639	-0.80%	0.0016	-3.12%	0.0774	✓	1.39
2025-09-30	oos	0.001575	0.001562	-0.85%	0.001596	+1.33%	0.0652	✓	1.40
2025-09-29	oos	0.00161	0.001596	-0.86%	0.001682	+4.44%	0.0714	✓	1.43
2025-09-28	oos	0.00163	0.001616	-0.89%	0.001629	-0.06%	0.1334	✓	1.47
2025-09-27	oos	0.001605	0.00159	-0.87%	0.001643	+2.37%	0.1330	✓	1.50
2025-09-26	oos	0.001628	0.001614	-0.88%	0.001683	+3.38%	0.1220	✓	1.51
2025-09-25	oos	0.001575	0.001562	-0.83%	0.001687	+7.14%	0.0745	✓	1.50
2025-09-24	oos	0.001677	0.001663	-0.86%	0.001652	-1.52%	0.0754	✓	1.50
2025-09-23	oos	0.001676	0.001663	-0.80%	0.001575	-6.03%	0.0815	✓	1.51
2025-09-22	oos	0.00168	0.001667	-0.78%	0.00161	-4.20%	0.0564	✓	1.49
2025-09-21	oos	0.001798	0.001785	-0.78%	0.00163	-9.37%	0.0512	✓	1.45
2025-09-20	oos	0.001816	0.001802	-0.78%	0.001605	-11.65%	0.0350	✓	1.50
2025-09-19	oos	0.001817	0.001803	-0.76%	0.001628	-10.40%	0.0212	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.001881	0.001867	-0.75%	0.001575	-16.29%	0.0617	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.