ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · lstm_s1
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
57.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1549
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0115
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.042133 | -1.25% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041561 | -1.45% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0343 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.021077 | -1.65% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6625 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020311 | -2.58% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0584 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027342 | -1.18% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.2898 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.032859 | -0.99% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1684 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.028991 | -1.31% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1541 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033339 | -0.95% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1438 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.035865 | -1.04% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0178 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036128 | -1.11% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0386 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053308 | -0.88% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3328 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060616 | -1.03% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1382 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.05917 | -1.04% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.04172 | -1.65% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3404 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049592 | -1.57% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1253 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052478 | -1.73% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066749 | -1.40% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2199 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.092168 | -1.63% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.2998 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.10402 | -1.94% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1312 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.076778 | -1.55% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3196 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084773 | -1.72% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0794 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.088328 | -1.80% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0391 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065901 | -1.46% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3121 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.069865 | -1.55% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0459 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.089989 | -2.05% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071964 | -1.69% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2437 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.074405 | -1.89% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0201 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.060296 | -1.62% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064887 | -1.85% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0571 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059818 | -1.89% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1214 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.077153 | -3.08% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.05412 | -2.22% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3210 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.0543 | -2.61% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038632 | -2.08% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3625 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.048807 | -3.26% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2704 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027949 | -2.09% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.5879 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015913 | -1.03% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5770 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014072 | -1.00% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015185 | -1.08% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0838 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.017026 | -1.21% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0976 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.019385 | -1.47% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1182 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001539 | -5.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 0.000001027 | -9.13% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.4724 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.79e-7 | -11.86% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.4948 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001319 | -10.56% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.5303 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.000010472 | -0.41% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9610 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.00000938 | -0.21% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1072 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010096 | -0.29% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0731 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010516 | -0.33% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0318 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.000010882 | -0.35% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0335 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010976 | -0.36% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011166 | -0.35% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0125 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012614 | -0.56% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1229 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011636 | -0.38% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0832 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009552 | -0.08% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1723 | ✗ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010362 | -0.07% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0724 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011692 | -0.11% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1028 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011695 | -0.00% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0138 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012669 | -0.01% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0624 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.000013551 | -0.07% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0470 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.00001466 | -0.07% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0778 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015376 | -0.16% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0253 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015412 | -0.12% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015651 | -0.12% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0080 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.000014963 | -0.05% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0285 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015248 | -0.02% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0206 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016565 | +0.09% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0933 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016609 | +0.12% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0029 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017458 | +0.05% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017924 | +0.02% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0143 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017257 | +0.10% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0197 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.000019773 | +0.37% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2093 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023975 | +0.23% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1492 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027745 | +0.16% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1433 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.000029538 | +0.13% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0634 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000033025 | -0.11% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1083 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031806 | +0.11% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033442 | +0.12% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0866 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035879 | -0.06% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0609 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038156 | -0.12% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0776 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040259 | -0.10% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0773 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040189 | -0.03% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042242 | -0.14% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0324 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044223 | -0.40% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045969 | -0.50% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000043007 | -0.22% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0628 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.000042031 | -0.16% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0475 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040668 | -0.08% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0490 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039523 | +0.06% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0184 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000040937 | -0.15% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0169 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042096 | -0.25% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.00003684 | -0.43% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1492 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046683 | -0.46% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055397 | -0.54% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1787 | ✓ | 1.00 |