OPTIM

Optimism · · lstm_s1

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,770

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

60.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1553

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0516

actual -0.0523

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.131675	0.120222	-8.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.118956	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.113652	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.114179	-8.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.11659	-9.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.122629	-11.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.122449	-10.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.124225	-11.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.138071	-12.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.118239	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.128217	-10.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.124865	-10.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.120155	-9.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.10932	-8.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.112941	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.11898	-8.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.124919	-9.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.122103	-9.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.122774	-9.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.115893	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.116277	-9.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.116232	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.115125	-10.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.118791	-11.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.128939	-13.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.12493	-13.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.126948	-13.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.118372	-9.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.113248	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.121564	-10.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.116954	-8.24%	0.131675	+3.32%	0.1782	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.112889	-9.79%	0.12975	+3.68%	0.1093	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.111392	-8.42%	0.124265	+2.16%	0.0991	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.110673	-8.20%	0.125295	+3.92%	0.1048	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.093466	-7.37%	0.129015	+27.86%	0.2447	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.088867	-7.20%	0.13792	+44.02%	0.3579	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.086736	-7.35%	0.13735	+46.72%	0.3628	✗	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.094804	-7.25%	0.14076	+37.72%	0.3485	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.087875	-7.22%	0.158405	+67.24%	0.5052	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.088915	-7.09%	0.130645	+36.52%	0.3248	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.089211	-6.61%	0.14363	+50.36%	0.3907	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.087808	-6.38%	0.13915	+48.36%	0.3739	✗	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.094761	-4.71%	0.13233	+33.07%	0.2781	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.100666	-4.40%	0.11895	+12.96%	0.1235	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.107049	-3.08%	0.123	+11.36%	0.0838	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.110138	-0.06%	0.130325	+18.26%	0.1019	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.108361	+0.73%	0.138525	+28.76%	0.1700	✓	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.099928	+1.82%	0.134225	+36.77%	0.2087	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.105189	+3.95%	0.136365	+34.76%	0.2155	✓	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.100874	+1.66%	0.1272	+28.19%	0.1243	✓	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.097645	+2.59%	0.12807	+34.56%	0.1585	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.09696	+3.65%	0.129565	+38.50%	0.2219	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.088419	+2.32%	0.128755	+49.00%	0.2959	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.092356	+4.13%	0.1342	+51.31%	0.3083	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.095042	+5.52%	0.14935	+65.82%	0.3692	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.105385	+8.40%	0.14384	+47.95%	0.2616	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.107314	+8.40%	0.146435	+47.91%	0.2491	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.110799	+9.17%	0.1314	+29.47%	0.0981	✓	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.118583	+10.05%	0.12285	+14.01%	0.0307	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.122797	+9.46%	0.135295	+20.61%	0.0085	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.119537	+9.74%	0.12745	+17.00%	0.0547	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.118846	+10.92%	0.12514	+16.79%	0.0151	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.100154	+2.20%	0.121635	+24.12%	0.0877	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.088835	-1.25%	0.120565	+34.02%	0.1575	✗	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.077537	-5.43%	0.1009	+23.06%	0.1164	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.079302	-5.78%	0.095765	+13.78%	0.0390	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.077917	-6.52%	0.093615	+12.32%	0.0153	✓	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.079048	-6.81%	0.10221	+20.50%	0.0612	✓	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.08021	-7.11%	0.094715	+9.69%	0.0153	✓	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.082536	-6.92%	0.095695	+7.92%	0.0331	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.079305	-7.70%	0.095525	+11.17%	0.0013	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.085526	-6.53%	0.09379	+2.50%	0.0778	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.085689	-6.35%	0.099445	+8.68%	0.0382	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.08196	-6.86%	0.1053	+19.66%	0.0694	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.082612	-6.65%	0.11045	+24.80%	0.1016	✗	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.080076	-7.43%	0.1102	+27.40%	0.1185	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.079816	-7.73%	0.10758	+24.37%	0.0971	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.081277	-7.11%	0.09814	+12.16%	0.0113	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.082275	-7.03%	0.10119	+14.34%	0.0143	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.081939	-7.41%	0.09923	+12.12%	0.0015	✓	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.078907	-8.25%	0.09518	+10.67%	0.0052	✓	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.075182	-8.87%	0.09355	+13.39%	0.0042	✓	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.077627	-8.67%	0.08641	+1.66%	0.0954	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.081976	-6.31%	0.08869	+1.36%	0.1046	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.084341	-5.76%	0.09007	+0.64%	0.1251	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.084613	-5.46%	0.09722	+8.63%	0.0826	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.082284	-5.96%	0.099	+13.14%	0.0233	✓	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.091201	-4.50%	0.10149	+6.27%	0.0611	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.087821	-5.06%	0.10775	+16.49%	0.0180	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.088318	-4.52%	0.11218	+21.28%	0.0651	✗	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.08903	-3.75%	0.10893	+17.76%	0.0480	✗	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.093563	-3.04%	0.10715	+11.04%	0.0144	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.095201	-2.86%	0.098	+0.00%	0.0532	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.091241	-3.45%	0.08996	-4.80%	0.0647	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.090929	-3.78%	0.08199	-13.24%	0.1035	✓	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.091822	-3.85%	0.08417	-11.86%	0.0829	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.092962	-3.67%	0.08335	-13.63%	0.0947	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.09507	-3.48%	0.08482	-13.89%	0.1035	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.098808	-3.60%	0.08635	-15.76%	0.1107	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.09804	-3.41%	0.08867	-12.64%	0.0785	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.094767	-3.79%	0.085925	-12.77%	0.1150	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.096846	-3.64%	0.0915	-8.96%	0.0537	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.098169	-3.28%	0.0915	-9.85%	0.0725	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.100387	-3.01%	0.088	-14.98%	0.1434	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.098589	-3.34%	0.0885	-13.24%	0.1362	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.095919	-3.60%	0.0865	-13.07%	0.1467	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.098391	-3.54%	0.0865	-15.20%	0.1440	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.103205	-3.55%	0.0875	-18.22%	0.1747	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.104436	-3.75%	0.0885	-18.43%	0.1734	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.103517	-3.70%	0.0885	-17.67%	0.1632	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.102879	-3.85%	0.086	-19.63%	0.1956	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.094771	-4.27%	0.0825	-16.67%	0.1598	✓	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.090559	-4.67%	0.085	-10.53%	0.1106	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.092018	-5.14%	0.0875	-9.79%	0.1568	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.095419	-5.06%	0.0895	-10.95%	0.1274	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.094249	-5.28%	0.0895	-10.05%	0.1276	✓	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.095339	-5.14%	0.0875	-12.94%	0.1514	✓	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.100069	-4.70%	0.0955	-9.05%	0.1387	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.100989	-4.73%	0.0925	-12.74%	0.1679	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.099652	-4.64%	0.0925	-11.48%	0.1294	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.096781	-4.65%	0.0925	-8.87%	0.0888	✓	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.095858	-4.62%	0.0965	-3.98%	0.0318	✓	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.094709	-4.82%	0.098	-1.51%	0.0250	✓	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.09886	-4.48%	0.0945	-8.70%	0.0618	✓	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.098793	-4.55%	0.0945	-8.70%	0.0651	✓	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.104645	-4.43%	0.0955	-12.79%	0.1254	✓	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.104479	-4.15%	0.0965	-11.47%	0.0695	✓	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.104301	-3.87%	0.0985	-9.22%	0.0237	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.104466	-3.72%	0.1025	-5.53%	0.0098	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.103899	-3.80%	0.1015	-6.02%	0.0101	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.102372	-3.88%	0.0985	-7.51%	0.0037	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.095759	-3.76%	0.1005	+1.01%	0.0444	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.092562	-3.58%	0.1015	+5.73%	0.0881	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.088475	-2.24%	0.1035	+14.36%	0.1051	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.093222	-3.40%	0.102	+5.70%	0.0613	✗	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.092204	-3.95%	0.0995	+3.65%	0.0923	✗	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.093087	-4.03%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0911	✗	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.091606	-2.55%	0.107	+13.83%	0.0941	✗	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.094729	-3.34%	0.1085	+10.71%	0.0863	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.104575	-6.63%	0.1075	-4.02%	0.0402	✓	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.111332	-9.49%	0.107	-13.01%	0.0133	✓	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.104741	-8.92%	0.099	-13.91%	0.0422	✓	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.10855	-12.46%	0.095	-23.39%	0.0652	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.104528	-11.79%	0.097	-18.14%	0.2037	✗	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.106113	-11.94%	0.1005	-16.60%	0.1872	✗	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.105368	-11.08%	0.0995	-16.03%	0.1895	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.105371	-11.08%	0.1005	-15.19%	0.1930	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.109938	-11.34%	0.105	-15.32%	0.1987	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.112655	-11.30%	0.106	-16.54%	0.2140	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.115478	-10.83%	0.1045	-19.31%	0.1664	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.113199	-10.16%	0.1015	-19.44%	0.1237	✗	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.115875	-11.21%	0.1005	-22.99%	0.0539	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.112347	-10.84%	0.0995	-21.03%	0.0697	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.118071	-10.89%	0.1035	-21.89%	0.0700	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.115483	-10.48%	0.1035	-19.77%	0.0976	✓	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.111772	-10.94%	0.1095	-12.75%	0.1806	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.11314	-12.63%	0.109	-15.83%	0.1488	✗	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.112924	-12.12%	0.1085	-15.56%	0.1331	✗	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.115139	-13.10%	0.1085	-18.11%	0.1120	✓	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.118674	-13.06%	0.108	-20.88%	0.0994	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.127116	-12.03%	0.1065	-26.30%	0.0620	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.127668	-12.85%	0.0995	-32.08%	0.0157	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.133202	-12.37%	0.096	-36.84%	0.0837	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.139391	-11.22%	0.0905	-42.36%	0.1393	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.145341	-11.11%	0.0965	-40.98%	0.1152	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.14557	-11.24%	0.096	-41.46%	0.1621	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.151991	-11.63%	0.097	-43.60%	0.2068	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.136484	-7.78%	0.094	-36.49%	0.0950	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.135558	-4.87%	0.098	-31.23%	0.0404	✓	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.123965	-3.53%	0.112	-12.84%	0.1450	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.11891	-4.10%	0.123	-0.81%	0.2547	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.116897	-4.96%	0.115	-6.50%	0.1506	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.119879	-4.86%	0.124	-1.59%	0.1335	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.114703	-5.20%	0.1185	-2.07%	0.0946	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.11276	-6.42%	0.1205	+0.00%	0.1017	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.111317	-6.85%	0.1185	-0.84%	0.0960	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.113637	-6.47%	0.1185	-2.47%	0.0820	✗	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.115674	-5.57%	0.124	+1.22%	0.1127	✗	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.119849	-4.50%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0976	✗	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.119366	-4.89%	0.1295	+3.19%	0.0871	✗	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.119393	-4.87%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0607	✗	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.116686	-3.96%	0.1305	+7.41%	0.1349	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.116483	-3.73%	0.126	+4.13%	0.1179	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.117566	-4.80%	0.1325	+7.29%	0.1024	✗	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.11756	-4.81%	0.129	+4.45%	0.0696	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.11317	-5.69%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0601	✗	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.120021	-4.37%	0.1295	+3.19%	0.0586	✗	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.128706	-4.31%	0.1285	-4.46%	0.0060	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.125475	-5.30%	0.1325	+0.00%	0.0121	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.114477	-4.20%	0.1365	+14.23%	0.1158	✗	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.106594	-4.40%	0.1445	+29.60%	0.2075	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.111792	-4.04%	0.1465	+25.75%	0.2025	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.10027	-5.85%	0.152	+42.72%	0.2714	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.109482	-4.38%	0.157	+37.12%	0.2362	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.11048	-4.35%	0.1635	+41.56%	0.2600	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.108617	-4.72%	0.164	+43.86%	0.2828	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.108803	-4.98%	0.172	+50.22%	0.3240	✗	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.112658	-4.93%	0.148	+24.89%	0.1544	✗	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.102842	-6.08%	0.1425	+30.14%	0.1429	✗	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.103761	-6.10%	0.1285	+16.29%	0.0401	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.102971	-6.81%	0.124	+12.22%	0.0029	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.102888	-6.89%	0.123	+11.31%	0.0018	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.098775	-7.25%	0.126	+18.31%	0.0639	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.103358	-6.46%	0.121	+9.50%	0.0039	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.103352	-6.47%	0.1205	+9.05%	0.0273	✓	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.097689	-7.40%	0.1195	+13.27%	0.0598	✓	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.093653	-7.73%	0.1215	+19.70%	0.0979	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.094784	-7.53%	0.1225	+19.51%	0.0850	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.096645	-7.07%	0.1255	+20.67%	0.0717	✓	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.101664	-6.30%	0.1255	+15.67%	0.0747	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.106884	-5.83%	0.1255	+10.57%	0.0675	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.107035	-5.70%	0.1215	+7.05%	0.0095	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.107039	-5.69%	0.121	+6.61%	0.0119	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.107579	-6.04%	0.1235	+7.86%	0.0022	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.110567	-5.90%	0.1235	+5.11%	0.0000	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.117026	-5.24%	0.12	-2.83%	0.0277	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.115676	-4.79%	0.1255	+3.29%	0.0098	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.121117	-4.26%	0.1345	+6.32%	0.0134	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.132493	-2.94%	0.1325	-2.93%	0.0189	✓	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.134646	-2.08%	0.1195	-13.09%	0.1186	✓	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.125487	-2.34%	0.1115	-13.23%	0.1391	✓	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.120912	-2.10%	0.1165	-5.67%	0.0873	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.120883	-1.72%	0.1065	-13.41%	0.1236	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.116918	-2.16%	0.1145	-4.18%	0.0613	✓	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.118098	-2.40%	0.1155	-4.55%	0.0664	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.114987	-2.96%	0.114	-3.80%	0.0379	✓	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.114074	-3.73%	0.1145	-3.38%	0.0395	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.109709	-4.60%	0.1185	+3.04%	0.0222	✓	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.111364	-4.82%	0.1095	-6.41%	0.0440	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.115711	-4.37%	0.1105	-8.68%	0.0611	✓	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.120439	-4.03%	0.1105	-11.95%	0.0259	✓	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.124226	-3.70%	0.1105	-14.34%	0.0214	✓	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.120574	-4.31%	0.1065	-15.48%	0.0985	✓	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.119781	-4.18%	0.1105	-11.60%	0.0679	✓	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.116647	-3.99%	0.1105	-9.05%	0.0998	✓	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.117711	-3.91%	0.1055	-13.88%	0.1051	✓	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.115953	-3.37%	0.1015	-15.42%	0.1350	✓	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.115335	-3.48%	0.1025	-14.23%	0.0955	✓	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.119604	-3.55%	0.104	-16.13%	0.1085	✓	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.115505	-2.11%	0.1085	-8.05%	0.1548	✓	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.118504	-2.47%	0.1135	-6.58%	0.1693	✓	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.11827	-3.45%	0.1135	-7.35%	0.0965	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.124279	-3.28%	0.1135	-11.67%	0.1463	✓	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.124908	-3.17%	0.1145	-11.24%	0.0843	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.135075	-3.52%	0.1175	-16.07%	0.1774	✓	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.15854	-3.92%	0.1235	-25.15%	0.3322	✓	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.179605	-4.21%	0.1215	-35.20%	0.4386	✓	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.18279	-4.05%	0.1265	-33.60%	0.4138	✓	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.182621	-3.63%	0.1365	-27.97%	0.3880	✓	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.19048	-3.31%	0.1375	-30.20%	0.4209	✓	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.183615	-2.85%	0.1285	-32.01%	0.4329	✓	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.178686	-2.09%	0.1235	-32.33%	0.4682	✓	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.174992	-1.41%	0.123	-30.70%	0.4281	✓	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.180465	-1.12%	0.1195	-34.52%	0.4452	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.187186	-0.70%	0.121	-35.81%	0.4383	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.190387	-0.06%	0.1185	-37.80%	0.4680	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.197846	+0.68%	0.1185	-39.69%	0.4965	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.199197	+0.60%	0.115	-41.92%	0.4586	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.182235	+0.40%	0.117	-35.54%	0.5455	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.21437	-1.89%	0.121	-44.62%	0.4544	✓	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.206777	-2.69%	0.1255	-40.94%	0.3852	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.217698	-5.14%	0.129	-43.79%	0.3835	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.216881	-4.67%	0.126	-44.62%	0.3402	✓	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.220702	-5.68%	0.125	-46.58%	0.3272	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.246402	-6.13%	0.1215	-53.71%	0.2593	✓	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.253095	-6.09%	0.1225	-54.55%	0.3007	✓	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.283126	-5.94%	0.12	-60.13%	0.3139	✓	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.282774	-6.21%	0.1195	-60.36%	0.3549	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.278672	-6.33%	0.124	-58.32%	0.3434	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.267642	-6.58%	0.118	-58.81%	0.2803	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.283159	-6.70%	0.1215	-59.97%	0.2728	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.28413	-6.54%	0.1225	-59.70%	0.3423	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.287055	-6.50%	0.1285	-58.14%	0.3145	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.288364	-6.53%	0.129	-58.18%	0.3162	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.27932	-6.74%	0.14	-53.26%	0.1994	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.300367	-5.99%	0.165	-48.36%	0.0007	✓	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.304393	-5.76%	0.1875	-41.95%	0.1065	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.327373	-5.52%	0.1905	-45.02%	0.0338	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.322959	-5.01%	0.1895	-44.26%	0.0522	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.324787	-4.75%	0.197	-42.23%	0.0617	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.335893	-4.44%	0.189	-46.23%	0.0349	✓	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.345626	-5.82%	0.1825	-50.27%	0.0289	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.290923	-5.70%	0.1775	-42.46%	0.0348	✓	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.297272	-5.78%	0.1825	-42.16%	0.0085	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.299413	-5.70%	0.1885	-40.63%	0.0232	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.297454	-5.42%	0.1905	-39.43%	0.0072	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.297437	-5.12%	0.1965	-37.32%	0.0665	✗	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.301427	-4.91%	0.198	-37.54%	0.1288	✗	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.317974	-4.22%	0.1815	-45.33%	0.2949	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.316473	-4.10%	0.2185	-33.79%	0.1662	✗	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.305011	-4.39%	0.2125	-33.39%	0.0468	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.29659	-4.33%	0.2295	-25.97%	0.0481	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.292088	-4.23%	0.2275	-25.41%	0.0872	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.283194	-4.33%	0.234	-20.95%	0.0680	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.255053	-4.65%	0.2625	-1.87%	0.1116	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.259462	-4.43%	0.2695	-0.74%	0.1330	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.256899	-4.50%	0.301	+11.90%	0.1097	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.262411	-4.23%	0.3015	+10.04%	0.1095	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.266509	-4.13%	0.2975	+7.01%	0.0996	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.255665	-4.42%	0.2865	+7.10%	0.1312	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.239399	-5.00%	0.3035	+20.44%	0.1929	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.251474	-4.56%	0.304	+15.37%	0.1465	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.258454	-4.45%	0.307	+13.49%	0.1253	✗	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.259093	-4.39%	0.3085	+13.84%	0.1561	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.260678	-4.34%	0.2995	+9.91%	0.1464	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.266359	-4.36%	0.3195	+14.72%	0.0854	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.267715	-4.22%	0.323	+15.56%	0.0620	✗	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.246266	-5.28%	0.3465	+33.27%	0.1219	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.259687	-4.88%	0.34	+24.54%	0.0593	✗	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.280691	-4.36%	0.341	+16.18%	0.0220	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.279207	-4.54%	0.3515	+20.17%	0.0065	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.287403	-4.36%	0.367	+22.13%	0.0815	✗	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.303444	-3.82%	0.3085	-2.22%	0.0048	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.296078	-3.71%	0.3155	+2.60%	0.0500	✗	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.304189	-3.28%	0.3175	+0.95%	0.0923	✗	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.312456	-3.41%	0.3145	-2.78%	0.0415	✗	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.326508	-3.54%	0.3135	-7.39%	0.0027	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.30552	-4.08%	0.317	-0.47%	0.0227	✓	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.292053	-4.25%	0.332	+8.85%	0.0539	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.300536	-4.44%	0.33	+4.93%	0.0113	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.287281	-4.40%	0.319	+6.16%	0.0552	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.306478	-3.93%	0.31	-2.82%	0.0456	✗	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.315161	-3.77%	0.305	-6.87%	0.0470	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.302917	-4.29%	0.296	-6.48%	0.0369	✓	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.273682	-4.81%	0.2675	-6.96%	0.0527	✓	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.303162	-4.82%	0.2715	-14.76%	0.0630	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.31116	-4.70%	0.269	-17.61%	0.0566	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.316984	-4.52%	0.274	-17.47%	0.0736	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.318452	-4.51%	0.278	-16.64%	0.0523	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.310336	-4.66%	0.2675	-17.82%	0.0732	✓	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.309272	-4.69%	0.252	-22.34%	0.2009	✓	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.303805	-4.61%	0.2635	-17.27%	0.1259	✓	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.290038	-3.80%	0.2705	-10.28%	0.0854	✓	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.293713	-2.90%	0.271	-10.41%	0.1819	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.298219	-3.18%	0.2725	-11.53%	0.1835	✓	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.342348	-5.04%	0.2785	-22.75%	0.2516	✓	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.355571	-5.05%	0.2795	-25.37%	0.1524	✓	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.361157	-5.08%	0.26	-31.67%	0.1319	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.344884	-5.38%	0.273	-25.10%	0.0780	✓	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.361234	-5.44%	0.2935	-23.17%	0.0447	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.368373	-5.42%	0.2925	-24.90%	0.0056	✓	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.357211	-5.50%	0.3005	-20.50%	0.0097	✓	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.369571	-5.36%	0.3155	-19.21%	0.0878	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.377767	-5.44%	0.3075	-23.03%	0.0921	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.383496	-5.54%	0.3145	-22.54%	0.0766	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.420531	-5.29%	0.3235	-27.14%	0.1027	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.404526	-5.48%	0.3385	-20.91%	0.1375	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.401418	-5.33%	0.3185	-24.88%	0.0862	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.400891	-5.45%	0.305	-28.07%	0.0695	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.341119	-6.54%	0.3145	-13.84%	0.2360	✗	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.345892	-7.27%	0.3005	-19.44%	0.2403	✗	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.319782	-7.31%	0.319	-7.54%	0.2425	✗	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.322259	-8.58%	0.3275	-7.09%	0.3684	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.394601	-6.16%	0.3165	-24.73%	0.2777	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.390532	-6.35%	0.2875	-31.06%	0.3315	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.370754	-6.96%	0.3185	-20.08%	0.3519	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.37242	-7.01%	0.3265	-18.48%	0.3312	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.416054	-5.55%	0.332	-24.63%	0.2673	✗	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.412373	-5.42%	0.3335	-23.51%	0.3508	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.427606	-5.29%	0.3255	-27.91%	0.3425	✗	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.4391	-5.47%	0.3245	-30.14%	0.4172	✗	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.419784	-5.98%	0.3185	-28.67%	0.3476	✗	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.422019	-5.90%	0.3015	-32.78%	0.3175	✗	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.40649	-6.23%	0.3025	-30.22%	0.4007	✗	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.391886	-6.58%	0.308	-26.58%	0.3840	✗	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.406264	-6.28%	0.3605	-16.84%	0.4781	✗	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.419855	-6.18%	0.3745	-16.31%	0.3999	✗	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.410689	-6.45%	0.3805	-13.33%	0.3431	✗	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.398967	-6.67%	0.3645	-14.74%	0.3169	✗	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.392854	-6.46%	0.382	-9.05%	0.2997	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.398795	-6.71%	0.3895	-8.89%	0.3109	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.428019	-6.24%	0.378	-17.20%	0.3000	✗	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.455945	-6.09%	0.3905	-19.57%	0.1826	✗	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.469784	-6.60%	0.3995	-20.58%	0.1744	✗	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.449013	-7.99%	0.406	-16.80%	0.1870	✗	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.415015	-8.99%	0.444	-2.63%	0.1842	✗	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.450698	-9.50%	0.428	-14.06%	0.1465	✗	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.670175	-5.28%	0.424	-40.07%	0.1020	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.695558	-4.91%	0.424	-42.04%	0.1353	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.676453	-4.99%	0.365	-48.74%	0.2397	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.725377	-4.37%	0.373	-50.82%	0.2815	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.686068	-4.51%	0.345	-51.98%	0.2780	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.691418	-4.63%	0.3525	-51.38%	0.3842	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.712771	-4.33%	0.4205	-43.56%	0.3169	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.716242	-4.69%	0.417	-44.51%	0.3480	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.668147	-5.23%	0.3985	-43.48%	0.3477	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.629428	-6.13%	0.4005	-40.27%	0.3390	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.632222	-6.20%	0.4405	-34.64%	0.2770	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.638671	-6.49%	0.436	-36.16%	0.3960	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.628607	-6.67%	0.4515	-32.96%	0.4226	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.625255	-6.68%	0.4645	-30.67%	0.3993	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.594693	-7.22%	0.4465	-30.34%	0.3427	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.636601	-6.73%	0.4485	-34.29%	0.3007	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.634774	-6.99%	0.4335	-36.48%	0.3398	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.656556	-6.74%	0.4195	-40.41%	0.3363	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.727751	-6.58%	0.4335	-44.35%	0.3740	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.755115	-6.66%	0.4475	-44.68%	0.4152	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.744998	-5.99%	0.439	-44.61%	0.3809	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.779922	-6.15%	0.4275	-48.56%	0.3907	✓	2.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.812	0.764774	-5.82%	0.42	-48.28%	0.3845	✓	2.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.