NES
Nesa · Ethereum · lstm_s1
- token id
- #366
- symbol
- NES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-24
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +30d
assessed
81
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
75.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2506
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0641
actual -0.2719
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.11832 | 0.114907 | -2.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12079 | 0.118282 | -2.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114105 | 0.111009 | -2.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.118045 | 0.115707 | -1.98% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.11967 | 0.117231 | -2.04% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.122125 | 0.11959 | -2.08% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.138695 | 0.136363 | -1.68% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.146385 | 0.143145 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.136455 | 0.133546 | -2.13% | – | pending | – | – | 0.04 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.13391 | 0.13026 | -2.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14095 | 0.1382 | -1.95% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.14031 | 0.137988 | -1.65% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.13735 | 0.13533 | -1.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13322 | 0.130869 | -1.76% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.137455 | 0.135899 | -1.13% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.137615 | 0.136667 | -0.69% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.14428 | 0.143012 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | -0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.14974 | 0.148113 | -1.09% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.14604 | 0.143778 | -1.55% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.14854 | 0.145468 | -2.07% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.1514 | 0.147774 | -2.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.15126 | 0.148271 | -1.98% | – | pending | – | – | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.16081 | 0.157194 | -2.25% | – | pending | – | – | -0.09 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1614 | 0.158947 | -1.52% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.16563 | 0.163848 | -1.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.163905 | 0.16071 | -1.95% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.15964 | 0.157088 | -1.60% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.16505 | 0.162481 | -1.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.16465 | 0.161191 | -2.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.168615 | 0.166633 | -1.18% | – | pending | – | – | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.16943 | 0.168986 | -0.26% | 0.11832 | -30.17% | 0.3500 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.16252 | 0.158528 | -2.46% | 0.12079 | -25.68% | 0.2734 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.162175 | 0.158559 | -2.23% | 0.114105 | -29.64% | 0.3295 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.15727 | 0.153614 | -2.32% | 0.118045 | -24.94% | 0.2643 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.15382 | 0.146789 | -4.57% | 0.11967 | -22.20% | 0.2058 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.16251 | 0.15296 | -5.88% | 0.122125 | -24.85% | 0.2268 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1658 | 0.154477 | -6.83% | 0.138695 | -16.35% | 0.1100 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15123 | 0.145726 | -3.64% | 0.146385 | -3.20% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.14991 | 0.144285 | -3.75% | 0.136455 | -8.98% | 0.0671 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15991 | 0.152777 | -4.46% | 0.13391 | -16.26% | 0.1389 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.149955 | 0.145115 | -3.23% | 0.14095 | -6.01% | 0.0397 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.144685 | 0.139355 | -3.68% | 0.14031 | -3.02% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.11554 | 0.109911 | -4.87% | 0.13735 | +18.88% | 0.2049 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1225 | 0.117476 | -4.10% | 0.13322 | +8.75% | 0.1124 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13114 | 0.126878 | -3.25% | 0.137455 | +4.82% | 0.0642 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1288 | 0.124624 | -3.24% | 0.137615 | +6.84% | 0.0784 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12945 | 0.124473 | -3.85% | 0.14428 | +11.46% | 0.1240 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1378 | 0.133303 | -3.26% | 0.14974 | +8.66% | 0.0893 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.13944 | 0.135605 | -2.75% | 0.14604 | +4.73% | 0.0602 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13736 | 0.131641 | -4.16% | 0.14854 | +8.14% | 0.0927 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.14057 | 0.134661 | -4.20% | 0.1514 | +7.70% | 0.0884 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.14442 | 0.13803 | -4.42% | 0.15126 | +4.74% | 0.0728 | ✗ | 0.30 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.156 | 0.148262 | -4.96% | 0.16081 | +3.08% | 0.0571 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.15359 | 0.146376 | -4.70% | 0.1614 | +5.08% | 0.0758 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.14335 | 0.136062 | -5.08% | 0.16563 | +15.54% | 0.1693 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14355 | 0.139759 | -2.64% | 0.163905 | +14.18% | 0.1410 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1493 | 0.145652 | -2.44% | 0.15964 | +6.93% | 0.0680 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1605 | 0.167634 | +4.44% | 0.16505 | +2.83% | 0.0435 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13701 | 0.126108 | -7.96% | 0.16465 | +20.17% | 0.2361 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.195165 | 0.203544 | +4.29% | 0.168615 | -13.60% | 0.2548 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.205345 | 0.213608 | +4.02% | 0.16943 | -17.49% | 0.3079 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.220915 | 0.2317 | +4.88% | 0.16252 | -26.43% | 0.3761 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.215955 | 0.221598 | +2.61% | 0.162175 | -24.90% | 0.3817 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.212522 | -0.43% | 0.15727 | -26.32% | 0.4096 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.20579 | 0.184651 | -10.27% | 0.15382 | -25.25% | 0.3050 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.21233 | 0.191074 | -10.01% | 0.16251 | -23.46% | 0.2855 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.214555 | 0.191768 | -10.62% | 0.1658 | -22.72% | 0.2933 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.20837 | 0.186365 | -10.56% | 0.15123 | -27.42% | 0.3840 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.20957 | 0.18747 | -10.55% | 0.14991 | -28.47% | 0.3849 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.20644 | 0.184697 | -10.53% | 0.15991 | -22.54% | 0.3085 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.200645 | 0.179054 | -10.76% | 0.149955 | -25.26% | 0.3417 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.203145 | 0.181392 | -10.71% | 0.144685 | -28.78% | 0.3814 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.204145 | 0.182273 | -10.71% | 0.11554 | -43.40% | 0.6260 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.20451 | 0.183316 | -10.36% | 0.1225 | -40.10% | 0.5681 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.208985 | 0.188319 | -9.89% | 0.13114 | -37.25% | 0.5325 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.182514 | -10.25% | 0.1288 | -36.66% | 0.5338 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.20365 | 0.182876 | -10.20% | 0.12945 | -36.44% | 0.5339 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.19656 | 0.176306 | -10.30% | 0.1378 | -29.89% | 0.4352 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.2043 | 0.183777 | -10.05% | 0.13944 | -31.75% | 0.4970 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.20654 | 0.185452 | -10.21% | 0.13736 | -33.49% | 0.4850 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.204585 | 0.183668 | -10.22% | 0.14057 | -31.29% | 0.4535 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.211265 | 0.190339 | -9.91% | 0.14442 | -31.64% | 0.4957 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.20703 | 0.186193 | -10.06% | 0.156 | -24.65% | 0.3855 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.214655 | 0.200027 | -6.81% | 0.15359 | -28.45% | 0.4518 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.219455 | 0.203045 | -7.48% | 0.14335 | -34.68% | 0.5503 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.217385 | 0.201265 | -7.42% | 0.14355 | -33.97% | 0.5727 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.208679 | -7.15% | 0.1493 | -33.57% | 0.5567 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.241925 | 0.227641 | -5.90% | 0.1605 | -33.66% | 0.5130 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.2425 | 0.225622 | -6.96% | 0.13701 | -43.50% | 0.6860 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.253825 | 0.233505 | -8.01% | 0.195165 | -23.11% | 0.3568 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.246841 | -8.61% | 0.205345 | -23.97% | 0.3534 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.270695 | 0.248845 | -8.07% | 0.220915 | -18.39% | 0.2890 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.23121 | 0.219342 | -5.13% | 0.215955 | -6.60% | 0.1087 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.22897 | 0.216309 | -5.53% | 0.21345 | -6.78% | 0.0741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.223245 | 0.211311 | -5.35% | 0.20579 | -7.82% | 0.0265 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.225605 | 0.213574 | -5.33% | 0.21233 | -5.88% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.238 | 0.222832 | -6.37% | 0.214555 | -9.85% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.24992 | 0.232503 | -6.97% | 0.20837 | -16.63% | 0.0977 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.23956 | 0.224878 | -6.13% | 0.20957 | -12.52% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.242325 | 0.227928 | -5.94% | 0.20644 | -14.81% | 0.0747 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.246155 | 0.227771 | -7.47% | 0.200645 | -18.49% | 0.1451 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.2359 | 0.219929 | -6.77% | 0.203145 | -13.89% | 0.0761 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.266755 | 0.244992 | -8.16% | 0.204145 | -23.47% | 0.1846 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.276415 | 0.252009 | -8.83% | 0.20451 | -26.01% | 0.2200 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.273545 | 0.247616 | -9.48% | 0.208985 | -23.60% | 0.1967 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.29756 | 0.263779 | -11.35% | 0.20336 | -31.66% | 0.3019 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.27962 | 0.250997 | -10.24% | 0.20365 | -27.17% | 0.2238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.252165 | 0.230328 | -8.66% | 0.19656 | -22.05% | 0.1679 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.27204 | 0.24468 | -10.06% | 0.2043 | -24.90% | 0.1877 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.236725 | 0.216389 | -8.59% | 0.20654 | -12.75% | 0.0526 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22291 | 0.204055 | -8.46% | 0.204585 | -8.22% | 0.0129 | ✓ | 1.00 |