MON

Monad · native · lstm_s1

token id: #168
symbol: MON
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-11-24
predictions: 972

Track record at +7d

assessed

317

of 324 predictions shown

direction hit

51.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0957

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0214

actual +0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.022257	0.021733	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.022069	0.021625	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-20	oos	0.022084	0.021652	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-19	oos	0.0209	0.02055	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-18	oos	0.021073	0.020731	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-17	oos	0.021746	0.021362	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-16	oos	0.022843	0.022418	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-15	oos	0.022939	0.022518	-1.84%	0.022257	-2.97%	0.0515	✓	1.58
2026-10-14	oos	0.024094	0.023626	-1.94%	0.022069	-8.40%	0.1153	✓	1.59
2026-10-13	oos	0.024401	0.023902	-2.05%	0.022084	-9.50%	0.0759	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.024261	0.023785	-1.96%	0.0209	-13.86%	0.1312	✓	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.027548	0.026875	-2.44%	0.021073	-23.51%	0.2131	✓	1.49
2026-10-10	oos	0.025129	0.024592	-2.13%	0.021746	-13.46%	0.0957	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.024415	0.02394	-1.95%	0.022843	-6.44%	0.0283	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.023977	0.023553	-1.77%	0.022939	-4.33%	0.0341	✓	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.025431	0.024953	-1.88%	0.024094	-5.26%	0.0051	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.028428	0.02782	-2.14%	0.024401	-14.16%	0.0912	✓	1.38
2026-10-05	oos	0.031459	0.03065	-2.57%	0.024261	-22.88%	0.1677	✓	1.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.03334	0.032356	-2.95%	0.027548	-17.37%	0.1154	✓	1.37
2026-10-03	oos	0.033871	0.032776	-3.24%	0.025129	-25.81%	0.2351	✓	1.40
2026-10-02	oos	0.032313	0.031311	-3.10%	0.024415	-24.44%	0.2158	✓	1.40
2026-10-01	oos	0.033663	0.03242	-3.69%	0.023977	-28.77%	0.2486	✓	1.40
2026-09-30	oos	0.031757	0.030705	-3.31%	0.025431	-19.92%	0.1838	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	0.026859	0.026283	-2.14%	0.028428	+5.84%	0.0473	✗	1.39
2026-09-28	oos	0.028539	0.027796	-2.60%	0.031459	+10.23%	0.0854	✗	1.42
2026-09-27	oos	0.02811	0.027428	-2.43%	0.03334	+18.60%	0.1612	✗	1.42
2026-09-26	oos	0.026738	0.026162	-2.15%	0.033871	+26.68%	0.2528	✗	1.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.026401	0.025847	-2.10%	0.032313	+22.39%	0.2163	✗	1.43
2026-09-24	oos	0.02498	0.024528	-1.81%	0.033663	+34.76%	0.3087	✗	1.44
2026-09-23	oos	0.023997	0.02361	-1.61%	0.031757	+32.34%	0.3106	✗	1.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.027307	0.026728	-2.12%	0.026859	-1.64%	0.0464	✗	1.38
2026-09-21	oos	0.025628	0.025185	-1.73%	0.028539	+11.36%	0.1759	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.02499	0.02452	-1.88%	0.02811	+12.49%	0.0774	✗	1.48
2026-09-19	oos	0.024811	0.024382	-1.73%	0.026738	+7.76%	0.0353	✗	1.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.024673	0.024278	-1.60%	0.026401	+7.00%	0.0267	✗	1.46
2026-09-17	oos	0.023255	0.022994	-1.12%	0.02498	+7.42%	0.0671	✓	1.50
2026-09-16	oos	0.022142	0.022014	-0.58%	0.023997	+8.38%	0.0667	✓	1.49
2026-09-15	oos	0.021684	0.021621	-0.29%	0.027307	+25.93%	0.0387	✗	1.48
2026-09-14	oos	0.022915	0.022826	-0.39%	0.025628	+11.84%	0.0373	✓	1.50
2026-09-13	oos	0.022645	0.022625	-0.09%	0.02499	+10.35%	0.0172	✗	1.49
2026-09-12	oos	0.023138	0.023186	+0.21%	0.024811	+7.23%	0.0067	✗	1.49
2026-09-11	oos	0.023311	0.023464	+0.66%	0.024673	+5.84%	0.0187	✗	1.49
2026-09-10	oos	0.022922	0.023146	+0.98%	0.023255	+1.45%	0.0083	✓	1.49
2026-09-09	oos	0.024977	0.02527	+1.17%	0.022142	-11.35%	0.0918	✗	1.45
2026-09-08	oos	0.025632	0.025986	+1.38%	0.021684	-15.40%	0.1278	✗	1.43
2026-09-07	oos	0.027005	0.027435	+1.59%	0.022915	-15.15%	0.1635	✗	1.42
2026-09-06	oos	0.027105	0.027706	+2.22%	0.022645	-16.45%	0.1390	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.024932	0.025644	+2.86%	0.023138	-7.20%	0.0573	✗	1.39
2026-09-04	oos	0.025037	0.025815	+3.11%	0.023311	-6.89%	0.0583	✗	1.39
2026-09-03	oos	0.027102	0.027991	+3.28%	0.022922	-15.42%	0.1185	✗	1.36
2026-09-02	oos	0.025364	0.026082	+2.83%	0.024977	-1.52%	0.0596	✗	1.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.026479	0.02722	+2.80%	0.025632	-3.20%	0.0775	✗	1.29
2026-08-31	oos	0.026459	0.027327	+3.28%	0.027005	+2.06%	0.0202	✓	1.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.02655	0.027318	+2.89%	0.027105	+2.09%	0.0506	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.026721	0.027529	+3.02%	0.024932	-6.70%	0.1249	✗	1.28
2026-08-28	oos	0.027336	0.028045	+2.59%	0.025037	-8.41%	0.1433	✗	1.28
2026-08-27	oos	0.028608	0.029358	+2.62%	0.027102	-5.26%	0.0955	✗	1.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.028582	0.029151	+1.99%	0.025364	-11.26%	0.1110	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.027753	0.028186	+1.56%	0.026479	-4.59%	0.0441	✗	1.27
2026-08-24	oos	0.031585	0.031503	-0.26%	0.026459	-16.23%	0.1677	✓	1.27
2026-08-23	oos	0.03043	0.030219	-0.69%	0.02655	-12.75%	0.1284	✓	1.28
2026-08-22	oos	0.028133	0.028005	-0.46%	0.026721	-5.02%	0.0662	✓	1.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.028652	0.028528	-0.43%	0.027336	-4.59%	0.0348	✓	1.27
2026-08-20	oos	0.026718	0.025961	-2.83%	0.028608	+7.07%	0.0253	✓	1.29
2026-08-19	oos	0.022569	0.02198	-2.61%	0.028582	+26.64%	0.1084	✗	1.17
2026-08-18	oos	0.021228	0.020645	-2.75%	0.027753	+30.74%	0.0579	✗	1.23
2026-08-17	oos	0.021767	0.021058	-3.26%	0.031585	+45.10%	0.1534	✗	1.24
2026-08-16	oos	0.02028	0.019766	-2.53%	0.03043	+50.05%	0.1754	✗	1.20
2026-08-15	oos	0.020882	0.020278	-2.89%	0.028133	+34.72%	0.0848	✗	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.02112	0.020463	-3.11%	0.028652	+35.66%	0.0739	✗	1.20
2026-08-13	oos	0.021522	0.020798	-3.37%	0.026718	+24.14%	0.0810	✗	1.20
2026-08-12	oos	0.021804	0.021018	-3.61%	0.022569	+3.51%	0.0373	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.021406	0.020682	-3.38%	0.021228	-0.83%	0.0048	✓	1.19
2026-08-10	oos	0.021747	0.020944	-3.69%	0.021767	+0.09%	0.0281	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.020972	0.020326	-3.08%	0.02028	-3.30%	0.0367	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.020865	0.020254	-2.93%	0.020882	+0.08%	0.0673	✗	1.24
2026-08-07	oos	0.020895	0.020309	-2.80%	0.02112	+1.08%	0.0764	✗	1.24
2026-08-06	oos	0.020439	0.019934	-2.47%	0.021522	+5.30%	0.0930	✗	1.24
2026-08-05	oos	0.020988	0.020433	-2.64%	0.021804	+3.89%	0.0882	✗	1.25
2026-08-04	oos	0.020531	0.020053	-2.33%	0.021406	+4.26%	0.0753	✗	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.021527	0.0209	-2.91%	0.021747	+1.02%	0.0309	✗	1.26
2026-08-02	oos	0.02096	0.020438	-2.49%	0.020972	+0.06%	0.0011	✓	1.28
2026-08-01	oos	0.02046	0.020042	-2.04%	0.020865	+1.98%	0.0025	✓	1.27
2026-07-31	oos	0.02071	0.020298	-1.99%	0.020895	+0.89%	0.0121	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.0217	0.021181	-2.39%	0.020439	-5.81%	0.0268	✓	1.26
2026-07-29	oos	0.02076	0.020355	-1.95%	0.020988	+1.10%	0.0162	✓	1.31
2026-07-28	oos	0.021235	0.020803	-2.03%	0.020531	-3.32%	0.0173	✓	1.31
2026-07-27	oos	0.02011	0.019797	-1.55%	0.021527	+7.05%	0.0885	✗	1.32
2026-07-26	oos	0.021355	0.020934	-1.97%	0.02096	-1.85%	0.0387	✗	1.31
2026-07-25	oos	0.0206	0.020254	-1.68%	0.02046	-0.68%	0.0417	✗	1.31
2026-07-24	oos	0.02186	0.021426	-1.98%	0.02071	-5.26%	0.0077	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.022335	0.021889	-2.00%	0.0217	-2.84%	0.0019	✓	1.33
2026-07-22	oos	0.02292	0.022441	-2.09%	0.02076	-9.42%	0.0327	✓	1.34
2026-07-21	oos	0.022935	0.022437	-2.17%	0.021235	-7.41%	0.0003	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.02287	0.022338	-2.32%	0.02011	-12.07%	0.0732	✓	1.35
2026-07-19	oos	0.02122	0.020792	-2.02%	0.021355	+0.64%	0.0132	✓	1.34
2026-07-18	oos	0.02157	0.021132	-2.03%	0.0206	-4.50%	0.0149	✓	1.36
2026-07-17	oos	0.02194	0.021483	-2.08%	0.02186	-0.36%	0.0132	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.02156	0.021122	-2.03%	0.022335	+3.59%	0.0275	✗	1.43
2026-07-15	oos	0.02229	0.02181	-2.15%	0.02292	+2.83%	0.0202	✓	1.41
2026-07-14	oos	0.02266	0.022148	-2.26%	0.022935	+1.21%	0.0024	✓	1.40
2026-07-13	oos	0.02229	0.021796	-2.22%	0.02287	+2.60%	0.0196	✓	1.46
2026-07-12	oos	0.022805	0.022262	-2.38%	0.02122	-6.95%	0.0696	✓	1.48
2026-07-11	oos	0.02227	0.021768	-2.26%	0.02157	-3.14%	0.0332	✓	1.51
2026-07-10	oos	0.02296	0.022405	-2.42%	0.02194	-4.44%	0.0153	✓	1.54
2026-07-09	oos	0.02308	0.022507	-2.48%	0.02156	-6.59%	0.0576	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.02309	0.022495	-2.58%	0.02229	-3.46%	0.0712	✓	1.59
2026-07-07	oos	0.02438	0.023583	-3.27%	0.02266	-7.05%	0.0812	✓	1.59
2026-07-06	oos	0.02497	0.023999	-3.89%	0.02229	-10.73%	0.0305	✓	1.58
2026-07-05	oos	0.02159	0.021092	-2.31%	0.022805	+5.63%	0.0741	✗	1.61
2026-07-04	oos	0.02112	0.020653	-2.21%	0.02227	+5.45%	0.0580	✗	1.61
2026-07-03	oos	0.0205	0.020082	-2.04%	0.02296	+12.00%	0.0933	✗	1.60
2026-07-02	oos	0.019985	0.019611	-1.87%	0.02308	+15.49%	0.1195	✗	1.60
2026-07-01	oos	0.02004	0.019669	-1.85%	0.02309	+15.22%	0.0994	✗	1.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.01833	0.01816	-0.93%	0.02438	+33.01%	0.1717	✗	1.56
2026-06-29	oos	0.01892	0.01867	-1.32%	0.02497	+31.98%	0.1937	✗	1.57
2026-06-28	oos	0.01866	0.018473	-1.00%	0.02159	+15.70%	0.0475	✗	1.62
2026-06-27	oos	0.01883	0.018663	-0.89%	0.02112	+12.16%	0.0407	✗	1.62
2026-06-26	oos	0.01934	0.019175	-0.85%	0.0205	+6.00%	0.0000	✓	1.63
2026-06-25	oos	0.01915	0.019042	-0.56%	0.019985	+4.36%	0.0005	✓	1.63
2026-06-24	oos	0.019675	0.019509	-0.84%	0.02004	+1.86%	0.0548	✗	1.66
2026-06-23	oos	0.020095	0.019868	-1.13%	0.01833	-8.78%	0.0348	✗	1.70
2026-06-22	oos	0.02063	0.02036	-1.31%	0.01892	-8.29%	0.0327	✗	1.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.02075	0.020477	-1.31%	0.01866	-10.07%	0.0136	✗	1.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.020585	0.020303	-1.37%	0.01883	-8.53%	0.0433	✗	1.72
2026-06-19	oos	0.02066	0.020408	-1.22%	0.01934	-6.39%	0.0437	✗	1.73
2026-06-18	oos	0.02108	0.020854	-1.07%	0.01915	-9.16%	0.0053	✓	1.75
2026-06-17	oos	0.02177	0.021482	-1.32%	0.019675	-9.62%	0.0090	✓	1.75
2026-06-16	oos	0.02304	0.022653	-1.68%	0.020095	-12.78%	0.0387	✓	1.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.02261	0.022224	-1.71%	0.02063	-8.76%	0.0130	✓	1.72
2026-06-14	oos	0.02249	0.022107	-1.70%	0.02075	-7.74%	0.0030	✓	1.73
2026-06-13	oos	0.02182	0.021525	-1.35%	0.020585	-5.66%	0.0391	✓	1.74
2026-06-12	oos	0.02108	0.020895	-0.88%	0.02066	-1.99%	0.0096	✓	1.74
2026-06-11	oos	0.02161	0.021427	-0.85%	0.02108	-2.45%	0.0026	✓	1.75
2026-06-10	oos	0.02105	0.021059	+0.04%	0.02177	+3.42%	0.0517	✗	1.78
2026-06-09	oos	0.02127	0.021303	+0.15%	0.02304	+8.32%	0.0315	✗	1.78
2026-06-08	oos	0.02086	0.020905	+0.21%	0.02261	+8.39%	0.0115	✗	1.81
2026-06-07	oos	0.02217	0.022132	-0.17%	0.02249	+1.44%	0.0506	✓	1.79
2026-06-06	oos	0.02108	0.021339	+1.23%	0.02182	+3.51%	0.0797	✗	1.78
2026-06-05	oos	0.02106	0.021393	+1.58%	0.02108	+0.09%	0.0871	✗	1.80
2026-06-04	oos	0.02153	0.021733	+0.94%	0.02161	+0.37%	0.0014	✓	1.86
2026-06-03	oos	0.02044	0.020795	+1.74%	0.02105	+2.98%	0.0861	✓	1.79
2026-06-02	oos	0.02045	0.020732	+1.38%	0.02127	+4.01%	0.1697	✓	1.86
2026-06-01	oos	0.02251	0.022396	-0.51%	0.02086	-7.33%	0.1615	✗	1.89
2026-05-31	oos	0.02378	0.023449	-1.39%	0.02217	-6.77%	0.2297	✗	1.90
2026-05-30	oos	0.023235	0.02299	-1.06%	0.02108	-9.27%	0.2636	✗	1.82
2026-05-29	oos	0.02328	0.023112	-0.72%	0.02106	-9.54%	0.2402	✗	1.81
2026-05-28	oos	0.02368	0.023513	-0.71%	0.02153	-9.08%	0.1676	✗	1.81
2026-05-27	oos	0.02331	0.023155	-0.66%	0.02044	-12.31%	0.1430	✗	1.80
2026-05-26	oos	0.02503	0.024684	-1.38%	0.02045	-18.30%	0.0414	✗	1.78
2026-05-25	oos	0.02627	0.025808	-1.76%	0.02251	-14.31%	0.0015	✓	1.73
2026-05-24	oos	0.02527	0.024914	-1.41%	0.02378	-5.90%	0.0316	✗	1.73
2026-05-23	oos	0.02577	0.02543	-1.32%	0.023235	-9.84%	0.0287	✓	1.61
2026-05-22	oos	0.02615	0.025843	-1.18%	0.02328	-10.98%	0.0590	✓	1.63
2026-05-21	oos	0.02865	0.028095	-1.94%	0.02368	-17.35%	0.0858	✓	1.59
2026-05-20	oos	0.026905	0.026498	-1.51%	0.02331	-13.36%	0.0617	✓	1.60
2026-05-19	oos	0.02591	0.02563	-1.08%	0.02503	-3.40%	0.0040	✓	1.59
2026-05-18	oos	0.02698	0.026632	-1.29%	0.02627	-2.63%	0.0201	✓	1.62
2026-05-17	oos	0.0278	0.027382	-1.50%	0.02527	-9.10%	0.0712	✓	1.63
2026-05-16	oos	0.02775	0.02735	-1.44%	0.02577	-7.14%	0.0288	✓	1.63
2026-05-15	oos	0.02828	0.02788	-1.41%	0.02615	-7.53%	0.0114	✓	1.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.02977	0.029264	-1.70%	0.02865	-3.76%	0.0504	✗	1.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.0302	0.02969	-1.69%	0.026905	-10.91%	0.0596	✓	1.68
2026-05-12	oos	0.03085	0.030287	-1.82%	0.02591	-16.01%	0.0776	✓	1.66
2026-05-11	oos	0.03362	0.032817	-2.39%	0.02698	-19.75%	0.0976	✓	1.63
2026-05-10	oos	0.03549	0.034432	-2.98%	0.0278	-21.67%	0.1200	✓	1.56
2026-05-09	oos	0.03467	0.033595	-3.10%	0.02775	-19.96%	0.1407	✓	1.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.03425	0.033186	-3.11%	0.02828	-17.43%	0.1379	✓	1.55
2026-05-07	oos	0.03238	0.03156	-2.53%	0.02977	-8.06%	0.0789	✓	1.54
2026-05-06	oos	0.03229	0.031504	-2.44%	0.0302	-6.47%	0.0067	✓	1.33
2026-05-05	oos	0.03131	0.030581	-2.33%	0.03085	-1.47%	0.0151	✓	1.21
2026-05-04	oos	0.02945	0.028852	-2.03%	0.03362	+14.16%	0.1267	✗	1.13
2026-05-03	oos	0.02913	0.028523	-2.08%	0.03549	+21.83%	0.1669	✗	1.14
2026-05-02	oos	0.03011	0.029445	-2.21%	0.03467	+15.14%	0.1351	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.03008	0.029437	-2.14%	0.03425	+13.86%	0.1233	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.02716	0.026737	-1.56%	0.03238	+19.22%	0.1370	✗	1.15
2026-04-29	oos	0.027	0.026614	-1.43%	0.03229	+19.59%	0.1100	✗	1.15
2026-04-28	oos	0.02915	0.0286	-1.89%	0.03131	+7.41%	0.0234	✗	1.15
2026-04-27	oos	0.03062	0.029923	-2.28%	0.02945	-3.82%	0.0521	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.03209	0.031227	-2.69%	0.02913	-9.22%	0.0678	✓	1.16
2026-04-25	oos	0.0313	0.030513	-2.51%	0.03011	-3.80%	0.0286	✓	1.16
2026-04-24	oos	0.03069	0.02994	-2.44%	0.03008	-1.99%	0.0070	✓	1.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.03248	0.031547	-2.87%	0.02716	-16.38%	0.1199	✓	1.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.033715	0.032595	-3.32%	0.027	-19.92%	0.1510	✓	1.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.03274	0.031688	-3.21%	0.02915	-10.97%	0.0830	✓	1.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.031895	0.03093	-3.03%	0.03062	-4.00%	0.0330	✓	1.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.03008	0.029281	-2.66%	0.03209	+6.68%	0.0151	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.03245	0.031453	-3.07%	0.0313	-3.54%	0.0347	✓	1.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.03479	0.033614	-3.38%	0.03069	-11.78%	0.0966	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	0.0343	0.033155	-3.34%	0.03248	-5.31%	0.0691	✓	1.19
2026-04-15	oos	0.03514	0.033937	-3.42%	0.033715	-4.06%	0.0593	✓	1.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.0345	0.033338	-3.37%	0.03274	-5.10%	0.0527	✓	1.20
2026-04-13	oos	0.03603	0.03475	-3.55%	0.031895	-11.48%	0.1080	✓	1.18
2026-04-12	oos	0.03271	0.031642	-3.27%	0.03008	-8.04%	0.1002	✓	1.17
2026-04-11	oos	0.03556	0.034297	-3.55%	0.03245	-8.75%	0.0963	✓	1.15
2026-04-10	oos	0.03511	0.03379	-3.76%	0.03479	-0.91%	0.0334	✓	1.15
2026-04-09	oos	0.03296	0.031724	-3.75%	0.0343	+4.07%	0.0260	✓	1.14
2026-04-08	oos	0.03114	0.029972	-3.75%	0.03514	+12.85%	0.1009	✗	1.13
2026-04-07	oos	0.0304	0.029272	-3.71%	0.0345	+13.49%	0.1290	✗	1.14
2026-04-06	oos	0.0271	0.026206	-3.30%	0.03603	+32.95%	0.2306	✗	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.02828	0.027221	-3.75%	0.03271	+15.66%	0.1555	✗	1.13
2026-04-04	oos	0.02726	0.026205	-3.87%	0.03556	+30.45%	0.2137	✗	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.02727	0.026107	-4.27%	0.03511	+28.75%	0.2010	✗	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.02499	0.024081	-3.64%	0.03296	+31.89%	0.2358	✗	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.02383	0.023057	-3.24%	0.03114	+30.68%	0.2516	✗	1.14
2026-03-31	oos	0.02487	0.023918	-3.83%	0.0304	+22.24%	0.1793	✗	1.15
2026-03-30	oos	0.02231	0.021664	-2.90%	0.0271	+21.47%	0.1888	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.02204	0.021422	-2.81%	0.02828	+28.31%	0.2266	✗	1.13
2026-03-28	oos	0.02328	0.022464	-3.50%	0.02726	+17.10%	0.1770	✗	1.13
2026-03-27	oos	0.02239	0.021705	-3.06%	0.02727	+21.80%	0.2180	✗	1.13
2026-03-26	oos	0.02432	0.02332	-4.11%	0.02499	+2.75%	0.0999	✗	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.02642	0.025004	-5.36%	0.02383	-9.80%	0.0019	✓	1.09
2026-03-24	oos	0.023335	0.022463	-3.73%	0.02487	+6.58%	0.1375	✗	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.02156	0.020998	-2.61%	0.02231	+3.48%	0.1256	✗	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.02053	0.020063	-2.28%	0.02204	+7.36%	0.1244	✗	1.08
2026-03-21	oos	0.02141	0.020833	-2.69%	0.02328	+8.73%	0.1521	✗	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.02244	0.021761	-3.03%	0.02239	-0.22%	0.0933	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.02198	0.021369	-2.78%	0.02432	+10.65%	0.1471	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.02305	0.022313	-3.20%	0.02642	+14.62%	0.1681	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.0236	0.022928	-2.85%	0.023335	-1.12%	0.0697	✗	1.11
2026-03-16	oos	0.02476	0.023938	-3.32%	0.02156	-12.92%	0.0425	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.02346	0.022662	-3.40%	0.02053	-12.49%	0.0183	✓	1.13
2026-03-14	oos	0.02218	0.021512	-3.01%	0.02141	-3.47%	0.0327	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.021915	0.021301	-2.80%	0.02244	+2.40%	0.0594	✗	1.16
2026-03-12	oos	0.0212	0.020675	-2.48%	0.02198	+3.68%	0.0713	✗	1.15
2026-03-11	oos	0.02141	0.020847	-2.63%	0.02305	+7.66%	0.0833	✗	1.17
2026-03-10	oos	0.02157	0.021	-2.64%	0.0236	+9.41%	0.0521	✗	1.17
2026-03-09	oos	0.02123	0.020702	-2.49%	0.02476	+16.63%	0.0732	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	0.02042	0.019996	-2.08%	0.02346	+14.89%	0.0452	✗	1.16
2026-03-07	oos	0.02168	0.021107	-2.64%	0.02218	+2.31%	0.0169	✓	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.02174	0.021187	-2.55%	0.021915	+0.80%	0.0129	✓	1.14
2026-03-05	oos	0.02174	0.021237	-2.31%	0.0212	-2.48%	0.0041	✓	1.17
2026-03-04	oos	0.02256	0.021983	-2.56%	0.02141	-5.10%	0.0137	✓	1.16
2026-03-03	oos	0.02038	0.020004	-1.84%	0.02157	+5.84%	0.0485	✗	1.14
2026-03-02	oos	0.02121	0.020745	-2.19%	0.02123	+0.09%	0.0296	✗	1.12
2026-03-01	oos	0.02085	0.020437	-1.98%	0.02042	-2.06%	0.0042	✓	1.11
2026-02-28	oos	0.02113	0.020692	-2.07%	0.02168	+2.60%	0.0422	✗	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.02067	0.020301	-1.79%	0.02174	+5.18%	0.0339	✗	1.03
2026-02-26	oos	0.02104	0.020642	-1.89%	0.02174	+3.33%	0.0012	✓	1.03
2026-02-25	oos	0.02156	0.021118	-2.05%	0.02256	+4.64%	0.0028	✓	1.03
2026-02-24	oos	0.02003	0.019821	-1.04%	0.02038	+1.75%	0.0362	✓	0.99
2026-02-23	oos	0.02053	0.020274	-1.25%	0.02121	+3.31%	0.0171	✓	0.99
2026-02-22	oos	0.019855	0.019581	-1.38%	0.02085	+5.01%	0.0902	✗	0.99
2026-02-21	oos	0.02062	0.0203	-1.55%	0.02113	+2.47%	0.0546	✗	0.99
2026-02-20	oos	0.02104	0.020685	-1.69%	0.02067	-1.76%	0.0307	✗	0.99
2026-02-19	oos	0.02044	0.020158	-1.38%	0.02104	+2.94%	0.0352	✗	0.99
2026-02-18	oos	0.02016	0.019937	-1.11%	0.02156	+6.94%	0.0552	✗	0.98
2026-02-17	oos	0.02213	0.021682	-2.02%	0.02003	-9.49%	0.0290	✓	0.97
2026-02-16	oos	0.02351	0.022752	-3.22%	0.02053	-12.68%	0.0418	✓	0.96
2026-02-15	oos	0.02402	0.02309	-3.87%	0.019855	-17.34%	0.1343	✓	0.96
2026-02-14	oos	0.02339	0.022566	-3.52%	0.02062	-11.84%	0.0644	✓	0.97
2026-02-13	oos	0.02278	0.022078	-3.08%	0.02104	-7.64%	0.0364	✓	0.97
2026-02-12	oos	0.02015	0.019989	-0.80%	0.02044	+1.44%	0.0118	✗	0.91
2026-02-11	oos	0.01905	0.018997	-0.28%	0.02016	+5.83%	0.0678	✗	0.92
2026-02-10	oos	0.01969	0.019523	-0.85%	0.02213	+12.39%	0.1434	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.01796	0.017945	-0.08%	0.02351	+30.90%	0.2870	✗	0.95
2026-02-08	oos	0.01812	0.018128	+0.04%	0.02402	+32.56%	0.3017	✓	0.95
2026-02-07	oos	0.01861	0.018673	+0.34%	0.02339	+25.69%	0.2178	✓	0.96
2026-02-06	oos	0.01856	0.018623	+0.34%	0.02278	+22.74%	0.2252	✓	0.96
2026-02-05	oos	0.01724	0.017774	+3.10%	0.02015	+16.88%	0.0705	✓	1.04
2026-02-04	oos	0.01973	0.019609	-0.62%	0.01905	-3.45%	0.0692	✗	1.15
2026-02-03	oos	0.01754	0.017632	+0.53%	0.01969	+12.26%	0.2362	✓	1.32
2026-02-02	oos	0.01847	0.018353	-0.63%	0.01796	-2.76%	0.1317	✗	1.33
2026-02-01	oos	0.01783	0.017915	+0.47%	0.01812	+1.63%	0.1303	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.01804	0.018064	+0.13%	0.01861	+3.16%	0.2002	✓	1.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.02019	0.019727	-2.29%	0.01856	-8.07%	0.1665	✗	1.29
2026-01-29	oos	0.02001	0.019571	-2.19%	0.01724	-13.84%	0.2579	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	0.02128	0.020574	-3.32%	0.01973	-7.28%	0.2238	✗	1.33
2026-01-27	oos	0.02218	0.02123	-4.28%	0.01754	-20.92%	0.0266	✓	1.33
2026-01-26	oos	0.01881	0.01848	-1.75%	0.01847	-1.81%	0.1440	✗	1.26
2026-01-25	oos	0.01779	0.017664	-0.71%	0.01783	+0.22%	0.1539	✗	1.22
2026-01-24	oos	0.01909	0.018762	-1.72%	0.01804	-5.50%	0.1081	✗	1.18
2026-01-23	oos	0.018315	0.018093	-1.21%	0.02019	+10.24%	0.1835	✗	1.19
2026-01-22	oos	0.0181	0.017934	-0.92%	0.02001	+10.55%	0.1776	✗	1.20
2026-01-21	oos	0.01876	0.018572	-1.00%	0.02128	+13.43%	0.1388	✗	1.20
2026-01-20	oos	0.01789	0.01783	-0.33%	0.02218	+23.98%	0.2077	✗	1.17
2026-01-19	oos	0.02012	0.019759	-1.79%	0.01881	-6.51%	0.0001	✓	1.03
2026-01-18	oos	0.02176	0.021204	-2.55%	0.01779	-18.24%	0.0979	✓	0.99
2026-01-17	oos	0.02211	0.021517	-2.68%	0.01909	-13.66%	0.0545	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.02229	0.021689	-2.70%	0.018315	-17.83%	0.1041	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.02213	0.021528	-2.72%	0.0181	-18.21%	0.1073	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.023185	0.022456	-3.14%	0.01876	-19.09%	0.1003	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.02475	0.02373	-4.12%	0.01789	-27.72%	0.2024	✓	1.04
2026-01-12	oos	0.02307	0.022195	-3.79%	0.02012	-12.79%	0.1124	✓	0.95
2026-01-11	oos	0.02384	0.022792	-4.40%	0.02176	-8.72%	0.0751	✓	0.96
2026-01-10	oos	0.02425	0.023123	-4.65%	0.02211	-8.82%	0.0941	✓	0.96
2026-01-09	oos	0.02612	0.024678	-5.52%	0.02229	-14.66%	0.1530	✓	0.96
2026-01-08	oos	0.0278	0.026083	-6.18%	0.02213	-20.40%	0.2100	✓	0.93
2026-01-07	oos	0.02681	0.025179	-6.08%	0.023185	-13.52%	0.1394	✓	0.94
2026-01-06	oos	0.02984	0.027663	-7.30%	0.02475	-17.06%	0.1251	✓	0.79
2026-01-05	oos	0.0283	0.026226	-7.33%	0.02307	-18.48%	0.1050	✓	0.80
2026-01-04	oos	0.02875	0.026424	-8.09%	0.02384	-17.08%	0.0970	✓	0.86
2026-01-03	oos	0.02932	0.026615	-9.23%	0.02425	-17.29%	0.0909	✓	0.88
2026-01-02	oos	0.02795	0.025192	-9.87%	0.02612	-6.55%	0.0309	✓	0.86
2026-01-01	oos	0.0237	0.021926	-7.48%	0.0278	+17.30%	0.2195	✗	0.70
2025-12-31	oos	0.0227	0.021172	-6.73%	0.02681	+18.11%	0.2083	✗	0.66
2025-12-30	oos	0.0226	0.021108	-6.60%	0.02984	+32.04%	0.3069	✗	0.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.02147	0.020296	-5.47%	0.0283	+31.81%	0.2866	✗	0.61
2025-12-28	oos	0.02244	0.021066	-6.12%	0.02875	+28.12%	0.2871	✗	0.59
2025-12-27	oos	0.0231	0.021598	-6.50%	0.02932	+26.93%	0.2871	✗	0.59
2025-12-26	oos	0.02333	0.021789	-6.60%	0.02795	+19.80%	0.2311	✗	0.60
2025-12-25	oos	0.02315	0.021659	-6.44%	0.0237	+2.38%	0.0795	✗	0.59
2025-12-24	oos	0.02169	0.020602	-5.02%	0.0227	+4.66%	0.0978	✗	0.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.01976	0.019075	-3.47%	0.0226	+14.37%	0.1586	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.01921	0.018643	-2.95%	0.02147	+11.76%	0.1577	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.0205	0.01974	-3.71%	0.02244	+9.46%	0.1369	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.01877	0.018307	-2.47%	0.0231	+23.07%	0.2384	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.01905	0.018615	-2.28%	0.02333	+22.47%	0.2348	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.01691	0.016895	-0.09%	0.02315	+36.90%	0.2952	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.01873	0.018553	-0.94%	0.02169	+15.80%	0.1401	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.02155	0.021036	-2.38%	0.01976	-8.31%	0.0577	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.01987	0.019657	-1.07%	0.01921	-3.32%	0.0475	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.02064	0.020351	-1.40%	0.0205	-0.68%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.02351	0.022895	-2.62%	0.01877	-20.16%	0.1770	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.02407	0.023464	-2.52%	0.01905	-20.86%	0.1839	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.02624	0.025384	-3.26%	0.01691	-35.56%	0.3266	✓	1.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.02691	0.025968	-3.50%	0.01873	-30.40%	0.2614	✓	1.00
2025-12-09	oos	0.02737	0.026371	-3.65%	0.02155	-21.26%	0.1483	✓	1.00
2025-12-08	oos	0.02811	0.026954	-4.11%	0.01987	-29.31%	0.2570	✓	1.00
2025-12-07	oos	0.02558	0.024783	-3.12%	0.02064	-19.31%	0.1579	✓	1.00
2025-12-06	oos	0.02719	0.026194	-3.66%	0.02351	-13.53%	0.1191	✓	1.00
2025-12-05	oos	0.02723	0.026252	-3.59%	0.02407	-11.60%	0.0972	✓	1.00
2025-12-04	oos	0.02769	0.026688	-3.62%	0.02624	-5.24%	0.0218	✓	1.00
2025-12-03	oos	0.03054	0.029329	-3.97%	0.02691	-11.89%	0.0708	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.