META2

META2 · · lstm_s1

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2008

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0191

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.1527	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.8945	-0.51%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1009	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6542	-0.52%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0037	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5403	-0.55%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0034	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5736	-0.59%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0059	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7099	-0.65%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0106	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.556	-0.73%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0169	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.5843	-0.91%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0146	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.4826	-1.40%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0071	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6393	-1.29%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0277	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.7649	-1.05%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0138	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9862	-0.67%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0277	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.9858	-0.72%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0048	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.7526	-0.75%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0147	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7203	-0.83%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0035	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.9396	-0.99%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0208	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.8783	-1.31%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0507	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.9696	-1.18%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0115	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.3242	-0.92%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0484	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1352	-0.98%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0095	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1125	-1.03%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0071	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.1988	-1.11%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0116	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.106	-1.21%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0053	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.5158	-1.30%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0449	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.1518	-1.65%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0299	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9588	-0.80%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1026	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4707	-0.72%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0364	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7497	-0.73%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0154	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	17.0055	-0.76%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0024	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.5487	-0.72%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0347	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.5765	-0.76%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0410	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.1572	-0.75%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0411	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.8982	-0.60%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0129	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.3676	-0.53%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1159	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	19.0222	-1.21%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3546	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9552	-1.38%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0777	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.9281	-1.62%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0110	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.8554	-1.95%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0083	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.8128	-2.30%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0851	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.6915	-2.90%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0028	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.5596	-3.61%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0479	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.7279	-4.27%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0813	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.3549	-5.75%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0484	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.8748	-8.48%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.1345	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.1826	-7.19%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0750	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4212	-2.49%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.7162	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.372	-4.30%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0964	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.5393	-4.57%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6282	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.8027	-5.37%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5676	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.6982	-7.91%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1697	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.7582	-6.58%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1578	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.7256	-7.32%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0822	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	6.0132	-1.48%	4.02	-34.14%	0.3377	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.5404	-0.59%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9505	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.8769	-0.65%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0349	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.9138	-0.76%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0203	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.3955	-0.75%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0512	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.2625	-0.87%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3850	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	40.2887	-0.94%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3882	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.6556	-0.57%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0566	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	40.2896	-0.67%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	51.4871	-1.79%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2472	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.4684	-0.54%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5591	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.5797	-0.61%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.4601	-0.82%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0421	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.1749	-1.22%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	30.116	-1.62%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	30.1963	-1.16%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	30.1351	-1.44%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0166	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.9755	-2.16%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.908	-4.96%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8385	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.2737	-1.37%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7688	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.1911	-1.77%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0184	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.329	-1.87%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0193	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	30.1792	-2.01%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0384	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	30.3025	-1.84%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0171	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.4922	-1.31%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0120	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.