MCAT
Marscat Token · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s1
- token id
- #456
- symbol
- MCAT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0xd69a4b260ef021ccd4e1c5f5a4fb522b032ce831
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-10
- predictions
- 99
Track record at +1d
assessed
32
of 33 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0820
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0069
actual -0.0046
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.719025 | 0.713826 | -0.72% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.759515 | 0.752855 | -0.88% | 0.719025 | -5.33% | 0.0347 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.774195 | 0.765532 | -1.12% | 0.759515 | -1.90% | 0.0601 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.7811 | 0.771501 | -1.23% | 0.774195 | -0.88% | 0.0116 | ✓ | 3.91 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.74617 | 0.73756 | -1.15% | 0.7811 | +4.68% | 0.0275 | ✗ | 3.90 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.646255 | 0.640978 | -0.82% | 0.74617 | +15.46% | 0.1577 | ✗ | 3.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.62541 | 0.62072 | -0.75% | 0.646255 | +3.33% | 0.0707 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.60864 | 0.604263 | -0.72% | 0.62541 | +2.76% | 0.0073 | ✗ | 3.98 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.599125 | 0.595387 | -0.62% | 0.60864 | +1.59% | 0.0992 | ✗ | 4.14 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.596775 | 0.59315 | -0.61% | 0.599125 | +0.39% | 0.0594 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.608905 | 0.605614 | -0.54% | 0.596775 | -1.99% | 0.0882 | ✗ | 4.39 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.611255 | 0.607967 | -0.54% | 0.608905 | -0.38% | 0.0391 | ✓ | 4.42 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.563305 | 0.561683 | -0.29% | 0.611255 | +8.51% | 0.0802 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.51154 | 0.51188 | +0.07% | 0.563305 | +10.12% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.54838 | 0.547907 | -0.09% | 0.51154 | -6.72% | 0.0495 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.689605 | 0.686764 | -0.41% | 0.54838 | -20.48% | 0.1982 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.65254 | 0.650426 | -0.32% | 0.689605 | +5.68% | 0.0609 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.6717 | 0.669404 | -0.34% | 0.65254 | -2.85% | 0.0167 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.704355 | 0.701355 | -0.43% | 0.6717 | -4.64% | 0.0638 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.70984 | 0.706714 | -0.44% | 0.704355 | -0.77% | 0.0061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.722985 | 0.719586 | -0.47% | 0.70984 | -1.82% | 0.0096 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.745455 | 0.741328 | -0.55% | 0.722985 | -3.01% | 0.0404 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.796315 | 0.790746 | -0.70% | 0.745455 | -6.39% | 0.0580 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.780635 | 0.77521 | -0.69% | 0.796315 | +2.01% | 0.0247 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.77554 | 0.770043 | -0.71% | 0.780635 | +0.66% | 0.0256 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.76579 | 0.760243 | -0.72% | 0.77554 | +1.27% | 0.0194 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.77739 | 0.771251 | -0.79% | 0.76579 | -1.49% | 0.0109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.73189 | 0.726503 | -0.74% | 0.77739 | +6.22% | 0.0712 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.82997 | 0.821325 | -1.04% | 0.73189 | -11.82% | 0.1154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.91021 | 0.898261 | -1.31% | 0.82997 | -8.82% | 0.0577 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.72185 | 0.715829 | -0.83% | 0.91021 | +26.09% | 0.2448 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.51745 | 0.514242 | -0.62% | 0.72185 | +39.50% | 0.2743 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.829055 | 0.816468 | -1.52% | 0.51745 | -37.59% | 0.4552 | ✓ | 1.00 |