LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s1

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

50.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2390

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0172

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021858	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021186	-0.04%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0366	✗	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.02036	+0.02%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0224	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020884	+0.02%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0229	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027463	+0.01%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2851	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.02909	+0.02%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0556	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030002	+0.02%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0201	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029631	+0.02%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0025	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.048286	-0.69%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4714	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.040193	-0.25%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1777	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043822	-0.43%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0684	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.046043	-0.49%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0515	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045766	-0.51%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0079	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051618	-0.66%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1233	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.040852	-0.75%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2609	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.065477	-1.03%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4576	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044871	-1.25%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3891	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044434	-1.89%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0254	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.04894	-2.01%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.0875	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.036633	-6.53%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.3087	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.108043	-1.93%	0.03919	-64.43%	1.0138	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.032323	-9.96%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.2410	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.06658	-3.47%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6187	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.066708	-5.01%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0357	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.084592	-3.60%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2016	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.101048	-2.65%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1404	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128	-1.67%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2134	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.099064	-4.23%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2766	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.16568	-1.45%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4712	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.137079	-1.71%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2255	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.230523	-1.61%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.4979	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.234234	-1.71%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0646	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.222313	-1.78%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0704	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.218021	-1.90%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0330	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.225563	-2.22%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0724	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.208155	-2.32%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.1001	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.191182	-2.46%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.1011	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.157374	-2.30%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2532	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.141275	-2.38%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1134	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.149262	-3.44%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0249	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.07	-0.74%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7915	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037902	-0.49%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6121	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.048938	-0.44%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2280	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058585	-0.43%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1734	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054307	-0.44%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0883	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073778	-0.44%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2863	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.08721	-0.60%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1692	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.