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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
795
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
235
of 265 predictions shown
direction hit
46.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3362
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0300
actual +0.0936

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos3.81043.5945-5.67%–pending––1.27
2026-10-21oos3.76183.5896-4.58%–pending––1.29
2026-10-20oos3.38263.2677-3.40%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09473.0173-2.50%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07523.0135-2.01%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11463.0514-2.03%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17523.1139-1.93%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.9663-1.95%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08423.0213-2.04%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.2693-2.34%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.2989-2.28%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.7229-2.91%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.5608-2.10%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.5458-2.22%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.5381-1.89%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.5039-1.93%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.7362-2.08%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.9361-2.05%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.5949-1.89%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.5049-1.73%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.495-1.58%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.7415-1.66%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.879-1.80%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.8421-2.31%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.2448-4.42%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.3929-5.62%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.5653-5.75%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.5995-5.21%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.8036-5.31%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31965.0327-5.39%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.7834-5.59%3.8104-24.80%0.1916✓1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.4802-5.45%3.7618-20.61%0.1316✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.4873-6.02%3.3826-29.15%0.3185✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.5341-5.72%3.0947-35.65%0.3942✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.4939-5.76%3.0752-35.51%0.4022✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.5113-6.22%3.1146-35.26%0.4870✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.3209-6.14%3.1752-31.03%0.4311✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.8044-5.35%3.0253-24.73%0.3796✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38854.1368-5.74%3.0842-29.72%0.3686✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.8757-5.77%3.3476-18.61%0.2836✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.9812-5.57%3.3759-19.92%0.2624✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35184.1345-4.99%3.8347-11.88%0.2140✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29234.0891-4.73%3.6372-15.26%0.2559✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52624.3178-4.60%3.6262-19.88%0.2657✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.5926-4.91%3.6061-25.33%0.3129✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.496-4.84%3.5727-24.38%0.3221✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.3101-4.53%3.8154-15.49%0.2317✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.5273-4.78%4.0187-15.48%0.2445✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.5884-4.98%3.6643-24.12%0.3624✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.2156-5.10%3.5667-19.71%0.2407✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.6264-4.35%3.5512-6.34%0.1558✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.4227-2.76%3.8048+8.09%0.0372✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.4722-2.64%3.9499+10.75%0.0448✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.4347-2.65%3.9328+11.46%0.0671✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.465-2.50%4.4413+24.97%0.1886✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.4325-1.82%4.6547+33.14%0.2292✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.6248-2.32%4.844+30.54%0.2447✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.4221-0.86%4.8522+40.57%0.2947✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.3108+0.82%5.0729+54.48%0.3646✓0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.4038+0.12%5.3196+56.46%0.3886✓0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.4823-2.51%5.0667+41.84%0.2744✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.1896+0.01%4.7386+48.58%0.2841✓0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.166+1.26%4.7745+52.70%0.3763✓0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.6479-0.76%4.8092+80.24%0.5098✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.5333-2.70%4.7687+83.15%0.4798✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.2762-3.50%4.8107+103.95%0.5919✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.2387-3.92%4.6035+97.57%0.5580✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.1972-3.51%4.0195+76.51%0.4208✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.187-3.32%4.3885+94.01%0.4854✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.1786-2.52%4.1132+84.03%0.4400✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.2129-2.57%4.2158+85.61%0.4525✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.2662-2.97%4.3518+86.32%0.4518✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.3275-3.75%4.2923+77.50%0.4245✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.2955-3.65%4.5262+89.98%0.4719✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.2375-2.87%4.8297+109.67%0.5663✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.2276-2.39%4.7248+107.03%0.5397✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.2427-2.42%4.5148+96.43%0.4745✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.2837-3.82%4.7547+100.25%0.5025✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.1256-2.72%4.8289+121.01%0.5934✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05842.0155-2.08%4.4421+115.80%0.5413✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.9593-2.30%3.7914+89.05%0.4562✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.9688-3.15%3.52+73.16%0.3715✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.9631-2.68%3.5664+76.80%0.3647✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06692.0193-2.30%3.5283+70.70%0.3382✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.2001-3.51%3.5537+55.87%0.2977✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17812.1178-2.77%3.4962+60.52%0.3166✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.1967-4.42%3.7108+61.45%0.3149✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12862.0547-3.47%3.4518+62.16%0.3255✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14312.0578-3.98%3.2837+53.22%0.3047✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.9879-3.62%3.3999+64.84%0.3505✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.9671-3.19%3.5721+75.80%0.4256✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1622.0825-3.68%3.1894+47.52%0.2814✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.2006-4.34%3.1267+35.92%0.2118✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.216-5.51%2.6682+13.77%0.1093✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1792.0677-5.11%2.6037+19.49%0.1854✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20982.0689-6.38%2.3588+6.74%0.1312✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25642.119-6.09%2.33+3.26%0.0985✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.1594-5.67%2.2771-0.53%0.0666✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28592.1599-5.51%2.262-1.05%0.0562✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.2836-5.50%2.235-7.51%0.0003✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.4493-5.53%2.2713-12.40%0.0562✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.1783-5.47%2.3356+1.36%0.0574✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.4918-5.32%2.4181-8.12%0.0281✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.4555-4.73%2.3824-7.56%0.0315✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.5686-4.50%2.3035-14.36%0.1165✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.2973-4.14%2.2822-4.77%0.0238✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.2431-3.73%2.2984-1.35%0.0041✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.3582-4.04%2.3744-3.38%0.0028✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.4548-4.74%2.1849-15.21%0.1227✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.3378-4.89%2.0584-16.26%0.1322✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2012.1001-4.59%2.0055-8.88%0.0500✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11362.0174-4.55%2.0328-3.82%0.0023✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.9655-5.00%2.0172-2.50%0.0129✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.9475-5.97%2.0669-0.21%0.0290✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.7362-6.10%2.28+23.31%0.2167✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.7475-6.07%2.1781+17.08%0.1869✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.6254-5.90%2.2984+33.05%0.3059✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.6294-5.25%2.1286+23.78%0.2334✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.723-5.47%2.1431+17.57%0.1703✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.5227-5.37%2.0626+28.18%0.2634✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.5922-6.11%2.0319+19.82%0.2174✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.4125-6.13%2.162+43.68%0.3992✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.5042-6.53%2.3005+42.95%0.4033✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.4623-6.72%2.3453+49.61%0.4398✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.4587-6.29%2.179+39.98%0.3917✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.4488-6.27%2.2098+42.97%0.4095✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.5162-5.93%2.2564+39.99%0.3768✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.6175-6.00%2.2892+33.04%0.3527✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.6195-6.58%2.2859+31.87%0.3625✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.5774-6.64%2.4166+43.03%0.4428✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.5708-6.88%2.5928+53.72%0.5083✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.5215-6.77%2.3042+41.20%0.4381✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.4416-6.23%2.6319+71.19%0.5999✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.4649-5.98%2.5774+65.42%0.5629✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.3203-5.12%2.6896+93.27%0.6885✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.5074-4.78%2.3965+51.38%0.4507✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.4121-4.23%2.33+58.02%0.5085✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.3766-3.96%2.4575+71.44%0.5793✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.3761-3.81%2.5769+80.11%0.5970✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.4489-3.94%2.458+62.95%0.5021✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3995-3.69%2.201+51.47%0.4610✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6836-5.70%2.1136+18.38%0.2453✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.5249-4.93%2.0689+28.99%0.3828✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.2923-3.83%2.0712+54.13%0.7158✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.3228-3.90%1.849+34.33%0.6633✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.3127-4.11%1.8603+35.89%0.6256✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.2095-3.94%1.7274+37.19%0.6389✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.1363-3.06%1.7196+46.70%0.6905✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.1067-2.39%1.8228+60.77%0.7940✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.1508-2.74%1.6091+35.99%0.6636✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.3194-4.36%1.6959+22.92%0.5404✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.2357-4.31%1.5047+16.53%0.4463✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1807-3.81%1.6094+31.11%0.5249✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.1465-3.70%1.5676+31.67%0.5226✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.3216-7.32%1.5567+9.16%0.3689✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1898-6.78%1.5456+21.09%0.4804✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.085-4.95%1.6118+41.20%0.6115✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.934821-1.69%1.7207+80.95%0.8100✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.850809-1.46%1.7335+100.76%0.9038✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.865408-1.64%1.6896+92.04%0.8599✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.849034-1.04%1.6867+96.59%0.9013✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.904524-1.17%1.6319+78.31%0.8547✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.886617-1.16%1.5373+71.39%0.8194✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.916373-1.10%1.5581+68.16%0.8144✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.981659-1.81%1.3916+39.19%0.6857✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05681.0438-1.23%1.5831+49.80%0.7565✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05421.0359-1.73%1.4745+39.87%0.6466✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0811.0561-2.31%1.4334+32.60%0.5871✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.978491-1.23%1.4307+44.42%0.7046✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.951952-0.20%1.5084+58.14%0.8176✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.963676-0.33%1.4531+50.29%0.6578✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.900929-0.22%1.7854+97.74%0.9009✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.914659-0.81%1.6039+73.94%0.7266✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.899102-0.98%1.3438+48.00%0.5016✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.902921-0.06%1.3765+52.35%0.4840✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.875741-0.91%1.369+54.91%0.4816✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.932642-1.67%1.2591+32.75%0.3332✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.883013-1.45%1.1722+30.81%0.3254✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.854135-1.08%1.1338+31.30%0.3289✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.915142-0.14%1.1832+29.12%0.2991✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.929651+0.01%1.3796+48.41%0.4008✓1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.951699+0.65%1.2913+36.57%0.3127✓1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.939199+1.60%1.2275+32.79%0.2929✓1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.894093+1.69%1.1906+35.42%0.3294✓1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.892969-0.56%1.426+58.80%0.4493✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.89292-0.69%1.2764+41.96%0.3319✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.880481-1.15%1.1415+28.15%0.2122✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.983259+0.45%0.9509-2.86%0.0524✗1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0878+3.72%0.86345-17.67%0.2357✗1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04591.0494+0.33%0.8798-15.88%0.2222✗1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04191.0432+0.12%0.858-17.65%0.2611✗1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02571.0264+0.06%0.9152-10.78%0.2210✗1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.1361-0.62%0.897-21.54%0.3116✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0756-1.56%0.92655-15.20%0.3041✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1789-2.25%0.99975-17.11%0.2969✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.1172-1.72%1.0568-7.04%0.1956✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01451.0063-0.81%1.0542+3.91%0.0880✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.993194-0.61%1.081+8.18%0.0545✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0632-1.22%0.99065-7.96%0.1933✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02481.0106-1.38%0.95385-6.92%0.2505✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.994583-1.34%0.96685-4.09%0.2108✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.972479-1.48%0.9029-8.53%0.2709✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.975389-1.41%0.9221-6.80%0.2398✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.939009-1.01%0.908-4.28%0.2197✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.884425-0.69%0.9035+1.45%0.1397✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.863656-1.01%0.88375+1.29%0.1070✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.799677-0.94%0.94845+17.48%0.0259✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.814466-1.49%0.89605+8.38%0.0721✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.848034-1.19%0.8635+0.61%0.1588✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.87468-0.89%0.9164+3.84%0.1491✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.898095-1.49%0.9296+1.97%0.1058✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.966391-2.94%0.94555-5.04%0.1161✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.987045-2.94%0.9244-9.10%0.1847✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.936146-1.97%0.8792-7.94%0.1754✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.924135-1.59%0.898-4.38%0.1659✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05271.0271-2.43%0.8991-14.59%0.2435✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06341.0434-1.88%0.89075-16.24%0.2114✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.1514-3.47%0.97885-17.94%0.2562✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1695-3.48%1.0488-13.44%0.2017✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2401-4.32%1.0459-19.30%0.1896✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.1408-1.89%1.0419-10.39%0.0899✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08521.064-1.95%1.0257-5.47%0.0580✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0786-2.64%1.1433+3.20%0.0062✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.0734-2.29%1.0926-0.55%0.0208✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.1167-3.09%1.2061+4.66%0.0347✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07171.0437-2.62%1.1368+6.07%0.0396✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05591.0348-2.00%1.0145-3.92%0.0503✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02041.0059-1.42%0.99925-2.07%0.0511✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.996804-2.25%1.0763+5.55%0.0262✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.1074-1.95%1.0248-9.27%0.1052✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.1203-1.61%1.008-11.47%0.1210✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.1874-1.79%0.9871-18.36%0.1236✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.344-2.01%0.98935-27.86%0.2123✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2562-3.24%0.9486-26.93%0.2561✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.2982-4.48%0.8906-34.48%0.3646✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.3033-4.08%0.8725-35.78%0.4457✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.3427-3.10%0.8073-41.74%0.5046✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.3243-2.40%0.82675-39.07%0.4729✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3929-2.48%0.85825-39.91%0.4631✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.4225-2.25%0.8825-39.35%0.4479✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.4084-1.49%0.91165-36.24%0.5259✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.3777-0.81%0.9957-28.32%0.4510✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.4285-1.23%1.017-29.69%0.3944✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.5125-0.78%0.955-37.35%0.5144✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.5219-0.66%0.9391-38.70%0.4807✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.4753-0.09%1.0527-28.71%0.3661✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.4545+0.59%1.0634-26.46%0.3728✗1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.5925+0.24%1.1928-24.92%0.3247✗1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.6825-0.32%1.2116-28.22%0.3624✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.6723-0.28%1.2961-22.71%0.3269✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.6388-0.55%1.1627-29.44%0.4137✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5921-0.31%1.0852-32.06%0.4401✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.4481+1.36%1.1078-22.46%0.3410✗1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.4256+0.68%1.0986-22.42%0.3174✗1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.4648-0.37%1.1523-21.62%0.2647✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.5339-0.96%1.0717-30.80%0.3600✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5942-1.58%1.0559-34.81%0.4074✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5965-1.82%1.0204-37.25%0.4358✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.6206-2.54%1.0198-38.67%0.3964✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.4541+1.03%1.1295-21.53%0.3214✗1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.5379-2.38%1.1386-27.72%0.2312✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.4495-2.13%1.2091-18.36%0.1162✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.5563-2.52%1.3715-14.10%0.0473✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4792-2.32%1.2982-14.27%0.0125✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.5282-2.42%1.3592-13.22%0.0161✓1.00