LIGHTER

? · · lstm_s1

token id: #154
symbol: LIGHTER
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +7d

assessed

265

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

48.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1232

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0229

actual +0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	3.8075	3.6946	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-21	oos	3.763	3.6601	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	3.382	3.3206	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	3.095	3.0584	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-18	oos	3.074	3.0429	-1.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-17	oos	3.116	3.0854	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-16	oos	3.176	3.1493	-0.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-15	oos	3.0255	3.009	-0.54%	3.8075	+25.85%	0.2024	✗	1.31
2026-10-14	oos	3.085	3.0698	-0.49%	3.763	+21.98%	0.1646	✗	1.31
2026-10-13	oos	3.3505	3.3166	-1.01%	3.382	+0.94%	0.0221	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	3.3745	3.3418	-0.97%	3.095	-8.28%	0.0782	✓	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	3.838	3.7666	-1.86%	3.074	-19.91%	0.1766	✓	1.32
2026-10-10	oos	3.637	3.584	-1.46%	3.116	-14.32%	0.1142	✓	1.38
2026-10-09	oos	3.628	3.5826	-1.25%	3.176	-12.46%	0.1029	✓	1.38
2026-10-08	oos	3.607	3.5676	-1.09%	3.0255	-16.12%	0.1721	✓	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	3.574	3.532	-1.18%	3.085	-13.68%	0.1054	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	3.818	3.7586	-1.55%	3.3505	-12.24%	0.0738	✓	1.42
2026-10-05	oos	4.019	3.9464	-1.81%	3.3745	-16.04%	0.0880	✓	1.43
2026-10-04	oos	3.665	3.609	-1.53%	3.838	+4.72%	0.1107	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	3.567	3.5209	-1.29%	3.637	+1.96%	0.0649	✗	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	3.545	3.5052	-1.12%	3.628	+2.34%	0.0696	✗	1.50
2026-10-01	oos	3.806	3.7565	-1.30%	3.607	-5.23%	0.0158	✗	1.49
2026-09-30	oos	3.948	3.894	-1.37%	3.574	-9.47%	0.0807	✓	1.51
2026-09-29	oos	3.926	3.8722	-1.37%	3.818	-2.75%	0.0474	✓	1.48
2026-09-28	oos	4.445	4.3327	-2.53%	4.019	-9.58%	0.1163	✓	1.52
2026-09-27	oos	4.655	4.5129	-3.05%	3.665	-21.27%	0.2435	✓	1.48
2026-09-26	oos	4.8445	4.6877	-3.24%	3.567	-26.37%	0.2789	✓	1.48
2026-09-25	oos	4.8545	4.7012	-3.16%	3.545	-26.97%	0.2895	✓	1.48
2026-09-24	oos	5.071	4.8987	-3.40%	3.806	-24.95%	0.2605	✓	1.48
2026-09-23	oos	5.309	5.1107	-3.74%	3.948	-25.64%	0.2436	✓	1.48
2026-09-22	oos	5.0675	4.8772	-3.76%	3.926	-22.53%	0.1703	✓	1.55
2026-09-21	oos	4.7405	4.5685	-3.63%	4.445	-6.23%	0.0256	✓	1.44
2026-09-20	oos	4.778	4.5956	-3.82%	4.655	-2.57%	0.0533	✓	1.66
2026-09-19	oos	4.8145	4.6319	-3.79%	4.8445	+0.62%	0.0189	✓	1.66
2026-09-18	oos	4.7725	4.5911	-3.80%	4.8545	+1.72%	0.0085	✓	1.65
2026-09-17	oos	4.816	4.624	-3.99%	5.071	+5.29%	0.0911	✓	1.83
2026-09-16	oos	4.605	4.4241	-3.93%	5.309	+15.29%	0.0042	✓	1.82
2026-09-15	oos	4.0195	3.8839	-3.37%	5.0675	+26.07%	0.0270	✓	1.82
2026-09-14	oos	4.3875	4.224	-3.73%	4.7405	+8.05%	0.0659	✓	1.77
2026-09-13	oos	4.1115	3.9694	-3.46%	4.778	+16.21%	0.0891	✗	1.74
2026-09-12	oos	4.217	4.0756	-3.35%	4.8145	+14.17%	0.0797	✗	1.74
2026-09-11	oos	4.353	4.2172	-3.12%	4.7725	+9.64%	0.0435	✗	1.73
2026-09-10	oos	4.2905	4.1628	-2.98%	4.816	+12.25%	0.1500	✗	1.74
2026-09-09	oos	4.5275	4.3931	-2.97%	4.605	+1.71%	0.0949	✗	1.73
2026-09-08	oos	4.826	4.679	-3.05%	4.0195	-16.71%	0.0865	✓	1.76
2026-09-07	oos	4.7225	4.582	-2.98%	4.3875	-7.09%	0.0224	✓	1.79
2026-09-06	oos	4.516	4.3846	-2.91%	4.1115	-8.96%	0.0145	✓	1.75
2026-09-05	oos	4.754	4.6086	-3.06%	4.217	-11.30%	0.0315	✓	1.75
2026-09-04	oos	4.823	4.6617	-3.34%	4.353	-9.74%	0.0158	✓	1.68
2026-09-03	oos	4.441	4.2903	-3.39%	4.2905	-3.39%	0.1054	✗	1.76
2026-09-02	oos	3.792	3.6813	-2.92%	4.5275	+19.40%	0.1876	✗	1.54
2026-09-01	oos	3.52	3.4547	-1.85%	4.826	+37.10%	0.3130	✗	1.58
2026-08-31	oos	3.565	3.5027	-1.75%	4.7225	+32.47%	0.2895	✗	1.39
2026-08-30	oos	3.531	3.4667	-1.82%	4.516	+27.90%	0.2329	✗	0.93
2026-08-29	oos	3.554	3.4917	-1.75%	4.754	+33.76%	0.2897	✗	0.94
2026-08-28	oos	3.497	3.4411	-1.60%	4.823	+37.92%	0.3157	✗	0.94
2026-08-27	oos	3.711	3.6345	-2.06%	4.441	+19.67%	0.1892	✗	0.91
2026-08-26	oos	3.453	3.4115	-1.20%	3.792	+9.82%	0.1253	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	3.285	3.263	-0.67%	3.52	+7.15%	0.0885	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	3.401	3.356	-1.32%	3.565	+4.82%	0.0652	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	3.578	3.4714	-2.98%	3.531	-1.31%	0.0178	✓	0.99
2026-08-22	oos	3.187	3.1373	-1.56%	3.554	+11.52%	0.1099	✗	0.97
2026-08-21	oos	3.128	3.0906	-1.20%	3.497	+11.80%	0.1297	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	2.669	2.6246	-1.66%	3.711	+39.04%	0.2673	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	2.602	2.5439	-2.23%	3.453	+32.71%	0.1724	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	2.359	2.3096	-2.09%	3.285	+39.25%	0.1633	✗	0.97
2026-08-17	oos	2.332	2.2822	-2.14%	3.401	+45.84%	0.1932	✗	1.01
2026-08-16	oos	2.276	2.2308	-1.99%	3.578	+57.21%	0.2543	✗	1.03
2026-08-15	oos	2.266	2.2227	-1.91%	3.187	+40.64%	0.1567	✗	1.01
2026-08-14	oos	2.234	2.1949	-1.75%	3.128	+40.02%	0.1322	✗	1.02
2026-08-13	oos	2.271	2.2267	-1.95%	2.669	+17.53%	0.0396	✗	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	2.335	2.2796	-2.37%	2.602	+11.43%	0.0388	✗	1.05
2026-08-11	oos	2.418	2.3456	-2.99%	2.359	-2.44%	0.0129	✓	1.04
2026-08-10	oos	2.383	2.3146	-2.87%	2.332	-2.14%	0.0018	✓	1.05
2026-08-09	oos	2.304	2.2484	-2.41%	2.276	-1.22%	0.0468	✗	1.10
2026-08-08	oos	2.282	2.2284	-2.35%	2.266	-0.70%	0.0494	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	2.2975	2.2411	-2.46%	2.234	-2.76%	0.0294	✗	1.09
2026-08-06	oos	2.371	2.2969	-3.12%	2.271	-4.22%	0.0031	✓	1.10
2026-08-05	oos	2.186	2.1389	-2.15%	2.335	+6.82%	0.1085	✗	1.12
2026-08-04	oos	2.056	2.0227	-1.62%	2.418	+17.61%	0.1873	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	2.0035	1.9755	-1.40%	2.383	+18.94%	0.1801	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	2.038	2.0068	-1.53%	2.304	+13.05%	0.1152	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	2.018	1.9914	-1.32%	2.282	+13.08%	0.1004	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	2.068	2.0376	-1.47%	2.2975	+11.10%	0.0855	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	2.281	2.2241	-2.50%	2.371	+3.95%	0.0710	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	2.179	2.1369	-1.93%	2.186	+0.32%	0.0121	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	2.301	2.238	-2.74%	2.056	-10.65%	0.0878	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	2.129	2.0926	-1.71%	2.0035	-5.89%	0.0402	✓	0.93
2026-07-26	oos	2.145	2.1067	-1.79%	2.038	-4.99%	0.0070	✓	0.92
2026-07-25	oos	2.064	2.0339	-1.46%	2.018	-2.23%	0.0147	✓	0.93
2026-07-24	oos	2.0315	2.0053	-1.29%	2.068	+1.80%	0.0489	✗	0.91
2026-07-23	oos	2.1585	2.118	-1.88%	2.281	+5.68%	0.0786	✗	0.88
2026-07-22	oos	2.305	2.2439	-2.65%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0009	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	2.344	2.2725	-3.05%	2.301	-1.83%	0.0471	✗	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	2.179	2.1235	-2.55%	2.129	-2.29%	0.0207	✓	0.77
2026-07-19	oos	2.209	2.1437	-2.96%	2.145	-2.90%	0.0072	✓	0.77
2026-07-18	oos	2.257	2.1856	-3.17%	2.064	-8.55%	0.0514	✓	0.75
2026-07-17	oos	2.288	2.2101	-3.40%	2.0315	-11.21%	0.0868	✓	0.84
2026-07-16	oos	2.285	2.2076	-3.39%	2.1585	-5.54%	0.0399	✓	0.87
2026-07-15	oos	2.414	2.3297	-3.49%	2.305	-4.52%	0.0280	✓	0.83
2026-07-14	oos	2.595	2.5009	-3.63%	2.344	-9.67%	0.0838	✓	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	2.305	2.2268	-3.39%	2.179	-5.47%	0.0546	✓	0.71
2026-07-12	oos	2.63	2.5319	-3.73%	2.209	-16.01%	0.1456	✓	0.63
2026-07-11	oos	2.577	2.4834	-3.63%	2.257	-12.42%	0.1056	✓	0.63
2026-07-10	oos	2.688	2.5873	-3.75%	2.288	-14.88%	0.1204	✓	0.70
2026-07-09	oos	2.396	2.3127	-3.47%	2.285	-4.63%	0.0183	✓	0.66
2026-07-08	oos	2.3285	2.2507	-3.34%	2.414	+3.67%	0.0424	✗	0.71
2026-07-07	oos	2.459	2.373	-3.50%	2.595	+5.53%	0.0718	✗	0.68
2026-07-06	oos	2.578	2.4775	-3.90%	2.305	-10.59%	0.0532	✓	0.69
2026-07-05	oos	2.462	2.3639	-3.98%	2.63	+6.82%	0.1050	✗	0.69
2026-07-04	oos	2.199	2.117	-3.73%	2.577	+17.19%	0.1894	✗	0.67
2026-07-03	oos	2.118	2.0384	-3.76%	2.688	+26.91%	0.2599	✗	0.66
2026-07-02	oos	2.067	1.9841	-4.01%	2.396	+15.92%	0.1710	✗	0.65
2026-07-01	oos	2.074	1.9741	-4.82%	2.3285	+12.27%	0.1399	✗	0.68
2026-06-30	oos	1.85	1.766	-4.54%	2.459	+32.92%	0.2857	✗	0.58
2026-06-29	oos	1.861	1.7722	-4.77%	2.578	+38.53%	0.3392	✗	0.58
2026-06-28	oos	1.731	1.6553	-4.37%	2.462	+42.23%	0.3575	✗	0.59
2026-06-27	oos	1.72	1.6495	-4.10%	2.199	+27.85%	0.2579	✗	0.58
2026-06-26	oos	1.825	1.7472	-4.26%	2.118	+16.05%	0.1685	✗	0.58
2026-06-25	oos	1.609	1.549	-3.73%	2.067	+28.46%	0.2720	✗	0.56
2026-06-24	oos	1.697	1.6265	-4.16%	2.074	+22.22%	0.2524	✗	0.55
2026-06-23	oos	1.504	1.4484	-3.69%	1.85	+23.01%	0.2937	✗	0.72
2026-06-22	oos	1.611	1.5457	-4.06%	1.861	+15.52%	0.2270	✗	0.68
2026-06-21	oos	1.567	1.5034	-4.06%	1.731	+10.47%	0.1819	✗	0.67
2026-06-20	oos	1.558	1.4971	-3.91%	1.72	+10.40%	0.1833	✗	0.64
2026-06-19	oos	1.544	1.488	-3.63%	1.825	+18.20%	0.2430	✗	0.69
2026-06-18	oos	1.613	1.5555	-3.56%	1.609	-0.25%	0.0704	✗	0.71
2026-06-17	oos	1.72	1.6555	-3.75%	1.697	-1.34%	0.0601	✗	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	1.734	1.667	-3.87%	1.504	-13.26%	0.0731	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	1.688	1.6226	-3.88%	1.611	-4.56%	0.0177	✓	0.69
2026-06-14	oos	1.684	1.6178	-3.93%	1.567	-6.95%	0.0065	✓	0.66
2026-06-13	oos	1.629	1.5675	-3.77%	1.558	-4.36%	0.0039	✓	0.69
2026-06-12	oos	1.537	1.4841	-3.44%	1.544	+0.46%	0.0402	✗	0.65
2026-06-11	oos	1.558	1.5058	-3.35%	1.613	+3.53%	0.0758	✗	0.65
2026-06-10	oos	1.392	1.3509	-2.95%	1.72	+23.56%	0.2151	✗	0.56
2026-06-09	oos	1.584	1.5334	-3.19%	1.734	+9.47%	0.0884	✗	0.56
2026-06-08	oos	1.467	1.4236	-2.96%	1.688	+15.06%	0.1402	✗	0.61
2026-06-07	oos	1.433	1.3921	-2.85%	1.684	+17.52%	0.1673	✗	0.62
2026-06-06	oos	1.425	1.3858	-2.75%	1.629	+14.32%	0.1264	✗	0.62
2026-06-05	oos	1.503	1.4561	-3.12%	1.537	+2.26%	0.0274	✓	0.66
2026-06-04	oos	1.466	1.4207	-3.09%	1.558	+6.28%	0.0950	✗	0.73
2026-06-03	oos	1.781	1.7013	-4.48%	1.392	-21.84%	0.1698	✓	0.75
2026-06-02	oos	1.606	1.5441	-3.86%	1.584	-1.37%	0.1000	✗	0.96
2026-06-01	oos	1.336	1.2958	-3.01%	1.467	+9.81%	0.2986	✗	1.42
2026-05-31	oos	1.377	1.3322	-3.25%	1.433	+4.07%	0.2894	✗	1.44
2026-05-30	oos	1.3695	1.3223	-3.45%	1.425	+4.05%	0.3368	✗	1.36
2026-05-29	oos	1.262	1.2201	-3.32%	1.503	+19.10%	0.4562	✗	1.35
2026-05-28	oos	1.174	1.1415	-2.77%	1.466	+24.87%	0.4414	✗	1.35
2026-05-27	oos	1.128	1.1009	-2.41%	1.781	+57.89%	0.6863	✗	1.38
2026-05-26	oos	1.184	1.1536	-2.57%	1.606	+35.64%	0.5075	✗	1.37
2026-05-25	oos	1.384	1.339	-3.25%	1.336	-3.47%	0.0952	✗	1.22
2026-05-24	oos	1.295	1.2526	-3.28%	1.377	+6.33%	0.1492	✗	1.21
2026-05-23	oos	1.2265	1.1872	-3.21%	1.3695	+11.66%	0.1883	✗	1.19
2026-05-22	oos	1.186	1.1443	-3.51%	1.262	+6.41%	0.1309	✗	1.18
2026-05-21	oos	1.431	1.3524	-5.49%	1.174	-17.96%	0.0838	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	1.278	1.2075	-5.52%	1.128	-11.74%	0.0228	✓	1.09
2026-05-19	oos	1.134	1.0836	-4.45%	1.184	+4.41%	0.1019	✗	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.954	0.934305	-2.06%	1.384	+45.07%	0.3885	✗	1.12
2026-05-17	oos	0.8635	0.852348	-1.29%	1.295	+49.97%	0.4247	✗	1.15
2026-05-16	oos	0.8775	0.865612	-1.35%	1.2265	+39.77%	0.3702	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.857	0.846662	-1.21%	1.186	+38.39%	0.3908	✗	1.15
2026-05-14	oos	0.915	0.900918	-1.54%	1.431	+56.39%	0.5134	✗	1.14
2026-05-13	oos	0.898	0.885136	-1.43%	1.278	+42.32%	0.3952	✗	1.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.9265	0.912372	-1.52%	1.134	+22.40%	0.2739	✗	1.19
2026-05-11	oos	0.9995	0.980996	-1.85%	0.954	-4.55%	0.0428	✗	1.17
2026-05-10	oos	1.059	1.0354	-2.23%	0.8635	-18.46%	0.1110	✓	1.17
2026-05-09	oos	1.053	1.0267	-2.50%	0.8775	-16.67%	0.1191	✓	1.18
2026-05-08	oos	1.077	1.045	-2.98%	0.857	-20.43%	0.1816	✓	1.18
2026-05-07	oos	0.989	0.968362	-2.09%	0.915	-7.48%	0.0723	✓	1.17
2026-05-06	oos	0.954	0.938499	-1.62%	0.898	-5.87%	0.0111	✓	1.23
2026-05-05	oos	0.966	0.948534	-1.81%	0.9265	-4.09%	0.0180	✓	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.906	0.893032	-1.43%	0.9995	+10.32%	0.0897	✗	0.99
2026-05-03	oos	0.923	0.907866	-1.64%	1.059	+14.73%	0.1085	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.908	0.894763	-1.46%	1.053	+15.97%	0.1377	✗	1.02
2026-05-01	oos	0.903	0.891244	-1.30%	1.077	+19.27%	0.1642	✗	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.8845	0.873796	-1.21%	0.989	+11.81%	0.0749	✗	1.03
2026-04-29	oos	0.9475	0.932623	-1.57%	0.954	+0.69%	0.0523	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.897	0.885937	-1.23%	0.966	+7.69%	0.0206	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8635	0.853604	-1.15%	0.906	+4.92%	0.0236	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.913	0.901516	-1.26%	0.923	+1.10%	0.0252	✗	1.15
2026-04-25	oos	0.93	0.917094	-1.39%	0.908	-2.37%	0.0254	✓	1.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.9475	0.934173	-1.41%	0.903	-4.70%	0.0458	✓	1.20
2026-04-23	oos	0.9245	0.912829	-1.26%	0.8845	-4.33%	0.0009	✓	1.20
2026-04-22	oos	0.8805	0.86935	-1.27%	0.9475	+7.61%	0.1242	✗	1.20
2026-04-21	oos	0.8975	0.884978	-1.40%	0.897	-0.06%	0.0140	✓	1.21
2026-04-20	oos	0.9005	0.887801	-1.41%	0.8635	-4.11%	0.0515	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.89	0.87878	-1.26%	0.913	+2.58%	0.0381	✓	1.20
2026-04-18	oos	0.976	0.962239	-1.41%	0.93	-4.71%	0.0638	✓	1.19
2026-04-17	oos	1.0495	1.0343	-1.45%	0.9475	-9.72%	0.0932	✓	1.19
2026-04-16	oos	1.043	1.0261	-1.62%	0.9245	-11.36%	0.1529	✓	1.20
2026-04-15	oos	1.0425	1.0254	-1.64%	0.8805	-15.54%	0.2051	✓	1.19
2026-04-14	oos	1.0235	1.0069	-1.63%	0.8975	-12.31%	0.1494	✓	1.19
2026-04-13	oos	1.1435	1.1211	-1.96%	0.9005	-21.25%	0.2417	✓	1.19
2026-04-12	oos	1.094	1.0725	-1.97%	0.89	-18.65%	0.2375	✓	1.20
2026-04-11	oos	1.206	1.1754	-2.54%	0.976	-19.07%	0.2280	✓	1.18
2026-04-10	oos	1.136	1.1101	-2.28%	1.0495	-7.61%	0.1206	✓	1.18
2026-04-09	oos	1.016	0.997726	-1.80%	1.043	+2.66%	0.0086	✓	1.16
2026-04-08	oos	0.999	0.981257	-1.78%	1.0425	+4.35%	0.0011	✓	1.16
2026-04-07	oos	1.073	1.0491	-2.22%	1.0235	-4.61%	0.0605	✓	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	1.0245	1.0038	-2.02%	1.1435	+11.62%	0.0405	✗	1.15
2026-04-05	oos	1.0095	0.989834	-1.95%	1.094	+8.37%	0.0712	✗	1.15
2026-04-04	oos	0.986	0.968745	-1.75%	1.206	+22.31%	0.1240	✗	1.15
2026-04-03	oos	0.989	0.97113	-1.81%	1.136	+14.86%	0.0574	✗	1.15
2026-04-02	oos	0.949	0.934361	-1.54%	1.016	+7.06%	0.0025	✓	1.15
2026-04-01	oos	0.889	0.879513	-1.07%	0.999	+12.37%	0.0777	✗	1.16
2026-03-31	oos	0.871	0.862626	-0.96%	1.073	+23.19%	0.1570	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.8075	0.805434	-0.26%	1.0245	+26.87%	0.2049	✗	1.14
2026-03-29	oos	0.8265	0.826119	-0.05%	1.0095	+22.14%	0.1485	✗	1.15
2026-03-28	oos	0.8575	0.856492	-0.12%	0.986	+14.99%	0.1241	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.8825	0.881599	-0.10%	0.989	+12.07%	0.1045	✗	1.15
2026-03-26	oos	0.912	0.90656	-0.60%	0.949	+4.06%	0.0777	✗	1.16
2026-03-25	oos	0.9945	0.983632	-1.09%	0.889	-10.61%	0.0489	✓	1.14
2026-03-24	oos	1.0085	0.997624	-1.08%	0.871	-13.63%	0.0976	✓	1.15
2026-03-23	oos	0.954	0.945546	-0.89%	0.8075	-15.36%	0.0889	✓	1.15
2026-03-22	oos	0.9405	0.936099	-0.47%	0.8265	-12.12%	0.0916	✓	1.17
2026-03-21	oos	1.052	1.0417	-0.98%	0.8575	-18.49%	0.1504	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	1.064	1.0533	-1.01%	0.8825	-17.06%	0.1068	✓	1.16
2026-03-19	oos	1.1945	1.1789	-1.31%	0.912	-23.65%	0.2371	✓	1.18
2026-03-18	oos	1.213	1.1955	-1.44%	0.9945	-18.01%	0.1850	✓	1.18
2026-03-17	oos	1.296	1.2714	-1.90%	1.0085	-22.18%	0.1765	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	1.1645	1.1475	-1.46%	0.954	-18.08%	0.1194	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	1.087	1.0723	-1.35%	0.9405	-13.48%	0.0483	✓	1.17
2026-03-14	oos	1.107	1.0925	-1.31%	1.052	-4.97%	0.0014	✓	1.18
2026-03-13	oos	1.0995	1.0861	-1.22%	1.064	-3.23%	0.0131	✓	1.18
2026-03-12	oos	1.1525	1.1369	-1.36%	1.1945	+3.64%	0.0598	✗	1.19
2026-03-11	oos	1.0715	1.0601	-1.07%	1.213	+13.21%	0.1175	✗	1.18
2026-03-10	oos	1.055	1.0453	-0.92%	1.296	+22.84%	0.1499	✗	1.18
2026-03-09	oos	1.021	1.016	-0.49%	1.1645	+14.05%	0.0307	✗	1.17
2026-03-08	oos	1.019	1.0207	+0.17%	1.087	+6.67%	0.0555	✗	1.20
2026-03-07	oos	1.13	1.1226	-0.65%	1.107	-2.04%	0.0819	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	1.14	1.1327	-0.64%	1.0995	-3.55%	0.0781	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	1.2085	1.1955	-1.07%	1.1525	-4.63%	0.0307	✓	1.18
2026-03-04	oos	1.373	1.3521	-1.52%	1.0715	-21.96%	0.1927	✓	1.15
2026-03-03	oos	1.301	1.2865	-1.11%	1.055	-18.91%	0.2259	✓	1.17
2026-03-02	oos	1.357	1.3398	-1.27%	1.021	-24.76%	0.2649	✓	1.17
2026-03-01	oos	1.359	1.3458	-0.97%	1.019	-25.02%	0.2819	✓	1.22
2026-02-28	oos	1.38	1.365	-1.09%	1.13	-18.12%	0.1942	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	1.358	1.3469	-0.82%	1.14	-16.05%	0.2079	✓	1.22
2026-02-26	oos	1.4295	1.412	-1.22%	1.2085	-15.46%	0.2155	✓	1.22
2026-02-25	oos	1.456	1.4361	-1.36%	1.373	-5.70%	0.1262	✓	1.22
2026-02-24	oos	1.4305	1.4181	-0.87%	1.301	-9.05%	0.1696	✓	1.29
2026-02-23	oos	1.386	1.3784	-0.55%	1.357	-2.09%	0.0971	✓	1.29
2026-02-22	oos	1.4465	1.4279	-1.29%	1.359	-6.05%	0.0134	✓	1.30
2026-02-21	oos	1.514	1.4891	-1.65%	1.38	-8.85%	0.0570	✓	1.30
2026-02-20	oos	1.532	1.5064	-1.67%	1.358	-11.36%	0.0622	✓	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	1.476	1.4586	-1.18%	1.4295	-3.15%	0.0301	✓	1.30
2026-02-18	oos	1.445	1.433	-0.83%	1.456	+0.76%	0.0145	✓	1.30
2026-02-17	oos	1.591	1.5595	-1.98%	1.4305	-10.09%	0.0196	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	1.687	1.6368	-2.98%	1.386	-17.84%	0.0849	✓	1.28
2026-02-15	oos	1.68	1.6291	-3.03%	1.4465	-13.90%	0.0968	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	1.645	1.5993	-2.78%	1.514	-7.96%	0.0206	✓	1.29
2026-02-13	oos	1.5985	1.5605	-2.37%	1.532	-4.16%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	1.426	1.4242	-0.13%	1.476	+3.51%	0.0242	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	1.418	1.417	-0.07%	1.445	+1.90%	0.0286	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	1.471	1.4581	-0.88%	1.591	+8.16%	0.1069	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	1.547	1.5189	-1.82%	1.687	+9.05%	0.1229	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	1.62	1.5788	-2.54%	1.68	+3.70%	0.0835	✗	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	1.63	1.5898	-2.46%	1.645	+0.92%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	1.664	1.6194	-2.68%	1.5985	-3.94%	0.0116	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	1.436	1.4622	+1.83%	1.426	-0.70%	0.0781	✗	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	1.576	1.5441	-2.02%	1.418	-10.03%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	1.482	1.4583	-1.60%	1.471	-0.74%	0.1037	✗	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	1.593	1.5541	-2.44%	1.547	-2.89%	0.1107	✗	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	1.512	1.4839	-1.86%	1.62	+7.14%	0.1777	✗	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	1.564	1.5297	-2.20%	1.63	+4.22%	0.1909	✗	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	1.723	1.6748	-2.80%	1.664	-3.42%	0.1697	✗	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	1.612	1.573	-2.42%	1.436	-10.92%	0.2060	✗	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	1.99	1.9214	-3.45%	1.576	-20.80%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	1.939	1.8721	-3.45%	1.482	-23.57%	0.0700	✓	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	1.708	1.659	-2.87%	1.593	-6.73%	0.0744	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	1.5775	1.5373	-2.55%	1.512	-4.15%	0.1018	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	1.806	1.7507	-3.06%	1.564	-13.40%	0.0118	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.