INIT

Initia · Initia · lstm_s1

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1006

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0241

actual -0.0065

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.119497	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.119679	-5.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.11615	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.118117	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.116308	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.117469	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.130577	-7.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.118297	-6.67%	0.12675	+0.00%	0.0613	✓	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.115669	-6.64%	0.1272	+2.66%	0.0962	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.11255	-6.79%	0.12365	+2.40%	0.0934	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.11021	-6.36%	0.12605	+7.09%	0.1465	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.109747	-6.84%	0.1242	+5.43%	0.1354	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.102605	-6.47%	0.1256	+14.49%	0.2102	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.106627	-6.92%	0.14145	+23.48%	0.2792	✗	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.109121	-6.73%	0.12675	+8.33%	0.1629	✗	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.105693	-6.30%	0.1239	+9.84%	0.1784	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.110472	-6.93%	0.12075	+1.73%	0.1208	✗	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.10944	-6.98%	0.1177	+0.04%	0.0955	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.104914	-7.03%	0.1178	+4.39%	0.1305	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.102751	-6.72%	0.1097	-0.41%	0.0811	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.098652	-6.09%	0.11455	+9.04%	0.1751	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.096885	-6.57%	0.117	+12.83%	0.1909	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.096007	-6.74%	0.1128	+9.57%	0.1463	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.0855	-4.68%	0.1187	+32.33%	0.3088	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.085765	-4.39%	0.11765	+31.16%	0.2990	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.089083	-5.43%	0.11285	+19.80%	0.2337	✗	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.093487	-6.37%	0.11015	+10.32%	0.1605	✗	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.093326	-6.58%	0.10505	+5.16%	0.1144	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.084228	-5.04%	0.1037	+16.91%	0.2152	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.085609	-5.09%	0.10295	+14.14%	0.2070	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.079651	-3.63%	0.0897	+8.53%	0.1496	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.071914	-2.29%	0.0897	+21.87%	0.1928	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.073853	-2.57%	0.0942	+24.27%	0.2159	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.073995	-2.77%	0.09985	+31.21%	0.2715	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.073238	-3.63%	0.0999	+31.45%	0.2320	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.066503	-2.63%	0.0887	+29.87%	0.2086	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.065353	-2.75%	0.0902	+34.23%	0.2226	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.067535	-3.11%	0.08265	+18.58%	0.1260	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.062872	-2.90%	0.0736	+13.67%	0.1189	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.066885	-4.52%	0.0758	+8.21%	0.0911	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.066776	-4.88%	0.0761	+8.40%	0.0992	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.06646	-5.19%	0.076	+8.42%	0.1358	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.063412	-3.99%	0.0683	+3.41%	0.0942	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.063326	-3.91%	0.0672	+1.97%	0.0876	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.064606	-4.15%	0.0697	+3.41%	0.0848	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.064803	-4.07%	0.06475	-4.15%	0.0338	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.064889	-4.15%	0.07005	+3.47%	0.1012	✗	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.061778	-2.56%	0.0702	+10.73%	0.1512	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.062364	+0.83%	0.0701	+13.34%	0.1636	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.060338	-1.49%	0.06605	+7.84%	0.0798	✗	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059677	+0.55%	0.0659	+11.04%	0.0875	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.060549	+2.97%	0.0674	+14.63%	0.1017	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.056426	+3.92%	0.06755	+24.40%	0.1495	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.05945	+4.21%	0.0677	+18.67%	0.1120	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.056133	+4.72%	0.0634	+18.28%	0.1014	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.057526	+5.26%	0.06185	+13.17%	0.0615	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.057675	+5.44%	0.06125	+11.97%	0.0799	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.056807	+5.79%	0.05935	+10.52%	0.0570	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.057552	+5.70%	0.0588	+7.99%	0.0266	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.059691	+5.09%	0.0543	-4.40%	0.0938	✗	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.058056	+4.70%	0.05705	+2.89%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.06014	+4.14%	0.0536	-7.19%	0.1089	✗	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.055391	+0.99%	0.05465	-0.36%	0.1108	✗	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.052639	-1.33%	0.0547	+2.53%	0.1039	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049113	-3.98%	0.0537	+4.99%	0.1350	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.049192	-4.20%	0.05445	+6.04%	0.1345	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.048226	-5.25%	0.0568	+11.59%	0.0876	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.048858	-5.13%	0.05545	+7.67%	0.1107	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.048396	-5.48%	0.05775	+12.79%	0.0804	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.048904	-5.23%	0.05485	+6.30%	0.0522	✓	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.048504	-5.27%	0.05335	+4.20%	0.0126	✓	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.049581	-5.38%	0.05115	-2.39%	0.0102	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.049752	-5.32%	0.05135	-2.28%	0.0211	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.050804	-5.39%	0.0509	-5.21%	0.0388	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.05017	-5.52%	0.0515	-3.01%	0.0608	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.048448	-5.19%	0.0512	+0.20%	0.0888	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.0481	-5.41%	0.0516	+1.47%	0.0853	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.04798	-5.27%	0.0512	+1.09%	0.0860	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.046696	-5.47%	0.0524	+6.07%	0.1239	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.047156	-5.31%	0.05255	+5.52%	0.1006	✗	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.047384	-5.42%	0.0537	+7.19%	0.1021	✗	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.048593	-5.46%	0.0531	+3.31%	0.0515	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.046589	-5.60%	0.0511	+3.55%	0.0567	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.045832	-5.31%	0.05085	+5.06%	0.1120	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.045547	-5.31%	0.05065	+5.30%	0.0938	✗	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.046729	-5.31%	0.0494	+0.10%	0.0520	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.048444	-4.82%	0.0498	-2.16%	0.0317	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.053206	-2.19%	0.0501	-7.90%	0.0291	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.053895	-2.72%	0.0514	-7.22%	0.0209	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.053557	-2.80%	0.04935	-10.44%	0.0600	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.05445	-2.42%	0.0484	-13.26%	0.1122	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.054524	-1.94%	0.0481	-13.49%	0.0890	✓	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054206	-1.71%	0.04935	-10.52%	0.0497	✓	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.052929	-1.98%	0.0509	-5.74%	0.0145	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.051448	-1.72%	0.0544	+3.92%	0.0455	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.051796	-1.72%	0.0554	+5.12%	0.0755	✗	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.051575	-1.86%	0.0551	+4.85%	0.0629	✗	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.05205	-1.79%	0.0558	+5.28%	0.0485	✗	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.053618	-1.62%	0.0556	+2.02%	0.0139	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054072	-1.42%	0.05515	+0.55%	0.0052	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.052503	-1.68%	0.054	+1.12%	0.0234	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.054398	-1.45%	0.05235	-5.16%	0.0546	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.055428	-1.46%	0.0527	-6.31%	0.0678	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056108	-1.48%	0.05255	-7.73%	0.0614	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.054677	-1.48%	0.053	-4.50%	0.0416	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.053947	-1.38%	0.0545	-0.37%	0.0340	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.05431	-1.25%	0.05485	-0.27%	0.0194	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.056678	-1.17%	0.0534	-6.89%	0.0289	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.05726	-1.28%	0.0552	-4.83%	0.0391	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.05754	-1.47%	0.05625	-3.68%	0.0336	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.057423	-1.50%	0.05695	-2.32%	0.0331	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056151	-1.66%	0.0555	-2.80%	0.0380	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.056242	-2.02%	0.0547	-4.70%	0.0648	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051313	-2.08%	0.055	+4.96%	0.0030	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.052522	-1.92%	0.05735	+7.10%	0.0308	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051141	-1.75%	0.058	+11.43%	0.0665	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.051638	-1.64%	0.0584	+11.24%	0.0779	✗	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054269	-1.60%	0.0583	+5.71%	0.0354	✗	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051081	-1.29%	0.0571	+10.34%	0.0858	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.052715	-1.28%	0.0574	+7.49%	0.1006	✗	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.058346	-1.44%	0.0524	-11.49%	0.0527	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057777	-1.24%	0.05355	-8.46%	0.0266	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055112	-1.06%	0.05205	-6.55%	0.0089	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.056443	-0.89%	0.0525	-7.81%	0.0166	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057357	-0.85%	0.05515	-4.67%	0.0064	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.059132	-0.87%	0.05175	-13.24%	0.0904	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.059281	-0.87%	0.0534	-10.70%	0.0584	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.059713	-0.97%	0.0592	-1.82%	0.0309	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.058106	-1.01%	0.0585	-0.34%	0.0392	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.058951	-1.25%	0.0557	-6.70%	0.0223	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058086	-1.30%	0.05695	-3.23%	0.0170	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.059239	-1.68%	0.05785	-3.98%	0.0229	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.05736	-1.10%	0.05965	+2.84%	0.0487	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054602	+0.19%	0.0598	+9.72%	0.0511	✓	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056817	-0.23%	0.0603	+5.88%	0.0080	✗	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057952	-0.25%	0.0587	+1.03%	0.0290	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.054838	+1.18%	0.0597	+10.15%	0.0528	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.054844	+3.09%	0.05885	+10.62%	0.0220	✓	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.057176	+3.21%	0.06025	+8.75%	0.0179	✓	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.059594	+1.70%	0.058	-1.02%	0.0239	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.065038	+0.06%	0.0545	-16.15%	0.1469	✗	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.063717	-0.29%	0.05695	-10.88%	0.0546	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.068687	-4.60%	0.0581	-19.31%	0.1138	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.070077	-5.30%	0.0542	-26.76%	0.1946	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.06642	-3.32%	0.0532	-22.56%	0.1300	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.062345	-0.72%	0.0554	-11.78%	0.0279	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.062972	-0.36%	0.0586	-7.28%	0.0039	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.066287	-1.29%	0.065	-3.20%	0.0488	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.07493	-3.63%	0.0639	-17.81%	0.1101	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.078892	-3.44%	0.072	-11.87%	0.0653	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.078649	-3.26%	0.074	-8.98%	0.0457	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.080334	-3.21%	0.0687	-17.23%	0.1422	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.078481	-2.99%	0.0628	-22.37%	0.2125	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.083364	-3.07%	0.0632	-26.51%	0.2587	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.082549	-2.88%	0.06715	-21.00%	0.1924	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.080669	-2.87%	0.07775	-6.38%	0.0327	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.08197	-2.76%	0.0817	-3.08%	0.0048	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.081977	-2.70%	0.0813	-3.50%	0.0059	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.083085	-2.54%	0.083	-2.64%	0.0070	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.086463	-2.25%	0.0809	-8.54%	0.0547	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.092833	-2.23%	0.086	-9.43%	0.0670	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.095316	-2.44%	0.085	-13.00%	0.1100	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.101395	-2.69%	0.08305	-20.30%	0.1915	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.099792	-2.16%	0.0843	-17.35%	0.1608	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.102767	-2.31%	0.08425	-19.91%	0.1908	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.10674	-3.66%	0.08525	-23.06%	0.2198	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.099587	-2.75%	0.08845	-13.62%	0.1167	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.10483	-4.66%	0.09495	-13.64%	0.1007	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.097632	-2.22%	0.0977	-2.15%	0.0109	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.08929	-1.45%	0.1042	+15.01%	0.1575	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.088696	-1.45%	0.102	+13.33%	0.1255	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.087558	-1.62%	0.1052	+18.20%	0.1553	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.087755	-1.51%	0.1108	+24.35%	0.2179	✗	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.089164	-1.48%	0.1024	+13.15%	0.1228	✗	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.089231	-1.84%	0.10995	+20.96%	0.1728	✗	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.089055	-2.03%	0.09985	+9.85%	0.0599	✗	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.092354	-2.43%	0.0906	-4.28%	0.0650	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.088727	-1.80%	0.09	-0.39%	0.0109	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.08928	-1.57%	0.089	-1.87%	0.0020	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.087637	-1.81%	0.0891	-0.17%	0.0061	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.090505	-2.53%	0.0905	-2.53%	0.0078	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.084056	-1.23%	0.0909	+6.82%	0.0985	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.087293	-1.36%	0.0909	+2.71%	0.0657	✗	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.088099	-2.00%	0.09465	+5.28%	0.0720	✗	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.092251	-2.53%	0.09035	-4.54%	0.0366	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.086362	-2.31%	0.0907	+2.60%	0.0028	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.091873	-2.37%	0.08925	-5.15%	0.0492	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.089122	-1.41%	0.09285	+2.71%	0.0371	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.085326	-1.81%	0.0851	-2.07%	0.0357	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.08197	-1.77%	0.0885	+6.05%	0.0410	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.078715	-1.73%	0.0899	+12.23%	0.1098	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.078422	-1.60%	0.09465	+18.76%	0.1729	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.074848	-2.16%	0.0884	+15.56%	0.1310	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.080958	-1.99%	0.0941	+13.92%	0.1214	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.081931	-2.11%	0.0904	+8.00%	0.0540	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.078254	-2.43%	0.0869	+8.35%	0.0679	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.079746	-2.81%	0.08345	+1.71%	0.0038	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.079897	-2.45%	0.0801	-2.20%	0.0226	✓	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.081533	-4.14%	0.0797	-6.29%	0.0896	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.077155	-3.19%	0.0765	-4.02%	0.0299	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.078601	-4.03%	0.0826	+0.85%	0.0216	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.079305	-3.87%	0.0837	+1.45%	0.0207	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.077531	-3.51%	0.0802	-0.19%	0.0273	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.076273	-2.90%	0.08205	+4.46%	0.0355	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.073439	-2.60%	0.0819	+8.62%	0.0627	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.07478	-2.88%	0.08505	+10.45%	0.1008	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.075709	-3.06%	0.0797	+2.05%	0.0109	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.076979	-3.17%	0.0819	+3.02%	0.0490	✗	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.074727	-2.83%	0.0825	+7.28%	0.0909	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.080842	-3.07%	0.08035	-3.66%	0.0177	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.079896	-2.57%	0.07855	-4.21%	0.0235	✓	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.082211	-3.05%	0.0754	-11.08%	0.0569	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.078758	-2.41%	0.077	-4.58%	0.0310	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.074803	-2.47%	0.0781	+1.83%	0.0681	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.075083	-2.49%	0.0795	+3.25%	0.0911	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.077716	-2.37%	0.0769	-3.39%	0.0427	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.079725	-2.18%	0.0834	+2.33%	0.0597	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.083764	-2.03%	0.082	-4.09%	0.0220	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.09077	-2.19%	0.0848	-8.62%	0.0263	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.088569	-1.48%	0.0807	-10.23%	0.0434	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.090019	-2.15%	0.0767	-16.63%	0.0946	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.089327	-2.38%	0.077	-15.85%	0.1177	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.082967	-1.81%	0.0796	-5.80%	0.0355	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.087454	-2.39%	0.0815	-9.04%	0.0623	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.087435	-2.31%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.0363	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.082671	-2.05%	0.0928	+9.95%	0.0637	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.079628	-2.06%	0.0899	+10.58%	0.0369	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.07933	-2.18%	0.092	+13.44%	0.0531	✗	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.08265	-2.30%	0.0915	+8.16%	0.0467	✗	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.084824	-2.61%	0.0845	-2.99%	0.0420	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.079692	-1.61%	0.0896	+10.62%	0.1222	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.07778	-1.42%	0.0895	+13.43%	0.1750	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.082107	-1.90%	0.0844	+0.84%	0.0016	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.078909	-1.73%	0.0813	+1.25%	0.0362	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.074108	-1.71%	0.0811	+7.56%	0.0869	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.078276	-1.73%	0.0846	+6.21%	0.0730	✗	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.079556	-1.78%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.0538	✗	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.080263	-1.76%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0450	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.080294	-1.78%	0.0789	-3.49%	0.0911	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.080438	-1.79%	0.0837	+2.20%	0.0361	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.083941	-1.82%	0.0803	-6.08%	0.1179	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.087926	-2.03%	0.0754	-15.99%	0.1213	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.091871	-2.52%	0.07965	-15.49%	0.1257	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.096697	-3.83%	0.081	-19.44%	0.1403	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.096868	-4.14%	0.0817	-19.15%	0.1793	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.096742	-4.97%	0.08175	-19.70%	0.1964	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.103883	-8.39%	0.0819	-27.78%	0.1817	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.113205	-11.07%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2134	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.100309	-8.14%	0.08975	-17.81%	0.0931	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.069569	-1.67%	0.09425	+33.22%	0.3332	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.068201	-1.51%	0.10055	+45.20%	0.4017	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.070044	-1.48%	0.10105	+42.12%	0.3532	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.069766	-1.32%	0.1018	+43.99%	0.3882	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.065559	-0.29%	0.1134	+72.47%	0.5709	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066365	-0.28%	0.1273	+91.28%	0.6722	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067865	+0.02%	0.1092	+60.94%	0.5008	✓	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.07082	+0.03%	0.07075	-0.07%	0.0103	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.069763	+0.38%	0.06925	-0.36%	0.0219	✓	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.064295	+5.14%	0.0711	+16.27%	0.0367	✓	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.071967	-0.18%	0.0707	-1.94%	0.0958	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.076981	-1.43%	0.06575	-15.81%	0.0341	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.079539	-2.11%	0.06655	-18.09%	0.0274	✓	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.080394	-2.08%	0.06785	-17.36%	0.0506	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.084253	-3.60%	0.0708	-18.99%	0.0006	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.09953	-7.16%	0.0695	-35.17%	0.1516	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.085341	-3.57%	0.06115	-30.90%	0.0199	✓	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.093155	-4.46%	0.0721	-26.05%	0.0295	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.088612	-3.68%	0.0781	-15.11%	0.0647	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.086043	-3.97%	0.08125	-9.32%	0.0755	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.08597	-4.80%	0.0821	-9.08%	0.0929	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.086007	-3.90%	0.0874	-2.35%	0.1665	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.078919	-3.05%	0.1072	+31.70%	0.3811	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.078082	-3.00%	0.0885	+9.94%	0.1939	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.078293	-3.10%	0.0975	+20.67%	0.2221	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.076781	-2.93%	0.092	+16.31%	0.1697	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.082368	-3.32%	0.0896	+5.16%	0.1420	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.091185	-2.79%	0.0903	-3.73%	0.0856	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.090246	-2.44%	0.0895	-3.24%	0.0717	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.093516	-2.49%	0.0814	-15.12%	0.0587	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.092262	-2.98%	0.0805	-15.35%	0.0550	✓	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.090435	-2.34%	0.0808	-12.74%	0.0110	✓	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.08761	-2.87%	0.0791	-12.31%	0.0064	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.07845	-4.21%	0.0852	+4.03%	0.0647	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.082674	-4.64%	0.0938	+8.19%	0.0896	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.085557	-3.87%	0.0925	+3.93%	0.0146	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.088004	-3.61%	0.0959	+5.04%	0.0156	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.08898	-3.28%	0.0951	+3.37%	0.0006	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.089838	-3.09%	0.0926	-0.11%	0.0872	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.094278	-2.20%	0.0902	-6.43%	0.0787	✓	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.095757	-2.09%	0.0819	-16.26%	0.0994	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.095705	-2.54%	0.0867	-11.71%	0.0851	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.094276	-2.41%	0.089	-7.87%	0.0526	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.092058	-2.38%	0.0913	-3.18%	0.0207	✓	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.087741	-2.62%	0.092	+2.11%	0.0034	✓	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.084784	-2.77%	0.0927	+6.31%	0.0057	✓	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.087047	-2.41%	0.0964	+8.07%	0.0144	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.087034	-2.54%	0.0978	+9.52%	0.0307	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.085941	-2.45%	0.0982	+11.46%	0.0536	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.090611	-2.88%	0.0966	+3.54%	0.0029	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.099246	-4.20%	0.0943	-8.98%	0.1104	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.088398	-2.75%	0.0901	-0.88%	0.0159	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.081789	-2.28%	0.0872	+4.18%	0.0666	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.081644	-2.10%	0.0892	+6.95%	0.0668	✗	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.082598	-2.02%	0.0893	+5.93%	0.1106	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.081949	-2.09%	0.0881	+5.26%	0.0895	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.085065	-2.34%	0.0933	+7.12%	0.1042	✗	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.082538	-2.44%	0.1036	+22.46%	0.2455	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.075486	-1.84%	0.0909	+18.21%	0.1468	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.080002	-1.96%	0.0837	+2.57%	0.0135	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.084564	-1.90%	0.0834	-3.25%	0.0043	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.081675	-1.71%	0.0843	+1.44%	0.0166	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083572	-1.56%	0.0837	-1.41%	0.0090	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.087619	-1.66%	0.0871	-2.24%	0.0372	✗	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.085078	-1.64%	0.0846	-2.20%	0.0432	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.089478	-1.24%	0.0769	-15.12%	0.0079	✓	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092529	-1.25%	0.0816	-12.91%	0.0059	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097131	-1.29%	0.0862	-12.40%	0.0116	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092639	-1.34%	0.0831	-11.50%	0.0132	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089357	-1.26%	0.0849	-6.19%	0.0015	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.097738	-1.47%	0.0891	-10.18%	0.1150	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.099056	-1.34%	0.0865	-13.84%	0.1568	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.101364	-1.40%	0.0906	-11.87%	0.1224	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.100926	-1.44%	0.0937	-8.50%	0.0423	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.102643	-1.30%	0.0984	-5.38%	0.0742	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.100472	-1.30%	0.0939	-7.76%	0.1799	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.114417	-1.49%	0.0905	-22.08%	0.2353	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.112904	-1.57%	0.0992	-13.51%	0.0907	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.115118	-1.61%	0.1004	-14.19%	0.0982	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.119879	-1.70%	0.1028	-15.70%	0.1726	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.109048	-1.49%	0.1024	-7.50%	0.1334	✓	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.10632	-1.24%	0.104	-3.39%	0.1210	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.10644	-1.17%	0.1018	-5.48%	0.0060	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.105981	-0.77%	0.11615	+8.75%	0.0010	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.104866	+0.25%	0.1147	+9.66%	0.0734	✗	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.110077	-0.70%	0.117	+5.55%	0.0929	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.125837	-2.26%	0.12195	-5.28%	0.1537	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.117497	-1.59%	0.1107	-7.29%	0.0312	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.11682	-1.62%	0.10765	-9.35%	0.0809	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.11702	-1.50%	0.1077	-9.34%	0.0290	✗	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.118251	-1.70%	0.1068	-11.22%	0.1138	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.122595	-2.12%	0.1046	-16.49%	0.1612	✗	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.118487	-1.71%	0.11085	-8.05%	0.2117	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.120452	-2.90%	0.12875	+3.79%	0.4640	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.122359	-3.27%	0.1194	-5.61%	0.2766	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.119493	-3.13%	0.11875	-3.73%	0.2907	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.127533	-3.75%	0.1188	-10.34%	0.3344	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.12666	-3.90%	0.1203	-8.73%	0.2567	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.126898	-3.17%	0.12525	-4.43%	0.1885	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.128757	-3.23%	0.12055	-9.39%	0.1927	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.115539	-0.87%	0.12405	+6.44%	0.1188	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.117975	-1.03%	0.1265	+6.12%	0.1324	✗	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.11587	-0.03%	0.12335	+6.43%	0.0191	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.120993	-1.11%	0.1325	+8.30%	0.1074	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.134184	-2.55%	0.1318	-4.28%	0.1474	✗	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.133555	-2.23%	0.13105	-4.06%	0.2051	✗	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.132067	-1.92%	0.13305	-1.19%	0.1896	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.134808	-1.64%	0.11655	-14.96%	0.0625	✗	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.151838	-2.01%	0.1192	-23.07%	0.0638	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.155894	-1.92%	0.1159	-27.08%	0.0356	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.159426	-1.95%	0.12235	-24.75%	0.0521	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.170484	-2.05%	0.1377	-20.88%	0.1027	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.166678	-2.13%	0.1366	-19.79%	0.1529	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.168717	-2.05%	0.13465	-21.83%	0.1828	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.163139	-1.93%	0.13705	-17.61%	0.1218	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.157416	-1.43%	0.15495	-2.97%	0.0871	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.165023	-1.51%	0.15895	-5.13%	0.1681	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.177703	-1.69%	0.1626	-10.04%	0.1879	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.178407	-1.35%	0.17405	-3.76%	0.1888	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.173771	-0.82%	0.1703	-2.80%	0.1472	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.172661	-0.28%	0.17225	-0.52%	0.1329	✓	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.176612	-0.42%	0.16635	-6.20%	0.1146	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.183202	-0.73%	0.1597	-13.47%	0.0442	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.194018	-1.09%	0.16755	-14.58%	0.0124	✓	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.206918	-1.63%	0.18075	-14.07%	0.0041	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.190544	-1.55%	0.18085	-6.56%	0.1262	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.172287	-1.10%	0.1752	+0.57%	0.1186	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.19199	-1.19%	0.17315	-10.89%	0.0809	✗	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.302803	-1.67%	0.17735	-42.41%	0.2631	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.31733	-1.48%	0.18455	-42.70%	0.2975	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.307029	-1.72%	0.19615	-37.21%	0.2562	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.334188	-1.42%	0.21035	-37.95%	0.2512	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.314759	-1.76%	0.19355	-39.59%	0.2977	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.319489	-1.82%	0.1742	-46.47%	0.3353	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.328869	-2.28%	0.1943	-42.27%	0.3113	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.331968	-2.96%	0.30795	-9.98%	0.0998	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.3164	-2.32%	0.3221	-0.56%	0.0885	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.303999	-2.24%	0.3124	+0.47%	0.1497	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.305096	-2.24%	0.339	+8.62%	0.1526	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.31232	-2.42%	0.3204	+0.11%	0.2693	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.300685	-2.36%	0.3254	+5.67%	0.2612	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.306203	-2.06%	0.33655	+7.64%	0.2416	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.293419	-1.85%	0.3421	+14.43%	0.1575	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.317721	-2.12%	0.3239	-0.22%	0.1257	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.310881	-2.12%	0.31095	-2.09%	0.0574	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.319082	-2.05%	0.3121	-4.19%	0.0667	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.354972	-1.89%	0.32005	-11.54%	0.0200	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.361572	-1.93%	0.30795	-16.48%	0.0039	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.363932	-2.13%	0.31265	-15.92%	0.0107	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.387326	-2.30%	0.29895	-24.59%	0.0410	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.365028	-1.85%	0.3246	-12.72%	0.0336	✓	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.