FOGO

Fogo · native · lstm_s1

token id: #231
symbol: FOGO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-01-15
predictions: 816

Track record at +30d

assessed

242

of 272 predictions shown

direction hit

86.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2269

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0237

actual -0.2379

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00429	0.004215	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-21	oos	0.004269	0.004255	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-20	oos	0.004277	0.004233	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-19	oos	0.003851	0.003768	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-18	oos	0.003825	0.003753	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-17	oos	0.004002	0.003928	-1.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-16	oos	0.004275	0.004206	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-15	oos	0.004328	0.004354	+0.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-14	oos	0.004691	0.004771	+1.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.004626	0.004677	+1.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-12	oos	0.004527	0.004551	+0.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-10-11	oos	0.004822	0.004897	+1.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.00483	0.004892	+1.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-09	oos	0.004737	0.004774	+0.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-08	oos	0.004643	0.004724	+1.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-07	oos	0.005002	0.005127	+2.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-06	oos	0.005411	0.005649	+4.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-05	oos	0.005498	0.005814	+5.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.005194	0.005484	+5.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-03	oos	0.005281	0.005477	+3.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-02	oos	0.005264	0.005403	+2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-01	oos	0.005278	0.005404	+2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.005272	0.005349	+1.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-29	oos	0.005346	0.00543	+1.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-09-28	oos	0.005258	0.005318	+1.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.005724	0.005831	+1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.22
2026-09-26	oos	0.006028	0.006124	+1.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-09-25	oos	0.006524	0.006593	+1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-24	oos	0.006392	0.006454	+0.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.006317	0.006334	+0.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.007283	0.007308	+0.35%	0.00429	-41.10%	0.5070	✗	1.11
2026-09-21	oos	0.006888	0.006875	-0.19%	0.004269	-38.02%	0.4432	✓	1.10
2026-09-20	oos	0.006554	0.00638	-2.66%	0.004277	-34.74%	0.4246	✓	1.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.006693	0.006581	-1.68%	0.003851	-42.47%	0.5444	✓	1.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.00689	0.006743	-2.13%	0.003825	-44.49%	0.5830	✓	1.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.006279	0.006107	-2.73%	0.004002	-36.26%	0.4922	✓	1.09
2026-09-16	oos	0.005947	0.005787	-2.69%	0.004275	-28.12%	0.3764	✓	1.08
2026-09-15	oos	0.006045	0.005957	-1.46%	0.004328	-28.40%	0.4062	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.006344	0.006258	-1.35%	0.004691	-26.05%	0.3323	✓	1.04
2026-09-13	oos	0.006437	0.006336	-1.56%	0.004626	-28.13%	0.3971	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.00652	0.006439	-1.23%	0.004527	-30.56%	0.4116	✓	1.05
2026-09-11	oos	0.00645	0.006388	-0.95%	0.004822	-25.24%	0.3660	✓	1.05
2026-09-10	oos	0.006153	0.006063	-1.47%	0.00483	-21.50%	0.3116	✓	1.05
2026-09-09	oos	0.006489	0.006313	-2.71%	0.004737	-27.00%	0.3423	✓	1.04
2026-09-08	oos	0.007147	0.006864	-3.97%	0.004643	-35.04%	0.4362	✓	1.12
2026-09-07	oos	0.007177	0.006922	-3.55%	0.005002	-30.31%	0.3831	✓	1.13
2026-09-06	oos	0.007193	0.006983	-2.91%	0.005411	-24.77%	0.3247	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.007146	0.006962	-2.57%	0.005498	-23.05%	0.3156	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.007173	0.007039	-1.87%	0.005194	-27.59%	0.3932	✓	1.08
2026-09-03	oos	0.007119	0.007109	-0.14%	0.005281	-25.81%	0.3432	✓	1.10
2026-09-02	oos	0.007049	0.007077	+0.40%	0.005264	-25.32%	0.4048	✗	1.22
2026-09-01	oos	0.007102	0.007038	-0.91%	0.005278	-25.69%	0.4017	✓	1.24
2026-08-31	oos	0.007286	0.007453	+2.30%	0.005272	-27.64%	0.4153	✗	1.12
2026-08-30	oos	0.007177	0.007563	+5.37%	0.005346	-25.52%	0.4293	✗	1.11
2026-08-29	oos	0.007514	0.008058	+7.25%	0.005258	-30.02%	0.4935	✗	1.03
2026-08-28	oos	0.007463	0.008053	+7.92%	0.005724	-23.30%	0.4255	✗	1.03
2026-08-27	oos	0.009358	0.010159	+8.56%	0.006028	-35.58%	0.5662	✗	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.009217	0.009971	+8.19%	0.006524	-29.21%	0.4788	✗	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	0.00897	0.009684	+7.97%	0.006392	-28.74%	0.4786	✗	0.88
2026-08-24	oos	0.00919	0.009919	+7.93%	0.006317	-31.26%	0.5098	✗	0.89
2026-08-23	oos	0.009352	0.01003	+7.24%	0.007283	-22.13%	0.4129	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.009317	0.009918	+6.45%	0.006888	-26.07%	0.4694	✗	0.90
2026-08-21	oos	0.009706	0.010293	+6.05%	0.006554	-32.48%	0.4830	✗	0.89
2026-08-20	oos	0.008948	0.009128	+2.01%	0.006693	-25.21%	0.3980	✗	0.82
2026-08-19	oos	0.008426	0.00838	-0.55%	0.00689	-18.23%	0.3182	✓	0.79
2026-08-18	oos	0.008068	0.007919	-1.84%	0.006279	-22.17%	0.3661	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.008275	0.008006	-3.25%	0.005947	-28.13%	0.4117	✓	0.69
2026-08-16	oos	0.008578	0.0083	-3.24%	0.006045	-29.52%	0.4520	✓	0.73
2026-08-15	oos	0.008589	0.00821	-4.42%	0.006344	-26.15%	0.4152	✓	0.73
2026-08-14	oos	0.0085	0.008121	-4.46%	0.006437	-24.28%	0.3779	✓	0.73
2026-08-13	oos	0.008677	0.008296	-4.38%	0.00652	-24.86%	0.3871	✓	0.74
2026-08-12	oos	0.008703	0.008383	-3.67%	0.00645	-25.89%	0.4185	✓	0.79
2026-08-11	oos	0.008934	0.008679	-2.85%	0.006153	-31.13%	0.4897	✓	0.78
2026-08-10	oos	0.008901	0.008621	-3.15%	0.006489	-27.11%	0.4441	✓	0.79
2026-08-09	oos	0.00897	0.008664	-3.42%	0.007147	-20.33%	0.3442	✓	0.80
2026-08-08	oos	0.008852	0.00863	-2.51%	0.007177	-18.92%	0.3424	✓	0.80
2026-08-07	oos	0.008729	0.008482	-2.82%	0.007193	-17.60%	0.3358	✓	0.80
2026-08-06	oos	0.008348	0.008073	-3.30%	0.007146	-14.40%	0.2925	✓	0.79
2026-08-05	oos	0.008174	0.007854	-3.93%	0.007173	-12.25%	0.2591	✓	0.80
2026-08-04	oos	0.008171	0.007941	-2.82%	0.007119	-12.88%	0.2977	✓	0.79
2026-08-03	oos	0.008501	0.008306	-2.30%	0.007049	-17.08%	0.3241	✓	0.81
2026-08-02	oos	0.008375	0.008192	-2.18%	0.007102	-15.20%	0.3021	✓	0.80
2026-08-01	oos	0.008311	0.00811	-2.42%	0.007286	-12.34%	0.2918	✓	0.82
2026-07-31	oos	0.008329	0.008114	-2.58%	0.007177	-13.83%	0.2971	✓	0.82
2026-07-30	oos	0.008197	0.007956	-2.95%	0.007514	-8.34%	0.2240	✓	0.88
2026-07-29	oos	0.008067	0.007773	-3.64%	0.007463	-7.49%	0.2122	✓	0.87
2026-07-28	oos	0.008269	0.007984	-3.44%	0.009358	+13.17%	0.0401	✓	0.87
2026-07-27	oos	0.00824	0.007874	-4.44%	0.009217	+11.84%	0.0310	✓	0.87
2026-07-26	oos	0.008781	0.008443	-3.85%	0.00897	+2.14%	0.0950	✓	0.85
2026-07-25	oos	0.00862	0.008397	-2.59%	0.00919	+6.61%	0.0840	✓	0.85
2026-07-24	oos	0.008485	0.008366	-1.40%	0.009352	+10.22%	0.0568	✓	0.87
2026-07-23	oos	0.008905	0.008757	-1.67%	0.009317	+4.63%	0.0831	✓	0.86
2026-07-22	oos	0.009201	0.008983	-2.36%	0.009706	+5.50%	0.0662	✓	0.85
2026-07-21	oos	0.00921	0.008926	-3.08%	0.008948	-2.83%	0.0764	✓	0.85
2026-07-20	oos	0.008997	0.008705	-3.25%	0.008426	-6.34%	0.0799	✓	0.78
2026-07-19	oos	0.008913	0.008663	-2.80%	0.008068	-9.48%	0.0712	✓	0.78
2026-07-18	oos	0.008975	0.008778	-2.19%	0.008275	-7.80%	0.0554	✓	0.73
2026-07-17	oos	0.008969	0.008768	-2.24%	0.008578	-4.35%	0.0101	✓	0.70
2026-07-16	oos	0.009068	0.008835	-2.57%	0.008589	-5.28%	0.0199	✓	0.70
2026-07-15	oos	0.009512	0.009161	-3.69%	0.0085	-10.64%	0.0559	✓	0.70
2026-07-14	oos	0.009631	0.009361	-2.80%	0.008677	-9.91%	0.0588	✓	0.70
2026-07-13	oos	0.009423	0.00917	-2.70%	0.008703	-7.65%	0.0651	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.009672	0.009519	-1.58%	0.008934	-7.63%	0.0612	✓	0.70
2026-07-11	oos	0.009697	0.009515	-1.88%	0.008901	-8.21%	0.0683	✓	0.75
2026-07-10	oos	0.010006	0.009799	-2.06%	0.00897	-10.34%	0.0967	✓	0.75
2026-07-09	oos	0.009274	0.00908	-2.10%	0.008852	-4.55%	0.0447	✓	0.71
2026-07-08	oos	0.009354	0.009164	-2.03%	0.008729	-6.68%	0.0774	✓	0.69
2026-07-07	oos	0.009024	0.008836	-2.08%	0.008348	-7.49%	0.0674	✓	0.72
2026-07-06	oos	0.009936	0.009702	-2.36%	0.008174	-17.73%	0.1777	✓	0.68
2026-07-05	oos	0.009499	0.009219	-2.96%	0.008171	-13.98%	0.1253	✓	0.65
2026-07-04	oos	0.009528	0.009339	-1.99%	0.008501	-10.78%	0.0979	✓	0.65
2026-07-03	oos	0.00991	0.009762	-1.49%	0.008375	-15.49%	0.1645	✓	0.72
2026-07-02	oos	0.009272	0.009149	-1.33%	0.008311	-10.36%	0.1103	✓	0.70
2026-07-01	oos	0.008911	0.008757	-1.73%	0.008329	-6.53%	0.0815	✓	0.67
2026-06-30	oos	0.00913	0.008949	-1.99%	0.008197	-10.22%	0.1566	✓	0.68
2026-06-29	oos	0.009267	0.009075	-2.08%	0.008067	-12.96%	0.1594	✓	0.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.008886	0.008693	-2.17%	0.008269	-6.94%	0.0972	✓	0.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.010396	0.010122	-2.63%	0.00824	-20.73%	0.2449	✓	0.64
2026-06-26	oos	0.011387	0.011181	-1.81%	0.008781	-22.88%	0.2965	✓	0.64
2026-06-25	oos	0.013294	0.012923	-2.79%	0.00862	-35.15%	0.4547	✓	0.67
2026-06-24	oos	0.011746	0.011502	-2.08%	0.008485	-27.77%	0.3439	✓	0.80
2026-06-23	oos	0.011966	0.01168	-2.39%	0.008905	-25.58%	0.3029	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.012642	0.012249	-3.11%	0.009201	-27.22%	0.3138	✓	0.84
2026-06-21	oos	0.012428	0.011891	-4.32%	0.00921	-25.90%	0.2980	✓	0.84
2026-06-20	oos	0.012832	0.012385	-3.48%	0.008997	-29.89%	0.3316	✓	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.012462	0.012122	-2.73%	0.008913	-28.48%	0.3222	✓	0.78
2026-06-18	oos	0.012835	0.012442	-3.06%	0.008975	-30.07%	0.3502	✓	0.78
2026-06-17	oos	0.012688	0.012339	-2.75%	0.008969	-29.32%	0.3122	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.013016	0.012538	-3.67%	0.009068	-30.33%	0.3016	✓	0.78
2026-06-15	oos	0.013092	0.012754	-2.58%	0.009512	-27.34%	0.2737	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	0.012842	0.012548	-2.29%	0.009631	-25.01%	0.2556	✓	0.82
2026-06-13	oos	0.012725	0.012567	-1.24%	0.009423	-25.94%	0.2600	✓	0.82
2026-06-12	oos	0.012232	0.012147	-0.70%	0.009672	-20.93%	0.2303	✓	0.79
2026-06-11	oos	0.012412	0.012345	-0.54%	0.009697	-21.87%	0.2440	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.010985	0.010975	-0.09%	0.010006	-8.92%	0.1223	✓	0.70
2026-06-09	oos	0.011482	0.011424	-0.51%	0.009274	-19.23%	0.2252	✓	0.70
2026-06-08	oos	0.011378	0.011215	-1.44%	0.009354	-17.79%	0.1720	✓	0.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.011748	0.011565	-1.56%	0.009024	-23.19%	0.2484	✓	0.68
2026-06-06	oos	0.011652	0.011511	-1.21%	0.009936	-14.72%	0.1829	✓	0.71
2026-06-05	oos	0.011203	0.011102	-0.90%	0.009499	-15.21%	0.1850	✓	0.71
2026-06-04	oos	0.012499	0.012409	-0.72%	0.009528	-23.77%	0.2573	✓	0.61
2026-06-03	oos	0.013995	0.013802	-1.38%	0.00991	-29.19%	0.3182	✓	0.54
2026-06-02	oos	0.013404	0.01315	-1.89%	0.009272	-30.82%	0.2990	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.014529	0.014093	-3.00%	0.008911	-38.67%	0.3807	✓	0.45
2026-05-31	oos	0.01378	0.013237	-3.94%	0.00913	-33.74%	0.2522	✓	0.52
2026-05-30	oos	0.013753	0.01336	-2.86%	0.009267	-32.61%	0.2741	✓	0.45
2026-05-29	oos	0.013702	0.013422	-2.04%	0.008886	-35.15%	0.3147	✓	0.47
2026-05-28	oos	0.013771	0.013537	-1.70%	0.010396	-24.51%	0.1706	✓	0.46
2026-05-27	oos	0.014086	0.013831	-1.81%	0.011387	-19.16%	0.0846	✓	0.51
2026-05-26	oos	0.014748	0.014499	-1.69%	0.013294	-9.86%	0.0271	✗	0.48
2026-05-25	oos	0.015144	0.014922	-1.46%	0.011746	-22.43%	0.1405	✓	0.42
2026-05-24	oos	0.015189	0.015006	-1.20%	0.011966	-21.22%	0.1425	✓	0.41
2026-05-23	oos	0.0154	0.015203	-1.28%	0.012642	-17.91%	0.1292	✓	0.30
2026-05-22	oos	0.015911	0.015789	-0.76%	0.012428	-21.89%	0.1838	✓	0.31
2026-05-21	oos	0.016543	0.016397	-0.88%	0.012832	-22.43%	0.1886	✓	0.30
2026-05-20	oos	0.015889	0.015773	-0.73%	0.012462	-21.57%	0.1665	✓	0.35
2026-05-19	oos	0.021894	0.021092	-3.66%	0.012835	-41.38%	0.4180	✓	0.39
2026-05-18	oos	0.016803	0.01638	-2.51%	0.012688	-24.49%	0.1837	✓	0.40
2026-05-17	oos	0.016754	0.016265	-2.92%	0.013016	-22.31%	0.1586	✓	0.39
2026-05-16	oos	0.017336	0.016853	-2.79%	0.013092	-24.48%	0.1900	✓	0.38
2026-05-15	oos	0.018036	0.017692	-1.91%	0.012842	-28.80%	0.2499	✓	0.38
2026-05-14	oos	0.019797	0.019529	-1.36%	0.012725	-35.72%	0.3505	✓	0.34
2026-05-13	oos	0.019858	0.019482	-1.90%	0.012232	-38.40%	0.3817	✓	0.38
2026-05-12	oos	0.020427	0.020093	-1.63%	0.012412	-39.24%	0.3973	✓	0.36
2026-05-11	oos	0.021038	0.02087	-0.80%	0.010985	-47.78%	0.5395	✓	0.36
2026-05-10	oos	0.02208	0.02197	-0.50%	0.011482	-48.00%	0.5391	✓	0.38
2026-05-09	oos	0.021847	0.021589	-1.18%	0.011378	-47.92%	0.5461	✓	0.38
2026-05-08	oos	0.021547	0.021332	-1.00%	0.011748	-45.48%	0.5079	✓	0.37
2026-05-07	oos	0.019933	0.019918	-0.08%	0.011652	-41.55%	0.4215	✓	0.42
2026-05-06	oos	0.019935	0.02015	+1.08%	0.011203	-43.80%	0.4228	✗	0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.019731	0.019921	+0.96%	0.012499	-36.65%	0.3134	✗	0.64
2026-05-04	oos	0.019845	0.019893	+0.24%	0.013995	-29.48%	0.2066	✗	0.66
2026-05-03	oos	0.019117	0.018978	-0.73%	0.013404	-29.88%	0.2321	✓	0.70
2026-05-02	oos	0.018419	0.018157	-1.42%	0.014529	-21.12%	0.1541	✓	0.70
2026-05-01	oos	0.017603	0.017348	-1.45%	0.01378	-21.72%	0.1876	✓	0.69
2026-04-30	oos	0.017437	0.017033	-2.32%	0.013753	-21.13%	0.1892	✓	0.73
2026-04-29	oos	0.017567	0.017142	-2.42%	0.013702	-22.00%	0.2007	✓	0.73
2026-04-28	oos	0.018426	0.018028	-2.16%	0.013771	-25.26%	0.2397	✓	0.79
2026-04-27	oos	0.018753	0.018501	-1.35%	0.014086	-24.89%	0.2407	✓	0.80
2026-04-26	oos	0.019489	0.019388	-0.52%	0.014748	-24.33%	0.2440	✓	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.018378	0.018048	-1.79%	0.015144	-17.59%	0.1713	✓	0.80
2026-04-24	oos	0.018617	0.018277	-1.83%	0.015189	-18.41%	0.1799	✓	0.82
2026-04-23	oos	0.018527	0.018369	-0.85%	0.0154	-16.88%	0.1591	✓	0.82
2026-04-22	oos	0.018726	0.018612	-0.61%	0.015911	-15.04%	0.1275	✓	0.82
2026-04-21	oos	0.019744	0.019215	-2.68%	0.016543	-16.22%	0.1628	✓	0.84
2026-04-20	oos	0.019238	0.018736	-2.61%	0.015889	-17.41%	0.1827	✓	0.85
2026-04-19	oos	0.020035	0.019461	-2.86%	0.021894	+9.28%	0.0824	✗	0.91
2026-04-18	oos	0.019848	0.019408	-2.21%	0.016803	-15.34%	0.1587	✓	0.92
2026-04-17	oos	0.019895	0.019632	-1.32%	0.016754	-15.79%	0.1623	✓	0.92
2026-04-16	oos	0.0194	0.019	-2.06%	0.017336	-10.64%	0.1272	✓	0.92
2026-04-15	oos	0.018617	0.018298	-1.71%	0.018036	-3.12%	0.0648	✓	0.92
2026-04-14	oos	0.018823	0.018498	-1.73%	0.019797	+5.18%	0.0138	✓	0.92
2026-04-13	oos	0.01784	0.017527	-1.76%	0.019858	+11.31%	0.0669	✗	0.92
2026-04-12	oos	0.016785	0.016462	-1.93%	0.020427	+21.69%	0.0992	✗	0.90
2026-04-11	oos	0.01739	0.017045	-1.98%	0.021038	+20.98%	0.1092	✗	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.018027	0.017548	-2.66%	0.02208	+22.48%	0.1220	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.018975	0.018298	-3.57%	0.021847	+15.14%	0.0702	✗	0.92
2026-04-08	oos	0.018769	0.018167	-3.21%	0.021547	+14.80%	0.0599	✗	0.92
2026-04-07	oos	0.018412	0.017963	-2.44%	0.019933	+8.27%	0.0057	✓	0.92
2026-04-06	oos	0.01834	0.017932	-2.23%	0.019935	+8.69%	0.0517	✓	0.94
2026-04-05	oos	0.019069	0.018522	-2.87%	0.019731	+3.47%	0.0863	✓	0.94
2026-04-04	oos	0.017457	0.017035	-2.42%	0.019845	+13.68%	0.0036	✓	0.91
2026-04-03	oos	0.016753	0.016337	-2.48%	0.019117	+14.11%	0.0121	✓	0.91
2026-04-02	oos	0.016893	0.016489	-2.39%	0.018419	+9.03%	0.0367	✓	0.91
2026-04-01	oos	0.016632	0.016196	-2.62%	0.017603	+5.84%	0.0434	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.016769	0.016249	-3.10%	0.017437	+3.98%	0.0319	✓	0.91
2026-03-30	oos	0.016882	0.0164	-2.86%	0.017567	+4.06%	0.0478	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.016501	0.01608	-2.55%	0.018426	+11.67%	0.0026	✓	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.016659	0.016261	-2.39%	0.018753	+12.57%	0.0016	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.017021	0.016645	-2.21%	0.019489	+14.50%	0.0017	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.018289	0.017784	-2.76%	0.018378	+0.48%	0.0771	✓	0.90
2026-03-25	oos	0.019583	0.018942	-3.27%	0.018617	-4.93%	0.0914	✓	0.89
2026-03-24	oos	0.018451	0.01784	-3.31%	0.018527	+0.41%	0.0542	✓	0.88
2026-03-23	oos	0.019065	0.018541	-2.75%	0.018726	-1.78%	0.0770	✓	0.88
2026-03-22	oos	0.019144	0.018523	-3.24%	0.019744	+3.14%	0.0429	✓	0.90
2026-03-21	oos	0.019381	0.018777	-3.12%	0.019238	-0.74%	0.0628	✓	0.91
2026-03-20	oos	0.019715	0.019156	-2.84%	0.020035	+1.62%	0.0030	✓	0.91
2026-03-19	oos	0.020893	0.020155	-3.53%	0.019848	-5.01%	0.0888	✓	0.92
2026-03-18	oos	0.021166	0.020477	-3.26%	0.019895	-6.00%	0.1015	✓	0.92
2026-03-17	oos	0.022669	0.021976	-3.06%	0.0194	-14.42%	0.1397	✓	0.91
2026-03-16	oos	0.023768	0.023109	-2.77%	0.018617	-21.67%	0.2155	✓	0.91
2026-03-15	oos	0.023668	0.022915	-3.18%	0.018823	-20.47%	0.2135	✓	0.91
2026-03-14	oos	0.023757	0.022953	-3.38%	0.01784	-24.91%	0.2925	✓	0.92
2026-03-13	oos	0.023046	0.022325	-3.13%	0.016785	-27.17%	0.2827	✓	0.91
2026-03-12	oos	0.023444	0.022675	-3.28%	0.01739	-25.82%	0.2980	✓	0.92
2026-03-11	oos	0.023227	0.02252	-3.04%	0.018027	-22.38%	0.2581	✓	0.91
2026-03-10	oos	0.022927	0.022259	-2.91%	0.018975	-17.24%	0.1833	✓	0.91
2026-03-09	oos	0.023918	0.023131	-3.29%	0.018769	-21.53%	0.2445	✓	0.93
2026-03-08	oos	0.023185	0.022462	-3.12%	0.018412	-20.59%	0.2790	✓	0.93
2026-03-07	oos	0.023544	0.022827	-3.05%	0.01834	-22.10%	0.2407	✓	0.93
2026-03-06	oos	0.022694	0.021934	-3.35%	0.019069	-15.98%	0.1522	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.022218	0.021401	-3.68%	0.017457	-21.43%	0.1532	✓	0.97
2026-03-04	oos	0.022741	0.021957	-3.45%	0.016753	-26.33%	0.1907	✓	0.97
2026-03-03	oos	0.02346	0.022502	-4.08%	0.016893	-27.99%	0.2641	✓	1.06
2026-03-02	oos	0.024244	0.023147	-4.52%	0.016632	-31.40%	0.3194	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.025315	0.024226	-4.30%	0.016769	-33.76%	0.4096	✓	1.14
2026-02-28	oos	0.026588	0.025374	-4.57%	0.016882	-36.50%	0.4035	✓	1.13
2026-02-27	oos	0.027117	0.025864	-4.62%	0.016501	-39.15%	0.4511	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.030155	0.027982	-7.21%	0.016659	-44.76%	0.4989	✓	1.13
2026-02-25	oos	0.027762	0.026157	-5.78%	0.017021	-38.69%	0.4022	✓	1.13
2026-02-24	oos	0.028227	0.025817	-8.54%	0.018289	-35.21%	0.4317	✓	1.23
2026-02-23	oos	0.027473	0.025128	-8.54%	0.019583	-28.72%	0.3700	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.025669	0.024048	-6.32%	0.018451	-28.12%	0.3203	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.025697	0.024174	-5.93%	0.019065	-25.81%	0.2926	✓	1.31
2026-02-20	oos	0.027143	0.025137	-7.39%	0.019144	-29.47%	0.2697	✓	1.32
2026-02-19	oos	0.023558	0.022637	-3.91%	0.019381	-17.73%	0.1913	✓	1.26
2026-02-18	oos	0.025147	0.023838	-5.21%	0.019715	-21.60%	0.2665	✓	1.29
2026-02-17	oos	0.024497	0.023299	-4.89%	0.020893	-14.71%	0.1550	✓	1.29
2026-02-16	oos	0.02397	0.022905	-4.44%	0.021166	-11.70%	0.1233	✓	1.30
2026-02-15	oos	0.022138	0.021417	-3.26%	0.022669	+2.40%	0.0356	✓	1.28
2026-02-14	oos	0.022964	0.022196	-3.34%	0.023768	+3.50%	0.0220	✓	1.28
2026-02-13	oos	0.022176	0.021526	-2.93%	0.023668	+6.73%	0.0381	✗	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.021047	0.020371	-3.21%	0.023757	+12.88%	0.0806	✗	1.00
2026-02-11	oos	0.020438	0.019858	-2.84%	0.023046	+12.76%	0.0921	✗	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.020966	0.020287	-3.24%	0.023444	+11.82%	0.1199	✗	1.00
2026-02-09	oos	0.022579	0.021734	-3.74%	0.023227	+2.87%	0.0649	✗	1.00
2026-02-08	oos	0.023423	0.022285	-4.86%	0.022927	-2.12%	0.0330	✓	1.00
2026-02-07	oos	0.023904	0.023046	-3.59%	0.023918	+0.06%	0.0490	✗	1.00
2026-02-06	oos	0.026671	0.0258	-3.27%	0.023185	-13.07%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.023714	0.022767	-3.99%	0.023544	-0.72%	0.0352	✓	1.00
2026-02-04	oos	0.02696	0.02575	-4.49%	0.022694	-15.82%	0.0570	✓	1.00
2026-02-03	oos	0.0285	0.02702	-5.19%	0.022218	-22.04%	0.1305	✓	1.00
2026-02-02	oos	0.032828	0.030598	-6.79%	0.022741	-30.73%	0.2177	✓	1.00
2026-02-01	oos	0.033105	0.030798	-6.97%	0.02346	-29.13%	0.1541	✓	1.00
2026-01-31	oos	0.03362	0.031529	-6.22%	0.024244	-27.89%	0.1294	✓	1.00
2026-01-30	oos	0.037213	0.034684	-6.80%	0.025315	-31.97%	0.0689	✓	1.00
2026-01-29	oos	0.035199	0.03302	-6.19%	0.026588	-24.46%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2026-01-28	oos	0.041349	0.038068	-7.94%	0.027117	-34.42%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2026-01-27	oos	0.038897	0.035931	-7.63%	0.030155	-22.47%	0.1027	✗	1.00
2026-01-26	oos	0.036117	0.033703	-6.68%	0.027762	-23.13%	0.0669	✓	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.035127	0.032769	-6.72%	0.028227	-19.65%	0.1517	✗	1.00
2026-01-24	oos	0.038441	0.035778	-6.93%	0.027473	-28.53%	0.0568	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.