FLORK

FLORK · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s1

token id: #763
symbol: FLORK
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0xf40592daacb3e5abf358789f5688c0b4f64d7777
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-02-20
predictions: 540

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

175

of 180 predictions shown

direction hit

63.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1226

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0104

actual -0.0420

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.003933	0.003905	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	5.23
2026-10-20	oos	0.004125	0.004091	-0.84%	0.003933	-4.67%	0.0243	✓	5.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.004032	0.004002	-0.74%	0.004125	+2.32%	0.0389	✓	5.19
2026-10-18	oos	0.003454	0.003445	-0.27%	0.004032	+16.73%	0.1681	✗	5.16
2026-10-17	oos	0.00347	0.003463	-0.20%	0.003454	-0.46%	0.0420	✓	5.14
2026-10-16	oos	0.003774	0.003762	-0.32%	0.00347	-8.06%	0.0733	✓	5.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.003348	0.003344	-0.09%	0.003774	+12.74%	0.1597	✗	5.10
2026-10-14	oos	0.003046	0.003046	+0.01%	0.003348	+9.90%	0.0597	✓	5.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.003451	0.003449	-0.04%	0.003046	-11.74%	0.0290	✓	5.11
2026-10-12	oos	0.003467	0.003468	+0.02%	0.003451	-0.46%	0.0900	✗	5.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.004396	0.004384	-0.26%	0.003467	-21.12%	0.1264	✓	4.62
2026-10-10	oos	0.004267	0.004261	-0.12%	0.004396	+3.02%	0.0103	✓	4.48
2026-10-09	oos	0.004635	0.004626	-0.20%	0.004267	-7.95%	0.1007	✓	4.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.003808	0.003811	+0.07%	0.004635	+21.70%	0.1503	✓	4.37
2026-10-07	oos	0.00422	0.00422	+0.00%	0.003808	-9.74%	0.0198	✗	4.31
2026-10-06	oos	0.004727	0.004722	-0.12%	0.00422	-10.75%	0.0120	✗	4.64
2026-10-05	oos	0.005032	0.005022	-0.19%	0.004727	-6.04%	0.0483	✓	4.93
2026-10-04	oos	0.005847	0.005808	-0.67%	0.005032	-13.95%	0.1008	✓	4.85
2026-10-03	oos	0.006506	0.00645	-0.86%	0.005847	-10.13%	0.1985	✓	4.87
2026-10-02	oos	0.005842	0.005809	-0.57%	0.006506	+11.37%	0.1000	✗	4.78
2026-10-01	oos	0.006148	0.006103	-0.73%	0.005842	-4.98%	0.0244	✓	4.76
2026-09-30	oos	0.006403	0.006347	-0.86%	0.006148	-3.98%	0.1090	✓	5.02
2026-09-29	oos	0.007246	0.007158	-1.22%	0.006403	-11.64%	0.1064	✓	5.23
2026-09-28	oos	0.006295	0.006241	-0.86%	0.007246	+15.10%	0.1383	✗	5.04
2026-09-27	oos	0.006935	0.006858	-1.11%	0.006295	-9.22%	0.0251	✓	5.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.00719	0.007104	-1.20%	0.006935	-3.55%	0.0268	✓	5.06
2026-09-25	oos	0.006766	0.006692	-1.09%	0.00719	+6.27%	0.0524	✗	5.06
2026-09-24	oos	0.008768	0.008613	-1.77%	0.006766	-22.83%	0.2239	✓	5.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.007721	0.007608	-1.46%	0.008768	+13.56%	0.1414	✗	5.03
2026-09-22	oos	0.006789	0.006704	-1.26%	0.007721	+13.73%	0.2563	✗	5.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.007053	0.006958	-1.35%	0.006789	-3.75%	0.0003	✓	5.41
2026-09-20	oos	0.006691	0.006608	-1.24%	0.007053	+5.42%	0.3395	✓	6.24
2026-09-19	oos	0.007862	0.007741	-1.53%	0.006691	-14.89%	0.1401	✓	6.23
2026-09-18	oos	0.009109	0.008924	-2.03%	0.007862	-13.69%	0.1539	✓	6.13
2026-09-17	oos	0.006408	0.006319	-1.39%	0.009109	+42.15%	0.0308	✗	5.82
2026-09-16	oos	0.005785	0.005686	-1.71%	0.006408	+10.77%	0.1038	✗	5.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.004084	0.003854	-5.62%	0.005785	+41.67%	0.3647	✗	5.61
2026-09-14	oos	0.007517	0.007398	-1.58%	0.004084	-45.68%	0.4391	✓	4.60
2026-09-13	oos	0.006585	0.006415	-2.58%	0.007517	+14.15%	0.0798	✗	4.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.009079	0.008942	-1.50%	0.006585	-27.47%	0.2794	✓	4.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.00891	0.008738	-1.93%	0.009079	+1.90%	0.0352	✗	4.34
2026-09-10	oos	0.010048	0.009874	-1.73%	0.00891	-11.33%	0.1411	✓	4.38
2026-09-09	oos	0.006942	0.00647	-6.80%	0.010048	+44.74%	0.5604	✗	5.32
2026-09-08	oos	0.013098	0.012918	-1.38%	0.006942	-47.00%	0.6104	✓	5.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.016474	0.016287	-1.14%	0.013098	-20.49%	0.1776	✓	4.93
2026-09-06	oos	0.019363	0.019145	-1.13%	0.016474	-14.92%	0.0763	✓	4.73
2026-09-05	oos	0.022837	0.02256	-1.21%	0.019363	-15.21%	0.1832	✓	4.80
2026-09-04	oos	0.018725	0.018506	-1.17%	0.022837	+21.96%	0.2014	✗	4.55
2026-09-03	oos	0.02597	0.025633	-1.30%	0.018725	-27.90%	0.2300	✓	4.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.019537	0.019303	-1.20%	0.02597	+32.92%	0.1270	✗	3.40
2026-08-03	oos	0.00012	0.000118212	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	2.12
2026-08-02	oos	0.0001374	0.000135418	-1.44%	0.00012	-12.66%	0.1199	✓	1.96
2026-08-01	oos	0.0001501	0.000148043	-1.37%	0.0001374	-8.46%	0.1001	✓	2.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0002767	0.000269199	-2.71%	0.0001501	-45.75%	0.5820	✓	2.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.000324	0.000310698	-4.11%	0.0002767	-14.60%	0.0521	✓	2.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.0001227	0.000121172	-1.25%	0.000324	+164.06%	0.9641	✗	1.51
2026-07-28	oos	0.0001533	0.000151332	-1.28%	0.0001227	-19.96%	0.2109	✓	1.57
2026-07-27	oos	0.0001458	0.000143949	-1.27%	0.0001533	+5.14%	0.0593	✗	1.51
2026-07-26	oos	0.0001474	0.000145389	-1.36%	0.0001458	-1.09%	0.0471	✗	1.74
2026-07-25	oos	0.0001242	0.00012222	-1.59%	0.0001474	+18.68%	0.1606	✗	1.66
2026-07-24	oos	0.0001469	0.000144881	-1.37%	0.0001242	-15.45%	0.1592	✓	1.57
2026-07-23	oos	0.0001482	0.000145872	-1.57%	0.0001469	-0.88%	0.0305	✗	1.57
2026-07-22	oos	0.0001463	0.000143331	-2.03%	0.0001482	+1.30%	0.0569	✗	1.49
2026-07-21	oos	0.0001807	0.000177847	-1.58%	0.0001463	-19.04%	0.1856	✓	1.49
2026-07-20	oos	0.0001782	0.000175139	-1.72%	0.0001807	+1.40%	0.0024	✓	1.46
2026-07-19	oos	0.0001866	0.000183254	-1.79%	0.0001782	-4.50%	0.0399	✓	1.46
2026-07-18	oos	0.0002258	0.000222361	-1.52%	0.0001866	-17.36%	0.1727	✓	1.46
2026-07-17	oos	0.0002712	0.000267307	-1.44%	0.0002258	-16.74%	0.1905	✓	1.55
2026-07-16	oos	0.0002521	0.000247939	-1.65%	0.0002712	+7.58%	0.0867	✗	1.54
2026-07-15	oos	0.0002931	0.000288113	-1.70%	0.0002521	-13.99%	0.1115	✓	1.50
2026-07-14	oos	0.000341	0.000334745	-1.83%	0.0002931	-14.05%	0.1266	✓	1.49
2026-07-13	oos	0.0003621	0.000355198	-1.91%	0.000341	-5.83%	0.1105	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.000379	0.000370676	-2.20%	0.0003621	-4.46%	0.0156	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.0003995	0.000389857	-2.41%	0.000379	-5.13%	0.0274	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.0003957	0.000384785	-2.76%	0.0003995	+0.96%	0.0468	✗	1.67
2026-07-09	oos	0.0004508	0.000437928	-2.86%	0.0003957	-12.22%	0.1276	✓	1.75
2026-07-08	oos	0.000301	0.000282275	-6.22%	0.0004508	+49.77%	0.4467	✗	1.43
2026-07-07	oos	0.00047	0.000454684	-3.26%	0.000301	-35.96%	0.3920	✓	1.19
2026-07-06	oos	0.0004803	0.000463741	-3.45%	0.00047	-2.14%	0.0262	✓	1.20
2026-07-05	oos	0.00082	0.000798481	-2.62%	0.0004803	-41.43%	0.5174	✓	1.39
2026-07-04	oos	0.001078	0.001044	-3.20%	0.00082	-23.93%	0.2528	✓	1.50
2026-07-03	oos	0.001188	0.001141	-3.96%	0.001078	-9.26%	0.0706	✓	1.54
2026-07-02	oos	0.000855	0.000822647	-3.78%	0.001188	+38.95%	0.3468	✗	1.24
2026-07-01	oos	0.000655	0.000629953	-3.82%	0.000855	+30.53%	0.2837	✗	0.87
2026-06-30	oos	0.000741	0.000709641	-4.23%	0.000655	-11.61%	0.1044	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	2.94e-7	2.93e-7	-0.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	3.12e-7	3.11e-7	-0.26%	2.94e-7	-5.67%	0.0402	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	3.36e-7	3.35e-7	-0.29%	3.12e-7	-7.29%	0.0849	✓	1.03
2026-06-18	oos	2.98e-7	2.97e-7	-0.12%	3.36e-7	+12.90%	0.1138	✗	0.93
2026-06-17	oos	3.46e-7	3.46e-7	-0.27%	2.98e-7	-14.11%	0.1288	✓	0.84
2026-06-16	oos	3.72e-7	3.71e-7	-0.39%	3.46e-7	-6.98%	0.0535	✓	0.83
2026-06-15	oos	4.01e-7	3.99e-7	-0.50%	3.72e-7	-7.15%	0.0609	✓	0.82
2026-06-14	oos	3.38e-7	3.37e-7	-0.24%	4.01e-7	+18.80%	0.1687	✗	0.69
2026-06-13	oos	3.52e-7	3.51e-7	-0.17%	3.38e-7	-4.04%	0.0531	✓	0.70
2026-06-12	oos	3.57e-7	3.56e-7	-0.11%	3.52e-7	-1.37%	0.0221	✓	0.67
2026-06-11	oos	4.01e-7	4.00e-7	-0.14%	3.57e-7	-11.02%	0.1151	✓	0.68
2026-06-10	oos	3.75e-7	3.75e-7	+0.04%	4.01e-7	+6.88%	0.0504	✓	0.46
2026-06-09	oos	3.74e-7	3.74e-7	+0.08%	3.75e-7	+0.37%	0.0048	✓	0.46
2026-06-08	oos	3.97e-7	3.97e-7	+0.03%	3.74e-7	-5.82%	0.0500	✗	0.47
2026-06-07	oos	4.64e-7	4.64e-7	-0.02%	3.97e-7	-14.52%	0.1549	✓	0.47
2026-06-06	oos	4.55e-7	4.56e-7	+0.16%	4.64e-7	+2.04%	0.0067	✓	0.30
2026-06-05	oos	4.48e-7	4.49e-7	+0.20%	4.55e-7	+1.56%	0.0144	✓	0.29
2026-06-04	oos	4.85e-7	4.85e-7	+0.08%	4.48e-7	-7.55%	0.0678	✗	0.26
2026-06-03	oos	5.80e-7	5.79e-7	-0.02%	4.85e-7	-16.38%	0.1777	✓	0.27
2026-06-02	oos	5.62e-7	5.61e-7	-0.09%	5.80e-7	+3.17%	0.0548	✗	0.57
2026-06-01	oos	6.00e-7	5.98e-7	-0.32%	5.62e-7	-6.45%	0.0097	✓	0.80
2026-05-31	oos	6.74e-7	6.70e-7	-0.52%	6.00e-7	-10.88%	0.0902	✓	0.63
2026-05-30	oos	5.84e-7	5.81e-7	-0.44%	6.74e-7	+15.40%	0.1494	✗	0.67
2026-05-29	oos	6.58e-7	6.56e-7	-0.44%	5.84e-7	-11.33%	0.1199	✓	0.74
2026-05-28	oos	6.43e-7	6.40e-7	-0.47%	6.58e-7	+2.35%	0.0294	✗	0.74
2026-05-27	oos	6.33e-7	6.29e-7	-0.58%	6.43e-7	+1.66%	0.0317	✗	0.87
2026-05-26	oos	7.17e-7	7.13e-7	-0.58%	6.33e-7	-11.74%	0.1046	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	6.90e-7	6.85e-7	-0.78%	7.17e-7	+3.85%	0.0656	✗	1.07
2026-05-24	oos	7.49e-7	7.44e-7	-0.73%	6.90e-7	-7.82%	0.0780	✓	1.09
2026-05-23	oos	8.02e-7	7.96e-7	-0.71%	7.49e-7	-6.61%	0.0659	✓	1.10
2026-05-22	oos	7.61e-7	7.54e-7	-0.92%	8.02e-7	+5.39%	0.0492	✗	0.79
2026-05-21	oos	9.46e-7	9.40e-7	-0.68%	7.61e-7	-19.56%	0.1833	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.000001063	0.000001056	-0.63%	9.46e-7	-11.01%	0.1112	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.000001057	0.000001049	-0.72%	0.000001063	+0.57%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.000001316	0.000001308	-0.58%	0.000001057	-19.68%	0.2111	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.000001395	0.000001386	-0.62%	0.000001316	-5.66%	0.0460	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.000001587	0.000001577	-0.61%	0.000001395	-12.10%	0.1138	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.000001354	0.000001339	-1.09%	0.000001587	+17.21%	0.1819	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.000001393	0.000001373	-1.41%	0.000001354	-2.80%	0.0110	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.000001677	0.000001664	-0.75%	0.000001393	-16.94%	0.2004	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.000001585	0.000001562	-1.44%	0.000001677	+5.80%	0.0859	✗	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.000001818	0.0000018	-1.01%	0.000001585	-12.82%	0.1117	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.000002312	0.000002302	-0.42%	0.000001818	-21.37%	0.2304	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.000002772	0.000002761	-0.38%	0.000002312	-16.59%	0.1966	✓	1.00
2026-05-08	oos	0.000002647	0.000002637	-0.37%	0.000002772	+4.72%	0.0441	✗	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.000002433	0.00000242	-0.54%	0.000002647	+8.80%	0.0874	✗	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.000003582	0.00000356	-0.61%	0.000002433	-32.08%	0.3629	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.000003919	0.00000389	-0.75%	0.000003582	-8.60%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.000005398	0.000005317	-1.50%	0.000003919	-27.40%	0.3182	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.000004105	0.000004074	-0.77%	0.000005398	+31.50%	0.2652	✗	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.000003748	0.000003725	-0.61%	0.000004105	+9.53%	0.0986	✗	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.000003913	0.000003887	-0.65%	0.000003748	-4.22%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2025-10-02	oos	0.0002259	0.000224229	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2025-10-01	oos	0.0002195	0.000217789	-0.78%	0.0002259	+2.92%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2025-09-30	oos	0.0002045	0.000202801	-0.83%	0.0002195	+7.33%	0.0397	✗	1.00
2025-09-29	oos	0.0002157	0.000213849	-0.86%	0.0002045	-5.19%	0.0421	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.0007511	0.000749317	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	2.15
2025-04-07	in	0.0007467	0.000744611	-0.28%	0.0007511	+0.59%	0.0914	✗	2.23
2025-04-06	in	0.0006971	0.000696523	-0.08%	0.0007467	+7.12%	0.0480	✗	2.20
2025-04-05	in	0.0007712	0.000768219	-0.39%	0.0006971	-9.61%	0.0479	✗	2.29
2025-04-04	in	0.0007747	0.000771976	-0.35%	0.0007712	-0.45%	0.0089	✗	2.29
2025-04-03	in	0.0007187	0.000717104	-0.22%	0.0007747	+7.79%	0.0586	✗	2.27
2025-04-02	in	0.0007508	0.000749468	-0.18%	0.0007187	-4.28%	0.0607	✓	2.28
2025-04-01	in	0.0008037	0.000801302	-0.30%	0.0007508	-6.58%	0.0083	✗	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.000813	0.000811733	-0.16%	0.0008037	-1.14%	0.0836	✓	2.34
2025-03-30	in	0.000721	0.000719827	-0.16%	0.000813	+12.76%	0.1174	✗	2.32
2025-03-29	in	0.000678	0.000674914	-0.46%	0.000721	+6.34%	0.0727	✗	2.32
2025-03-28	in	0.000881	0.000879475	-0.17%	0.000678	-23.04%	0.2127	✓	2.25
2025-03-27	in	0.000913	0.00090998	-0.33%	0.000881	-3.50%	0.0435	✗	2.29
2025-03-26	in	0.0012	0.001194	-0.50%	0.000913	-23.92%	0.2762	✓	2.34
2025-03-25	in	0.001273	0.001265	-0.61%	0.0012	-5.73%	0.0395	✓	2.33
2025-03-24	in	0.001297	0.001289	-0.62%	0.001273	-1.85%	0.0099	✓	2.33
2025-03-23	in	0.001292	0.001285	-0.51%	0.001297	+0.39%	0.0295	✓	2.34
2025-03-22	in	0.001276	0.001272	-0.33%	0.001292	+1.25%	0.0464	✓	2.36
2025-03-21	in	0.001337	0.001332	-0.39%	0.001276	-4.56%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2025-03-20	in	0.001296	0.001292	-0.28%	0.001337	+3.16%	0.0354	✗	1.00
2025-03-19	in	0.001529	0.001518	-0.71%	0.001296	-15.24%	0.1267	✓	1.00
2025-03-18	in	0.001389	0.001386	-0.22%	0.001529	+10.08%	0.0490	✗	1.00
2025-03-17	in	0.00133	0.001327	-0.19%	0.001389	+4.44%	0.0611	✗	1.00
2025-03-16	in	0.00128	0.001279	-0.07%	0.00133	+3.91%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2025-03-15	in	0.001394	0.001392	-0.18%	0.00128	-8.18%	0.0621	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.001647	0.001642	-0.28%	0.001394	-15.36%	0.1684	✓	1.00
2025-03-13	in	0.001567	0.001567	+0.01%	0.001647	+5.11%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2025-03-12	in	0.001934	0.001925	-0.48%	0.001567	-18.98%	0.1742	✓	1.00
2025-03-11	in	0.001798	0.001795	-0.17%	0.001934	+7.56%	0.0657	✗	1.00
2025-03-10	in	0.00146	0.001464	+0.30%	0.001798	+23.15%	0.1511	✓	1.00
2025-03-09	in	0.001635	0.001637	+0.14%	0.00146	-10.70%	0.0875	✗	1.00
2025-03-08	in	0.001889	0.001883	-0.29%	0.001635	-13.45%	0.0755	✓	1.00
2025-03-07	in	0.002226	0.002212	-0.64%	0.001889	-15.14%	0.1513	✓	1.00
2025-03-06	in	0.002583	0.002561	-0.86%	0.002226	-13.82%	0.1043	✓	1.00
2025-03-05	in	0.002641	0.002618	-0.88%	0.002583	-2.20%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2025-03-04	in	0.002791	0.002764	-0.95%	0.002641	-5.37%	0.0834	✓	1.00
2025-03-03	in	0.00273	0.002705	-0.93%	0.002791	+2.23%	0.0189	✗	1.00
2025-03-02	in	0.00327	0.003235	-1.07%	0.00273	-16.51%	0.0799	✓	1.00
2025-03-01	in	0.002594	0.002572	-0.84%	0.00327	+26.06%	0.1485	✗	1.00