CTR

Citrea · Base · lstm_s1

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

133

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

49.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0995

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0168

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.017691	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017035	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016536	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013056	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013024	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013552	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.01274	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013373	-2.83%	0.018489	+34.34%	0.3196	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014115	-3.14%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2358	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013383	-2.78%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2559	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.01265	-1.84%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0575	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012612	-1.84%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0596	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012307	-1.69%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1285	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012487	-1.96%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0428	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012337	-2.00%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1176	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012397	-2.07%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1729	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012418	-2.28%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1232	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012604	-2.28%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0376	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012624	-2.56%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0278	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.01163	-2.14%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0846	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011998	-2.55%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0774	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.01254	-2.86%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0054	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012245	-2.82%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0239	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011683	-2.83%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0718	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011892	-2.85%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0705	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012093	-2.75%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0671	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011525	-2.58%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0284	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011921	-2.74%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0299	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012135	-2.84%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0662	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011931	-2.44%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0683	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011695	-2.33%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0470	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011058	-2.41%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0829	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.0112	-2.68%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0862	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011435	-2.89%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0144	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011183	-3.16%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0383	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011163	-3.25%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0573	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011685	-3.73%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0374	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010645	-2.39%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0411	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010205	-2.38%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0634	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009768	-1.73%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1262	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.00961	-1.65%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1683	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009139	-1.42%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2357	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010083	-1.73%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1534	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010034	-1.49%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2159	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010232	-1.37%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0722	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.00941	-0.42%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1374	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.00981	-0.55%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0367	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009833	-0.37%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0147	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010091	+0.14%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0458	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009965	-0.74%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0176	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009647	-0.23%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0417	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009552	+0.46%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0765	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009386	+0.47%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0235	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009634	+0.64%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0061	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009487	+0.59%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0194	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009337	+1.07%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0652	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009396	+0.76%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0861	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008622	+0.70%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1271	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008606	+0.60%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1049	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007951	+0.34%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1621	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008056	+0.12%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1582	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008728	+0.09%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0832	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008142	-0.62%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0411	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008357	-1.05%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0233	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008317	-1.40%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1973	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008262	-1.42%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.2017	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008638	-1.67%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3498	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008561	-1.64%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3113	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008359	-1.62%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2272	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008652	-1.74%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2280	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008138	-1.60%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0717	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008233	-1.64%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0023	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007675	-1.36%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0772	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007987	-1.39%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1340	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008208	-1.47%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.0951	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007797	-1.43%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1226	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007705	-1.47%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1496	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007589	-1.45%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1088	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007177	-1.49%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1636	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007125	-1.52%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0795	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007276	-1.54%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0820	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007214	-1.58%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1035	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007353	-1.57%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0343	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007372	-1.57%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0677	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007322	-1.58%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0366	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007152	-1.56%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0145	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007097	-1.50%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0237	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007814	-1.53%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0219	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008033	-1.56%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0623	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007542	-1.54%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0141	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007419	-1.53%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0157	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008156	-1.56%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0520	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008105	-1.58%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0607	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008215	-1.61%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1026	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008033	-1.62%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0244	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008173	-1.65%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0078	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007694	-1.42%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0078	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007931	-1.48%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0743	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008187	-1.60%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0124	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.0082	-1.62%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0227	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008024	-1.19%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0149	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008008	-1.26%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0015	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008316	-1.47%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0203	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009006	-1.68%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1386	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008309	-1.15%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0424	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008498	-1.13%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0669	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.00904	-1.53%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1110	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010189	-1.94%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.1963	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010675	-2.16%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2776	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010819	-2.27%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2608	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010438	-2.17%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1592	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010772	-2.25%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2800	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011662	-2.58%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3562	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010949	-1.98%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2779	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.01116	-2.36%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1529	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010518	-1.93%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0466	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010561	-2.03%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0168	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009945	-1.43%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0204	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010275	-1.58%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0336	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010145	-1.51%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1823	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011031	-2.60%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0806	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010945	-2.62%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.1044	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010498	-1.80%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0827	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.01099	-2.31%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0498	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010512	-1.29%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0152	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010396	-0.66%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0560	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011565	-2.16%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0606	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011274	-1.88%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0509	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011826	-2.26%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012254	-2.36%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.0982	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012216	-2.08%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0791	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012535	-2.03%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1620	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012695	-2.04%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1824	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012385	-0.92%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.0943	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014731	-2.77%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3103	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013799	-2.20%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1811	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.01419	-2.34%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1601	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014659	-2.01%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2185	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013511	-1.09%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.0947	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016421	-2.72%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2329	✓	1.00