CSPR

Casper Network · native · lstm_s1

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0898

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0229

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002226	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002223	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002159	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.00224	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002311	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002306	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002272	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002417	-1.30%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0766	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002464	-1.04%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0884	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002402	-1.36%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0934	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002458	-0.99%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0662	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002415	-1.14%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0178	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002469	-1.13%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0447	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002302	-1.74%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0010	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002408	-0.96%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0275	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002484	-0.62%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0171	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002589	-0.55%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0377	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002569	-0.45%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0175	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002553	-0.70%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0329	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002519	-0.72%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0033	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002544	-0.74%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0630	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002623	-0.95%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0739	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002694	-0.86%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0865	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002707	-0.90%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0527	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002769	-0.76%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0827	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002723	-0.74%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0594	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002687	-0.72%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0598	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002653	-0.80%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0375	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.0027	-1.11%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0147	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002751	-1.34%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0024	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002744	-1.51%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0136	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002583	-2.56%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0586	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002769	-2.83%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0269	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002625	-2.65%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0130	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002508	-2.91%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0213	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002434	-2.30%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0711	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002512	-2.59%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0469	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002801	-3.08%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0321	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002809	-3.21%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0729	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002936	-3.36%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0425	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002838	-3.25%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0628	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002872	-3.40%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1053	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002919	-3.29%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1519	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002807	-3.00%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0756	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002776	-2.75%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0431	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002744	-2.29%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0673	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002775	-2.45%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0990	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002616	-1.70%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1225	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002626	-1.17%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1399	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002627	-1.94%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1345	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002702	-2.02%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0642	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002723	-1.62%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0447	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.0026	-1.18%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0669	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002823	-1.98%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0029	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002893	-2.35%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0889	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002874	-1.48%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0819	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.00271	-1.83%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0064	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002942	-3.13%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0615	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002809	-1.61%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0132	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002476	-0.14%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0608	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002607	-1.14%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.0964	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002787	-1.58%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0615	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002572	-2.71%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1426	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002454	-3.44%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002635	-4.79%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002943	-5.57%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2331	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002549	-5.12%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2403	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002651	-5.26%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2061	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002426	-4.59%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0635	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002273	-4.05%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002148	-3.66%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0795	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002122	-3.56%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2477	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001992	-3.08%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4388	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001902	-2.66%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3770	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001879	-2.70%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4279	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001951	-2.99%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.2949	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001791	-2.60%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.2929	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001792	-2.65%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2372	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001868	-3.03%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1717	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001833	-3.10%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1072	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001835	-3.26%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0415	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.00186	-3.63%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001793	-3.59%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0824	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001766	-3.81%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0472	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.