AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 459

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

152

of 153 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0360

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0079

actual +0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37325	0.367767	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2026-10-21	oos	0.3753	0.368086	-1.92%	0.37325	-0.55%	0.0131	✓	0.38
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.336767	-1.87%	0.3753	+9.35%	0.1035	✗	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.410088	-3.02%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1840	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.312673	-2.08%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.3029	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.368218	-2.69%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1465	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.289023	-1.53%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2702	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.27986	-1.67%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0517	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.263709	-1.80%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0726	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.235256	-0.86%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1440	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.230715	-0.60%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0179	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.227035	-0.53%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0370	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.23128	-0.52%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0193	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.237426	-0.53%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0239	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.230978	-0.46%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0260	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.225232	-0.41%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0429	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.231568	-0.42%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0056	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.244009	-0.47%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0465	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.260513	-0.61%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0549	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.264375	-0.74%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0227	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.258483	-0.68%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0281	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.25689	-0.64%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0158	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.244265	-0.54%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0464	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.243966	-0.52%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0073	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241958	-0.51%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0120	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.250898	-0.63%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0229	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.244175	-0.58%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0332	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.261253	-1.02%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0644	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.253077	-0.99%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0445	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.250203	-1.11%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0213	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.254265	-1.16%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0100	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.245414	-0.98%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0505	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.235306	-1.50%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0026	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.222685	-1.34%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0710	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.231055	-1.93%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0269	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.256573	-2.48%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1457	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.155089	-0.42%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5258	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.158531	-0.51%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0255	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.163624	-0.68%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0084	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.170753	-0.93%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0545	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.165921	-0.50%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0444	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.152686	-0.40%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0874	✗	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.147976	-0.32%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0261	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.157704	-0.41%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0372	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.165191	-0.46%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0400	✓	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.159739	-0.32%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0472	✗	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.165157	-0.33%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0128	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.169817	-0.37%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0316	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.171626	-0.39%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0090	✓	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.194831	-0.67%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1024	✓	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.183107	-0.59%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0158	✗	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.189024	-0.62%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0246	✓	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.192535	-0.58%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.190047	-0.52%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0073	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.198556	-0.57%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0314	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.200773	-0.61%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0103	✓	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.20756	-0.45%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0028	✓	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.209909	-0.40%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0221	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.20845	-0.36%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0047	✗	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.201305	-0.25%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0442	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.20626	-0.38%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0380	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.202669	-0.41%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0126	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.203957	-0.46%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0143	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.190068	-0.49%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0038	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.179001	-0.50%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0119	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169274	-0.81%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0117	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.172707	-0.83%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0154	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.172574	-0.85%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0195	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.176776	-0.88%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0123	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.177032	-0.91%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0066	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.178576	-0.93%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0084	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.18302	-0.99%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0155	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.189072	-1.09%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0204	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.200323	-1.32%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0400	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.204588	-1.40%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0089	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.203505	-1.47%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0205	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.206648	-1.71%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0008	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.187805	-1.26%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.1022	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.1796	-1.13%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0631	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.165808	-1.16%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0820	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.169348	-1.37%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0195	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.179923	-1.41%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0462	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.168966	-1.51%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0645	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.158836	-1.19%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0781	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.15037	-1.07%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.1012	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.148564	-1.02%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0080	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.15169	-1.05%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0114	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.152915	-1.06%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0003	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.161046	-0.83%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0119	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.162122	-0.96%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0171	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.1528	-1.00%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0651	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.152307	-0.87%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0307	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.157101	-0.63%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0039	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.159041	-0.57%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0016	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.154834	-0.68%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0097	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.152814	-0.71%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0106	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.153754	-0.64%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0030	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.157007	-0.63%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0309	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.158592	-0.60%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0060	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.163246	-0.55%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0057	✓	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.16097	-0.51%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0245	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.156559	-0.53%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0189	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.161982	-0.50%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0004	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.166495	-0.51%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0218	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.168715	-0.52%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0014	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.167223	-0.49%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0041	✓	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166128	-0.46%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0068	✓	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.170292	-0.47%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0011	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.178435	-0.51%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0290	✓	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.179383	-0.51%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0082	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.182981	-0.53%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0245	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.176377	-0.49%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0310	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.170248	-0.41%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0202	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.174134	-0.35%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0506	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.161242	-0.13%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0514	✗	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.165744	-0.21%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0071	✗	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.166678	-0.16%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0176	✓	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.168543	-0.18%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0000	✓	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.172748	-0.20%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0214	✓	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.170617	-0.14%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0083	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.1742	-0.23%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0067	✗	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.181213	-0.35%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0043	✓	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.186705	-0.45%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0012	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.190176	-0.48%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0280	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.197054	-0.65%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0114	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.188987	-0.72%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0342	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.192163	-1.00%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0212	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.201536	-1.06%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0075	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.197869	-0.97%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0517	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.195284	-0.92%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0355	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.191762	-0.85%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0166	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.188829	-0.83%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0009	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.189128	-0.98%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0072	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.191881	-1.07%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.174313	-0.62%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0729	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.174709	-0.59%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0078	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.182063	-0.84%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.181904	-0.87%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0131	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.176521	-0.38%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.176373	-0.30%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0077	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.190572	-0.64%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0300	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.208309	-0.71%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0789	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.204691	-0.78%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0647	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.220267	-0.74%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.22079	-0.68%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.217428	-0.65%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0248	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.21667	-0.72%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.213491	-0.70%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0240	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.220797	-0.72%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0157	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.22597	-0.63%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0042	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.231713	-0.68%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.229623	-0.77%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0123	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.240337	-0.85%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0421	✓	1.00