AVA

AVA (Travala) · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #60
symbol: AVA
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xa6c0c097741d55ecd9a3a7def3a8253fd022ceb9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-14
predictions: 459

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

152

of 153 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0363

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual +0.0023

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.37325	0.368505	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2026-10-21	oos	0.3753	0.370002	-1.41%	0.37325	-0.55%	0.0079	✓	0.38
2026-10-20	oos	0.3432	0.338243	-1.44%	0.3753	+9.35%	0.0991	✗	0.37
2026-10-19	oos	0.42285	0.413275	-2.26%	0.3432	-18.84%	0.1918	✓	0.45
2026-10-18	oos	0.3193	0.313853	-1.71%	0.42285	+32.43%	0.2991	✗	0.49
2026-10-17	oos	0.3784	0.369929	-2.24%	0.3193	-15.62%	0.1511	✓	0.51
2026-10-16	oos	0.2935	0.289383	-1.40%	0.3784	+28.93%	0.2690	✗	0.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.2846	0.28027	-1.52%	0.2935	+3.13%	0.0502	✗	0.54
2026-10-14	oos	0.26855	0.26438	-1.55%	0.2846	+5.98%	0.0700	✗	0.54
2026-10-13	oos	0.2373	0.235322	-0.83%	0.26855	+13.17%	0.1438	✗	0.63
2026-10-12	oos	0.2321	0.230532	-0.68%	0.2373	+2.24%	0.0187	✗	0.62
2026-10-11	oos	0.22825	0.226734	-0.66%	0.2321	+1.69%	0.0384	✗	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.2325	0.230978	-0.65%	0.22825	-1.83%	0.0180	✓	0.66
2026-10-09	oos	0.2387	0.237115	-0.66%	0.2325	-2.60%	0.0226	✓	0.66
2026-10-08	oos	0.23205	0.230631	-0.61%	0.2387	+2.87%	0.0275	✗	0.66
2026-10-07	oos	0.22615	0.224827	-0.59%	0.23205	+2.61%	0.0447	✗	0.68
2026-10-06	oos	0.23255	0.231104	-0.62%	0.22615	-2.75%	0.0036	✓	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.24515	0.243532	-0.66%	0.23255	-5.14%	0.0445	✓	0.67
2026-10-04	oos	0.2621	0.260114	-0.76%	0.24515	-6.47%	0.0534	✓	0.67
2026-10-03	oos	0.26635	0.26409	-0.85%	0.2621	-1.60%	0.0216	✓	0.68
2026-10-02	oos	0.26025	0.258169	-0.80%	0.26635	+2.34%	0.0293	✗	0.68
2026-10-01	oos	0.25855	0.256508	-0.79%	0.26025	+0.66%	0.0173	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.2456	0.24383	-0.72%	0.25855	+5.27%	0.0482	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.24525	0.243443	-0.74%	0.2456	+0.14%	0.0095	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.2432	0.241355	-0.76%	0.24525	+0.84%	0.0145	✗	0.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.2525	0.250352	-0.85%	0.2432	-3.68%	0.0208	✓	0.69
2026-09-26	oos	0.2456	0.243658	-0.79%	0.2525	+2.81%	0.0353	✗	0.69
2026-09-25	oos	0.26395	0.261431	-0.95%	0.2456	-6.95%	0.0651	✓	0.69
2026-09-24	oos	0.2556	0.253317	-0.89%	0.26395	+3.27%	0.0435	✗	0.70
2026-09-23	oos	0.253	0.250704	-0.91%	0.2556	+1.03%	0.0193	✗	0.70
2026-09-22	oos	0.25725	0.255029	-0.86%	0.253	-1.65%	0.0070	✓	0.70
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.24596	-0.76%	0.25725	+3.79%	0.0482	✗	0.73
2026-09-20	oos	0.2389	0.236217	-1.12%	0.24785	+3.75%	0.0013	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.2257	0.223351	-1.04%	0.2389	+5.85%	0.0680	✗	0.76
2026-09-18	oos	0.2356	0.232174	-1.45%	0.2257	-4.20%	0.0317	✓	0.78
2026-09-17	oos	0.2631	0.256653	-2.45%	0.2356	-10.45%	0.1460	✓	1.05
2026-09-16	oos	0.15575	0.154834	-0.59%	0.2631	+68.92%	0.5274	✗	1.03
2026-09-15	oos	0.15935	0.158352	-0.63%	0.15575	-2.26%	0.0244	✓	1.05
2026-09-14	oos	0.16475	0.163563	-0.72%	0.15935	-3.28%	0.0087	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.17235	0.170924	-0.83%	0.16475	-4.41%	0.0555	✓	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.16675	0.165827	-0.55%	0.17235	+3.36%	0.0450	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.1533	0.152591	-0.46%	0.16675	+8.77%	0.0880	✗	1.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.14845	0.147849	-0.40%	0.1533	+3.27%	0.0270	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.15835	0.157691	-0.42%	0.14845	-6.25%	0.0371	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.16595	0.165263	-0.41%	0.15835	-4.58%	0.0404	✓	1.09
2026-09-07	oos	0.16025	0.15973	-0.32%	0.16595	+3.56%	0.0472	✗	1.11
2026-09-06	oos	0.1657	0.165194	-0.31%	0.16025	-3.29%	0.0130	✓	1.11
2026-09-05	oos	0.17045	0.169972	-0.28%	0.1657	-2.79%	0.0325	✓	1.11
2026-09-04	oos	0.1723	0.171874	-0.25%	0.17045	-1.07%	0.0105	✓	1.11
2026-09-03	oos	0.19615	0.195609	-0.28%	0.1723	-12.16%	0.1064	✓	1.04
2026-09-02	oos	0.1842	0.183486	-0.39%	0.19615	+6.49%	0.0138	✗	1.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.1902	0.189375	-0.43%	0.1842	-3.15%	0.0264	✓	1.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.19365	0.192929	-0.37%	0.1902	-1.78%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.19105	0.190244	-0.42%	0.19365	+1.36%	0.0062	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.1997	0.198751	-0.48%	0.19105	-4.33%	0.0324	✓	0.97
2026-08-28	oos	0.202	0.200957	-0.52%	0.1997	-1.14%	0.0112	✓	0.97
2026-08-27	oos	0.2085	0.207601	-0.43%	0.202	-3.12%	0.0026	✓	0.97
2026-08-26	oos	0.21075	0.209664	-0.52%	0.2085	-1.07%	0.0209	✓	0.98
2026-08-25	oos	0.2092	0.208295	-0.43%	0.21075	+0.74%	0.0055	✗	0.99
2026-08-24	oos	0.2018	0.20096	-0.42%	0.2092	+3.67%	0.0459	✗	0.99
2026-08-23	oos	0.20705	0.206088	-0.46%	0.2018	-2.54%	0.0372	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.2035	0.202481	-0.50%	0.20705	+1.74%	0.0135	✗	1.01
2026-08-21	oos	0.2049	0.203793	-0.54%	0.2035	-0.68%	0.0151	✗	1.01
2026-08-20	oos	0.191	0.189478	-0.80%	0.2049	+7.28%	0.0069	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.1799	0.178459	-0.80%	0.191	+6.17%	0.0149	✗	1.02
2026-08-18	oos	0.17065	0.169267	-0.81%	0.1799	+5.42%	0.0116	✓	1.05
2026-08-17	oos	0.17415	0.172607	-0.89%	0.17065	-2.01%	0.0148	✓	1.08
2026-08-16	oos	0.17405	0.172441	-0.92%	0.17415	+0.06%	0.0187	✓	1.11
2026-08-15	oos	0.17835	0.176584	-0.99%	0.17405	-2.41%	0.0112	✓	1.11
2026-08-14	oos	0.17865	0.176847	-1.01%	0.17835	-0.17%	0.0077	✓	1.12
2026-08-13	oos	0.18025	0.178378	-1.04%	0.17865	-0.89%	0.0095	✓	1.12
2026-08-12	oos	0.18485	0.182842	-1.09%	0.18025	-2.49%	0.0145	✓	1.15
2026-08-11	oos	0.19115	0.188948	-1.15%	0.18485	-3.30%	0.0197	✓	1.15
2026-08-10	oos	0.203	0.200392	-1.28%	0.19115	-5.84%	0.0404	✓	1.15
2026-08-09	oos	0.2075	0.204618	-1.39%	0.203	-2.17%	0.0087	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.20655	0.203484	-1.48%	0.2075	+0.46%	0.0206	✗	1.14
2026-08-07	oos	0.21025	0.206728	-1.68%	0.20655	-1.76%	0.0012	✓	1.15
2026-08-06	oos	0.1902	0.187425	-1.46%	0.21025	+10.54%	0.1042	✗	1.11
2026-08-05	oos	0.18165	0.179153	-1.37%	0.1902	+4.71%	0.0656	✗	1.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.16775	0.165729	-1.20%	0.18165	+8.29%	0.0824	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.1717	0.169345	-1.37%	0.16775	-2.30%	0.0195	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.1825	0.179679	-1.55%	0.1717	-5.92%	0.0449	✓	1.10
2026-08-01	oos	0.17155	0.169048	-1.46%	0.1825	+6.38%	0.0641	✗	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	0.16075	0.159079	-1.04%	0.17155	+6.72%	0.0765	✗	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	0.152	0.150688	-0.86%	0.16075	+5.76%	0.0991	✗	1.16
2026-07-29	oos	0.1501	0.148891	-0.81%	0.152	+1.27%	0.0058	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.1533	0.152052	-0.81%	0.1501	-2.09%	0.0138	✓	1.16
2026-07-27	oos	0.15455	0.153313	-0.80%	0.1533	-0.81%	0.0029	✓	1.16
2026-07-26	oos	0.1624	0.16099	-0.87%	0.15455	-4.83%	0.0115	✓	1.15
2026-07-25	oos	0.1637	0.162287	-0.86%	0.1624	-0.79%	0.0181	✓	1.16
2026-07-24	oos	0.15435	0.153202	-0.74%	0.1637	+6.06%	0.0625	✗	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.15365	0.152536	-0.72%	0.15435	+0.46%	0.0292	✗	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1581	0.156941	-0.73%	0.15365	-2.81%	0.0029	✓	1.16
2026-07-21	oos	0.15995	0.158781	-0.73%	0.1581	-1.16%	0.0032	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1559	0.154814	-0.70%	0.15995	+2.60%	0.0098	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1539	0.152842	-0.69%	0.1559	+1.30%	0.0104	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.15475	0.153686	-0.69%	0.1539	-0.55%	0.0034	✓	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.158	0.156893	-0.70%	0.15475	-2.06%	0.0302	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.15955	0.158426	-0.70%	0.158	-0.97%	0.0050	✓	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.16415	0.162985	-0.71%	0.15955	-2.80%	0.0041	✓	1.17
2026-07-14	oos	0.1618	0.160727	-0.66%	0.16415	+1.45%	0.0260	✗	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.1574	0.156402	-0.63%	0.1618	+2.80%	0.0179	✓	1.21
2026-07-12	oos	0.1628	0.16174	-0.65%	0.1574	-3.32%	0.0011	✓	1.21
2026-07-11	oos	0.16735	0.166239	-0.66%	0.1628	-2.72%	0.0203	✓	1.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.1696	0.168449	-0.68%	0.16735	-1.33%	0.0002	✓	1.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.16805	0.166973	-0.64%	0.1696	+0.92%	0.0026	✓	1.22
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.165879	-0.61%	0.16805	+0.69%	0.0053	✓	1.23
2026-07-07	oos	0.1711	0.170015	-0.63%	0.1669	-2.45%	0.0027	✓	1.23
2026-07-06	oos	0.17935	0.178097	-0.70%	0.1711	-4.60%	0.0271	✓	1.22
2026-07-05	oos	0.1803	0.179002	-0.72%	0.17935	-0.53%	0.0061	✓	1.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.18395	0.182519	-0.78%	0.1803	-1.98%	0.0220	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.17725	0.175869	-0.78%	0.18395	+3.78%	0.0339	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.17095	0.169671	-0.75%	0.17725	+3.69%	0.0236	✗	1.20
2026-07-01	oos	0.17475	0.173463	-0.74%	0.17095	-2.17%	0.0468	✓	1.28
2026-06-30	oos	0.16145	0.160392	-0.66%	0.17475	+8.24%	0.0567	✗	1.20
2026-06-29	oos	0.1661	0.164975	-0.68%	0.16145	-2.80%	0.0117	✗	1.21
2026-06-28	oos	0.16695	0.165863	-0.65%	0.1661	-0.51%	0.0127	✓	1.22
2026-06-27	oos	0.16885	0.167742	-0.66%	0.16695	-1.13%	0.0047	✓	1.22
2026-06-26	oos	0.1731	0.171964	-0.66%	0.16885	-2.46%	0.0169	✓	1.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.17085	0.169775	-0.63%	0.1731	+1.32%	0.0133	✗	1.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1746	0.173424	-0.67%	0.17085	-2.15%	0.0111	✗	1.23
2026-06-23	oos	0.18185	0.180474	-0.76%	0.1746	-3.99%	0.0002	✓	1.22
2026-06-22	oos	0.18755	0.185988	-0.83%	0.18185	-3.04%	0.0027	✓	1.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.1911	0.189498	-0.84%	0.18755	-1.86%	0.0244	✓	1.25
2026-06-20	oos	0.19835	0.196485	-0.94%	0.1911	-3.66%	0.0085	✓	1.24
2026-06-19	oos	0.19035	0.188419	-1.01%	0.19835	+4.20%	0.0372	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1941	0.191775	-1.20%	0.19035	-1.93%	0.0192	✓	1.25
2026-06-17	oos	0.2037	0.201242	-1.21%	0.1941	-4.71%	0.0060	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.1998	0.197493	-1.15%	0.2037	+1.95%	0.0536	✗	1.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.1971	0.194878	-1.13%	0.1998	+1.37%	0.0376	✗	1.26
2026-06-14	oos	0.1934	0.191303	-1.08%	0.1971	+1.91%	0.0190	✗	1.25
2026-06-13	oos	0.1904	0.188332	-1.09%	0.1934	+1.58%	0.0017	✓	1.27
2026-06-12	oos	0.191	0.1887	-1.20%	0.1904	-0.31%	0.0050	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.19395	0.191502	-1.26%	0.191	-1.52%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.1754	0.173372	-1.16%	0.19395	+10.58%	0.0783	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.17575	0.173739	-1.14%	0.1754	-0.20%	0.0134	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.1836	0.181344	-1.23%	0.17575	-4.28%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.1835	0.18114	-1.29%	0.1836	+0.05%	0.0173	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.1772	0.17517	-1.15%	0.1835	+3.56%	0.0070	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.1769	0.174935	-1.11%	0.1772	+0.17%	0.0158	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.1918	0.189684	-1.10%	0.1769	-7.77%	0.0253	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.2098	0.207615	-1.04%	0.1918	-8.58%	0.0756	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.2063	0.204075	-1.08%	0.2098	+1.70%	0.0677	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.2219	0.219712	-0.99%	0.2063	-7.03%	0.0045	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.2223	0.220164	-0.96%	0.2219	-0.18%	0.0391	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.21885	0.216777	-0.95%	0.2223	+1.58%	0.0278	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.21825	0.216105	-0.98%	0.21885	+0.27%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.215	0.21292	-0.97%	0.21825	+1.51%	0.0267	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.2224	0.220237	-0.97%	0.215	-3.33%	0.0132	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.2274	0.225353	-0.90%	0.2224	-2.20%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.2333	0.231184	-0.91%	0.2274	-2.53%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.2314	0.229197	-0.95%	0.2333	+0.82%	0.0142	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.2424	0.239992	-0.99%	0.2314	-4.54%	0.0407	✓	1.00