ASSET

REAL · Ethereum · lstm_s1

token id: #914
symbol: ASSET
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x99e980265bf36516c442be982df1772a6ccb3233
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

165

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

55.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0358

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0069

actual +0.0055

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.18042	0.179938	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.18043	0.179968	-0.26%	0.18042	-0.01%	0.0025	✓	0.01
2026-10-19	oos	0.18359	0.183146	-0.24%	0.18043	-1.72%	0.0151	✓	0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.184295	0.183875	-0.23%	0.18359	-0.38%	0.0015	✓	0.01
2026-10-17	oos	0.182895	0.182475	-0.23%	0.184295	+0.77%	0.0098	✗	0.02
2026-10-16	oos	0.178165	0.177793	-0.21%	0.182895	+2.65%	0.0283	✗	0.02
2026-10-15	oos	0.18215	0.181731	-0.23%	0.178165	-2.19%	0.0197	✓	0.02
2026-10-14	oos	0.18487	0.184404	-0.25%	0.18215	-1.47%	0.0124	✓	0.02
2026-10-13	oos	0.182	0.181562	-0.24%	0.18487	+1.58%	0.0177	✗	-0.02
2026-10-12	oos	0.1805	0.180047	-0.25%	0.182	+0.83%	0.0110	✗	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.18504	0.184533	-0.27%	0.1805	-2.45%	0.0224	✓	-0.01
2026-10-10	oos	0.18501	0.18456	-0.24%	0.18504	+0.02%	0.0026	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.182435	0.181989	-0.24%	0.18501	+1.41%	0.0165	✗	-0.00
2026-10-08	oos	0.1874	0.186944	-0.24%	0.182435	-2.65%	0.0244	✓	-0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.185	0.184569	-0.23%	0.1874	+1.30%	0.0155	✗	0.02
2026-10-06	oos	0.19033	0.189934	-0.21%	0.185	-2.80%	0.0266	✓	-0.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.178	0.177628	-0.21%	0.19033	+6.93%	0.0691	✗	0.02
2026-10-04	oos	0.1936	0.193138	-0.24%	0.178	-8.06%	0.0817	✓	-0.01
2026-10-03	oos	0.194695	0.194059	-0.33%	0.1936	-0.56%	0.0022	✓	-0.01
2026-10-02	oos	0.202175	0.201838	-0.17%	0.194695	-3.70%	0.0360	✓	-0.01
2026-10-01	oos	0.197955	0.197654	-0.15%	0.202175	+2.13%	0.0226	✗	-0.00
2026-09-30	oos	0.2008	0.20046	-0.17%	0.197955	-1.42%	0.0126	✓	0.00
2026-09-29	oos	0.19782	0.197472	-0.18%	0.2008	+1.51%	0.0168	✗	0.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.195415	0.195021	-0.20%	0.19782	+1.23%	0.0142	✗	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.2026	0.202081	-0.26%	0.195415	-3.55%	0.0346	✓	-0.09
2026-09-26	oos	0.22275	0.222495	-0.11%	0.2026	-9.05%	0.0936	✓	-0.10
2026-09-25	oos	0.22897	0.22878	-0.08%	0.22275	-2.72%	0.0263	✓	-0.10
2026-09-24	oos	0.23369	0.233551	-0.06%	0.22897	-2.02%	0.0202	✓	-0.10
2026-09-23	oos	0.24311	0.242948	-0.07%	0.23369	-3.87%	0.0388	✓	-0.10
2026-09-22	oos	0.238275	0.238122	-0.06%	0.24311	+2.03%	0.0192	✗	-0.07
2026-09-21	oos	0.24785	0.247501	-0.14%	0.238275	-3.86%	0.0387	✓	-0.15
2026-09-20	oos	0.24671	0.245967	-0.30%	0.24785	+0.46%	0.0170	✗	-0.14
2026-09-19	oos	0.23124	0.230656	-0.25%	0.24671	+6.69%	0.0672	✗	-0.14
2026-09-18	oos	0.23163	0.231033	-0.26%	0.23124	-0.17%	0.0015	✓	-0.14
2026-09-17	oos	0.23271	0.231633	-0.46%	0.23163	-0.46%	0.0084	✗	-0.15
2026-09-16	oos	0.2335	0.232307	-0.51%	0.23271	-0.34%	0.0021	✓	-0.15
2026-09-15	oos	0.24225	0.241269	-0.40%	0.2335	-3.61%	0.0320	✓	-0.09
2026-09-14	oos	0.24074	0.240018	-0.30%	0.24225	+0.63%	0.0066	✗	-0.08
2026-09-13	oos	0.240105	0.239115	-0.41%	0.24074	+0.26%	0.0081	✗	-0.08
2026-09-12	oos	0.2405	0.239453	-0.44%	0.240105	-0.16%	0.0023	✓	-0.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.24871	0.247632	-0.43%	0.2405	-3.30%	0.0292	✓	-0.07
2026-09-10	oos	0.25068	0.249705	-0.39%	0.24871	-0.79%	0.0033	✓	-0.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.24441	0.243712	-0.29%	0.25068	+2.57%	0.0268	✗	-0.06
2026-09-08	oos	0.245365	0.244728	-0.26%	0.24441	-0.39%	0.0013	✓	-0.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.24287	0.242345	-0.22%	0.245365	+1.03%	0.0124	✗	-0.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.245	0.24449	-0.21%	0.24287	-0.87%	0.0079	✓	-0.08
2026-09-05	oos	0.245875	0.245319	-0.23%	0.245	-0.36%	0.0007	✓	-0.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.252975	0.25231	-0.26%	0.245875	-2.81%	0.0257	✓	-0.07
2026-09-03	oos	0.26135	0.260683	-0.26%	0.252975	-3.20%	0.0319	✓	-0.09
2026-09-02	oos	0.25512	0.254338	-0.31%	0.26135	+2.44%	0.0296	✗	-0.05
2026-09-01	oos	0.26499	0.263974	-0.38%	0.25512	-3.72%	0.0342	✓	-0.08
2026-08-31	oos	0.252875	0.252005	-0.34%	0.26499	+4.79%	0.0483	✗	-0.13
2026-08-30	oos	0.259595	0.258555	-0.40%	0.252875	-2.59%	0.0192	✓	-0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.24012	0.239493	-0.26%	0.259595	+8.11%	0.0790	✗	-0.22
2026-08-28	oos	0.233425	0.232894	-0.23%	0.24012	+2.87%	0.0317	✗	-0.22
2026-08-27	oos	0.24205	0.241469	-0.24%	0.233425	-3.56%	0.0418	✓	-0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.2484	0.247718	-0.27%	0.24205	-2.56%	0.0193	✓	-0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.24627	0.245554	-0.29%	0.2484	+0.86%	0.0131	✗	-0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.25147	0.250728	-0.30%	0.24627	-2.07%	0.0196	✓	-0.29
2026-08-23	oos	0.25364	0.252903	-0.29%	0.25147	-0.86%	0.0015	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.258565	0.257771	-0.31%	0.25364	-1.90%	0.0139	✓	-0.25
2026-08-21	oos	0.253835	0.253037	-0.31%	0.258565	+1.86%	0.0174	✗	-0.26
2026-08-20	oos	0.2488	0.247958	-0.34%	0.253835	+2.02%	0.0460	✗	-0.32
2026-08-19	oos	0.251865	0.250908	-0.38%	0.2488	-1.22%	0.0089	✗	-0.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.257515	0.256298	-0.47%	0.251865	-2.19%	0.0047	✓	-0.32
2026-08-17	oos	0.263055	0.261854	-0.46%	0.257515	-2.11%	0.0156	✓	-0.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.261825	0.260713	-0.42%	0.263055	+0.47%	0.0181	✗	-0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.26281	0.261808	-0.38%	0.261825	-0.37%	0.0010	✓	-0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.26914	0.268157	-0.37%	0.26281	-2.35%	0.0199	✓	-0.34
2026-08-13	oos	0.26543	0.26461	-0.31%	0.26914	+1.40%	0.0140	✗	-0.42
2026-08-12	oos	0.257655	0.257042	-0.24%	0.26543	+3.02%	0.0322	✗	-0.62
2026-08-11	oos	0.26611	0.265428	-0.26%	0.257655	-3.18%	0.0307	✓	-0.53
2026-08-10	oos	0.258425	0.257915	-0.20%	0.26611	+2.97%	0.0287	✗	-0.43
2026-08-09	oos	0.258105	0.257715	-0.15%	0.258425	+0.12%	0.0049	✓	-0.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.262765	0.262394	-0.14%	0.258105	-1.77%	0.0170	✓	-0.55
2026-08-07	oos	0.2584	0.258094	-0.12%	0.262765	+1.69%	0.0181	✗	-0.60
2026-08-06	oos	0.2601	0.259793	-0.12%	0.2584	-0.65%	0.0002	✓	-0.58
2026-08-05	oos	0.26411	0.263767	-0.13%	0.2601	-1.52%	0.0170	✓	-0.57
2026-08-04	oos	0.25658	0.256266	-0.12%	0.26411	+2.93%	0.0347	✗	-0.53
2026-08-03	oos	0.267695	0.267279	-0.16%	0.25658	-4.15%	0.0365	✓	-0.48
2026-08-02	oos	0.266015	0.265558	-0.17%	0.267695	+0.63%	0.0077	✗	-0.51
2026-08-01	oos	0.258765	0.258306	-0.18%	0.266015	+2.80%	0.0346	✗	-0.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.26543	0.264883	-0.21%	0.258765	-2.51%	0.0238	✓	-0.45
2026-07-30	oos	0.26337	0.26272	-0.25%	0.26543	+0.78%	0.0036	✓	-0.47
2026-07-29	oos	0.27105	0.269812	-0.46%	0.26337	-2.83%	0.0215	✓	-0.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.27033	0.268845	-0.55%	0.27105	+0.27%	0.0083	✗	-0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.27	0.268301	-0.63%	0.27033	+0.12%	0.0080	✗	-0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.27424	0.272286	-0.71%	0.27	-1.55%	0.0143	✓	-0.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.285335	0.283362	-0.69%	0.27424	-3.89%	0.0295	✓	-0.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.27427	0.272322	-0.71%	0.285335	+4.03%	0.0474	✗	-0.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.28433	0.282249	-0.73%	0.27427	-3.54%	0.0321	✓	-0.23
2026-07-22	oos	0.27796	0.276031	-0.69%	0.28433	+2.29%	0.0260	✗	-0.23
2026-07-21	oos	0.28398	0.281861	-0.75%	0.27796	-2.12%	0.0155	✓	-0.23
2026-07-20	oos	0.28799	0.285918	-0.72%	0.28398	-1.39%	0.0026	✓	-0.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.27379	0.272091	-0.62%	0.28799	+5.19%	0.0586	✗	-0.23
2026-07-18	oos	0.281705	0.279958	-0.62%	0.27379	-2.81%	0.0227	✓	-0.23
2026-07-17	oos	0.28486	0.282927	-0.68%	0.281705	-1.11%	0.0014	✓	-0.21
2026-07-16	oos	0.27849	0.276612	-0.67%	0.28486	+2.29%	0.0298	✗	-0.21
2026-07-15	oos	0.252995	0.251412	-0.63%	0.27849	+10.08%	0.0997	✗	-0.18
2026-07-14	oos	0.26841	0.266616	-0.67%	0.252995	-5.74%	0.0532	✓	-0.18
2026-07-13	oos	0.26562	0.26359	-0.76%	0.26841	+1.05%	0.0260	✗	-0.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.26993	0.267728	-0.82%	0.26562	-1.60%	0.0129	✓	-0.22
2026-07-11	oos	0.27867	0.276348	-0.83%	0.26993	-3.14%	0.0236	✓	-0.21
2026-07-10	oos	0.27803	0.276193	-0.66%	0.27867	+0.23%	0.0077	✗	-0.21
2026-07-09	oos	0.27415	0.272519	-0.59%	0.27803	+1.42%	0.0232	✗	-0.21
2026-07-08	oos	0.28	0.278465	-0.55%	0.27415	-2.09%	0.0129	✓	-0.18
2026-07-07	oos	0.29089	0.289334	-0.54%	0.28	-3.74%	0.0366	✓	-0.22
2026-07-06	oos	0.28952	0.287955	-0.54%	0.29089	+0.47%	0.0077	✗	-0.23
2026-07-05	oos	0.29238	0.290665	-0.59%	0.28952	-0.98%	0.0025	✓	-0.22
2026-07-04	oos	0.29104	0.289259	-0.61%	0.29238	+0.46%	0.0124	✗	-0.21
2026-07-03	oos	0.29352	0.291536	-0.68%	0.29104	-0.84%	0.0000	✓	-0.19
2026-07-02	oos	0.292	0.28987	-0.73%	0.29352	+0.52%	0.0155	✗	-0.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.27333	0.271492	-0.67%	0.292	+6.83%	0.0789	✗	-0.24
2026-06-30	oos	0.280855	0.278645	-0.79%	0.27333	-2.68%	0.0148	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.24758	0.246022	-0.63%	0.280855	+13.44%	0.1303	✗	-0.08
2026-06-28	oos	0.25	0.248415	-0.63%	0.24758	-0.97%	0.0028	✓	-0.05
2026-06-27	oos	0.250875	0.249271	-0.64%	0.25	-0.35%	0.0025	✓	-0.06
2026-06-26	oos	0.25667	0.254875	-0.70%	0.250875	-2.26%	0.0159	✓	-0.05
2026-06-25	oos	0.258	0.256041	-0.76%	0.25667	-0.52%	0.0026	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.26441	0.262066	-0.89%	0.258	-2.42%	0.0173	✓	-0.08
2026-06-23	oos	0.243305	0.241618	-0.69%	0.26441	+8.67%	0.0897	✗	-0.02
2026-06-22	oos	0.25176	0.249676	-0.83%	0.243305	-3.36%	0.0272	✓	-0.07
2026-06-21	oos	0.25175	0.249842	-0.76%	0.25176	+0.00%	0.0082	✗	-0.05
2026-06-20	oos	0.24887	0.246938	-0.78%	0.25175	+1.16%	0.0184	✗	-0.06
2026-06-19	oos	0.245725	0.243779	-0.79%	0.24887	+1.28%	0.0212	✗	-0.05
2026-06-18	oos	0.25078	0.24852	-0.90%	0.245725	-2.02%	0.0112	✓	-0.01
2026-06-17	oos	0.265975	0.263008	-1.12%	0.25078	-5.71%	0.0504	✓	-0.11
2026-06-16	oos	0.27077	0.267389	-1.25%	0.265975	-1.77%	0.0080	✓	-0.15
2026-06-15	oos	0.27511	0.271294	-1.39%	0.27077	-1.58%	0.0036	✓	-0.17
2026-06-14	oos	0.274525	0.270543	-1.45%	0.27511	+0.21%	0.0181	✗	-0.15
2026-06-13	oos	0.27333	0.26903	-1.57%	0.274525	+0.44%	0.0226	✗	-0.12
2026-06-12	oos	0.282715	0.277605	-1.81%	0.27333	-3.32%	0.0148	✓	-0.05
2026-06-11	oos	0.281995	0.276178	-2.06%	0.282715	+0.26%	0.0234	✗	-0.05
2026-06-10	oos	0.26464	0.259416	-1.97%	0.281995	+6.56%	0.0875	✗	-0.12
2026-06-09	oos	0.256955	0.251611	-2.08%	0.26464	+2.99%	0.0500	✗	-0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.23368	0.229737	-1.69%	0.256955	+9.96%	0.1107	✗	-0.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.2178	0.214492	-1.52%	0.23368	+7.29%	0.0855	✗	-0.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.21444	0.210991	-1.61%	0.2178	+1.57%	0.0322	✗	-0.01
2026-06-05	oos	0.21939	0.214816	-2.09%	0.21444	-2.26%	0.0017	✓	0.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.23152	0.225109	-2.77%	0.21939	-5.24%	0.0384	✓	-0.29
2026-06-03	oos	0.1936	0.191178	-1.25%	0.23152	+19.59%	0.1903	✗	-0.30
2026-06-02	oos	0.18198	0.180127	-1.02%	0.1936	+6.39%	0.0626	✗	-0.24
2026-06-01	oos	0.16522	0.163985	-0.75%	0.18198	+10.14%	0.1216	✗	0.26
2026-05-31	oos	0.169535	0.168164	-0.81%	0.16522	-2.55%	0.0173	✓	0.01
2026-05-30	oos	0.17431	0.172724	-0.91%	0.169535	-2.74%	0.0186	✓	-0.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.177695	0.175903	-1.01%	0.17431	-1.90%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.178315	0.176399	-1.07%	0.177695	-0.35%	0.0093	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.180295	0.178218	-1.15%	0.178315	-1.10%	0.0114	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.164055	0.162412	-1.00%	0.180295	+9.90%	0.1246	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.17311	0.171069	-1.18%	0.164055	-5.23%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.17411	0.171905	-1.27%	0.17311	-0.57%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.18742	0.184786	-1.41%	0.17411	-7.10%	0.0638	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.185295	0.182581	-1.46%	0.18742	+1.15%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.181295	0.178501	-1.54%	0.185295	+2.21%	0.0649	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.17322	0.170523	-1.56%	0.181295	+4.66%	0.0603	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.18601	0.182774	-1.74%	0.17322	-6.88%	0.0629	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.19024	0.186085	-2.18%	0.18601	-2.22%	0.0019	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.17619	0.171678	-2.56%	0.19024	+7.97%	0.1087	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.19502	0.187861	-3.67%	0.17619	-9.66%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.15268	0.148123	-2.98%	0.19502	+27.73%	0.2872	✗	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.116155	0.114449	-1.47%	0.15268	+31.45%	0.3135	✗	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10455	0.103303	-1.19%	0.116155	+11.10%	0.0949	✗	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.12761	0.123976	-2.85%	0.10455	-18.07%	0.1554	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.10276	0.101743	-0.99%	0.12761	+24.18%	0.2418	✗	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.08032	0.079958	-0.45%	0.10276	+27.94%	0.2567	✗	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.08549	0.084997	-0.58%	0.08032	-6.05%	0.0756	✓	1.00