ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s1
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
75.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3049
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0145
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008161 | -1.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007288 | -0.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006858 | -0.00% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005717 | +0.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006895 | +0.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007693 | +0.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008712 | +0.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.00869 | +0.46% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0568 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007555 | +0.53% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0279 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008758 | +0.78% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2457 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011058 | -0.38% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010679 | +0.18% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4229 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012432 | -1.18% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4711 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013353 | -1.82% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4337 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013731 | -1.99% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4414 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013316 | -1.73% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5431 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013708 | -1.81% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4079 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014053 | -1.83% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.2027 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013129 | -1.51% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1864 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.01519 | -1.93% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1651 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013967 | -1.88% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0112 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013749 | -2.07% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014352 | -2.24% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0800 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018771 | -2.18% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021001 | -2.32% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023369 | -2.71% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5653 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024018 | -2.98% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4435 | ✓ | 1.00 |