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2022-08-14 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0036
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-5.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.1%
in alpha space · 86.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CVCCivicEthereum0.17160.175224+2.11%0.1392-18.88%0.0380✗1.03131k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0703490.071542+1.70%0.060682-13.74%0.0513✗0.61192k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.12745.1987+1.39%4.9699-3.07%0.0199✗0.13233k2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.08170.082778+1.32%0.059635-27.01%0.1359✗1.031.8M2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.032290.032548+0.80%0.02317-28.24%0.0982✗1.292,9912022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13080.131447+0.49%0.0968-25.99%0.1575✗0.793,9702022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004990.005006+0.32%0.00381-23.65%0.0748✗1.06145k2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.049420.049506+0.17%0.03648-26.18%0.1535✗0.812,5822022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.28680.286962+0.06%0.3444+20.08%0.3556✓0.9370k2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.261188+0.03%0.1365-47.72%0.6464✗0.0155k2022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.20581.2049-0.08%0.82473-31.60%0.1982✓0.9712k2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055380.05525-0.23%0.04273-22.84%0.1209✓0.7316k2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9320.928186-0.41%0.921-1.18%0.0902✗0.524.4M2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.099001-0.50%0.0848-14.77%0.0383✗1.039,7202022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.492650.488871-0.77%0.38116-22.63%0.1612✓0.4770k2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.12121.1113-0.89%1.0223-8.82%0.0440✗0.683.9M2022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.810.802481-0.93%0.71-12.35%0.0452✓0.41105k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,209.7023,979.49-0.95%20,237.10-16.41%0.0111✗0.977,5932022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.22840.22622-0.95%0.1561-31.65%0.1671✓1.091,7402022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021020.002074-1.33%0.001519-27.74%0.1247✓1.001.0M2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.004030.003972-1.44%0.00337-16.38%0.0369✗1.08517k2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.8430.3603-1.56%25.89-16.05%0.0151✓0.939.8M2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.64610.48-1.56%9.254-13.08%0.0579✗0.982.0M2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase1.05681.04-1.59%0.846269-19.92%0.0624✓0.7777k2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero168.04164.9264-1.85%145.44-13.45%0.0600✗0.991.2M2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.53440.524131-1.92%0.4014-24.89%0.0550✓1.1359k2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.444750.435987-1.97%0.32139-27.74%0.1161✓1.01109k2022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067130.00658-1.98%0.005899-12.12%0.0251✗0.723,2222022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.052932-2.16%0.0452-16.45%0.0272✗0.99237k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.1761.7997-2.17%59.1-6.44%0.1510✗1.0513.6M2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.3872.3327-2.28%1.68-29.62%0.1465✓0.97607k2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25550.249679-2.28%0.199-22.11%0.0250✗1.35132k2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.982.9118-2.29%1.81-39.26%0.3776✓0.52102k2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.39160.9188-2.36%51.566-17.35%0.0306✓0.73354k2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.26061.2307-2.37%1.0027-20.45%0.0339✓0.9256k2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21120.206179-2.38%0.165-21.88%0.0432✗1.421,3132022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.176.0176-2.47%6.47+4.86%0.1356✗0.341.0M2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash73.7171.8882-2.47%58.92-20.07%0.0161✓1.152.3M2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04720.046021-2.50%0.0403-14.62%0.0477✗0.9711k2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum5.05494.9285-2.50%4.1432-18.04%0.0373✓0.73882k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.07351.0461-2.56%0.73147-31.86%0.1715✓1.00574k2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47930.467041-2.56%0.4008-16.38%0.0943✗1.32242k2022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0538060.052387-2.64%0.042163-21.64%0.0427✓0.9343k2022-09-13
DASHDashDash55.0853.6232-2.64%43.77-20.53%0.0198✓0.98574k2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.081150.079-2.65%0.06468-20.30%0.0563✓0.778802022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7732.6965-2.76%2.022-27.08%0.0682✓1.1862k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0255820.024875-2.77%0.020191-21.07%0.0509✓0.8413k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041602-2.80%0.0361-15.65%0.0475✗1.0176k2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8740.849525-2.80%0.622-28.83%0.0384✓1.464.4M2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18420.179002-2.82%0.1444-21.61%0.0091✓1.10586k2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025730.024998-2.85%0.02007-22.00%0.0603✓0.85209k2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156770.015228-2.86%0.012152-22.49%0.1048✓0.652.1M2022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26930.261533-2.88%0.2085-22.58%0.0395✓1.0091k2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5340.518541-2.90%0.434-18.73%0.0097✓1.0014k2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085720.083182-2.96%0.06913-19.35%0.1409✓0.241.1M2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash139.45135.2933-2.98%117.6-15.67%0.0690✗1.125.1M2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0564530.054769-2.98%0.03987-29.37%0.2232✓0.5136k2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.481.4353-3.02%1.1703-20.93%0.0379✗1.301.2M2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010370.010056-3.03%0.00851-17.94%0.0108✓0.845.6M2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19170.185841-3.06%0.16738-12.69%0.3127✗2.236712022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3270.316666-3.16%0.263-19.57%0.0345✓0.811.1M2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198460.019216-3.18%0.024692+24.42%0.2832✗0.17230k2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.49170.475991-3.19%0.3497-28.88%0.0971✓1.13808k2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.2454-3.22%5.72+5.54%0.1369✗0.272.0M2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12840.124256-3.23%0.1076-16.20%0.0261✓0.91328k2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000046140.000044647-3.24%0.00004395-4.75%0.1528✗0.902.1M2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59470.57502-3.31%0.4625-22.23%0.0081✓1.12365k2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration58.8756.8435-3.44%46.38-21.22%0.0096✓1.04524k2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16410.158423-3.46%0.1243-24.25%0.1173✓0.674.4M2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.07650.073843-3.47%0.0496-35.16%0.1702✓1.22350k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.082367-3.55%0.0594-30.44%0.1605✓0.89130k2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.710150.684829-3.57%0.50798-28.47%0.0498✓1.3349k2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14770.142388-3.60%0.1963+32.90%0.5250✗1.0946k2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.27230.262457-3.61%0.2161-20.64%0.0211✓0.93551k2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana44.8943.2609-3.63%33.01-26.46%0.0441✓1.2178.8M2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008650.008335-3.64%0.00796-7.98%0.1633✗1.12463k2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3411.2922-3.64%0.8796-34.41%0.1543✓1.231.1M2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.0772.9639-3.67%2.0329-33.93%0.1273✓1.3413k2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.9913-3.71%14.53+0.00%0.2673✗1.232.6M2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.367520.353818-3.73%0.26692-27.37%0.0783✓1.0913k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.17730.170614-3.77%0.13476-23.99%0.0032✓1.28243k2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase20.1419.3705-3.82%14.84-26.32%0.0455✓1.18124k2022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin24,316.7123,383.80-3.84%20,174.78-17.03%0.0391✓1.00472.7M2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.8846-3.85%6.12+0.00%0.1032✗0.341.4M2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.216319-3.86%0.16284-27.63%0.0570✓1.22657k2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.404750.389118-3.86%0.30966-23.49%0.0483✓0.96479k2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7321.6649-3.87%1.244-28.18%0.0437✓1.33460k2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100140.000096254-3.88%0.00035806+257.56%1.5040✗1.02336k2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.6819-3.89%1.3-25.71%0.0630✓1.04190k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029260.028119-3.90%0.02043-30.18%0.1326✓1.0014.3M2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.376550.361836-3.91%0.42001+11.54%0.3132✗0.88439k2022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.51.4411-3.93%1.41-6.00%0.0203✓0.01132k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9558.6035-3.93%7.07-21.05%0.0026✓1.0713.7M2022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8653.7133-3.93%3.055-20.96%0.0638✓0.701.1M2022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.4463.31-3.95%2.618-24.03%0.0728✓0.87640k2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6990.671194-3.98%0.493-29.47%0.0837✓1.20115k2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum63.0460.5262-3.99%55.83-11.44%0.1576✗1.2835k2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1256460.120561-4.05%0.104654-16.71%0.0277✓0.917.2M2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13930.133637-4.07%0.1082-22.33%0.0029✓1.123.9M2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8390.804641-4.10%0.595-29.08%0.1277✓0.93370k2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.57010.546589-4.12%0.4637-18.66%0.0334✓1.0642.0M2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.29960.287104-4.17%0.2103-29.81%0.1088✓1.08189k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8870.849018-4.28%0.61-31.23%0.1513✓0.96280k2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4451.3815-4.40%1.152-20.28%0.0079✓1.022.6M2022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.69323.5299-4.42%6.58+78.17%0.7075✗0.451.9M2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3741170.357542-4.43%0.289387-22.65%0.0100✓1.08916k2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017920.001712-4.47%0.001531-14.56%0.0298✓0.769,0932022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.09621.047-4.49%0.8066-26.42%0.0335✓1.222.3M2022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.49050.468447-4.50%0.35-28.64%0.1322✓0.851382022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1872.0881-4.52%1.41-35.53%0.1794✓1.14169k2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.38921.3261-4.54%1.0525-24.24%0.0357✓1.436.4M2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.007875-4.55%0.00563-31.76%0.2153✓0.641.6M2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48370.461654-4.56%0.3308-31.61%0.1223✓1.13190k2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9391.8504-4.57%1.455-24.96%0.0260✓1.15203k2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60940.581475-4.58%0.4865-20.17%0.0360✓0.76784k2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8082.6788-4.60%1.785-36.43%0.0793✓1.75144k2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9325.6568-4.64%12.092+103.84%0.7994✗0.211.1M2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1023.9108-4.66%4.142+0.98%0.1020✗0.242.2M2022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.000001019.63e-7-4.68%8.70e-7-13.86%0.0424✓0.7721k2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.64811.5708-4.69%1.9586+18.84%0.4573✗1.27540k2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51990.495448-4.70%0.3105-40.28%0.2195✓1.33213k2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.0391.9404-4.83%1.553-23.84%0.0365✓1.00189k2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0670.06376-4.84%0.0441-34.18%0.1648✓1.09877k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.16083.0067-4.88%4.1321+30.73%0.4125✗0.511.3M2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34670.329629-4.92%0.2679-22.73%0.0167✓1.023.6M2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004190.003983-4.94%0.002827-32.53%0.1929✓0.801.0M2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.8111.2216-4.98%9.73-17.61%0.0704✗1.14305k2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.064.8078-4.98%4.5-11.07%0.0082✓0.401.3M2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7530.715159-5.03%0.449-40.37%0.2352✓1.232,7912022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.26e-74.04e-7-5.04%6.96e-7+63.55%0.6713✗0.68150k2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.45881.3852-5.04%1.2429-14.80%0.0783✗1.001.0M2022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.062.9056-5.04%2.03-33.66%0.1206✓1.27244k2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.41180.390728-5.12%0.298-27.63%0.0646✓1.10100k2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11660.110627-5.12%0.0924-20.75%0.0148✓1.04499k2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.31222.193-5.16%1.7866-22.73%0.0040✓1.0838k2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.2357.8089-5.17%5.871-28.71%0.1242✓0.868.3M2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0080.955776-5.18%0.913-9.42%0.1813✗1.221.3M2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001019.57e-7-5.27%8.60e-7-14.85%0.0383✓0.785.7M2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006720.006365-5.28%0.006216-7.50%0.0599✗0.4555k2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017620.016682-5.32%0.01252-28.94%0.1545✓0.71155k2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.58810.9686-5.35%13.897+19.93%0.4549✗1.1713.2M2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08830.083541-5.39%0.0679-23.10%0.0038✓1.1329k2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9810.92811-5.39%0.6606-32.66%0.0677✓1.46407k2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative41.5739.3283-5.39%35.29-15.11%0.1499✗1.3816.5M2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1543.9293-5.41%4.082-1.73%0.0995✗0.331.7M2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum107.44101.5988-5.44%82.97-22.78%0.0892✗1.567.1M2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.28540.269536-5.56%0.1898-33.50%0.1640✓1.00108k2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00190.946129-5.57%0.8463-15.53%0.1843✗1.58296k2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.660698-5.61%0.52-25.71%0.0018✓1.29137k2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.07030.066342-5.63%0.0479-31.86%0.1256✓1.07225k2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3545.994-5.67%6.134-3.46%0.0423✓0.103.5M2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.778.2677-5.73%7.025-19.90%0.0440✓1.1119.3M2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07210.067908-5.81%0.0572-20.67%0.0158✓0.83119k2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5617.4712-5.87%13.18-28.99%0.0597✓1.191.6M2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum6.3685.9863-5.99%5.136-19.35%0.0999✗1.3612.8M2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative2.8322.6617-6.01%1.864-34.18%0.1182✓1.27754k2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.19063.9293-6.24%3.0233-27.86%0.0752✓1.0053k2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.552.3853-6.46%2.32-9.02%0.1461✗0.93636k2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.425.9994-6.55%4.66-27.41%0.0552✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08090.075541-6.62%0.059-27.07%0.0332✓1.151.4M2022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.0017.4661-6.69%6.4-20.01%0.0368✓1.025.5M2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.15943-6.77%0.1253-26.73%0.0527✓1.012.6M2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.62130.579-6.81%0.5504-11.41%0.1340✗0.992.4M2022-09-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.2071.1239-6.88%–pending––1.1013k2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.978.3414-7.01%8.75-2.45%0.0691✓0.111.8M2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.82261.6937-7.07%1.5348-15.79%0.1130✗1.13467k2022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.048790.045337-7.08%0.03367-30.99%0.1073✓1.0220k2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8213.5462-7.19%2.719-28.84%0.0312✓1.595.3M2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8828.2409-7.22%6.034-32.06%0.0663✓1.3110.0M2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.441.3356-7.25%1.182-17.92%0.2358✗1.923.7M2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,935.851,795.31-7.26%1,574.71-18.66%0.1163✗1.32522.8M2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase16.201915.0055-7.38%11.9339-26.34%0.0444✓0.9959k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36420.335984-7.75%0.2966-18.56%0.0560✓0.978.3M2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.1925.9998-7.77%18.87-33.06%0.0634✓1.3830.5M2022-09-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.2736.1527-7.94%15.2-61.29%0.6591✓1.111.7M2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum118.61109.1312-7.99%97.87-17.49%0.0532✓0.873.8M2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.53783.2548-8.00%7.2349+104.50%0.8603✗0.331.6M2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9443.6271-8.04%4.212+6.80%0.3109✗0.86124k2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014320.001313-8.29%0.001236-13.64%0.1003✗0.861.5M2022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum43.2639.5855-8.49%27.9-35.51%0.0146✓1.95385k2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.18110.165303-8.72%0.1934+6.79%0.3169✗0.861.1M2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12750.116263-8.81%0.1104-13.41%0.1128✗0.88220k2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.2419.294-9.16%16.8-20.90%0.0086✓0.702.2M2022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.092810.083509-10.02%0.05951-35.88%0.1117✓1.222.2M2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.269.1915-10.41%6.97-32.07%0.0687✓1.11638k2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000016880.000015119-10.43%0.00001209-28.38%0.0442✓0.96679k2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,226.839,694.80-13.65%9,017.07-19.68%0.1762✗1.336.5M2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.