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2022-07-29 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2078
183 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.66%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.8%
in alpha space · 76.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.279,489.22-12.70%8,473.37-22.05%0.1582✗1.394.0M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.0164-11.71%7.2-20.70%0.1592✗1.36256k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum7.646.8259-10.66%4.82-36.91%0.0747✓1.401.0M2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.6623-9.80%1.054-42.81%0.0694✓1.971.1M2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.072754-8.62%0.06229-21.77%0.1392✗1.50768k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.767931-7.81%0.489-41.30%0.1610✓1.482,9182022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.7284-7.71%2.966-26.58%0.1111✗1.743.8M2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum106.2998.2355-7.58%92.31-13.15%0.1366✗1.024.2M2022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4116.102-7.51%16.67-4.25%0.2063✗0.882.4M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.159927-7.45%0.1182-31.60%0.0551✓1.262.9M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.1939-7.14%4.649-30.30%0.0437✓1.6911.5M2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.2204-6.94%1.511-36.67%0.1075✓1.42169k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5337.7461-6.87%30.93-23.69%0.0772✗1.411.3M2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.9123-6.85%1.36-33.76%0.0607✓1.43220k2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.9038-6.61%0.7842-18.97%0.1776✗1.63205k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase14.213.27-6.55%12.062-15.06%0.1358✗1.1870k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.5353-6.51%6.275-22.15%0.0626✓1.255.5M2022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.5036-6.40%5.739-36.83%0.1193✓1.407.0M2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.7709-6.12%5.4352+84.14%0.8251✗0.77941k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.3749-6.12%2.9825-36.00%0.1688✓1.0932k2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.316662-5.98%0.2823-16.18%0.1076✗1.147.7M2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.017819-5.92%0.01478-21.96%0.0394✓0.75258k2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5211.7852-5.87%9.51-24.04%0.0236✓1.22241k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001021-5.77%0.001346+24.25%0.5286✗1.291.6M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.083039-5.67%0.06897-21.65%0.0759✗1.3428k2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4422.1147-5.65%37.2+58.70%0.7909✗1.38534k2022-08-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.05-5.62%–pending––1.0412k2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5123.1388-5.59%18.53-24.40%0.0902✗1.5927.5M2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum36.7234.698-5.51%29.26-20.32%0.2083✗1.93194k2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.6152-5.50%1.426-16.57%0.1211✗1.25492k2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.1219-5.47%8.09-16.17%0.0175✓0.521.0M2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,630.14-5.35%1,426.63-17.16%0.1132✗1.26387.0M2022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.075273-5.32%0.0981+23.40%0.4269✗0.83148k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.3578-5.02%0.9934-30.51%0.0188✓1.506.1M2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.006641-5.01%0.006708-4.05%0.1144✗0.5339k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.010777-4.97%0.00825-27.25%0.0202✓1.26355k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.732707-4.97%0.525-31.91%0.0399✓1.5080k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.935034-4.78%0.6463-34.19%0.0251✓1.76516k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.497063-4.65%0.32-38.62%0.2445✓1.00234k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.064309-4.59%0.0554-17.80%0.0386✓0.96183k2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2617.4261-4.57%13.16-27.93%0.0154✓1.351.3M2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.6644-4.53%10.559-5.48%0.2578✗1.3715.1M2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.241-4.48%5.5537+63.68%0.7123✗0.891.0M2022-08-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000094699-4.34%0.0001251+26.36%0.6632✗1.96646k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.551-4.26%6.251-20.74%0.0581✗1.2616.2M2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.307251-4.22%0.2638-17.77%0.0684✗1.13309k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.5098-4.21%2.08-20.61%0.0227✓1.07175k2022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6956.2889-4.09%43.85-25.29%0.0219✓1.3928k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001446-4.06%0.001503-0.27%0.2363✗1.0116k2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008569-3.93%0.00642-28.03%0.1100✓0.911.6M2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum95.691.9175-3.85%78.57-17.81%0.1685✗1.6610.0M2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.23e-7-3.85%8.60e-7-10.42%0.1251✗1.0025k2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.279-3.69%0.9332-29.73%0.0723✓1.241.2M2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6124-3.68%1.192-28.79%0.0185✓1.45316k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.7193-3.67%4.096+6.09%0.2130✗0.601.5M2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.5195-3.64%4.34-7.46%0.0992✗0.71759k2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.028874-3.63%0.02162-27.84%0.0105✓1.5311.5M2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration63.8761.5692-3.60%45.4-28.92%0.0728✓1.18257k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003047-3.56%0.002987-5.47%0.1767✗1.00999k2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.8624-3.56%2.607-12.16%0.1242✗1.11619k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.104275-3.54%0.0854-21.00%0.0563✗1.31491k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.074931-3.51%0.06712-13.57%0.0341✓0.741,2712022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.298363-3.44%0.2731-11.62%0.1439✗1.192.8M2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53710.518732-3.42%0.5282-1.66%0.2450✗1.161.5M2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.3665-3.42%5.809+28.49%0.3920✗0.542.0M2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.7974-3.42%1.733-6.88%0.0868✗0.63223k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.085686-3.40%0.0619-30.21%0.0916✓1.19155k2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3032-3.40%1.129-16.31%0.1046✗1.272.4M2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.45e-7-3.37%7.78e-7+117.71%0.9966✗0.94193k2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.8702-3.36%1.95-34.34%0.0878✓1.53192k2022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5022,990.92-3.34%19,554.03-17.79%0.0339✓1.00439.9M2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.124965-3.28%0.2102+62.69%0.7361✗1.10617k2022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.053994-3.24%0.0455-18.46%0.0837✗1.30787k2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.625-3.21%1.828-32.60%0.0180✓1.7692k2022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.6813-3.20%3.998+5.13%0.2204✗0.70670k2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.5632-3.18%1.6656+3.16%0.3428✗1.43609k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.95283-3.17%1.201+22.05%0.4609✗1.171.2M2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.60128-3.16%0.4996-19.54%0.0427✗1.16624k2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5205-3.15%1.39-11.46%0.0418✓0.24268k2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.018514-3.02%0.022963+20.29%0.3119✗0.49165k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.1953-2.97%11.33-22.56%0.0582✗1.451.6M2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6109-2.96%1.23-25.90%0.0001✓1.38114k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.417131-2.94%0.31363-27.03%0.0122✓1.39592k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.507436-2.83%0.4291-17.83%0.0773✗1.2543.2M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.029011-2.81%0.03552+18.99%0.4464✗1.2514k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.237475-2.79%0.2024-17.15%0.0809✗1.23101k2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.209014-2.78%0.164-23.72%0.0531✗1.51786k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.114461-2.78%0.102736-12.74%0.0869✗1.006.8M2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86964.0472-2.77%51.793-21.37%0.0465✓0.85398k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.74263-2.67%0.631-17.30%0.0305✗0.99360k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana41.9440.8301-2.65%30.45-27.40%0.0266✓1.3681.8M2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.7573-2.64%3.6555+29.07%0.4734✗0.98917k2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.472865-2.62%0.36304-25.24%0.1122✓0.7855k2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84147.8751-2.61%112.59-25.85%0.0397✓1.193.9M2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4609-2.61%1.0043-33.05%0.0933✓1.441.0M2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.7529-2.55%3.876+0.65%0.2047✗0.88754k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0343-2.51%0.7744-27.01%0.0117✓1.421.4M2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.323223-2.40%0.291277-12.05%0.1495✗1.291.0M2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000043918-2.38%0.00004676+3.93%0.2912✗1.171.8M2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase18.1317.7041-2.35%14.8-18.37%0.0908✗1.38108k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.2277-2.35%1.7152-24.81%0.0187✓1.2424k2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.28e-7-2.30%8.50e-7-10.53%0.0757✗0.845.9M2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.048585-2.29%0.042995-13.53%0.1103✗1.1935k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.241947-2.28%0.2183-11.83%0.1204✗1.14643k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.589317-2.27%0.488-19.07%0.0854✗1.4084k2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.517109-2.25%0.412-22.12%0.0027✓1.1513k2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.868206-2.23%0.645-27.36%0.0407✗1.735.2M2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.552763-2.18%0.4349-23.04%0.0169✓1.14350k2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.654057-2.17%0.52437-21.57%0.0762✗1.5279k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.0119-2.13%6.861-16.19%0.0894✗1.259.4M2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.093-2.12%2.33-26.27%0.1855✓0.5082k2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.232232-2.09%0.2134-10.03%0.2051✗1.4892k2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.179722-2.06%0.15977-12.93%0.3367✗2.321,1272022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.124739-2.01%0.0992-22.07%0.0400✗1.372.5M2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.091671-1.96%0.08638-7.61%0.0077✓0.26910k2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.053848-1.92%0.0493-10.20%0.1942✗1.44119k2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9665.8535-1.89%5.639-5.48%0.1747✗1.082.1M2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009237-1.84%0.00848-9.88%0.1048✗0.974.7M2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.13279-1.78%0.1202-11.09%0.0951✗0.993.5M2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.115129-1.77%0.1013-13.57%0.0807✗1.07352k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.170074-1.69%0.13172-23.86%0.0463✗1.54207k2022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.449-1.64%5.16-6.86%0.0663✗0.62786k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.490023-1.64%0.3673-26.27%0.0686✓1.1242k2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.021566-1.48%0.020386-6.87%0.1357✗0.989,0542022-08-28
DASHDashDash50.6149.8951-1.41%44.14-12.78%0.0955✗1.11594k2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero160.25158.0155-1.39%146.4-8.64%0.1384✗1.101.3M2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.705232-1.37%0.916+28.11%0.4984✗1.21806k2022-08-28
FISStafiEthereum0.40.394562-1.36%–pending––0.922142022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.9929390.979486-1.35%0.862501-13.14%0.0623✗0.9758k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.021479-1.34%0.02214+1.70%0.2327✗1.03149k2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.310958-1.33%0.36389+15.47%0.3859✗1.17407k2022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.258042-1.32%0.261-0.19%0.0136✗0.0130k2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.061784-1.30%0.0582-7.03%0.2149✗1.40339k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8467-1.30%1.6-14.48%0.1056✗1.27626k2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.403384-1.24%0.32806-19.68%0.0310✗1.21118k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.813-1.23%1.944-31.74%0.0906✓1.4243k2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.054126-1.23%0.0419-23.54%0.0139✓1.24263k2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8661.8433-1.22%1.692-9.32%0.1639✗1.27382k2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.003660.003618-1.15%0.00289-21.04%0.0318✗1.31539k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.46705-1.15%0.3261-30.98%0.0708✓1.47220k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.162423-1.14%0.1337-18.62%0.0510✗1.25411k2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.0914-1.14%5.87+13.98%0.2620✗0.61587k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5088-1.11%4.106+61.84%0.6733✗0.92105k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum31.0930.751-1.09%25.35-18.46%0.0064✓0.9510.8M2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7160.0496-1.09%53.38-12.07%0.1089✗1.1613.5M2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.8894-1.02%6.04+1.51%0.1553✗0.66554k2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.39224.3487-0.99%4.3228-1.58%0.1357✗0.72986k2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.014925-0.87%0.013002-13.64%0.0353✗0.881.2M2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.43040.426984-0.79%0.3529-18.01%0.0540✗1.25606k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1191-0.77%1.0384-7.92%0.1337✗1.0643k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.790.784818-0.66%0.73-7.59%0.0462✗0.6179k2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.301082-0.63%0.275-9.24%0.1131✗1.04766k2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.129019-0.60%0.1184-8.78%0.1656✗1.2849k2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038589-0.54%0.0345-11.08%0.1268✗1.2268k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.202323-0.48%0.1381-32.07%0.1139✓1.371,5612022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045601-0.43%0.0357-22.05%0.0175✗1.347,1312022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.756978-0.40%0.645-15.13%0.0824✗1.24205k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011698-0.35%0.00001177+0.26%0.2484✗1.24951k2022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.4235-0.35%12.382+178.94%1.1439✗0.591.2M2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash63.563.2887-0.33%61.17-3.67%0.2135✗1.261.5M2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,764.28-0.27%19,646.40-17.55%0.0014✓0.9819k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.033974-0.22%0.0242-28.93%0.0827✓1.311,3182022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.1762-0.20%8.816-13.54%0.0691✗1.092.6M2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.421917-0.16%0.34-19.55%0.0461✗1.34104k2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.222712-0.13%0.1592-28.61%0.0631✓1.391,0652022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004395+0.11%0.00393-10.48%0.1461✓1.32103k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.972743+0.22%0.9334-3.83%0.1344✓0.903.9M2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.087272+0.31%0.0792-8.97%0.1406✓1.216,3652022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.977348+0.64%0.74832-22.94%0.0073✗1.33431k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.056515+0.69%0.044396-20.90%0.1228✗0.6120k2022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.131905+0.69%0.0996-23.97%0.0869✗0.995,4502022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.254201+1.03%0.2362-6.12%0.1377✓1.0863k2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02553.0604+1.15%2.0034-33.78%0.1157✗1.5711k2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.043899+1.55%0.03732-13.67%0.0252✓0.962,4262022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.901402+1.97%0.84-4.98%0.0676✓0.711.3M2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.070714+2.19%0.0604-12.72%0.0514✓1.07308k2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.2881+2.22%5.175+0.04%0.0190✓0.21210k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.327313+2.28%0.29294-8.46%0.1461✓1.3111k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.070636+2.45%0.06175-10.44%0.0905✓1.151.7M2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.0484+2.52%0.04418-6.42%0.0853✓0.9015k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006379+2.74%0.005519-11.11%0.0289✓0.897,2112022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.301616+3.26%0.3044+4.21%0.2313✓1.1375k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0928+4.54%0.84626-19.04%0.0399✓1.109,6842022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.072553+4.70%0.061392-11.41%0.0129✓0.79376k2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.156568+4.80%0.1396-6.56%0.1287✓1.2488k2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.