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2022-07-21 · +30d

lstm_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1612
183 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.86%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.8%
in alpha space · 65.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MOVRMoonriverBase14.89713.482-9.50%13.7071-7.99%0.1251✗1.19165k2022-08-20
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4225.9181-7.85%5.036-21.58%0.0026✓1.7411.7M2022-08-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8770.815248-7.04%0.569-35.12%0.2188✓1.556,1452022-08-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010370.000096467-6.98%0.00008807-15.07%0.0864✗1.95735k2022-08-20
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2226.7222-6.92%7.004-3.02%0.1643✗1.355.7M2022-08-20
DODODODOEthereum0.15230.141791-6.90%0.131-13.99%0.0383✓1.292.8M2022-08-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,719.996,257.56-6.88%8,539.61+27.08%0.4322✗1.334.2M2022-08-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.2517.961-6.70%18.41-4.36%0.1115✗0.952.0M2022-08-20
KSMKusamaHydration61.1857.0861-6.69%48.54-20.66%0.0526✓1.20231k2022-08-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34940.326068-6.68%0.3003-14.05%0.0238✓1.178.0M2022-08-20
QNTQuantEthereum102.8496.0405-6.61%104.84+1.94%0.1791✗1.002.7M2022-08-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2833.0666-6.59%2.746-16.36%0.0427✓1.683.8M2022-08-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069070.006454-6.57%0.006855-0.75%0.1136✗0.5950k2022-08-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4222.2645-6.50%1.596-34.10%0.2192✓1.44132k2022-08-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.96.4532-6.48%6.305-8.62%0.0925✗1.275.2M2022-08-20
XTZTezosTezos1.68111.5728-6.44%1.5629-7.03%0.1087✗1.26494k2022-08-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.682235-6.41%0.611-16.19%0.0284✓1.52108k2022-08-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05340.986653-6.33%1.06+0.63%0.1591✗0.961,6652022-08-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.0123.451-6.23%22.3-10.84%0.0923✗1.5727.5M2022-08-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40311.3187-6.02%0.9995-28.76%0.1426✓1.484.7M2022-08-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019070.017937-5.94%0.0177-7.18%0.0548✓0.75354k2022-08-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5915.6296-5.79%41.66+151.12%1.1216✗1.55431k2022-08-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93910.884893-5.77%0.8612-8.30%0.1183✗1.60214k2022-08-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.065082-5.68%0.0602-12.75%0.0116✓0.98183k2022-08-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.073407-5.65%0.0668-14.14%0.0004✓1.03209k2022-08-20
XVSVenusEthereum5.465.1557-5.57%5.88+7.69%0.2600✗1.411.1M2022-08-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5590.527905-5.56%0.463-17.17%0.0239✓1.1811k2022-08-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001110.00105-5.42%0.001507+35.72%0.4789✗1.291.7M2022-08-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.9940.941366-5.30%0.799-19.62%0.0002✓1.80561k2022-08-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08590.08149-5.13%0.1034+20.37%0.3100✗0.79157k2022-08-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.04710.4912-5.03%10.236-7.34%0.0985✗1.3513.0M2022-08-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9482.8011-4.98%2.096-28.90%0.1316✓1.7484k2022-08-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.30090.28622-4.88%0.2676-11.07%0.0501✗1.29395k2022-08-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.464420.441959-4.84%0.37019-20.29%0.0438✓1.47733k2022-08-20
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3590.768-4.81%82.79-13.17%0.0569✗1.6410.8M2022-08-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072940.069481-4.74%0.06888-5.57%0.0581✗0.731,5492022-08-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.3645-4.66%2.36-4.84%0.1356✗1.51205k2022-08-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7815.0568-4.58%14.13-10.46%0.0611✗1.371.3M2022-08-20
BANDBandEthereum1.5171.4479-4.56%1.299-14.37%0.0228✓1.44382k2022-08-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.760.725434-4.55%0.722-5.00%0.1559✗1.765.8M2022-08-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064080.061196-4.50%0.07704+20.22%0.3501✗1.3225k2022-08-20
DIADIAEthereum0.431230.411912-4.48%0.39983-7.28%0.0371✓0.7351k2022-08-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222810.021286-4.47%0.02156-3.24%0.1027✗0.991,5692022-08-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.46280.442481-4.39%0.3838-17.07%0.0512✓1.00258k2022-08-20
METISMetisEthereum33.0531.6016-4.38%32.45-1.82%0.1175✗1.00131k2022-08-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91951.8367-4.32%1.8646-2.86%0.1267✗1.2326k2022-08-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9956.6982-4.24%6.902-1.33%0.1450✗1.2617.9M2022-08-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.84354.4449-4.22%53.04-6.69%0.0497✗0.83387k2022-08-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52252.4162-4.21%3.4859+38.19%0.4563✗0.991.1M2022-08-20
OPTIMOptimism0.7770.744637-4.17%1.131+45.56%0.5806✗1.791.1M2022-08-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3821.3248-4.14%1.04-24.75%0.1308✓1.221.6M2022-08-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4381-4.13%1.34-10.67%0.0603✗1.44134k2022-08-20
RADRadworksEthereum1.871.7941-4.06%2.41+28.88%0.3953✗1.10150k2022-08-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.10750.103181-4.02%0.0956-11.07%0.0437✗1.32526k2022-08-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.7142.6054-4.00%2.824+4.05%0.1810✗1.10621k2022-08-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174540.016759-3.98%0.022499+28.90%0.3387✗0.48167k2022-08-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.238.8632-3.97%10.01+8.45%0.2281✗1.17282k2022-08-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.42e-7-3.97%7.06e-7+98.06%0.8147✗1.00244k2022-08-20
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0855.8475-3.84%49.23-15.24%0.0015✓1.3733k2022-08-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.681,515.22-3.84%1,575.76+0.01%0.1510✗1.23326.5M2022-08-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.04e-7-3.79%8.80e-7-6.38%0.0637✗1.0026k2022-08-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29940.288205-3.74%0.2842-5.08%0.0943✗1.192.8M2022-08-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2233.103-3.72%5.051+56.72%0.5442✗0.631.7M2022-08-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.002934-3.70%0.003393+11.36%0.2405✗1.051.1M2022-08-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.4736-3.68%1.39-9.15%0.0370✓0.24419k2022-08-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05560.05356-3.67%0.0503-9.53%0.0587✗1.33802k2022-08-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31142.2271-3.65%4.3606+88.66%0.7446✗0.80947k2022-08-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16610.160086-3.62%0.1493-10.11%0.0469✗1.28354k2022-08-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.21810.21034-3.56%0.1683-22.83%0.0953✓1.402,0152022-08-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3213450.310151-3.48%0.301686-6.12%0.0843✗1.231.3M2022-08-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.009230.00891-3.46%0.00713-22.75%0.1398✓0.911.3M2022-08-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.46941.4186-3.46%1.7871+21.62%0.3603✗1.42651k2022-08-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055850.053959-3.39%0.06829+22.27%0.3688✗1.46773k2022-08-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6461.5904-3.38%1.525-7.35%0.0904✗1.45203k2022-08-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.207805-3.35%0.181-15.81%0.0027✓1.55881k2022-08-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52960.511921-3.34%0.5172-2.34%0.1199✗1.20470k2022-08-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.243.1331-3.30%2.74-15.43%0.0900✓0.4886k2022-08-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.087423-3.29%0.0659-27.10%0.1695✓1.24202k2022-08-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5272.4449-3.25%2.152-14.84%0.0003✓1.4143k2022-08-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.216.0105-3.21%8.12+30.76%0.4205✗1.31263k2022-08-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025980.025153-3.18%0.02152-17.17%0.0091✓1.6114.2M2022-08-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8383.7159-3.18%6.408+66.96%0.5960✗0.562.2M2022-08-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.052478-3.18%0.0523-3.51%0.1308✗1.47119k2022-08-20
HIVEHivenative0.47010.45521-3.17%0.5428+15.46%0.2898✗1.251.3M2022-08-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.11020.106725-3.15%0.1832+66.24%0.6409✗1.10560k2022-08-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6150.595665-3.14%0.557-9.43%0.0623✗1.4284k2022-08-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98440.953641-3.12%0.8617-12.46%0.0283✓1.421.4M2022-08-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4741.4285-3.09%1.22-17.23%0.0396✓1.302.8M2022-08-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.786.5724-3.06%8.89+31.12%0.3467✗0.49670k2022-08-20
XYMSymbolnative0.054150.052511-3.03%0.049123-9.28%0.0101✓0.6214k2022-08-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.180440.174995-3.02%0.15686-13.07%0.1148✗2.461,0532022-08-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.6041.5558-3.00%1.857+15.77%0.2680✗1.00182k2022-08-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1135920.110241-2.95%0.109019-4.03%0.0801✗1.007.2M2022-08-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.831.7766-2.92%1.86+1.64%0.1615✗1.27626k2022-08-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.3425.5952-2.83%32.83+24.64%0.3653✗1.281.2M2022-08-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.668673-2.81%0.676-1.74%0.0991✗0.97434k2022-08-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.10443.0181-2.78%3.3461+7.78%0.2022✗1.0926k2022-08-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,153.9622,510.38-2.78%21,139.23-8.70%0.0282✓1.00398.7M2022-08-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021080.020502-2.74%0.02244+6.45%0.1866✗1.06127k2022-08-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24480.238096-2.74%0.2207-9.84%0.0376✗1.25129k2022-08-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139750.135929-2.73%0.13909-0.47%0.1684✗1.60155k2022-08-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.943.8351-2.66%5.07+28.68%0.3488✗0.77597k2022-08-20
XECeCashnative0.000040990.000039902-2.65%0.00003899-4.88%0.0849✗1.191.9M2022-08-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3825-2.64%1.17-17.61%0.0321✓1.48910k2022-08-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.029249-2.63%0.03745+24.67%0.3630✗1.2722k2022-08-20
XEMNEMnative0.0490110.047723-2.63%0.045083-8.01%0.0522✗1.2018k2022-08-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3343.2466-2.62%4.487+34.58%0.3935✗0.77488k2022-08-20
ADACardanoCardano0.49960.486582-2.61%0.4513-9.67%0.0404✗1.2743.9M2022-08-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.091532-2.59%0.09157-2.55%0.0915✗1.00626k2022-08-20
NANOnanopayBase0.9532040.928521-2.59%0.896517-5.95%0.0570✗1.0159k2022-08-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.670.652798-2.57%0.56747-15.30%0.0017✓1.56104k2022-08-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94510.921122-2.54%1.3649+44.42%0.5031✗1.211.2M2022-08-20
PROPropyEthereum0.780.760378-2.52%0.73-6.41%0.0235✓0.71107k2022-08-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49590.483902-2.42%0.4104-17.24%0.0647✓1.1049k2022-08-20
SOLSolanaSolana43.142.0673-2.40%35.29-18.12%0.0542✓1.3381.1M2022-08-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.9912.6811-2.38%12.68-2.39%0.1340✗1.471.1M2022-08-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5317.356-2.32%7.228-4.02%0.0945✗1.239.0M2022-08-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.255344-2.28%0.2613+0.00%0.1141✗1.0048k2022-08-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2233.1504-2.25%3.057-5.15%0.0685✗1.08562k2022-08-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6872.6275-2.21%3.919+45.85%0.4815✗0.90105k2022-08-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00680.006652-2.18%0.00725+6.62%0.1776✗1.01376k2022-08-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42160.412771-2.09%0.3699-12.26%0.0293✗1.53208k2022-08-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.1281.1048-2.06%1.0708-5.07%0.0673✗1.0845k2022-08-20
FISStafiEthereum0.44510.436039-2.04%0.3666-17.64%0.0824✓1.004752022-08-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009260.009074-2.01%0.00924-0.22%0.1074✗0.984.9M2022-08-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13950.136699-2.01%0.1226-12.11%0.0156✓1.023.3M2022-08-20
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.02e-7-2.00%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0395✗0.836.2M2022-08-20
DASHDashDash48.1747.2141-1.98%45.75-5.02%0.0679✗1.09606k2022-08-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.049208-1.98%0.0458-8.76%0.0377✗1.20282k2022-08-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12080.118414-1.98%0.1097-9.19%0.0222✗1.08398k2022-08-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.224033-1.96%0.239+4.60%0.1991✗1.48117k2022-08-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.345310.338582-1.95%0.30514-11.63%0.0086✓1.24411k2022-08-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03690.036183-1.94%0.0394+6.78%0.1975✗1.2385k2022-08-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.2755-1.94%6.33+45.18%0.4503✗0.64579k2022-08-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.06790.066604-1.91%0.0617-9.13%0.0503✗1.39316k2022-08-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51490.505078-1.91%0.4742-7.90%0.0406✗1.14333k2022-08-20
STEEMSteemnative0.24890.244153-1.91%0.2331-6.35%0.0605✗1.17733k2022-08-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6215.5149-1.89%6.249+11.17%0.2254✗1.101.9M2022-08-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.04367-1.86%0.0403-9.44%0.0423✗1.357,6872022-08-20
XVGVergenative0.003730.003663-1.80%0.00328-12.06%0.0117✓1.34612k2022-08-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1070.105097-1.78%0.1029-3.83%0.1030✗1.362.5M2022-08-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43060.423049-1.75%0.3713-13.77%0.0084✓1.34104k2022-08-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7340.721521-1.70%0.708-3.54%0.0965✗1.27139k2022-08-20
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.7376-1.60%15.84-6.88%0.0714✗1.39100k2022-08-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.894.8123-1.59%6.52+33.33%0.3645✗0.67574k2022-08-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.12121.1824-1.57%114.78-6.77%0.0492✗1.144.0M2022-08-20
FLOWFlownative1.8771.8512-1.37%2.124+13.16%0.2506✗1.24332k2022-08-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19790.195306-1.31%0.1673-15.46%0.0264✓1.412,4852022-08-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.026969-1.29%0.02642-3.29%0.1036✗1.361,3802022-08-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.973.9193-1.28%5.82+46.60%0.4526✗0.63723k2022-08-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9253.8791-1.17%10.894+177.55%1.0891✗0.621.4M2022-08-20
GTGateEthereum4.12464.0774-1.14%4.4355+7.54%0.1482✗0.70930k2022-08-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016150.015969-1.12%0.014688-9.05%0.0001✓0.921.2M2022-08-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401070.396605-1.11%0.35603-11.23%0.0039✓1.23123k2022-08-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0357.4395-1.02%54.1-6.77%0.0433✗1.1314.6M2022-08-20
STXStacksnative0.43060.426375-0.98%0.3896-9.52%0.0251✗1.27414k2022-08-20
ZECZcashZcash61.8661.2576-0.97%62.92+1.71%0.1452✗1.301.5M2022-08-20
FTTFTXEthereum29.4829.1986-0.95%26.69-9.46%0.0035✓0.9510.6M2022-08-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7070.700686-0.89%0.869+22.91%0.3276✗1.23807k2022-08-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.13374-0.86%0.1223-9.34%0.0306✗1.3244k2022-08-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.940430.933303-0.76%0.83183-11.55%0.0077✗1.35423k2022-08-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.296912-0.70%0.29-3.01%0.0724✗1.05673k2022-08-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011928-0.51%0.00001291+7.67%0.1929✗1.251.3M2022-08-20
XMRMoneroMonero151.18150.4228-0.50%149.22-1.30%0.0934✗1.111.3M2022-08-20
SCSiacoinnative0.004360.004339-0.49%0.00415-4.82%0.0773✗1.34122k2022-08-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22592.2222-0.17%5.6922+155.73%1.0224✗0.90890k2022-08-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251666+0.03%0.2549+1.31%0.1116✓1.0961k2022-08-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.005960.005962+0.04%0.005866-1.57%0.0669✓0.913,1552022-08-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83190.832283+0.05%1.0652+28.04%0.3370✓0.993.5M2022-08-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.786146+0.15%0.843+7.39%0.1404✓0.781.1M2022-08-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.48132.4853+0.16%2.314-6.74%0.0709✓1.567,1792022-08-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,097.6023,136.62+0.17%21,129.20-8.52%0.0018✗0.9826k2022-08-20
KCSKuCoinnative10.16210.1829+0.21%9.372-7.77%0.0181✓1.112.2M2022-08-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08580.086106+0.36%0.0849-1.05%0.0976✓1.236,9982022-08-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.320190.321483+0.40%0.29724-7.17%0.0438✓1.347,0062022-08-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12970.13048+0.60%0.1064-17.96%0.1148✗0.985,8712022-08-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047830.048292+0.97%0.04516-5.58%0.0160✓0.919,2922022-08-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27860.281357+0.99%0.3105+11.45%0.2010✓1.1342k2022-08-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38785.4976+2.04%5.0769-5.77%0.0619✗0.19274k2022-08-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0699520.071882+2.76%0.069428-0.75%0.0747✓1.202.0M2022-08-20
TRXTRONTron0.0680150.069906+2.78%0.065857-3.17%0.0123✓0.79369k2022-08-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.14540.149521+2.83%0.147+1.10%0.0961✓1.2487k2022-08-20
CBKCobakEthereum1.07551.1221+4.33%0.94144-12.47%0.0731✗1.127,2992022-08-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.