XRD

Radix · native · lstm_s0

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1192

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0156

actual -0.0502

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000198612	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.000205609	-1.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000200201	-1.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000156689	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000152099	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.000140826	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000200877	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000267005	-1.04%	0.00020255	-24.93%	0.2539	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000298703	-1.19%	0.00020935	-30.75%	0.3294	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000310181	-1.22%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.4240	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000327289	-1.30%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.7165	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000312969	-1.18%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.7159	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000311416	-1.14%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7783	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000303103	-1.04%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.4155	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000312829	-1.03%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1440	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000329104	-1.08%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.1012	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000331118	-1.07%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0760	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000344246	-1.14%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0760	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000353782	-1.22%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1377	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000351591	-1.18%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.1280	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.000362594	-1.31%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1880	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000373324	-1.52%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1975	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000373562	-1.54%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.1186	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000398904	-2.18%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1571	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000405336	-2.41%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.1309	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000429753	-2.81%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1635	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.00044463	-2.92%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.2198	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000424697	-2.92%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1411	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.00045619	-3.04%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1807	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000482092	-3.02%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2474	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000518942	-1.54%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2658	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000456888	-2.64%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.1234	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.00052573	-3.73%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1520	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000505169	-3.81%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0780	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000545479	-3.91%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.2014	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.00055126	-4.31%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.1063	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000484987	-3.66%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.0783	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000532678	-4.13%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0566	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000487065	-3.52%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0045	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000477671	-3.13%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.1573	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000494891	-3.11%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.0808	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.00047326	-2.32%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.2015	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000479837	-2.07%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.1818	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000462329	-1.53%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.0747	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000473336	-1.31%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.1471	✗	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000428226	-1.22%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.1609	✗	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.00047916	-0.65%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0107	✗	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000470325	-0.40%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.0691	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000503479	+0.31%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0499	✗	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000488529	+1.16%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0174	✗	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000576812	+1.18%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2051	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000600762	+1.58%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2243	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000634296	+1.86%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3797	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000842912	+1.62%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5576	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000881258	+1.62%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6240	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000885913	+1.56%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5682	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000823461	+1.36%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5343	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000829691	+1.28%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3740	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000913899	+1.14%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4341	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000936109	+0.96%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4072	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000890352	+0.82%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0708	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000796116	+0.67%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0850	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000926126	+0.53%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0600	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000922461	-0.17%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1229	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000951262	-1.57%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1531	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001015	-2.38%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1568	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000879125	-1.32%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0196	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000912281	-1.53%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0766	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000943645	-1.76%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2182	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000905761	-1.48%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0279	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.00092394	-1.59%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0291	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000961868	-1.90%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0145	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000912853	-1.50%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1263	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000895543	-1.38%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0071	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000906646	-1.42%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0282	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000918718	-1.49%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0507	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000912517	-1.46%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0135	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000900335	-1.41%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0445	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000946344	-1.71%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0390	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000930946	-1.62%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0029	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000962848	-1.91%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0600	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000964778	-1.94%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0521	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000933195	-1.71%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0072	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000946644	-1.81%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0284	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.00094549	-1.73%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0333	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000947016	-1.78%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0143	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.00095945	-1.90%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0144	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000974087	-2.05%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0084	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000999645	-2.19%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0102	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000971764	-2.08%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0187	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001074	-3.30%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.1036	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000816652	-1.13%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1657	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000820678	-1.08%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1728	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000802737	-0.98%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2118	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000823995	-1.09%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.1969	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000834556	-1.13%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.1988	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000852322	-1.17%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1550	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000882367	-1.29%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2290	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000865184	-1.22%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0538	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000854288	-1.15%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0384	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000841558	-1.10%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0475	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000835559	-1.15%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0238	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000912886	-1.32%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0841	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000847073	-1.12%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0111	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000879337	-1.19%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0179	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000898984	-1.26%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0300	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.00090647	-1.31%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0640	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000890536	-1.24%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0565	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000899719	-1.25%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0507	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000919843	-1.33%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0048	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000886779	-1.27%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0383	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000869533	-1.26%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0140	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000881198	-1.30%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0227	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000877639	-1.30%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0316	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000840754	-1.18%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0431	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000848993	-1.16%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0493	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000861556	-1.14%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0543	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000855843	-1.08%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0298	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000885081	-1.10%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0201	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000906572	-1.09%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0262	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000934316	-1.13%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0422	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000961624	-1.17%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0927	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001044	-1.34%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1708	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001051	-1.37%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1632	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001095	-1.50%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2094	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001078	-1.46%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1643	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001086	-1.49%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1494	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001074	-1.45%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1078	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001089	-1.50%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.0961	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001103	-1.56%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0285	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001097	-1.58%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0145	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001109	-1.67%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0038	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001084	-1.62%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0095	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001094	-1.69%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0112	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001093	-1.73%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0211	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001106	-1.80%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0242	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001078	-1.69%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0182	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001043	-1.56%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0527	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001023	-1.39%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0757	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001017	-1.30%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0641	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001067	-1.54%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0434	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.00104	-1.39%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0844	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.001002	-1.28%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1570	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001026	-1.38%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1384	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001065	-1.43%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0823	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001055	-1.40%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.0939	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001072	-1.44%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0763	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001068	-1.44%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1057	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001103	-1.52%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0433	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001143	-1.63%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0443	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.0011	-1.44%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0023	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.001006	-1.20%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.1024	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.001004	-1.16%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0909	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001051	-1.23%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0548	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.00106	-1.17%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0606	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001069	-1.15%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0776	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001113	-1.24%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0522	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001134	-1.25%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0186	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001134	-1.21%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.1043	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001159	-1.23%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1186	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001179	-1.24%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0709	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001196	-1.13%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0793	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001208	-1.26%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0957	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001231	-1.25%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0579	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001237	-1.06%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0330	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001235	-0.91%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0317	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001244	-1.17%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0367	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001231	-1.13%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0207	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001246	-1.19%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0383	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001271	-1.02%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0153	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001261	-1.02%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0062	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001271	-1.21%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0405	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001247	-1.24%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0460	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001249	-1.20%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0168	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001245	-1.21%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0250	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001244	-1.34%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0404	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001261	-1.40%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0644	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001265	-1.39%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0555	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.00131	-1.43%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0516	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001346	-1.29%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0623	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001332	-1.42%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0668	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001309	-1.34%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0498	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001279	-1.05%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0152	✗	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001277	-1.04%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0389	✗	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001266	-1.35%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0140	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001268	-1.39%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0230	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001275	-1.51%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0007	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001268	-1.36%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0368	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001306	-1.23%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0111	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001225	-1.31%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0109	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001235	-1.32%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0030	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001223	-1.32%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0178	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001212	-1.28%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0390	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001162	-1.31%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0634	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001167	-1.28%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0586	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001181	-1.30%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0545	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001218	-1.37%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0303	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001235	-1.40%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0428	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.00125	-1.41%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0423	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001297	-1.55%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1420	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001203	-1.38%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0500	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001166	-1.33%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0778	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.001169	-1.29%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0712	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001153	-1.22%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0089	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001157	-1.19%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0326	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001189	-1.18%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0066	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001158	-0.98%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.0948	✗	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001181	-0.86%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0168	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001234	-0.93%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0593	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.00132	-1.01%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1184	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001441	-1.14%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1814	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001494	-1.13%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1941	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001506	-1.12%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1885	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001523	-1.11%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.1993	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001505	-1.05%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.2028	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001564	-1.10%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1848	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001559	-1.07%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0896	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001745	-1.38%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1608	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001758	-1.36%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1521	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001821	-1.41%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1252	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001841	-1.40%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1162	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.00184	-1.47%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1109	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001819	-1.49%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.1032	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001823	-1.53%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1383	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001789	-1.50%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0013	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001792	-1.57%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0223	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001778	-1.57%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0235	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001845	-1.84%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0912	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001807	-1.63%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0801	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001897	-2.15%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.0918	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001895	-2.23%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0693	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002029	-2.58%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1054	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002107	-2.68%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1080	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002018	-2.84%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1372	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002162	-3.11%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1334	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002133	-3.24%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1525	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002405	-3.68%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2200	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002348	-3.72%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2270	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002244	-3.60%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1266	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002248	-3.71%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1086	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002096	-3.70%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0770	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.00231	-4.22%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.1010	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002456	-4.57%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0797	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002309	-4.63%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.0935	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001791	-2.71%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3411	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001734	-2.19%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2866	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001716	-1.97%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2839	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001716	-1.97%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2893	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001572	-1.23%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.4932	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001572	-1.08%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5109	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001627	-1.32%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4247	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001744	-1.95%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0667	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001768	-1.49%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0097	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001797	-1.85%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0165	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001915	-2.95%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0699	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001926	-3.05%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1724	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.001983	-3.20%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.1998	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.00201	-3.12%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2061	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001987	-3.02%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0850	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001742	+0.47%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0208	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002025	-3.13%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0319	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002331	-3.77%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.0995	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002349	-3.86%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0864	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.00218	-3.64%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0007	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002349	-3.89%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0392	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002922	-4.44%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2901	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002892	-4.53%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.4012	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002735	-4.67%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1744	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002469	-4.51%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0580	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001855	-3.86%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3171	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001857	-3.94%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2412	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002316	-4.41%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.0809	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002434	-4.81%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2418	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002838	-6.39%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.0780	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002058	-5.43%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3327	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001578	-3.65%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.4928	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001256	-1.44%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4508	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001225	-1.32%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.4934	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001195	-1.21%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7386	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001234	-1.25%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7616	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001236	-1.22%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9317	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001139	-1.05%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.6884	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001076	-1.04%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4617	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001062	-1.02%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1737	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001043	-0.96%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1572	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001054	-0.92%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1092	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001283	-1.05%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0581	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001411	-1.16%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1515	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001426	-1.16%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2642	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001466	-1.15%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3134	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001463	-1.15%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2862	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001493	-1.26%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3434	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001493	-1.28%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3364	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001493	-1.29%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1462	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.00148	-1.29%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0566	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001472	-1.29%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0542	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.00148	-1.28%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0459	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.00151	-1.34%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0832	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001532	-1.35%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0470	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001527	-1.34%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0361	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001489	-1.29%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0086	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001497	-1.29%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0137	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001525	-1.30%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0215	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001483	-1.24%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0013	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001505	-1.23%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0306	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001542	-1.25%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0140	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001532	-1.22%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0152	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001509	-1.17%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0067	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001451	-1.05%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0289	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001573	-1.15%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0305	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001554	-1.09%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0301	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001685	-1.19%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1207	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001742	-1.22%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1131	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001755	-1.18%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.1059	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001727	-1.14%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.1032	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001754	-1.11%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1144	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.00179	-1.14%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0647	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001826	-1.15%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1074	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001837	-1.18%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0362	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001846	-1.18%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0261	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001882	-1.21%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0669	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001928	-1.25%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1070	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001916	-1.22%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0813	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001875	-1.19%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0217	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002084	-1.36%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1350	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001997	-1.30%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1184	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.002059	-1.34%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.0978	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002025	-1.31%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0448	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002075	-1.37%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0450	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002125	-1.43%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.0992	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002209	-1.54%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1811	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002097	-1.43%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0307	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002084	-1.39%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0098	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002041	-1.28%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0130	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002029	-1.10%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0512	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002009	-0.96%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0129	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002091	-1.11%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0169	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002104	-1.22%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0752	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002344	-1.48%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0353	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002341	-1.46%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0603	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002473	-1.67%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.0977	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002463	-1.65%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0601	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002454	-1.63%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0841	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002506	-1.71%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0189	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002342	-1.43%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0241	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002323	-1.40%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1413	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002396	-1.46%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1523	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.00241	-1.49%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1645	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002309	-1.38%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1583	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002321	-1.38%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1732	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002265	-1.29%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1367	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002289	-1.29%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0622	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002316	-1.27%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0005	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002423	-1.39%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0105	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002524	-1.45%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0376	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.00254	-1.47%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0113	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.0025	-1.42%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0133	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002462	-1.39%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0131	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002526	-1.42%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0151	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002507	-1.40%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0753	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002523	-1.41%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0646	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002532	-1.42%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0597	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002503	-1.42%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0493	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002554	-1.43%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0114	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002612	-1.46%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0223	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002516	-1.37%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0118	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002578	-1.40%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0690	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002728	-1.51%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.1060	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002714	-1.47%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.1232	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002572	-1.18%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0644	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002546	-0.90%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0349	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002326	+0.22%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.1074	✓	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.002595	-0.90%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0210	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002725	-1.08%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0136	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002835	-1.18%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0324	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002844	-1.10%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0432	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002756	-0.67%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0138	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003091	-1.17%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.1064	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003649	-1.52%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3255	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.00356	-1.42%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1811	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003498	-1.57%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1514	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003587	-1.35%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1248	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003494	-1.36%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.1072	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003686	-1.48%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1597	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003814	-1.52%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.1006	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003911	-1.71%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0655	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003836	-1.85%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.1079	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.00371	-1.88%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.1192	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003714	-1.82%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1333	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003732	-1.68%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1784	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003708	-1.28%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1362	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003786	-1.21%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.1202	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003801	-0.92%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0863	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003983	-1.28%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0805	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.004062	-1.19%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0961	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.004086	-1.08%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0966	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004242	-1.15%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0737	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004185	-1.00%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0326	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.00452	-1.24%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0934	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004535	-1.17%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0689	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.