XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s0

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1822

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0677

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.074119	-6.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.072912	-6.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.070969	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.071329	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.073311	-6.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.077402	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.080332	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.074709	-6.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.077288	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.074936	-6.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.082919	-6.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.081733	-6.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.078935	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.077982	-6.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.08167	-6.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.083765	-6.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.08856	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.090026	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.08875	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.086265	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.089016	-7.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.087461	-7.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.088453	-7.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.09108	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.099056	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.104029	-6.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.1058	-7.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.102634	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.083988	-6.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.091018	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.093	-5.09%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.0836	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.083159	-6.81%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.0941	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.086028	-6.68%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1306	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.087537	-6.69%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1530	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.081125	-7.20%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1274	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.07477	-7.66%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0019	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.075683	-7.57%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0083	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.077742	-7.36%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0312	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.071613	-7.95%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0293	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.074144	-7.39%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0008	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.076999	-6.64%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0219	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.07871	-6.40%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0133	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.08398	-5.84%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.0687	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.092695	-5.74%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1655	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.087845	-5.48%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.0860	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.085211	-4.88%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0519	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.089448	-3.94%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0609	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.090554	-2.84%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.0746	✓	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.095096	-1.42%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0637	✓	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.080654	-3.15%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0126	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.080794	-2.23%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0088	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.082975	-1.07%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0344	✗	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.083527	-0.67%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0213	✗	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.087666	+0.92%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0186	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.086218	+1.95%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0865	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.094637	+4.91%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0898	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.091657	+4.49%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1322	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.094894	+4.89%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0519	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.102994	+5.78%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2295	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.106956	+5.23%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2525	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.09938	+6.04%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1804	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.108316	+6.61%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2434	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.089779	+1.02%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.1154	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.077445	-3.69%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0126	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.071209	-6.17%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0287	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.071353	-6.21%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1115	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.070124	-6.28%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1135	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.071029	-6.34%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1463	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.071491	-6.38%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2051	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.070537	-6.39%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1628	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.069179	-6.41%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1194	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.073507	-6.39%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1431	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.07368	-6.35%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1114	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.071809	-6.27%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0235	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.071352	-6.22%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0385	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.071087	-6.16%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0930	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.070449	-6.17%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0481	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.070321	-6.20%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0357	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.072795	-6.55%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0724	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.072241	-6.88%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1561	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.070836	-6.79%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1474	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.070022	-6.82%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1567	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.068496	-6.87%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1130	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.073081	-6.37%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1079	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.072163	-6.46%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1276	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.07834	-6.24%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.1903	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.07376	-6.46%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1380	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.080151	-5.98%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1385	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.078181	-6.09%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0711	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.079537	-6.04%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0268	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.076094	-6.23%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0349	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.079988	-5.79%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0028	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.078766	-5.84%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0123	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.080017	-5.92%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0815	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.07508	-6.62%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0107	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.077493	-6.30%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0116	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.080087	-6.00%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0445	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.08131	-5.89%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0521	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.086869	-5.58%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0924	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.087901	-5.69%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1210	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.083797	-6.37%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1503	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.083105	-6.47%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0521	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.084881	-6.62%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0791	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.085541	-6.87%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1273	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.088459	-7.28%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.1929	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.084391	-7.16%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.1732	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.091262	-7.63%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2178	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.100479	-7.99%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3070	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.098269	-7.86%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2435	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.098214	-7.87%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2450	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.09822	-7.95%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2803	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.088261	-7.19%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.1917	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.084593	-6.84%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2092	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.080861	-6.63%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.1769	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.096034	-8.45%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.2962	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.08805	-8.09%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1424	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.092372	-8.41%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2350	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.095042	-8.35%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2165	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.096026	-8.46%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2367	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.084554	-8.09%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.0665	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.081807	-7.87%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.0623	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.078559	-7.41%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0289	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.082158	-7.89%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0582	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.08703	-7.71%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0457	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.093855	-6.89%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1832	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.091357	-6.59%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1445	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.1058	-6.04%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.2044	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.085603	-6.24%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0536	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.084817	-5.92%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1192	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.084427	-5.77%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1164	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.082689	-4.95%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1364	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.078866	-4.52%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.1140	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.07149	-5.19%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2349	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.057358	-6.28%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.4077	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.062224	-5.86%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3919	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.065911	-5.84%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3408	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.065262	-5.83%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.4142	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.062115	-5.17%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4919	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.063819	-4.75%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4551	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.079338	-6.00%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.3093	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.086187	-8.21%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2463	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.080293	-6.85%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2879	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.085267	-8.32%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.2952	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.082487	-7.42%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3679	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.084212	-7.46%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5059	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.082478	-7.02%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4456	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.087259	-8.63%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4385	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.079305	-6.81%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.5842	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.081784	-7.17%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6059	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.080072	-6.95%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5278	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.075764	-6.81%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.4962	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.078425	-6.97%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3661	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.07644	-7.01%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4359	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.083049	-7.41%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4223	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.080712	-7.44%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5342	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.075396	-7.66%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5707	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.077343	-7.65%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6523	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.077151	-7.71%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4286	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.079891	-7.85%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3785	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.081878	-8.00%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3826	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.088483	-8.16%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3432	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.086295	-8.39%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3042	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.087914	-8.47%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2069	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.093369	-8.82%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0003	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.097589	-9.09%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0339	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.097116	-8.55%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0369	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.100691	-8.63%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0252	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.097704	-8.35%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0001	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.091914	-8.13%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0503	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.085138	-8.01%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.2881	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.081173	-8.18%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4160	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.082328	-8.22%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2514	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.08349	-7.85%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2308	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.084051	-7.74%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1354	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.084326	-7.54%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1204	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.086321	-7.23%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0692	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.089108	-7.28%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1200	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.091346	-7.17%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0164	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.09359	-7.06%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0101	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.092633	-7.51%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0666	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.092234	-7.81%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1175	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.093218	-7.75%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0714	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.093644	-7.97%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0805	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.093409	-8.96%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0623	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.09483	-9.34%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1134	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.093228	-10.23%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1887	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.098544	-9.88%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1852	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.116387	-8.64%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3365	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.128453	-8.77%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4490	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.119021	-9.18%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3702	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.121879	-9.05%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3656	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.127748	-8.75%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3968	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.112424	-9.52%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3415	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.124675	-8.80%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3540	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.118406	-9.16%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2649	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.11156	-9.41%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2119	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.113063	-9.33%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1944	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.118258	-9.24%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2529	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.108814	-9.40%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3222	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.110416	-9.23%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.4027	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.1068	-8.99%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4294	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.101121	-8.32%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3422	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.103609	-13.01%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3608	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.097297	-8.21%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2659	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.086129	-7.24%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1051	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.081471	-7.79%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0501	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.079649	-7.81%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0232	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.082256	-7.21%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0431	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.083265	-6.71%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0558	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.087955	-6.08%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0468	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.094836	-5.64%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0666	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.09208	-5.75%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0579	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.090957	-5.79%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0305	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.085203	-6.42%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0148	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.086789	-6.38%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0474	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.088335	-6.28%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0951	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.093031	-6.03%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0450	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.10219	-5.77%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.1048	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.112253	-5.31%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.2026	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.117213	-5.32%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1126	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.102091	-4.99%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2461	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.103842	-5.81%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2349	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.102186	-5.69%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1994	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.100437	-5.69%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2568	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.093971	-5.65%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2705	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.093329	-5.87%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2397	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.084952	-6.65%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.3292	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.08678	-6.74%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2782	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.088356	-6.80%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2721	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.092171	-6.61%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2583	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.109852	-7.65%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.1394	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.1078	-5.60%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1417	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.106279	-8.14%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.1465	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.098091	-6.22%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0936	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.091659	-6.09%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0429	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.09555	-6.23%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.0731	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.086368	-5.82%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0018	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.089265	-5.64%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0193	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.097079	-6.11%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0476	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.082049	-5.80%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0320	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.081932	-5.83%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0649	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.084231	-5.94%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0875	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.090666	-6.24%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0023	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.089147	-6.31%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0241	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.087644	-6.41%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0150	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.08637	-6.48%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0016	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.090078	-6.75%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0432	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.094881	-7.16%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0850	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.089837	-6.61%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1746	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.095246	-6.80%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1621	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.091087	-6.39%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0852	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.08599	-6.38%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1457	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.075953	-6.92%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2744	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.075196	-7.22%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.3123	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.077738	-7.07%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2456	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.076824	-6.99%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2617	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.078147	-6.75%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1694	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.078146	-6.69%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2719	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.073818	-6.44%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.1314	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.088311	-6.89%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2632	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.088449	-6.99%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4461	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.096607	-7.06%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3497	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.0943	-6.91%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4797	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.09887	-6.99%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3682	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.112353	-8.54%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4493	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.11464	-8.80%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4401	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.130561	-9.96%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3611	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.124921	-9.74%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3767	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.113124	-9.39%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.5087	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.107607	-9.27%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4738	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.117079	-9.31%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4249	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.11316	-9.04%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.4004	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.112073	-8.77%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4750	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.115393	-8.42%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4269	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.110468	-8.40%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4555	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.123006	-8.07%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4707	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.120262	-8.48%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5477	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.129634	-7.67%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5074	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.134331	-7.17%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4211	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.13225	-7.39%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4675	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.152159	-5.96%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3003	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.151612	-6.24%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3105	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.142224	-7.23%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.1978	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.15299	-7.00%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0546	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.149154	-7.36%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0496	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.15677	-7.35%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0169	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.152871	-7.41%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0806	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.165745	-7.25%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0458	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.193544	-7.48%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0420	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.177877	-6.28%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0837	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.179406	-6.85%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1735	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.184827	-7.03%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2207	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.18214	-6.88%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1917	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.160595	-6.08%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1355	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.151562	-5.98%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1706	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.15456	-5.64%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1617	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.149617	-5.43%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0546	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.147036	-5.38%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0745	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.14462	-5.54%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1520	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.13177	-5.71%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0969	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.125495	-5.78%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0066	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.125341	-5.76%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.122167	-5.95%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0174	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.120634	-6.05%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.121513	-6.02%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0038	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.129049	-5.80%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.123031	-6.23%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.110803	-7.12%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1298	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.116587	-6.92%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1136	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.124507	-6.70%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.126385	-6.55%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1320	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.142176	-6.19%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0500	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.146666	-6.10%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.138952	-6.37%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1622	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.153689	-5.86%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0702	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.