TMX
TermMax · Ethereum · lstm_s0
- token id
- #846
- symbol
- TMX
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3c2f61f2e27c865981d2e7aaf6b2cdf823030039
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1099
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0008
actual -0.0500
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.01012 | 0.010089 | -0.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.22 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00992 | 0.009893 | -0.27% | 0.01012 | +2.02% | 0.0153 | ✗ | 3.21 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009157 | -0.25% | 0.00992 | +8.06% | 0.0389 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00918 | 0.009159 | -0.23% | 0.00918 | +0.00% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.008945 | 0.008925 | -0.22% | 0.00918 | +2.63% | 0.0347 | ✗ | 3.16 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008375 | 0.008357 | -0.22% | 0.008945 | +6.81% | 0.0441 | ✗ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007985 | 0.007966 | -0.24% | 0.008375 | +4.88% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 3.14 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.00795 | 0.00793 | -0.25% | 0.007985 | +0.44% | 0.0311 | ✗ | 3.18 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008672 | -0.21% | 0.00795 | -8.52% | 0.1087 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.010375 | 0.010352 | -0.22% | 0.00869 | -16.24% | 0.1166 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.01041 | 0.010387 | -0.22% | 0.010375 | -0.34% | 0.0528 | ✓ | 3.13 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.01259 | 0.012543 | -0.38% | 0.01041 | -17.32% | 0.1151 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.011045 | 0.011016 | -0.26% | 0.01259 | +13.99% | 0.1062 | ✗ | 2.97 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010635 | 0.010608 | -0.26% | 0.011045 | +3.86% | 0.0273 | ✗ | 2.95 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.010685 | 0.010656 | -0.27% | 0.010635 | -0.47% | 0.0325 | ✓ | 2.94 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01237 | 0.01233 | -0.32% | 0.010685 | -13.62% | 0.0875 | ✓ | 2.90 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012635 | 0.012588 | -0.37% | 0.01237 | -2.10% | 0.0663 | ✗ | 3.12 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.014305 | 0.014234 | -0.49% | 0.012635 | -11.67% | 0.1116 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.01564 | 0.0155 | -0.89% | 0.014305 | -8.54% | 0.0529 | ✓ | 3.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.011575 | 0.011521 | -0.47% | 0.01564 | +35.12% | 0.2492 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.0112 | 0.011116 | -0.75% | 0.011575 | +3.35% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 2.74 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.01535 | 0.015174 | -1.15% | 0.0112 | -27.04% | 0.2929 | ✓ | 2.64 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00878 | 0.008759 | -0.24% | 0.01535 | +74.83% | 0.5285 | ✗ | 2.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.008885 | 0.008867 | -0.20% | 0.00878 | -1.18% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.008805 | 0.008788 | -0.20% | 0.008885 | +0.91% | 0.0064 | ✗ | 2.13 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.01078 | 0.010775 | -0.05% | 0.008805 | -18.32% | 0.1774 | ✓ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.012155 | 0.012168 | +0.11% | 0.01078 | -11.31% | 0.1222 | ✗ | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.011725 | 0.011742 | +0.15% | 0.012155 | +3.67% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01571 | 0.015732 | +0.14% | 0.011725 | -25.37% | 0.2872 | ✗ | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.01868 | 0.018691 | +0.06% | 0.01571 | -15.90% | 0.1738 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.02111 | 0.0211 | -0.05% | 0.01868 | -11.51% | 0.1005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.02088 | 0.020874 | -0.03% | 0.02111 | +1.10% | 0.0158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.02122 | 0.021232 | +0.05% | 0.02088 | -1.60% | 0.0815 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.02048 | 0.020505 | +0.12% | 0.02122 | +3.61% | 0.0352 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.02102 | 0.021057 | +0.18% | 0.02048 | -2.57% | 0.0322 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.022235 | 0.022291 | +0.25% | 0.02102 | -5.46% | 0.1163 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.02379 | 0.023856 | +0.28% | 0.022235 | -6.54% | 0.0730 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.026725 | 0.026801 | +0.28% | 0.02379 | -10.98% | 0.1266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.032755 | 0.032826 | +0.22% | 0.026725 | -18.41% | 0.1719 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.02957 | 0.029662 | +0.31% | 0.032755 | +10.77% | 0.0814 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.03304 | 0.033152 | +0.34% | 0.02957 | -10.50% | 0.1083 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.03 | 0.030115 | +0.38% | 0.03304 | +10.13% | 0.0920 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.030845 | 0.030979 | +0.44% | 0.03 | -2.74% | 0.0409 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.036275 | 0.036452 | +0.49% | 0.030845 | -14.97% | 0.1444 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.04783 | 0.048045 | +0.45% | 0.036275 | -24.16% | 0.2789 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.055525 | 0.055766 | +0.43% | 0.04783 | -13.86% | 0.1453 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.078715 | 0.078879 | +0.21% | 0.055525 | -29.46% | 0.3354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.094865 | 0.094882 | +0.02% | 0.078715 | -17.02% | 0.1931 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.0947 | 0.094807 | +0.11% | 0.094865 | +0.17% | 0.0013 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.11449 | 0.114423 | -0.06% | 0.0947 | -17.29% | 0.1694 | ✓ | 1.00 |