QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s0

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

73.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1508

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0131

actual -0.0675

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.007354	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007917	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008354	-1.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.00856	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008831	-1.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008832	-1.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008931	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008759	-1.25%	0.007425	-16.29%	0.1858	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008896	-1.37%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.1044	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009015	-1.26%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0643	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009507	-1.23%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0729	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009611	-1.27%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0507	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009341	-0.94%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0282	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009317	-0.93%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0343	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009277	-0.67%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0243	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009872	-0.58%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0618	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.010142	-0.72%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0603	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010901	-1.44%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0935	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011202	-2.12%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1196	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010775	-1.64%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1109	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010188	-0.80%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0430	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010283	-1.31%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0928	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010584	-1.77%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0823	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011114	-2.17%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1120	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010677	-1.32%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0130	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011038	-1.67%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0328	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.0102	-0.58%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0671	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009985	-0.25%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0233	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010097	-0.33%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0401	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009953	+0.13%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1083	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009729	+0.24%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.1913	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008515	-0.46%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2033	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008675	-0.40%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2229	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.00867	-0.35%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1342	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008564	-0.88%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0642	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.0086	-0.81%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0710	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008754	-0.92%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0189	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008679	-0.36%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0252	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008861	-0.71%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0839	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009777	-0.39%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1583	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010077	-0.33%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1855	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.01057	-0.66%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.1996	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011376	+0.62%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2498	✗	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.01127	+1.17%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.2146	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012796	-0.30%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.3759	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.011043	+2.39%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1733	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011135	+2.54%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.0976	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009963	+2.34%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0412	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008491	+2.06%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2844	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.00745	-0.46%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.4066	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007931	-0.23%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.3285	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008687	+1.60%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.3851	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008972	+1.38%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1595	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.0091	+1.45%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1624	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009565	+1.32%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0010	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010631	+1.06%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2530	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010094	+0.79%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.2853	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011209	+0.71%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3342	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011688	+0.62%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.3091	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011753	+0.46%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2832	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011805	+0.22%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2843	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.01198	+0.08%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2343	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.011913	-1.14%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.1887	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011828	-1.76%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2607	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011645	-2.80%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.2010	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011343	-2.64%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1410	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011263	-2.74%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1362	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011005	-2.61%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.0972	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011203	-2.58%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1121	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011253	-2.66%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0459	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010761	-2.08%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0434	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010919	-1.98%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0795	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011459	-2.06%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0102	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011701	-1.88%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0118	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011641	-1.76%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0090	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011662	-1.67%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0059	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011534	-1.59%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0110	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011329	-1.40%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0182	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011463	-1.39%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0234	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011218	-1.25%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0376	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012097	-1.49%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0275	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012058	-1.57%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0388	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011548	-1.30%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0062	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012083	-1.32%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0262	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013019	-1.67%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1316	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013706	-2.03%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1666	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013722	-1.98%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1868	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015298	-2.56%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2047	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014837	-2.52%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1797	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014436	-2.33%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2008	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.01643	-2.73%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2918	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016478	-2.61%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2040	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016658	-2.61%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1565	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016985	-2.64%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1819	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016675	-2.54%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0651	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017939	-2.64%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1610	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018022	-2.90%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.1996	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019326	-3.37%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1431	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.01674	-3.10%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0003	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.01842	-3.71%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0869	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013166	-2.25%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2795	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016481	-3.76%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0394	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.029182	-6.62%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4584	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012938	-1.61%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3610	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013281	-1.84%	0.02	+47.82%	0.4091	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012488	-1.74%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3260	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011797	-1.49%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4835	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012444	-1.62%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0787	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012652	-1.73%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.3028	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012114	-1.71%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9480	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.01179	-1.83%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.1103	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010901	-1.70%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2187	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.01425	-3.65%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1197	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.01004	-1.37%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1914	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009026	-0.92%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3431	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010104	-1.23%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2453	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009437	-0.77%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2684	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009613	-0.64%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2237	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009486	-0.25%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1573	✗	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.01036	-0.86%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3545	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010886	-1.04%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0753	✓	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.011945	-1.20%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.2817	✓	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012003	-1.17%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1710	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011582	-1.01%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2080	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012401	-1.07%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2557	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013208	-1.14%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3342	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012264	-0.94%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1621	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.011951	-0.78%	0.011	-8.68%	0.0834	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012773	-0.83%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0560	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013293	-0.80%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.0911	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.01366	-0.62%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1549	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014742	-0.72%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1622	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015389	-0.78%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1411	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015394	-0.20%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2182	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016935	-0.64%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3408	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017793	-0.99%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3214	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.01769	-0.68%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2765	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017928	-0.01%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2632	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019494	-0.59%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2704	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019791	-0.90%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2440	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020784	-1.08%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3010	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021261	-1.25%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2292	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021742	-1.40%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2164	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022108	-1.46%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2534	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021179	-1.35%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2119	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022041	-1.43%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1581	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020837	-1.25%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0725	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021368	-1.35%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0509	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.02273	-1.63%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.0964	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021761	-1.62%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0072	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022735	-1.69%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0245	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021855	-1.51%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0277	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.0241	-1.73%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0793	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024602	-1.79%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1645	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026585	-1.83%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2136	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025537	-2.02%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.1030	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027443	-1.81%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2146	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028138	-1.79%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.1978	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027968	-1.64%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2365	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027967	-1.51%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1438	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027772	-1.27%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1142	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028693	-1.50%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0624	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027932	-1.27%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0758	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027984	-1.15%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0095	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027622	-1.03%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0295	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028897	-1.28%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0177	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029033	-1.32%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0080	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029879	-1.39%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0737	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029658	-1.21%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0088	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.02993	-1.29%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0511	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030422	-1.48%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0952	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029913	-1.54%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1146	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.03111	-1.65%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0857	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031411	-1.78%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0902	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.03259	-2.43%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1202	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033898	-2.70%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.1939	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033393	-2.59%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1549	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034281	-2.64%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1361	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034115	-2.31%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1145	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.03509	-2.68%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1170	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034738	-2.64%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.0926	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036203	-2.60%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0550	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035025	-2.38%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0266	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033871	-2.51%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033043	-2.47%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0439	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034339	-2.83%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0469	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.03429	-2.81%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0252	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.