PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s0
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 132
Track record at +1d
assessed
43
of 44 predictions shown
direction hit
51.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1141
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0034
actual -0.0441
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001409 | 0.001221 | -13.36% | – | pending | – | – | 3.56 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001925 | -3.16% | 0.001409 | -29.10% | 0.3016 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003272 | +0.19% | 0.001988 | -39.13% | 0.5499 | ✗ | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.00364 | +0.07% | 0.003266 | -10.21% | 0.1005 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.003953 | +0.04% | 0.003638 | -7.96% | 0.1130 | ✗ | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004815 | -0.31% | 0.003952 | -18.17% | 0.1918 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.005052 | -0.37% | 0.004829 | -4.76% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004844 | -0.21% | 0.005071 | +4.47% | 0.0197 | ✗ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004328 | +0.02% | 0.004854 | +12.18% | 0.1908 | ✓ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.00493 | -0.10% | 0.004327 | -12.32% | 0.2005 | ✓ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005681 | -0.44% | 0.004935 | -13.50% | 0.0426 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004834 | +0.02% | 0.005705 | +18.04% | 0.1276 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.004979 | +0.07% | 0.004834 | -2.84% | 0.0479 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005439 | +0.02% | 0.004975 | -8.51% | 0.1327 | ✗ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005452 | -0.07% | 0.005437 | -0.33% | 0.0802 | ✗ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005921 | -0.35% | 0.005456 | -8.18% | 0.0365 | ✗ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005706 | -0.27% | 0.005941 | +3.85% | 0.0513 | ✗ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005942 | -0.32% | 0.005721 | -4.03% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.005948 | -0.18% | 0.005961 | +0.04% | 0.0914 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006925 | -0.28% | 0.005959 | -14.18% | 0.1629 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007488 | -0.29% | 0.006944 | -7.52% | 0.0570 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.008061 | -0.27% | 0.007509 | -7.10% | 0.1423 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.007211 | -0.24% | 0.008083 | +11.82% | 0.1187 | ✗ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.008252 | -0.22% | 0.007228 | -12.59% | 0.1345 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008503 | -0.19% | 0.00827 | -2.93% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008914 | -0.18% | 0.00852 | -4.60% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010905 | -0.34% | 0.00893 | -18.38% | 0.2035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012945 | -0.88% | 0.010942 | -16.22% | 0.1646 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.011046 | -0.43% | 0.01306 | +17.73% | 0.1674 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.010134 | -0.26% | 0.011093 | +9.17% | 0.1117 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.010158 | -0.29% | 0.010161 | -0.26% | 0.0049 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008959 | -0.39% | 0.010187 | +13.26% | 0.0636 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008825 | -0.40% | 0.008994 | +1.50% | 0.0199 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009922 | -0.57% | 0.008861 | -11.21% | 0.1175 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.008055 | -0.39% | 0.00998 | +23.42% | 0.1567 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007502 | -0.33% | 0.008086 | +7.43% | 0.0723 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.007447 | -0.31% | 0.007527 | +0.76% | 0.0033 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.00916 | -0.53% | 0.00747 | -18.88% | 0.1703 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007904 | -0.39% | 0.009209 | +16.06% | 0.1350 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008358 | -0.45% | 0.007935 | -5.49% | 0.0459 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.008148 | -0.44% | 0.008396 | +2.59% | 0.0292 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006728 | -0.19% | 0.008184 | +21.42% | 0.1872 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.007003 | -0.26% | 0.00674 | -4.01% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.009176 | -0.47% | 0.007021 | -23.84% | 0.2655 | ✓ | 1.00 |