ORBIO
Orbio.so · Robinhood · lstm_s0
- token id
- #603
- symbol
- ORBIO
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xaa07a0e9209e16ac99708c3ec70159c6ef3128a3
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2025-10-31
- predictions
- 282
Track record at +1d
assessed
92
of 94 predictions shown
direction hit
58.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1552
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0168
actual -0.0290
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.042665 | 0.0421 | -1.32% | – | pending | – | – | 2.76 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04217 | 0.041405 | -1.81% | 0.042665 | +1.17% | 0.0380 | ✗ | 2.75 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.02143 | 0.020973 | -2.13% | 0.04217 | +96.78% | 0.6675 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.02085 | 0.020123 | -3.48% | 0.02143 | +2.78% | 0.0677 | ✗ | 2.32 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.02767 | 0.027416 | -0.92% | 0.02085 | -24.65% | 0.2925 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.033189 | 0.032841 | -1.05% | 0.02767 | -16.63% | 0.1678 | ✓ | 2.41 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.029376 | 0.029074 | -1.03% | 0.033189 | +12.98% | 0.1512 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.033658 | 0.033391 | -0.79% | 0.029376 | -12.72% | 0.1453 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.036243 | 0.035834 | -1.13% | 0.033658 | -7.13% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 2.45 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.036532 | 0.036148 | -1.05% | 0.036243 | -0.79% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.053783 | 0.053077 | -1.31% | 0.036532 | -32.08% | 0.3285 | ✓ | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.061248 | 0.060344 | -1.48% | 0.053783 | -12.19% | 0.1337 | ✓ | 2.02 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.059795 | 0.058844 | -1.59% | 0.061248 | +2.43% | 0.0311 | ✗ | 2.03 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.04242 | 0.041661 | -1.79% | 0.059795 | +40.96% | 0.3419 | ✗ | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.050383 | 0.049477 | -1.80% | 0.04242 | -15.80% | 0.1230 | ✓ | 1.61 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.0534 | 0.052323 | -2.02% | 0.050383 | -5.65% | 0.0012 | ✓ | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.067695 | 0.066483 | -1.79% | 0.0534 | -21.12% | 0.2159 | ✓ | 1.34 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.093694 | 0.091887 | -1.93% | 0.067695 | -27.75% | 0.2968 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.106073 | 0.103026 | -2.87% | 0.093694 | -11.67% | 0.1216 | ✓ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.077989 | 0.0765 | -1.91% | 0.106073 | +36.01% | 0.3232 | ✗ | 1.29 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.086255 | 0.084286 | -2.28% | 0.077989 | -9.58% | 0.0736 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.089951 | 0.087569 | -2.65% | 0.086255 | -4.11% | 0.0305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066876 | 0.065581 | -1.94% | 0.089951 | +34.50% | 0.3170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.070965 | 0.06946 | -2.12% | 0.066876 | -5.76% | 0.0401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.09187 | 0.088739 | -3.41% | 0.070965 | -22.75% | 0.2115 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.073202 | 0.071387 | -2.48% | 0.09187 | +25.50% | 0.2517 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.075834 | 0.073515 | -3.06% | 0.073202 | -3.47% | 0.0081 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.06129 | 0.059833 | -2.38% | 0.075834 | +23.73% | 0.2405 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.066113 | 0.064181 | -2.92% | 0.06129 | -7.30% | 0.0462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.06097 | 0.059187 | -2.92% | 0.066113 | +8.43% | 0.1320 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.079604 | 0.075474 | -5.19% | 0.06097 | -23.41% | 0.2088 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.055348 | 0.053338 | -3.63% | 0.079604 | +43.83% | 0.3356 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.055756 | 0.053276 | -4.45% | 0.055348 | -0.73% | 0.0391 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.039451 | 0.038243 | -3.06% | 0.055756 | +41.33% | 0.3726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.05045 | 0.047327 | -6.19% | 0.039451 | -21.80% | 0.2396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.028547 | 0.027639 | -3.18% | 0.05045 | +76.73% | 0.5991 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.016078 | 0.015861 | -1.35% | 0.028547 | +77.56% | 0.5803 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.014214 | 0.014031 | -1.29% | 0.016078 | +13.11% | 0.1698 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.015351 | 0.015146 | -1.34% | 0.014214 | -7.41% | 0.0813 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.017236 | 0.016978 | -1.49% | 0.015351 | -10.93% | 0.0947 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.019674 | 0.01932 | -1.80% | 0.017236 | -12.39% | 0.1149 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-12-31 | oos | 0.000001625 | 0.000001413 | -13.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-30 | oos | 0.00000113 | 9.41e-7 | -16.77% | 0.000001625 | +43.81% | 0.5603 | ✗ | 1.31 |
| 2025-12-29 | oos | 7.70e-7 | 6.31e-7 | -17.99% | 0.00000113 | +46.75% | 0.5669 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-12-28 | oos | 0.000001475 | 0.000001213 | -17.76% | 7.70e-7 | -47.80% | 0.4464 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2025-12-27 | oos | 0.000010515 | 0.00001048 | -0.34% | 0.000001475 | -85.97% | 1.9618 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-26 | oos | 0.0000094 | 0.000009399 | -0.01% | 0.000010515 | +11.86% | 0.1052 | ✗ | 1.20 |
| 2025-12-25 | oos | 0.000010125 | 0.000010112 | -0.13% | 0.0000094 | -7.16% | 0.0747 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-24 | oos | 0.00001055 | 0.000010532 | -0.17% | 0.000010125 | -4.03% | 0.0334 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-23 | oos | 0.00001092 | 0.0000109 | -0.18% | 0.00001055 | -3.39% | 0.0351 | ✓ | 1.21 |
| 2025-12-22 | oos | 0.000011015 | 0.000010993 | -0.20% | 0.00001092 | -0.86% | 0.0089 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-21 | oos | 0.000011205 | 0.000011187 | -0.16% | 0.000011015 | -1.70% | 0.0143 | ✓ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-20 | oos | 0.000012685 | 0.000012611 | -0.58% | 0.000011205 | -11.67% | 0.1227 | ✓ | 1.24 |
| 2025-12-19 | oos | 0.00001168 | 0.000011646 | -0.29% | 0.000012685 | +8.60% | 0.0822 | ✗ | 1.22 |
| 2025-12-18 | oos | 0.00000956 | 0.000009573 | +0.14% | 0.00001168 | +22.18% | 0.1701 | ✓ | 0.95 |
| 2025-12-17 | oos | 0.00001037 | 0.000010381 | +0.10% | 0.00000956 | -7.81% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 0.94 |
| 2025-12-16 | oos | 0.000011705 | 0.000011699 | -0.05% | 0.00001037 | -11.41% | 0.1034 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2025-12-15 | oos | 0.000011695 | 0.000011712 | +0.14% | 0.000011705 | +0.09% | 0.0152 | ✗ | 0.89 |
| 2025-12-14 | oos | 0.00001267 | 0.000012671 | +0.01% | 0.000011695 | -7.70% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-13 | oos | 0.00001356 | 0.00001353 | -0.22% | 0.00001267 | -6.56% | 0.0455 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2025-12-12 | oos | 0.00001467 | 0.000014622 | -0.33% | 0.00001356 | -7.57% | 0.0752 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-11 | oos | 0.0000154 | 0.000015323 | -0.50% | 0.00001467 | -4.74% | 0.0218 | ✓ | 0.88 |
| 2025-12-10 | oos | 0.00001543 | 0.000015362 | -0.44% | 0.0000154 | -0.19% | 0.0023 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-09 | oos | 0.00001567 | 0.000015599 | -0.45% | 0.00001543 | -1.53% | 0.0047 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2025-12-08 | oos | 0.00001497 | 0.00001495 | -0.13% | 0.00001567 | +4.68% | 0.0293 | ✗ | 0.80 |
| 2025-12-07 | oos | 0.00001525 | 0.000015247 | -0.02% | 0.00001497 | -1.84% | 0.0205 | ✓ | 0.79 |
| 2025-12-06 | oos | 0.00001655 | 0.000016563 | +0.08% | 0.00001525 | -7.85% | 0.0931 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-05 | oos | 0.00001659 | 0.000016629 | +0.24% | 0.00001655 | -0.24% | 0.0041 | ✗ | 0.83 |
| 2025-12-04 | oos | 0.00001745 | 0.000017458 | +0.05% | 0.00001659 | -4.93% | 0.0255 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2025-12-03 | oos | 0.00001792 | 0.000017921 | +0.01% | 0.00001745 | -2.62% | 0.0142 | ✗ | 0.85 |
| 2025-12-02 | oos | 0.00001724 | 0.000017313 | +0.43% | 0.00001792 | +3.94% | 0.0165 | ✓ | 0.77 |
| 2025-12-01 | oos | 0.0000197 | 0.00001983 | +0.66% | 0.00001724 | -12.49% | 0.2122 | ✗ | 1.28 |
| 2025-11-30 | oos | 0.00002392 | 0.000023961 | +0.17% | 0.0000197 | -17.64% | 0.1486 | ✗ | 1.02 |
| 2025-11-29 | oos | 0.0000277 | 0.000027686 | -0.05% | 0.00002392 | -13.65% | 0.1411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-28 | oos | 0.0000295 | 0.00002947 | -0.10% | 0.0000277 | -6.10% | 0.0611 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-27 | oos | 0.00003306 | 0.000032948 | -0.34% | 0.0000295 | -10.77% | 0.1060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-26 | oos | 0.00003177 | 0.000031745 | -0.08% | 0.00003306 | +4.06% | 0.0312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-25 | oos | 0.0000334 | 0.000033418 | +0.05% | 0.00003177 | -4.88% | 0.0859 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-24 | oos | 0.0000359 | 0.000035836 | -0.18% | 0.0000334 | -6.96% | 0.0597 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-23 | oos | 0.0000382 | 0.000038125 | -0.20% | 0.0000359 | -6.02% | 0.0768 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-22 | oos | 0.0000403 | 0.000040232 | -0.17% | 0.0000382 | -5.21% | 0.0766 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-21 | oos | 0.0000402 | 0.000040165 | -0.09% | 0.0000403 | +0.25% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-20 | oos | 0.0000423 | 0.000042222 | -0.18% | 0.0000402 | -4.96% | 0.0320 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-19 | oos | 0.0000444 | 0.000044229 | -0.39% | 0.0000423 | -4.73% | 0.0108 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-18 | oos | 0.0000462 | 0.000045992 | -0.45% | 0.0000444 | -3.90% | 0.0195 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-17 | oos | 0.0000431 | 0.000043015 | -0.20% | 0.0000462 | +7.19% | 0.0626 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-16 | oos | 0.0000421 | 0.00004205 | -0.12% | 0.0000431 | +2.38% | 0.0470 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-15 | oos | 0.0000407 | 0.000040716 | +0.04% | 0.0000421 | +3.44% | 0.0478 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-14 | oos | 0.0000395 | 0.000039628 | +0.32% | 0.0000407 | +3.04% | 0.0157 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-13 | oos | 0.000041 | 0.000041034 | +0.08% | 0.0000395 | -3.66% | 0.0146 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-12 | oos | 0.0000422 | 0.000042201 | +0.00% | 0.000041 | -2.84% | 0.0088 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-11 | oos | 0.000037 | 0.000037068 | +0.18% | 0.0000422 | +14.05% | 0.1431 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-10 | oos | 0.0000469 | 0.000046758 | -0.30% | 0.000037 | -21.11% | 0.2056 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-11-09 | oos | 0.0000557 | 0.000055473 | -0.41% | 0.0000469 | -15.80% | 0.1801 | ✓ | 1.00 |