NES
Nesa · Ethereum · lstm_s0
- token id
- #366
- symbol
- NES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-24
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +7d
assessed
104
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
64.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1135
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0227
actual -0.0633
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.11832 | 0.1163 | -1.71% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12079 | 0.1187 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114105 | 0.112144 | -1.72% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.118045 | 0.116052 | -1.69% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.11967 | 0.117765 | -1.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.122125 | 0.12026 | -1.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.138695 | 0.136506 | -1.58% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.146385 | 0.143945 | -1.67% | 0.11832 | -19.17% | 0.1963 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.136455 | 0.134289 | -1.59% | 0.12079 | -11.48% | 0.1059 | ✓ | 0.04 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.13391 | 0.131716 | -1.64% | 0.114105 | -14.79% | 0.1436 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14095 | 0.138576 | -1.68% | 0.118045 | -16.25% | 0.1605 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.14031 | 0.138015 | -1.64% | 0.11967 | -14.71% | 0.1435 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.13735 | 0.135252 | -1.53% | 0.122125 | -11.08% | 0.1026 | ✓ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13322 | 0.131428 | -1.35% | 0.138695 | +4.11% | 0.0540 | ✗ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.137455 | 0.135649 | -1.31% | 0.146385 | +6.50% | 0.0752 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.137615 | 0.136108 | -1.10% | 0.136455 | -0.84% | 0.0006 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.14428 | 0.142896 | -0.96% | 0.13391 | -7.19% | 0.0703 | ✓ | -0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.14974 | 0.148466 | -0.85% | 0.14095 | -5.87% | 0.0575 | ✓ | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.14604 | 0.144614 | -0.98% | 0.14031 | -3.92% | 0.0343 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.14854 | 0.146951 | -1.07% | 0.13735 | -7.53% | 0.0716 | ✓ | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.1514 | 0.14965 | -1.16% | 0.13322 | -12.01% | 0.1225 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.15126 | 0.149393 | -1.23% | 0.137455 | -9.13% | 0.0838 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.16081 | 0.158562 | -1.40% | 0.137615 | -14.42% | 0.1397 | ✓ | -0.09 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1614 | 0.159007 | -1.48% | 0.14428 | -10.61% | 0.0963 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.16563 | 0.162736 | -1.75% | 0.14974 | -9.59% | 0.0831 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.163905 | 0.16188 | -1.24% | 0.14604 | -10.90% | 0.1029 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.15964 | 0.157709 | -1.21% | 0.14854 | -6.95% | 0.0595 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.16505 | 0.163065 | -1.20% | 0.1514 | -8.27% | 0.0739 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.16465 | 0.162375 | -1.38% | 0.15126 | -8.13% | 0.0715 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.168615 | 0.166882 | -1.03% | 0.16081 | -4.63% | 0.0329 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.16943 | 0.167981 | -0.86% | 0.1614 | -4.74% | 0.0348 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.16252 | 0.159051 | -2.13% | 0.16563 | +1.91% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.162175 | 0.158691 | -2.15% | 0.163905 | +1.07% | 0.0296 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.15727 | 0.153938 | -2.12% | 0.15964 | +1.51% | 0.0337 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.15382 | 0.150439 | -2.20% | 0.16505 | +7.30% | 0.0903 | ✗ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.16251 | 0.158373 | -2.55% | 0.16465 | +1.32% | 0.0364 | ✗ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1658 | 0.161168 | -2.79% | 0.168615 | +1.70% | 0.0417 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15123 | 0.148042 | -2.11% | 0.16943 | +12.03% | 0.1196 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.14991 | 0.146721 | -2.13% | 0.16252 | +8.41% | 0.0944 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15991 | 0.15605 | -2.41% | 0.162175 | +1.42% | 0.0322 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.149955 | 0.145505 | -2.97% | 0.15727 | +4.88% | 0.0716 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.144685 | 0.139714 | -3.44% | 0.15382 | +6.31% | 0.0965 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.11554 | 0.113723 | -1.57% | 0.16251 | +40.65% | 0.3664 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1225 | 0.120547 | -1.59% | 0.1658 | +35.35% | 0.3310 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13114 | 0.129189 | -1.49% | 0.15123 | +15.32% | 0.1611 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1288 | 0.126878 | -1.49% | 0.14991 | +16.39% | 0.1817 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12945 | 0.127269 | -1.68% | 0.15991 | +23.53% | 0.2391 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1378 | 0.135759 | -1.48% | 0.149955 | +8.82% | 0.1098 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.13944 | 0.137799 | -1.18% | 0.144685 | +3.76% | 0.0687 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13736 | 0.134694 | -1.94% | 0.11554 | -15.89% | 0.1573 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.14057 | 0.137712 | -2.03% | 0.1225 | -12.85% | 0.1213 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.14442 | 0.141536 | -2.00% | 0.13114 | -9.20% | 0.0783 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.156 | 0.153362 | -1.69% | 0.1288 | -17.44% | 0.1856 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.15359 | 0.150721 | -1.87% | 0.12945 | -15.72% | 0.1590 | ✓ | 0.34 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.14335 | 0.138879 | -3.12% | 0.1378 | -3.87% | 0.0156 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14355 | 0.140355 | -2.23% | 0.13944 | -2.86% | 0.0110 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1493 | 0.145609 | -2.47% | 0.13736 | -8.00% | 0.0499 | ✓ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1605 | 0.157126 | -2.10% | 0.14057 | -12.42% | 0.1057 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13701 | 0.128441 | -6.25% | 0.14442 | +5.41% | 0.1197 | ✗ | 0.46 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.195165 | 0.19349 | -0.86% | 0.156 | -20.07% | 0.2148 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.205345 | 0.20364 | -0.83% | 0.15359 | -25.20% | 0.2920 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.220915 | 0.219819 | -0.50% | 0.14335 | -35.11% | 0.4238 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.215955 | 0.212918 | -1.41% | 0.14355 | -33.53% | 0.4560 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.206503 | -3.25% | 0.1493 | -30.05% | 0.4166 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.20579 | 0.198137 | -3.72% | 0.1605 | -22.01% | 0.3537 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.21233 | 0.204287 | -3.79% | 0.13701 | -35.47% | 0.5502 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.214555 | 0.207106 | -3.47% | 0.195165 | -9.04% | 0.2296 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.20837 | 0.201441 | -3.33% | 0.205345 | -1.45% | 0.1442 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.20957 | 0.20273 | -3.26% | 0.220915 | +5.41% | 0.0914 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.20644 | 0.199885 | -3.18% | 0.215955 | +4.61% | 0.0399 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.200645 | 0.194431 | -3.10% | 0.21345 | +6.38% | 0.0192 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.203145 | 0.19685 | -3.10% | 0.20579 | +1.30% | 0.0295 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.204145 | 0.197723 | -3.15% | 0.21233 | +4.01% | 0.0639 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.20451 | 0.198067 | -3.15% | 0.214555 | +4.91% | 0.1073 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.208985 | 0.202379 | -3.16% | 0.20837 | -0.29% | 0.0547 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.197031 | -3.11% | 0.20957 | +3.05% | 0.0877 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.20365 | 0.197556 | -2.99% | 0.20644 | +1.37% | 0.0554 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.19656 | 0.191007 | -2.83% | 0.200645 | +2.08% | 0.0660 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.2043 | 0.198582 | -2.80% | 0.203145 | -0.57% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.20654 | 0.200738 | -2.81% | 0.204145 | -1.16% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.204585 | 0.198981 | -2.74% | 0.20451 | -0.04% | 0.0076 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.211265 | 0.205479 | -2.74% | 0.208985 | -1.08% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.20703 | 0.201541 | -2.65% | 0.20336 | -1.77% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.214655 | 0.20947 | -2.42% | 0.20365 | -5.13% | 0.0212 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.219455 | 0.214136 | -2.42% | 0.19656 | -10.43% | 0.0969 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.217385 | 0.212369 | -2.31% | 0.2043 | -6.02% | 0.0420 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.219565 | -2.31% | 0.20654 | -8.10% | 0.0575 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.241925 | 0.236372 | -2.30% | 0.204585 | -15.43% | 0.1190 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.2425 | 0.236621 | -2.42% | 0.211265 | -12.88% | 0.0914 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.253825 | 0.247008 | -2.69% | 0.20703 | -18.44% | 0.1583 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.262472 | -2.82% | 0.214655 | -20.53% | 0.1960 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.270695 | 0.264099 | -2.44% | 0.219455 | -18.93% | 0.1515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.23121 | 0.227635 | -1.55% | 0.217385 | -5.98% | 0.0051 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.22897 | 0.22501 | -1.73% | 0.22475 | -1.84% | 0.0224 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.223245 | 0.219564 | -1.65% | 0.241925 | +8.37% | 0.0868 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.225605 | 0.221911 | -1.64% | 0.2425 | +7.49% | 0.0965 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.238 | 0.233403 | -1.93% | 0.253825 | +6.65% | 0.0809 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.24992 | 0.244356 | -2.23% | 0.2701 | +8.07% | 0.0803 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.23956 | 0.235015 | -1.90% | 0.270695 | +13.00% | 0.1204 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.242325 | 0.237725 | -1.90% | 0.23121 | -4.59% | 0.0510 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.246155 | 0.240297 | -2.38% | 0.22897 | -6.98% | 0.0945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.2359 | 0.230945 | -2.10% | 0.223245 | -5.36% | 0.0486 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.266755 | 0.258362 | -3.15% | 0.225605 | -15.43% | 0.1515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.276415 | 0.266397 | -3.62% | 0.238 | -13.90% | 0.1091 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.273545 | 0.263092 | -3.82% | 0.24992 | -8.64% | 0.0607 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.29756 | 0.282953 | -4.91% | 0.23956 | -19.49% | 0.2055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.27962 | 0.267972 | -4.17% | 0.242325 | -13.34% | 0.1266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.252165 | 0.244708 | -2.96% | 0.246155 | -2.38% | 0.0334 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.27204 | 0.260915 | -4.09% | 0.2359 | -13.28% | 0.1032 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.236725 | 0.230596 | -2.59% | 0.266755 | +12.69% | 0.1348 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22291 | 0.217616 | -2.37% | 0.276415 | +24.00% | 0.2138 | ✗ | 1.00 |