MOE

MOE · Mantle · lstm_s0

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

62.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1015

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0221

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000337608	-2.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000354197	-2.48%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000344453	-3.64%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0396	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.000403741	-3.43%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1197	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000416043	-4.54%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0027	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.00043079	-6.00%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0131	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000413505	-8.70%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.1105	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000402407	-11.31%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.1114	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000498055	-11.04%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.0746	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000592931	-11.04%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.0739	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000606395	-13.74%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.1179	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000311695	+0.55%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000318417	+0.45%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0519	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000320853	+0.52%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0327	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000396732	-0.24%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0823	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000401284	-0.28%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0003	✓	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000396621	-0.45%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0031	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000447214	-0.18%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1338	✓	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.000491888	-0.27%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0198	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000485051	-0.24%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0562	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000469004	-0.19%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0317	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.000464712	-0.21%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0177	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000499531	-0.35%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0206	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000538982	-0.61%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0070	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000513467	-1.39%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0470	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000541678	-0.41%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0263	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000548749	-0.43%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0064	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000507098	-0.41%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0465	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000497976	-0.44%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0364	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000497167	-0.45%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0115	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.000547341	-0.48%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0885	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000539843	-0.40%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0880	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000497534	-0.25%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0287	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000508643	-0.27%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0176	✗	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.000500596	-0.18%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0223	✓	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000519648	-0.37%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0166	✗	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000534352	-0.64%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0351	✓	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000490737	+0.07%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0047	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000513749	-0.09%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0308	✗	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000533487	-0.08%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0589	✓	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000488237	+0.50%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0509	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000570256	+0.04%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.0909	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000589028	-0.20%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1508	✗	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000618793	-0.18%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0292	✓	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.0006292	-0.21%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0888	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000620826	-0.04%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0370	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000665409	+0.08%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1791	✗	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.000630209	+0.30%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0198	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000820711	-0.86%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0258	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000681021	+0.15%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0486	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000711599	+0.23%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.1021	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000593823	+0.46%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1897	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000650317	+0.36%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1129	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000592283	+0.28%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2548	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000690618	+0.12%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0535	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000754363	-0.16%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0776	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000788207	-0.23%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0314	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000799382	-0.20%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0264	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000817019	-0.36%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0556	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000675125	-0.72%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1369	✗	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000633891	-1.52%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0355	✗	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000678808	-1.62%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0472	✓	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000726963	-1.76%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0407	✓	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000682933	-3.81%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.1306	✗	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000791739	-2.25%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1119	✓	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.000875205	-1.66%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1077	✓	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001085	-0.49%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1560	✓	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001407	-0.22%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3299	✓	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001361	-0.64%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0960	✗	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001538	-0.79%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1510	✓	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001552	-1.18%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0010	✓	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001442	-1.93%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0876	✗	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001565	-2.20%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0615	✓	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.001379	-4.25%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1516	✗	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.00125	-6.70%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1843	✗	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001677	-4.69%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.0962	✓	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001273	-9.73%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.1967	✗	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001578	-8.25%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.0148	✓	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.001904	-7.13%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.0444	✓	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002247	-6.37%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0198	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002318	-7.30%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0043	✓	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002099	-10.28%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0980	✓	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002469	-9.24%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.0294	✓	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.002844	-8.26%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.0291	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.003909	-4.89%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.1688	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004366	-4.87%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0571	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004781	-4.77%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.0675	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006211	-2.80%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2205	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006356	-4.14%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0787	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.004339	-11.10%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.3157	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.00447	-12.70%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0619	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.006774	-7.20%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2007	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009152	-3.16%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2341	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010684	-2.07%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2408	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013512	-1.51%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1988	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010038	-3.21%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.2080	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.012978	-1.38%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2852	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016597	-1.09%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2319	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015815	-1.22%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0609	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019604	-1.54%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1984	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020338	-1.51%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0900	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017795	-0.92%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2344	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.02255	-1.18%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1669	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.025957	-1.83%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0351	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.02252	-1.57%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0413	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019965	-1.36%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1321	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020329	-2.54%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0067	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016225	-1.67%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2147	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012719	-1.02%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1913	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.01267	-1.09%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0148	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013117	-1.31%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0448	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011116	-0.75%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2068	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015149	-2.45%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2854	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.01201	-1.71%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2469	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007904	+0.05%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4514	✓	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.009031	-0.32%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0961	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009925	-0.45%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0988	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009956	-0.44%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008402	+0.03%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1775	✓	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007546	+0.34%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1295	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006856	+0.52%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.0980	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007687	+0.35%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1237	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011145	-0.31%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3468	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013662	-0.42%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1424	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015902	-1.17%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1479	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012331	-0.40%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2504	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010703	-0.34%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1159	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009801	-0.29%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0918	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010955	-0.32%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1223	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011834	-0.39%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0623	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009392	+0.02%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1891	✓	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009365	+0.06%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.011501	-0.25%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1672	✓	1.00