META2

META2 · · lstm_s0

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +1d

assessed

75

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2084

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0329

actual -0.0115

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.6808	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6529	-0.53%	17.7705	+0.13%	0.0100	✗	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5346	-0.58%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0031	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.566	-0.63%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0064	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.6987	-0.71%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0099	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.5402	-0.82%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0178	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.5638	-1.03%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0158	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.3389	-2.21%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0153	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.4226	-2.50%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0400	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.5657	-2.16%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0025	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9825	-0.69%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0279	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.9792	-0.76%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0044	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.7417	-0.81%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0153	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7047	-0.92%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0026	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.918	-1.11%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0220	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.7393	-2.08%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0585	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.7716	-2.27%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0226	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.3427	-0.82%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0494	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1529	-0.89%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0104	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1306	-0.94%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0062	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.2169	-1.01%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0106	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1151	-1.16%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0058	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.488	-1.45%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0464	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.8649	-3.20%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0458	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9325	-0.95%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1042	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4331	-0.95%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0387	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7084	-0.98%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0129	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.9603	-1.02%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0002	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.4933	-1.05%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0381	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.5162	-1.12%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0447	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.0877	-1.17%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0454	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.8283	-1.07%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0082	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.2893	-1.11%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1218	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.9936	-1.36%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3531	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9531	-1.39%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0776	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.9384	-1.57%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0104	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.8811	-1.82%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0069	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.8363	-2.18%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0839	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.7462	-2.62%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0057	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.6427	-3.18%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0434	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.8017	-3.87%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0772	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.4239	-5.37%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0444	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.5057	-10.48%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.1566	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.5709	-5.09%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0527	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.0965	-11.74%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.8159	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.0486	-13.48%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.1972	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.6667	-3.87%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6355	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.476	-13.50%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.6574	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.4119	-15.04%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.2502	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.377	-16.06%	4.016	-0.17%	0.0508	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.3343	-17.06%	4.023	+0.07%	0.1932	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.0424	-17.39%	4.02	-34.14%	0.1616	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.6487	-0.33%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9531	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	41.0013	-0.34%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0319	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	41.0424	-0.45%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0234	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.4669	-0.57%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0495	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.1182	-1.39%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3904	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	40.152	-1.27%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3848	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.7195	-0.41%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0549	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	40.3525	-0.52%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0532	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	51.7156	-1.36%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2517	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.4808	-0.50%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5587	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.567	-0.65%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0681	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.4629	-0.81%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0422	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.2228	-1.07%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0529	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.9069	-2.30%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	30.2693	-0.92%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0146	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	30.2399	-1.09%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0131	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.9148	-2.36%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0211	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.1472	-19.69%	30.638	+493.30%	2.0069	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.4385	-0.84%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7742	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.2471	-1.59%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0166	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.2819	-2.02%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0209	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.855	-3.06%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0492	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.9378	-3.02%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0292	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.478	-1.35%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0125	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.