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LIT

Lighter · Ethereum · lstm_s0

token id
#67
symbol
LIT
variant
–
chain
Ethereum
address
0x232ce3bd40fcd6f80f3d55a522d03f25df784ee2
cohort
datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar
2026-01-22
predictions
795
+1d+7d+30d

Track record at +30d

assessed
235
of 265 predictions shown
direction hit
47.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3483
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0939
actual +0.0936

History

as ofsplitanchor pxpred pxpred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90d
2026-10-22oos3.81043.4812-8.64%–pending––1.27
2026-10-21oos3.76183.4375-8.62%–pending––1.29
2026-10-20oos3.38263.0913-8.61%–pending––1.29
2026-10-19oos3.09472.8171-8.97%–pending––1.27
2026-10-18oos3.07522.7994-8.97%–pending––1.30
2026-10-17oos3.11462.8377-8.89%–pending––1.30
2026-10-16oos3.17522.8974-8.75%–pending––1.30
2026-10-15oos3.02532.7444-9.29%–pending––1.30
2026-10-14oos3.08422.8014-9.17%–pending––1.31
2026-10-13oos3.34763.0588-8.63%–pending––1.29
2026-10-12oos3.37593.0842-8.64%–pending––1.31
2026-10-11oos3.83473.5167-8.29%–pending––1.31
2026-10-10oos3.63723.3273-8.52%–pending––1.38
2026-10-09oos3.62623.3127-8.65%–pending––1.38
2026-10-08oos3.60613.2915-8.72%–pending––1.38
2026-10-07oos3.57273.2499-9.04%–pending––1.44
2026-10-06oos3.81543.4776-8.85%–pending––1.42
2026-10-05oos4.01873.6705-8.66%–pending––1.43
2026-10-04oos3.66433.311-9.64%–pending––1.47
2026-10-03oos3.56673.2075-10.07%–pending––1.48
2026-10-02oos3.55123.1842-10.33%–pending––1.49
2026-10-01oos3.80483.4317-9.81%–pending––1.48
2026-09-30oos3.94993.5683-9.66%–pending––1.50
2026-09-29oos3.93283.538-10.04%–pending––1.48
2026-09-28oos4.44134.0013-9.91%–pending––1.51
2026-09-27oos4.65474.19-9.98%–pending––1.47
2026-09-26oos4.8444.344-10.32%–pending––1.48
2026-09-25oos4.85224.34-10.56%–pending––1.48
2026-09-24oos5.07294.524-10.82%–pending––1.48
2026-09-23oos5.31964.7033-11.58%–pending––1.47
2026-09-22oos5.06674.5371-10.45%3.8104-24.80%0.1387✓1.54
2026-09-21oos4.73864.2718-9.85%3.7618-20.61%0.0839✓1.43
2026-09-20oos4.77454.2298-11.41%3.3826-29.15%0.2594✓1.66
2026-09-19oos4.80924.2526-11.57%3.0947-35.65%0.3301✓1.65
2026-09-18oos4.76874.2135-11.64%3.0752-35.51%0.3377✓1.64
2026-09-17oos4.81074.239-11.88%3.1146-35.26%0.4248✓1.83
2026-09-16oos4.60354.0611-11.78%3.1752-31.03%0.3691✓1.81
2026-09-15oos4.01953.5792-10.95%3.0253-24.73%0.3186✓1.81
2026-09-14oos4.38853.8777-11.64%3.0842-29.72%0.3039✓1.77
2026-09-13oos4.11323.6521-11.21%3.3476-18.61%0.2242✓1.74
2026-09-12oos4.21583.7312-11.50%3.3759-19.92%0.1975✓1.73
2026-09-11oos4.35183.8381-11.80%3.8347-11.88%0.1396✓1.72
2026-09-10oos4.29233.7902-11.70%3.6372-15.26%0.1800✓1.74
2026-09-09oos4.52623.9908-11.83%3.6262-19.88%0.1870✓1.72
2026-09-08oos4.82974.2402-12.21%3.6061-25.33%0.2331✓1.75
2026-09-07oos4.72484.1775-11.59%3.5727-24.38%0.2486✓1.79
2026-09-06oos4.51484.0546-10.19%3.8154-15.49%0.1706✓1.75
2026-09-05oos4.75474.2507-10.60%4.0187-15.48%0.1814✓1.75
2026-09-04oos4.82894.3273-10.39%3.6643-24.12%0.3038✓1.67
2026-09-03oos4.44214.045-8.94%3.5667-19.71%0.1994✓1.75
2026-09-02oos3.79143.4747-8.35%3.5512-6.34%0.1131✓1.52
2026-09-01oos3.523.2425-7.88%3.8048+8.09%0.0169✓1.56
2026-08-31oos3.56643.3001-7.47%3.9499+10.75%0.0956✗1.37
2026-08-30oos3.52833.2686-7.36%3.9328+11.46%0.1167✗0.92
2026-08-29oos3.55373.3073-6.93%4.4413+24.97%0.2351✗0.92
2026-08-28oos3.49623.2719-6.42%4.6547+33.14%0.2771✗0.92
2026-08-27oos3.71083.4958-5.79%4.844+30.54%0.2810✗0.90
2026-08-26oos3.45183.2582-5.61%4.8522+40.57%0.3438✗0.88
2026-08-25oos3.28373.1348-4.54%5.0729+54.48%0.4192✗0.86
2026-08-24oos3.39993.2516-4.36%5.3196+56.46%0.4344✗0.88
2026-08-23oos3.57213.3884-5.14%5.0667+41.84%0.3017✗0.97
2026-08-22oos3.18943.0835-3.32%4.7386+48.58%0.3180✗0.96
2026-08-21oos3.12673.0669-1.91%4.7745+52.70%0.4081✗0.97
2026-08-20oos2.66822.5747-3.50%4.8092+80.24%0.5379✗0.81
2026-08-19oos2.60372.4411-6.24%4.7687+83.15%0.5168✗0.99
2026-08-18oos2.35882.1738-7.84%4.8107+103.95%0.6379✗0.94
2026-08-17oos2.332.1405-8.14%4.6035+97.57%0.6029✗0.98
2026-08-16oos2.27712.0846-8.45%4.0195+76.51%0.4734✗0.99
2026-08-15oos2.2622.0674-8.60%4.3885+94.01%0.5416✗0.98
2026-08-14oos2.2352.0395-8.75%4.1132+84.03%0.5060✗0.99
2026-08-13oos2.27132.0716-8.79%4.2158+85.61%0.5185✗0.97
2026-08-12oos2.33562.1269-8.94%4.3518+86.32%0.5153✗1.02
2026-08-11oos2.41812.1939-9.27%4.2923+77.50%0.4837✗1.01
2026-08-10oos2.38242.1659-9.09%4.5262+89.98%0.5300✗1.02
2026-08-09oos2.30352.1025-8.73%4.8297+109.67%0.6285✗1.07
2026-08-08oos2.28222.0854-8.63%4.7248+107.03%0.6057✗1.07
2026-08-07oos2.29842.1008-8.60%4.5148+96.43%0.5399✗1.05
2026-08-06oos2.37442.1604-9.01%4.7547+100.25%0.5580✗1.06
2026-08-05oos2.18492.0036-8.30%4.8289+121.01%0.6525✗1.08
2026-08-04oos2.05841.888-8.28%4.4421+115.80%0.6067✗1.05
2026-08-03oos2.00551.8352-8.49%3.7914+89.05%0.5217✗1.03
2026-08-02oos2.03281.8546-8.77%3.52+73.16%0.4313✗1.06
2026-08-01oos2.01721.8393-8.82%3.5664+76.80%0.4299✗1.03
2026-07-31oos2.06691.8855-8.78%3.5283+70.70%0.4068✗1.04
2026-07-30oos2.282.0736-9.05%3.5537+55.87%0.3568✗0.96
2026-07-29oos2.17811.9847-8.88%3.4962+60.52%0.3814✗0.94
2026-07-28oos2.29842.0818-9.42%3.7108+61.45%0.3686✗0.91
2026-07-27oos2.12861.9349-9.10%3.4518+62.16%0.3856✗0.90
2026-07-26oos2.14311.9444-9.28%3.2837+53.22%0.3614✗0.88
2026-07-25oos2.06261.8642-9.62%3.3999+64.84%0.4148✗0.90
2026-07-24oos2.03191.8318-9.85%3.5721+75.80%0.4969✗0.89
2026-07-23oos2.1621.9444-10.07%3.1894+47.52%0.3501✗0.86
2026-07-22oos2.30052.0591-10.49%3.1267+35.92%0.2783✗0.82
2026-07-21oos2.34532.0949-10.68%2.6682+13.77%0.1655✗0.82
2026-07-20oos2.1791.938-11.06%2.6037+19.49%0.2502✗0.74
2026-07-19oos2.20981.9507-11.73%2.3588+6.74%0.1900✗0.75
2026-07-18oos2.25641.9811-12.20%2.33+3.26%0.1658✗0.73
2026-07-17oos2.28922.0045-12.44%2.2771-0.53%0.1411✗0.81
2026-07-16oos2.28591.9977-12.61%2.262-1.05%0.1343✓0.85
2026-07-15oos2.41662.119-12.31%2.235-7.51%0.0751✓0.80
2026-07-14oos2.59282.282-11.99%2.2713-12.40%0.0146✓0.79
2026-07-13oos2.30422.0161-12.50%2.3356+1.36%0.1347✗0.68
2026-07-12oos2.63192.3137-12.09%2.4181-8.12%0.0461✓0.59
2026-07-11oos2.57742.2702-11.92%2.3824-7.56%0.0469✓0.60
2026-07-10oos2.68962.373-11.77%2.3035-14.36%0.0373✓0.68
2026-07-09oos2.39652.114-11.79%2.2822-4.77%0.0594✓0.63
2026-07-08oos2.332.055-11.80%2.2984-1.35%0.0835✓0.68
2026-07-07oos2.45752.1643-11.93%2.3744-3.38%0.0829✓0.66
2026-07-06oos2.57692.263-12.18%2.1849-15.21%0.0413✓0.67
2026-07-05oos2.4582.1613-12.07%2.0584-16.26%0.0537✓0.67
2026-07-04oos2.2011.9378-11.96%2.0055-8.88%0.0304✓0.65
2026-07-03oos2.11361.862-11.90%2.0328-3.82%0.0779✓0.64
2026-07-02oos2.06891.8135-12.35%2.0172-2.50%0.0934✓0.63
2026-07-01oos2.07121.8031-12.94%2.0669-0.21%0.1060✓0.65
2026-06-30oos1.8491.6308-11.80%2.28+23.31%0.2793✗0.55
2026-06-29oos1.86031.6381-11.95%2.1781+17.08%0.2515✗0.55
2026-06-28oos1.72741.527-11.60%2.2984+33.05%0.3683✗0.57
2026-06-27oos1.71961.5209-11.56%2.1286+23.78%0.3023✗0.56
2026-06-26oos1.82281.6087-11.75%2.1431+17.57%0.2390✗0.56
2026-06-25oos1.60911.4298-11.14%2.0626+28.18%0.3264✗0.54
2026-06-24oos1.69591.4973-11.71%2.0319+19.82%0.2789✗0.53
2026-06-23oos1.50471.3347-11.29%2.162+43.68%0.4559✗0.70
2026-06-22oos1.60941.4249-11.46%2.3005+42.95%0.4574✗0.66
2026-06-21oos1.56761.3869-11.53%2.3453+49.61%0.4927✗0.65
2026-06-20oos1.55671.3742-11.72%2.179+39.98%0.4514✗0.63
2026-06-19oos1.54561.3642-11.74%2.2098+42.97%0.4697✗0.68
2026-06-18oos1.61181.4252-11.57%2.2564+39.99%0.4387✗0.69
2026-06-17oos1.72071.5141-12.01%2.2892+33.04%0.4187✗0.62
2026-06-16oos1.73351.5276-11.88%2.2859+31.87%0.4210✗0.63
2026-06-15oos1.68961.4932-11.62%2.4166+43.03%0.4977✗0.68
2026-06-14oos1.68671.4885-11.76%2.5928+53.72%0.5621✗0.65
2026-06-13oos1.63191.4402-11.75%2.3042+41.20%0.4930✗0.67
2026-06-12oos1.53731.355-11.86%2.6319+71.19%0.6619✗0.63
2026-06-11oos1.55811.3736-11.84%2.5774+65.42%0.6272✗0.63
2026-06-10oos1.39161.2231-12.11%2.6896+93.27%0.7650✗0.54
2026-06-09oos1.58311.4048-11.26%2.3965+51.38%0.5212✗0.54
2026-06-08oos1.47451.3077-11.31%2.33+58.02%0.5853✗0.59
2026-06-07oos1.43341.2711-11.32%2.4575+71.44%0.6591✗0.60
2026-06-06oos1.43071.2774-10.72%2.5769+80.11%0.6714✗0.60
2026-06-05oos1.50841.352-10.37%2.458+62.95%0.5714✗0.64
2026-06-04oos1.45311.3037-10.28%2.201+51.47%0.5319✗0.72
2026-06-03oos1.78541.6037-10.18%2.1136+18.38%0.2939✗0.74
2026-06-02oos1.60391.4417-10.11%2.0689+28.99%0.4389✗0.96
2026-06-01oos1.34381.198-10.85%2.0712+54.13%0.7916✗1.41
2026-05-31oos1.37651.2343-10.33%1.849+34.33%0.7326✗1.43
2026-05-30oos1.3691.2269-10.38%1.8603+35.89%0.6933✗1.36
2026-05-29oos1.25911.1148-11.46%1.7274+37.19%0.7204✗1.35
2026-05-28oos1.17221.0434-10.99%1.7196+46.70%0.7758✗1.35
2026-05-27oos1.13381.0161-10.38%1.8228+60.77%0.8794✗1.38
2026-05-26oos1.18321.0603-10.39%1.6091+35.99%0.7455✗1.37
2026-05-25oos1.37961.2429-9.91%1.6959+22.92%0.6001✗1.22
2026-05-24oos1.29131.1559-10.49%1.5047+16.53%0.5130✗1.21
2026-05-23oos1.22751.1048-10.00%1.6094+31.11%0.5913✗1.19
2026-05-22oos1.19061.078-9.45%1.5676+31.67%0.5843✗1.19
2026-05-21oos1.4261.2705-10.90%1.5567+9.16%0.4083✗1.09
2026-05-20oos1.27641.1434-10.42%1.5456+21.09%0.5202✗1.10
2026-05-19oos1.14151.0413-8.78%1.6118+41.20%0.6526✗1.08
2026-05-18oos0.95090.880136-7.44%1.7207+80.95%0.8703✗1.13
2026-05-17oos0.863450.796652-7.74%1.7335+100.76%0.9695✗1.16
2026-05-16oos0.87980.811802-7.73%1.6896+92.04%0.9238✗1.16
2026-05-15oos0.8580.790965-7.81%1.6867+96.59%0.9722✗1.16
2026-05-14oos0.91520.846533-7.50%1.6319+78.31%0.9210✗1.15
2026-05-13oos0.8970.828053-7.69%1.5373+71.39%0.8877✗1.21
2026-05-12oos0.926550.856302-7.58%1.5581+68.16%0.8822✗1.20
2026-05-11oos0.999750.925703-7.41%1.3916+39.19%0.7444✗1.18
2026-05-10oos1.05680.981763-7.10%1.5831+49.80%0.8178✗1.18
2026-05-09oos1.05420.975548-7.46%1.4745+39.87%0.7067✗1.19
2026-05-08oos1.0810.99907-7.58%1.4334+32.60%0.6426✗1.19
2026-05-07oos0.990650.917394-7.39%1.4307+44.42%0.7691✗1.19
2026-05-06oos0.953850.886056-7.11%1.5084+58.14%0.8893✗1.24
2026-05-05oos0.966850.898513-7.07%1.4531+50.29%0.7278✗1.04
2026-05-04oos0.90290.835682-7.44%1.7854+97.74%0.9761✗0.98
2026-05-03oos0.92210.853445-7.45%1.6039+73.94%0.7958✗1.00
2026-05-02oos0.9080.839117-7.59%1.3438+48.00%0.5706✗1.01
2026-05-01oos0.90350.836178-7.45%1.3765+52.35%0.5608✗1.02
2026-04-30oos0.883750.816236-7.64%1.369+54.91%0.5519✗1.03
2026-04-29oos0.948450.878093-7.42%1.2591+32.75%0.3935✗1.03
2026-04-28oos0.896050.826436-7.77%1.1722+30.81%0.3917✗1.13
2026-04-27oos0.86350.792317-8.24%1.1338+31.30%0.4040✗1.14
2026-04-26oos0.91640.845971-7.69%1.1832+29.12%0.3777✗1.14
2026-04-25oos0.92960.860414-7.44%1.3796+48.41%0.4782✗1.16
2026-04-24oos0.945550.878722-7.07%1.2913+36.57%0.3924✗1.19
2026-04-23oos0.92440.860756-6.88%1.2275+32.79%0.3801✗1.20
2026-04-22oos0.87920.811884-7.66%1.1906+35.42%0.4258✗1.19
2026-04-21oos0.8980.822034-8.46%1.426+58.80%0.5320✗1.21
2026-04-20oos0.89910.819942-8.80%1.2764+41.96%0.4172✗1.21
2026-04-19oos0.890750.803366-9.81%1.1415+28.15%0.3038✗1.21
2026-04-18oos0.978850.908218-7.22%0.9509-2.86%0.0270✓1.20
2026-04-17oos1.04881.0038-4.29%0.86345-17.67%0.1554✓1.19
2026-04-16oos1.04590.978441-6.45%0.8798-15.88%0.1522✓1.20
2026-04-15oos1.04190.972455-6.67%0.858-17.65%0.1909✓1.20
2026-04-14oos1.02570.955075-6.89%0.9152-10.78%0.1490✓1.20
2026-04-13oos1.14331.0688-6.51%0.897-21.54%0.2505✓1.19
2026-04-12oos1.09261.0007-8.41%0.92655-15.20%0.2319✓1.20
2026-04-11oos1.20611.1073-8.19%0.99975-17.11%0.2343✓1.18
2026-04-10oos1.13681.0546-7.23%1.0568-7.04%0.1379✓1.18
2026-04-09oos1.01450.937788-7.56%1.0542+3.91%0.0175✓1.16
2026-04-08oos0.999250.924485-7.48%1.081+8.18%0.0172✓1.16
2026-04-07oos1.07631.0042-6.70%0.99065-7.96%0.1361✓1.15
2026-04-06oos1.02480.949503-7.34%0.95385-6.92%0.1881✓1.15
2026-04-05oos1.0080.933974-7.35%0.96685-4.09%0.1480✓1.15
2026-04-04oos0.98710.909777-7.83%0.9029-8.53%0.2042✓1.15
2026-04-03oos0.989350.914171-7.60%0.9221-6.80%0.1750✓1.15
2026-04-02oos0.94860.87855-7.38%0.908-4.28%0.1531✓1.15
2026-04-01oos0.89060.823925-7.49%0.9035+1.45%0.0688✓1.16
2026-03-31oos0.87250.804862-7.75%0.88375+1.29%0.0365✓1.16
2026-03-30oos0.80730.740066-8.33%0.94845+17.48%0.1034✗1.14
2026-03-29oos0.826750.756142-8.54%0.89605+8.38%0.0022✓1.15
2026-03-28oos0.858250.787664-8.22%0.8635+0.61%0.0849✓1.15
2026-03-27oos0.88250.811589-8.04%0.9164+3.84%0.0743✓1.15
2026-03-26oos0.911650.837076-8.18%0.9296+1.97%0.0354✓1.15
2026-03-25oos0.99570.911296-8.48%0.94555-5.04%0.0574✓1.14
2026-03-24oos1.0170.928551-8.69%0.9244-9.10%0.1236✓1.14
2026-03-23oos0.9550.868259-9.08%0.8792-7.94%0.1001✓1.14
2026-03-22oos0.93910.853794-9.08%0.898-4.38%0.0867✓1.16
2026-03-21oos1.05270.956401-9.14%0.8991-14.59%0.1721✓1.15
2026-03-20oos1.06340.966133-9.15%0.89075-16.24%0.1344✓1.15
2026-03-19oos1.19281.0827-9.23%0.97885-17.94%0.1947✓1.17
2026-03-18oos1.21161.1065-8.67%1.0488-13.44%0.1464✓1.18
2026-03-17oos1.29611.2125-6.45%1.0459-19.30%0.1670✓1.17
2026-03-16oos1.16271.0797-7.14%1.0419-10.39%0.0349✓1.18
2026-03-15oos1.08520.992812-8.51%1.0257-5.47%0.0113✓1.16
2026-03-14oos1.10781.0109-8.75%1.1433+3.20%0.0710✓1.18
2026-03-13oos1.09861.002-8.79%1.0926-0.55%0.0897✓1.18
2026-03-12oos1.15231.0521-8.70%1.2061+4.66%0.0943✗1.19
2026-03-11oos1.07170.971309-9.37%1.1368+6.07%0.1115✗1.18
2026-03-10oos1.05590.956389-9.42%1.0145-3.92%0.0285✓1.18
2026-03-09oos1.02040.92232-9.61%0.99925-2.07%0.0356✓1.17
2026-03-08oos1.01980.915348-10.24%1.0763+5.55%0.0591✓1.19
2026-03-07oos1.12951.0237-9.36%1.0248-9.27%0.0266✓1.18
2026-03-06oos1.13861.0354-9.06%1.008-11.47%0.0423✓1.18
2026-03-05oos1.20911.115-7.78%0.9871-18.36%0.0607✓1.18
2026-03-04oos1.37151.2946-5.61%0.98935-27.86%0.1749✓1.15
2026-03-03oos1.29821.2001-7.56%0.9486-26.93%0.2104✓1.16
2026-03-02oos1.35921.2565-7.56%0.8906-34.48%0.3320✓1.16
2026-03-01oos1.35871.2495-8.04%0.8725-35.78%0.4036✓1.21
2026-02-28oos1.38571.2782-7.76%0.8073-41.74%0.4553✓1.21
2026-02-27oos1.35681.2472-8.08%0.82675-39.07%0.4130✓1.21
2026-02-26oos1.42831.3151-7.92%0.85825-39.91%0.4056✓1.21
2026-02-25oos1.45511.3384-8.03%0.8825-39.35%0.3870✓1.21
2026-02-24oos1.42981.3122-8.22%0.91165-36.24%0.4552✓1.29
2026-02-23oos1.3891.2708-8.51%0.9957-28.32%0.3702✓1.28
2026-02-22oos1.44631.3238-8.47%1.017-29.69%0.3183✓1.29
2026-02-21oos1.52441.4011-8.09%0.955-37.35%0.4378✓1.30
2026-02-20oos1.53191.4108-7.91%0.9391-38.70%0.4049✓1.00
2026-02-19oos1.47661.362-7.76%1.0527-28.71%0.2862✓1.00
2026-02-18oos1.4461.3404-7.30%1.0634-26.46%0.2911✓1.00
2026-02-17oos1.58881.4792-6.89%1.1928-24.92%0.2509✓1.00
2026-02-16oos1.68791.5756-6.65%1.2116-28.22%0.2967✓1.00
2026-02-15oos1.6771.5713-6.30%1.2961-22.71%0.2646✓1.00
2026-02-14oos1.64781.5539-5.70%1.1627-29.44%0.3605✓1.00
2026-02-13oos1.59721.5126-5.29%1.0852-32.06%0.3889✓1.00
2026-02-12oos1.42871.3663-4.37%1.1078-22.46%0.2828✓1.00
2026-02-11oos1.4161.3547-4.33%1.0986-22.42%0.2664✓1.00
2026-02-10oos1.47021.3954-5.09%1.1523-21.62%0.2162✓1.00
2026-02-09oos1.54881.4625-5.57%1.0717-30.80%0.3124✓1.00
2026-02-08oos1.61981.5276-5.69%1.0559-34.81%0.3648✓1.00
2026-02-07oos1.62611.5332-5.71%1.0204-37.25%0.3954✓1.00
2026-02-06oos1.66281.5647-5.90%1.0198-38.67%0.3613✓1.00
2026-02-05oos1.43931.3851-3.77%1.1295-21.53%0.2728✓1.00
2026-02-04oos1.57541.4789-6.12%1.1386-27.72%0.1921✓1.00
2026-02-03oos1.4811.3847-6.50%1.2091-18.36%0.0704✓1.00
2026-02-02oos1.59661.491-6.61%1.3715-14.10%0.0045✓1.00
2026-02-01oos1.51441.4098-6.90%1.2982-14.27%0.0356✓1.00
2026-01-31oos1.56621.4565-7.00%1.3592-13.22%0.0642✓1.00